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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #3026
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    All I can say is that Indians and Chinese are no more or no less worthy of coming to US than any other nationality. America is a land of equal opportunity, land of the free and home of the brave. And I truly believe that. The current country quotas start Immigrant experience on the wrong footing.

    Thought leaving trackitt forums and coming here to concentrate on predictions and numbers here. But occasional spicing with sensible and healthy arguments always welcome.

    Now with due respect I have to disagree with your statement here. We cannot quantify the worth of a person based on his wait time for a GC in another country. We are just bound by the defined rules of an Alien country of which we are trying to be a part of.

    So while the rules appear to be unjust from our perspective, that is what we have been dealt with. While people have been trying to change the rule, the demarcations for legal and illegal immigration are being purposely ignored to create a different perception. Based on the report I shared earlier we have close to 306 K primaries of which the queue gets thinner once in a while, this number is less than 10 % of the illegal crowd and does not have a clout or the ability to be a pressure group.

    You can just see the kind of aggression against H4EAD by people who we think as our own will make this crab mentality.

  2. #3027
    I am not quantifying the worth of any one person. I am just saying current quota system is creating a discriminatory effect on bigger countries.

    Of course we are playing by rules and we should. But develop a free mind my friend. Appeasement will not get anybody anywhere. Only you can stand for yourself.


    Quote Originally Posted by AceMan View Post
    Thought leaving trackitt forums and coming here to concentrate on predictions and numbers here. But occasional spicing with sensible and healthy arguments always welcome.

    Now with due respect I have to disagree with your statement here. We cannot quantify the worth of a person based on his wait time for a GC in another country. We are just bound by the defined rules of an Alien country of which we are trying to be a part of.

    So while the rules appear to be unjust from our perspective, that is what we have been dealt with. While people have been trying to change the rule, the demarcations for legal and illegal immigration are being purposely ignored to create a different perception. Based on the report I shared earlier we have close to 306 K primaries of which the queue gets thinner once in a while, this number is less than 10 % of the illegal crowd and does not have a clout or the ability to be a pressure group.

    You can just see the kind of aggression against H4EAD by people who we think as our own will make this crab mentality.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  3. #3028
    Quote Originally Posted by Sept2009eb2 View Post
    I for one do not support the per country cap removal.
    If the cap is removed, it will hurst the rest of the world.
    It will also make the US more like India/China. If I wanted to live there, I would have gone to those countries.

    It is also not fair to call one person out on a public forum. Just saying.

    Just saying having reservations on talent ..is also not fair .. India and China has lot of us companies .. ex Microsoft google Apple etc ..Afghanistan doesn’t have it ...some one from India with 15 years exp .. doesn’t get green card in his life time .. even after paying taxes .. and maintaining status...some holy dove from South America with 2 years exp gets green card in less than year ... not fair ..


    Also I was told india is not 1 race or caste or religion or language . How would you justify diversity in that case ? Some people are as fair as Europeans and some are as colored as Africans .. some as similar looks as Asians..

  4. #3029
    Life itself is descrimination

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4K5fbQ1-zps

    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    I am not quantifying the worth of any one person. I am just saying current quota system is creating a discriminatory effect on bigger countries.

    Of course we are playing by rules and we should. But develop a free mind my friend. Appeasement will not get anybody anywhere. Only you can stand for yourself.

  5. #3030
    Next people will say we are discriminating against people from underdeveloped countries like Mexico, Somalia, etc
    Also people choose to come here because the pay is good. Let’s see if anyone will move here if they don’t get paid well.

    Since you said you heard India has many religions races etc, let me tell you end of the day we are all Indian.
    And the discrimination is based on country of birth. If someone is European but born in India, they will face same descrimination. Also I know Indian citizens who were born in the Middle East who fall in the Middle East country cap and got GC in 6 months. One person was working for me and I initiated his GC at our company.

    Let’s get to the most important part. We are not talented because we are in IT. My job does not require talent. I am sure kids who graduate in the next 10 years will be able to replace me soon. I am definitely one of the better employees at my company


    QUOTE=oraclept;59537]Just saying having reservations on talent ..is also not fair .. India and China has lot of us companies .. ex Microsoft google Apple etc ..Afghanistan doesn’t have it ...some one from India with 15 years exp .. doesn’t get green card in his life time .. even after paying taxes .. and maintaining status...some holy dove from South America with 2 years exp gets green card in less than year ... not fair ..


    Also I was told india is not 1 race or caste or religion or language . How would you justify diversity in that case ? Some people are as fair as Europeans and some are as colored as Africans .. some as similar looks as Asians..[/QUOTE]

  6. #3031
    Very true and so it is important that we do not perpetuate that any further.

