Page 127 of 390 FirstFirst ... 2777117125126127128129137177227 ... LastLast
Results 3,151 to 3,175 of 9731

Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #3151
    Quote Originally Posted by YTeleven View Post
    No. Not EB2-I. But I can expect EB3-I will move to that far in next 6 months.
    And, will it stay there or retrogress? Also, where do you see EB2-I at by then?

  2. #3152
    Hi Sword - yes i do remember the incident but not the details. He has taken the liberty to do such things. I am not sure if it is lawful nor I am sure if he is held accountable for those actions and by who.

    I do not know what his logic was then - but i found it outrageous that when EB3 has people waiting for decades - how could visas go waste at all.

    If nobody raised concerns in the past then the likelihood of him repeating it in future is NOT zero.
    Quote Originally Posted by swordfish380 View Post
    Hello Q,

    Not too far in the distant past (2016). CO allocated EB3****isa's to EB2I . Law is always up for interpretation. The fact that power point was published with DOS seal, EB3 unused Visa's can be moved to EB1.
    Quote Originally Posted by swordfish380 View Post
    Earlier in this thread it was discussed why cant CO apply SO to EB1. But in 2016 CO applied 4000+ EB3 Visa's to Eb2i . Based on history he can apply SO to EB1.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  3. #3153
    I have never seen a person with more questionable work ethics than CO. It’s the 14th and still they haven’t released the bulletin. Truly makes the DMV look like a Silicon Valley tech company.

  4. #3154
    With the Visa Bulletin this late, I have no doubt that USCIS is fighting tooth and nail right now with CO on the Final Action Dates as that is something they cannot control. If the dates are surprisingly bad, VB will come out tomorrow like Friday Dump news!

    Rant:
    USCIS is probably the only agency that has the best of both worlds - they are a federal agency so all of them have the federal gov't employee mentality but they operate as a private organization on private funds (applicant fee) and hence, neither Congress nor American taxpayers care. They have no accountability and can get away with all these. The one agency stuck in the stone age which still accepts paper applications and checks. With the work culture and mentality they have, USCIS employees will never survive a day in the private industry and yet, somehow they are the ones who gets to decide if a specific profession is a specialty occupation or not and send an RFE! Go figure!

    Rant over!

  5. #3155
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    California
    Posts
    25
    Quote Originally Posted by EB3Iwaiting View Post
    With the Visa Bulletin this late, I have no doubt that USCIS is fighting tooth and nail right now with CO on the Final Action Dates as that is something they cannot control. If the dates are surprisingly bad, VB will come out tomorrow like Friday Dump news!

    Rant:
    USCIS is probably the only agency that has the best of both worlds - they are a federal agency so all of them have the federal gov't employee mentality but they operate as a private organization on private funds (applicant fee) and hence, neither Congress nor American taxpayers care. They have no accountability and can get away with all these. The one agency stuck in the stone age which still accepts paper applications and checks. With the work culture and mentality they have, USCIS employees will never survive a day in the private industry and yet, somehow they are the ones who gets to decide if a specific profession is a specialty occupation or not and send an RFE! Go figure!

    Rant over!

    I believe it is the field offices which are not giving exact number about the number of visas that are required for interviews that are lined up in July,Aug and September.

    I think CO does not want to retrogress the dates and this is the reason why he has been taking conservative approach.

    Field offices data could tilt the ship either way !!!

  6. #3156
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Hi Sword - yes i do remember the incident but not the details. He has taken the liberty to do such things. I am not sure if it is lawful nor I am sure if he is held accountable for those actions and by who.

    I do not know what his logic was then - but i found it outrageous that when EB3 has people waiting for decades - how could visas go waste at all.

    If nobody raised concerns in the past then the likelihood of him repeating it in future is NOT zero.

    EB3I has been waiting for a long time but porting has caused EB2I's wait time to increase to a decade as well. So i do not share the same sentiment. Porting should not be allowed. If EB3 qualifys for EB2 they should get a priority date from the new application and should not be allowed to keep the old date.

  7. #3157
    They have over year stats from field offices, I don't think it's tough to make a close guess. This is not going to be the first time they retrogress date, in case of generous move.

    Quote Originally Posted by march1612 View Post
    I believe it is the field offices which are not giving exact number about the number of visas that are required for interviews that are lined up in July,Aug and September.

    I think CO does not want to retrogress the dates and this is the reason why he has been taking conservative approach.

    Field offices data could tilt the ship either way !!!

  8. #3158
    July visa bulletin released.