    If we did nothing then there wouldn't be handicapped or pregnant mom access in buses, buildings or parking spaces. We could simply tell them .... deal with it. This is life.
    Quote Originally Posted by Sept2009eb2 View Post
    Life itself is descrimination

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4K5fbQ1-zps
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  7. #3032
    Quote Originally Posted by Sept2009eb2 View Post
    Next people will say we are discriminating against people from underdeveloped countries like Mexico, Somalia, etc
    Also people choose to come here because the pay is good. Let’s see if anyone will move here if they don’t get paid well.

    Since you said you heard India has many religions races etc, let me tell you end of the day we are all Indian.
    And the discrimination is based on country of birth. If someone is European but born in India, they will face same descrimination. Also I know Indian citizens who were born in the Middle East who fall in the Middle East country cap and got GC in 6 months. One person was working for me and I initiated his GC at our company.

    Let’s get to the most important part. We are not talented because we are in IT. My job does not require talent. I am sure kids who graduate in the next 10 years will be able to replace me soon. I am definitely one of the better employees at my company


    QUOTE=oraclept;59537]Just saying having reservations on talent ..is also not fair .. India and China has lot of us companies .. ex Microsoft google Apple etc ..Afghanistan doesn’t have it ...some one from India with 15 years exp .. doesn’t get green card in his life time .. even after paying taxes .. and maintaining status...some holy dove from South America with 2 years exp gets green card in less than year ... not fair ..


    Also I was told india is not 1 race or caste or religion or language . How would you justify diversity in that case ? Some people are as fair as Europeans and some are as colored as Africans .. some as similar looks as Asians..
    [/QUOTE]


    I hope you stick to point of diversity.. The Goal is diversity... Not how poor or well.. I thought there was already Family, diversity lottery and refugee visas for that.
    Its very sad people near to their GC.. dont care about trouble faced by other indians.
    You just discredited the diversity I mentioned in india.
    You just discredited some one having 15 years of exp waiting for his life vs 2 years exp getting GC in less than year..

    What is the solution ? people from india die here working ?
    Just have people from india leave the country after working, paying taxes and raising children for 15 years ?
    What is funny EB visas are only 14% of 1 million.. and on top of it dependents are counted.

    I mentioned that spirit of law is not what it appears.. I said people who are born in india are as fair as Europeans, as colored as africans and as same as Asians I was not talking about Europeans or Africans born in india.
    This generation of diversified Indians aspiring for dreams in US are heavily discriminated under disguise of law.
    From high level Just see thomas kurian@oracle and Ajay pal@mastercard their appearances color and languages are completely different.
    There are so many distinguished achievers from all religions and colours from india. Now you put them all in 1 bucket and say goal of diversity is achieved where talent has to be recognized.

    Life is not fair.. I agree. Atleast to my knowledge.. entrepreneurship of indians in US are killed in infant stage....There will no more Jyothi bansals.

    Not everyone is IT or your kind of IT and same as what you think.

    I dont want to go beyond this. As this thread is to discuss more about patterns..

  8. #3033
    Gurus,
    My PD is May 1 2009 and i received the below email from USCIS:
    "
    There has been a recent processing action taken on your case.

    Receipt Number: SRC179XXXXXX7

    Application Type: I765, APPLICATION FOR EMPLOYMENT AUTHORIZATION

    Your Case Status: Card/ Document Production

    On February 22, 2017, the Post Office delivered your new card for Receipt Number SRC179XXXXXX7, to the address that you gave us. The tracking number assigned is UNAVAILABLE.
    "
    Same email was received for the Mrs' application as well.

    Now, this was already sent last year when the EAD was renewed last and card sent out, so i imagine there is some sort of activity on the file now. My question is, has anyone else encountered anything like this and any other insight anyone may have.
    Thanks in advance

  9. #3034
    May be triggered by an error? I remember receiving similar email last year or year before.

    My pd is 21 dec 2009. My wife and I received a similar mail yesterday
    TSC | PD: 12/21/2009 | RD: 02/14/12| ND: 02/16/12 | FP ND: 03/05/12 | FP: 03/26/12 | EAD/AP: ? | GC: ?

  10. #3035
    I got similar message yesterday for myself and today for my wife. My PD is Mar 2010 (EB2 India)

  11. #3036
    Quote Originally Posted by asankaran View Post
    I got similar message yesterday for myself and today for my wife. My PD is Mar 2010 (EB2 India)
    More Update: Today morning I got a text saying

    "Your case SRCXX is now updated. Check 'My case status' at www.uscis.gov."

    When i try logging in then the site is comes as "cannot be reached"....... there goes the day in anxiety

  12. #3037
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    313
    Quote Originally Posted by almost View Post
    More Update: Today morning I got a text saying

    "Your case SRCXX is now updated. Check 'My case status' at www.uscis.gov."

    When i try logging in then the site is comes as "cannot be reached"....... there goes the day in anxiety
    A system trigger of all approved or closed cases in the previous year I guess. As I got a week back H4 EAD card re-approval case notice that was approved sometime in late 2017.

  13. #3038
    Can anyone guide me referring to any good attorney who successfully applied for 140 without filing perm

  14. #3039
    Quote Originally Posted by srimurthy View Post
    A system trigger of all approved or closed cases in the previous year I guess. As I got a week back H4 EAD card re-approval case notice that was approved sometime in late 2017.
    Thanks Srimurthy. Was finally able to log in, with bated breath, and it turned out to be nothing. Probably one of those things that happened a couple of years back when their system went nuts... Back to sleep mode again

  15. #3040
    Quote Originally Posted by almost View Post
    Thanks Srimurthy. Was finally able to log in, with bated breath, and it turned out to be nothing. Probably one of those things that happened a couple of years back when their system went nuts... Back to sleep mode again
    I also got email update about my (+dependent) last EAD renewal. Both were renewed in early 2017. This is weird. My PD is Sep. 09 (EB2).
    Is it possible someone from USCIS is reviewing our application and accessed our accounts to check our current EAD status?
    I do think most probably it is a system glitch. The timing was weird too. I got emails last week, late night/early morning. And I got text update on Sunday night and early Monday morning.

  16. #3041
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    California
    Posts
    25
    Is it possible that this is update to 485's who have priority date before May 2010 EB2-I and update could be to grant EAD only 1 year as the EB2-I dates might move to May 2010?

    Just a thought!!

  17. #3042
    Quote Originally Posted by march1612 View Post
    Is it possible that this is update to 485's who have priority date before May 2010 EB2-I and update could be to grant EAD only 1 year as the EB2-I dates might move to May 2010?

    Just a thought!!
    I doubt it. Although anything is possible.

    However a similar system cleanup has occurred earlier about 2 years ago, which had resulted in everyone with activity on EADs in the past year getting a notification at the same time. I suspect this is what was going on this time around as well.

  18. #3043
    Quote Originally Posted by march1612 View Post
    Is it possible that this is update to 485's who have priority date before May 2010 EB2-I and update could be to grant EAD only 1 year as the EB2-I dates might move to May 2010?

    Just a thought!!
    I suspect this is just a cleanup of their system. This happend two years back as well.

    Howver anything is possible

  19. #3044
    Quote Originally Posted by jackbrown_890 View Post
    I also got email update about my (+dependent) last EAD renewal. Both were renewed in early 2017. This is weird. My PD is Sep. 09 (EB2).
    Is it possible someone from USCIS is reviewing our application and accessed our accounts to check our current EAD status?
    I do think most probably it is a system glitch. The timing was weird too. I got emails last week, late night/early morning. And I got text update on Sunday night and early Monday morning.
    The sequence is pretty much the same for me too. Got the emails Saturday afternoon for notification on card production with dates in early last year and then the texts came in today morning wee hours notifying of updates made to file. Unless it is a system wide glitch, it does seem like some touched the file (hopefully with good intentions as nowadays they seem to be messing people's lives for no reason sometimes.

  20. #3045
    Quote Originally Posted by march1612 View Post
    Is it possible that this is update to 485's who have priority date before May 2010 EB2-I and update could be to grant EAD only 1 year as the EB2-I dates might move to May 2010?

    Just a thought!!
    Maybe. With May 1st as my EB2-I date, I would be expecting something to happen in the next few months. Not sure what you mean by issuing EAD only 1 year as I already have an EAD approved in feb 2017 valid till feb 2019.

  21. #3046
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    California
    Posts
    25
    USCIS approves EAD for only 1 year for those whose priority date is current or will be current. rest all will get EAD with 2 years validity.

  22. #3047
    Veterans on the forum, how reliable are these numbers (directly from the horse's mouth)

    https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...r_May_2018.PDF

  23. #3048
    Quote Originally Posted by march1612 View Post
    USCIS approves EAD for only 1 year for those whose priority date is current or will be current. rest all will get EAD with 2 years validity.
    Yes, usually they do. But hasn't been always the case for us. One time they approved ours for one year only. We were not close to being current. Somehow the year after that they separated mine and my wife's approvals so we both have different EAD start/end dates and also, that year and year after that, they approved my wife's ead for 1 year only and mine for 2 years. And after that they have approved both of our EADs for two years. It seems like sometimes it depends on the knowledge (or even mood) of the processing officer.

  24. #3049
    Quote Originally Posted by montyp80 View Post
    Veterans on the forum, how reliable are these numbers (directly from the horse's mouth)

    https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...r_May_2018.PDF
    Its most likely reliable. Do yo think its on the higher side ?

    Think about the number of H1Bs that get approved each year. Most go to Indians and there are about 85k each year. EB2I PDs have not moved beyond 2010. So over 7 years a pile up of 217k is totally possible assuming 30k each year. I surely think there are at least more than 30k Indians among the 85k H1B that get approved each year.

  25. #3050
    Quote Originally Posted by asankaran View Post
    I got similar message yesterday for myself and today for my wife. My PD is Mar 2010 (EB2 India)
    I got same update as well; text and email. Maybe system error. My PD March 2010 EB2.

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