    EB2 India - 15th March,2009

    EB3- 1st November, 2008

  9. #3159
    Quote Originally Posted by canada View Post
    July visa bulletin released.

    EB2 India - 15th March,2009

    EB3- 1st November, 2008
    This is good news for EB2I. It means CO is diverting EB3 SO Visas to EB2I!!

  10. #3160
    Guru
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Bay Area
    Posts
    825
    Quote Originally Posted by canada View Post
    July visa bulletin released.

    EB2 India - 15th March,2009

    EB3- 1st November, 2008
    Filing dates for EB2I and EB3I are very close now. Hope USCIS honors them:
    EB2I - 22 May 09
    EB3I - 01 May 09

  11. #3161

    Angry

    I'm worried about this section. To whom is he addressing, EB2 or EB4/5?

    F. EMPLOYMENT-BASED VISA AVAILABILTY IN THE COMING MONTHS

    In recent weeks there has been a steadily increasing level of Employment-based demand for adjustment of status cases filed with U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. A continuation of the current demand pattern would result in a temporary establishment or retrogression of some final action dates in an effort to hold number use within the FY-2018 annual limits.

    Should such action be required, there would be a full recovery in the preference category for October, the first month of fiscal year 2019.

  12. #3162
    I think he is talking about EB2-ROW

    Quote Originally Posted by redsox2009 View Post
    I'm worried about this section. To whom is addressing, EB2 or EB4/5?

    F. EMPLOYMENT-BASED VISA AVAILABILTY IN THE COMING MONTHS

    In recent weeks there has been a steadily increasing level of Employment-based demand for adjustment of status cases filed with U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. A continuation of the current demand pattern would result in a temporary establishment or retrogression of some final action dates in an effort to hold number use within the FY-2018 annual limits.

    Should such action be required, there would be a full recovery in the preference category for October, the first month of fiscal year 2019.
    EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009

  13. #3163
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    Filing dates for EB2I and EB3I are very close now. Hope USCIS honors them:
    EB2I - 22 May 09
    EB3I - 01 May 09
    AFAIK this has never happened, USCIS honors only the final action dates - Am I wrong ? If I am correct, what is the use of these filing dates ?

  14. #3164
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    A Galaxy Far far Away
    Posts
    3,337
    Quote Originally Posted by newyorker123 View Post
    AFAIK this has never happened, USCIS honors only the final action dates - Am I wrong ? If I am correct, what is the use of these filing dates ?
    USCIS has only honored Filing Dates for 5 months (in 2 blocks).

    October - November 2015
    October - December 2016

    I don't expect USCIS to allow Filing Dates for any remaining months in FY2018. I hope they prove me wrong though.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  15. #3165
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    A Galaxy Far far Away
    Posts
    3,337
    Quote Originally Posted by EB2-03252009 View Post
    I think he is talking about EB2-ROW
    I'd agree with this.

    It can also ensure EB1-WW use all the available visas and increased use in EB3-ROW would reduce the chance of wasted visas. Last year (FY2017), 46% of EB3-ROW use (based on Trackitt) took place in the last 3 months of the FY.

    I've started to notice a reduction in the processing time for I-485 that had to go to Field Offices. Perhaps this behind the rise in demand that CO is seeing.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  16. #3166
    "A continuation of the current demand pattern would result in a temporary establishment" but EB2-ROW doesn't have a cut-off date yet, is he talking about EB2-I?

    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    I'd agree with this.

    It can also ensure EB1-WW use all the available visas and increased use in EB3-ROW would reduce the chance of wasted visas. Last year (FY2017), 46% of EB3-ROW use (based on Trackitt) took place in the last 3 months of the FY.

    I've started to notice a reduction in the processing time for I-485 that had to go to Field Offices. Perhaps this behind the rise in demand that CO is seeing.
    EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009

  17. #3167
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    A Galaxy Far far Away
    Posts
    3,337
    Quote Originally Posted by EB2-03252009 View Post
    "A continuation of the current demand pattern would result in a temporary establishment" but EB2-ROW doesn't have a cut-off date yet, is he talking about EB2-I?
    If EB2-ROW continues to see the high recent demand, CO would definitely have to think about retrogressing them at the end of the FY.

    EB2-ROW have been retrogressed at the end of the FY in the previous 2 FY, so it wouldn't be anything new.

    If demand subsides a bit, they might scrape through the rest of the FY without retrogression.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  18. #3168
    Hello. I used to post here under msfc. For some reason I was unable to rescue my old account. I can share from anecdotes from friends that have interviewed around the country that USCIS has improved their process for approval after field office interview. When the new policy started, interviewers were not sure of how to proceed and many cases were sent from the field office back to the Texas or Nebraska centers. In early 2018 the field offices would have to clear the approval with their supervisors. However since about April/May (there has been some difference in implementation among different field offices), the officers can approve on a same-day basis. Trackitt anecdotal evidence backs this - many are reporting that their status changes to Card Production Order the evening of their interview day.
    I expect therefore for demand from EB2-ROW and EB3-ROW to return to a more normal pace. Also, a lot of the cases that had interviews August-December 2017 are probably sitting in Texas and Nebraska waiting to be approved. And as others have noted in the thread, there are probably a few pre-March 2017 cases in EB2-ROW cases sitting around.
    It is interesting to note that EB3-C has now moved behind EB2-C (for final action date) but the dates for filing remain with EB3-C having a better date. It is possible DOS will try to fill the pipeline with some CP cases just in case USCIS does not demand sufficient visas. Also EB3-P is only one year retrogressed, that can be another source of CP cases.
    All in all, I do not expect much wastage - and for those in EB2-I and EB3-I, there may be some extra visas available from "horizontal"" spillover, but not much. The dates may only inch forward from here for the remainder of the year.

  19. #3169
    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    If EB2-ROW continues to see the high recent demand, CO would definitely have to think about retrogressing them at the end of the FY.

    EB2-ROW have been retrogressed at the end of the FY in the previous 2 FY, so it wouldn't be anything new.

    If demand subsides a bit, they might scrape through the rest of the FY without retrogression.
    But if EB2ROW demand was really rising enough to have them establish a cut-off date, then CO would not have risked moving EB2I to 15 Mar 2009.

    Typically he would only move EB2I forward enough where he knows that he is not risking under usage by EB2ROW. If there was really increasing demand from EB2ROW then CO would have only moved EB2I to sometime in Jan/Feb 2009.

  20. #3170
    Quote Originally Posted by Jagan01 View Post
    But if EB2ROW demand was really rising enough to have them establish a cut-off date, then CO would not have risked moving EB2I to 15 Mar 2009.

    Typically he would only move EB2I forward enough where he knows that he is not risking under usage by EB2ROW. If there was really increasing demand from EB2ROW then CO would have only moved EB2I to sometime in Jan/Feb 2009.

    As I mentioned, maybe he is planning to divert EB3 SO to EB2I. He should just have made both EB2I and EB3I FA dates as Mar 15, 2009!

  21. #3171
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    California
    Posts
    25
    Quote Originally Posted by Jagan01 View Post
    But if EB2ROW demand was really rising enough to have them establish a cut-off date, then CO would not have risked moving EB2I to 15 Mar 2009.

    Typically he would only move EB2I forward enough where he knows that he is not risking under usage by EB2ROW. If there was really increasing demand from EB2ROW then CO would have only moved EB2I to sometime in Jan/Feb 2009.
    Does it mean CO is expecting spillover from other EB categories to EB2-I? and can we expect more movement in Aug and Sep VB's?

  22. #3172
    Quote Originally Posted by HarepathekaIntezar View Post
    As I mentioned, maybe he is planning to divert EB3 SO to EB2I. He should just have made both EB2I and EB3I FA dates as Mar 15, 2009!
    Even if he had made the FA date for EB3I to be Mar 15, 2009, the EB3 SO would not have been consumed by EB3I. The reason is that there are not enough applications in EB3I that have a per-adjudicated application that can consume the SO.

    I think CO will keep moving EB3I FA date ahead, and as a result EB3I might be at the same PD as EB2I by the end of the FY. For the next FY , EB3I will have enough per-adjudicated applications to consume the EB3 SO.

  23. #3173
    So got an RFE SMS text around 11 pm yesterday night, EB2-IND-Oct 09.

    I think mostly it will be medical, did second medical on Oct 2014, after that, there was no update on the case (NSC), also have an EAD since 2012.

    Of course, we have to reply to the RFE, but what is the point of issuing medical RFE, if the PD of 2009 for EB2-IND, won't be current in one year? or I am missing something here because most of the EB2-IND people till the end of 2009 already have an EAD.

  24. #3174
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    California
    Posts
    25
    I believe USCIS would consider filing dates for EB3-India for July VB to build inventory

  25. #3175
    Can EB2I people file EB3 I140 and I485 concurrently if the EB3I filing dates go past EB2I dates and USCIS accepts them? If not, then filing dates can be used to build the EB3I inventory without worrying about immediate EB3I to EB2I downgrades.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 4 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 4 guests)

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •