Good evening people, my first post here. Have been studying this site for a little while and this place is a huge den of wealth with respect to predictions.
Good evening people, my first post here. Have been studying this site for a little while and this place is a huge den of wealth with respect to predictions.
USCIS released Q1 Data Set: Form I-485 Application for Adjustment of Status. I know they are bit late in releasing the data. But it gave the picture what's happening at service centers and Field offices.
In Q1 Field offices have 27830 Pending, 5027 Approved and 168 denied.
At service centers, 114,734 pending, 25396 Approved and 1826 denied.
Based on this stats, we can assume, in Q4 service centers will fulfill most of the cases which doesn't require interviews.
Here is the url.
https://www.uscis.gov/tools/reports-...ustment-status
Redsox2009 - Please elaborate on what this means. Did you mean that EB2I will move forward or just that ROW cases which don't require interviews will be approved?Originally Posted by redsox2009
The pending inventory has only about 6000 in EB2 and another 6000 in EB3 for ROW. They don't have enough ROW inventory to approve people without interviews.
Will EB3 to EB2 porting applications qualify for interview ? and how would be the impact?
It all depends how the Field offices process the applications and how CO handles the demand vs. supply. But there is a possibility there could be a movement in last qtr, but how great and how big all depends in the hands on CO.
Also some Field offices processed less than 10% of the applications and few processed above 25%. Question is if all field offices starts processing applications above 25% then it is less likely there will be greater movement.
But based on last inventory report, it is obvious that USCIS and CO are looking at non-interview data.
I've had a cursory look at some of the data published today (thanks redsox2009 for the heads up - I'd given up looking).
From the various sources of information, we can estimate EB visa usage for Q1 FY2018:
All Forms Report (USCIS) (AOS) - 30,472
CP Approvals Reports (DOS) (CP) - 8,442
Total -------------------------- 38,914 (27.8% of annual allocation)
The Field Office Report raises more questions than it answers for me.
For Pending EB cases, the Field Office report shows:
Service Center - 114,734
Field Office ---- 27,830
Total ---------- 142,564
Service Center --- 80.5%
Field Office ----- 19.5%
That report is analogous to the January 2018 Inventory Report which purports to show:
All Employment-Based I-485 Inventory pending at the Service Centers and Field Offices as of January 2018
This report shows a figure of 103,675 Pending EB cases. The similar Field Office report has a figure 38,889 higher, or 37.5% higher.
There might be slight timing issue, but the difference is huge.
I don't think we'll get a true sense of the split between Service Center and Field Office until the Field Office Q2 report is released in another 3 months.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
I looked at I-485 applications processed in Q4 of 2017.
At field offices, 983 approved, 139 denied and 9565 pending, however Service centers processed 22341 approvals, 1863 denials and 139K pending.
From 2017 Q4 to 2018 Q1, field office processing rates increased. I looked at trackitt data in Q2 &Q3 2018, majority of the cases that were approved were pre-interview cases.
In trackitt data approvals in Q2 and Q3 with pre-March 2017 priority date are 657.
Out of 657, 195 are EB1, 269 are EB2 and 189 are for EB3.
Q2 and Q3 with post-March Priority date are 110.
Out of 110, 51 are for EB1, 40 are for EB2 and 19 for EB3.
This data shows there could be a good movement in Q4.
When you say good movement in Q4 , is it for EB2I or EB3I?
EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009
Already EB3I are having Pinacoladas in Bahamas. Now its EB2I turn.
but if you compare trackitt approvals of 2017 and 2018, they are similar, I dont see EB2-ROW is giving any SOs, so where do you expect the SOs from and how many?
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...2014-vs-FY2013
EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009
How much would be SO this time and how far the EB2 India would be moved if CO decides to apply those SO's to EB2 -India
My guess is between Sep 2009 to Dec 2009.
Thanks, This means EB2-I would be receiving close to 20K as SO?
Me: EB3, PD 9th Sept 2009
Husband: EB2, PD 7th Oct 2009
We sort of have a stake in both EB2 and EB3. We also have EAD (husband is the primary) since 2012. Any chance of us getting GC this year in either of the EB category??
Any idea when EB2-I - Dec 28 2010 is going to be current
Wow! This forum used to be a place where people had meaningful conversations about GC issuance, movement and wastage. Now, it is becoming more and more like trackitt looking at the last few posts. Even the username of the last post has trackit in it.
Maybe it is time to create a thread called "When will I be current?" and dump all these questions in there.
It is still related to predictions isn't it? So lets keep it. If somebody can and would like to answer - they should.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Eb2I could be receiving 5K+. so key is how much is the "+". How much will it trickle down from EB3 to EB1 and to EB2.
Some statistics from Trackitt approvals regarding the need for an interview.
Interview Waiver = I-485 RD < March 07, 2017
Interview Needed = I-485 RD >= March 07, 2017
EB2-ROW ------------- Q1 ----- Q2 ------Q3*
Interview Waiver -- 75.7% -- 56.6% -- 21.7%
Interview Needed -- 24.3% -- 43.4% -- 78.3%
* To Date
EB3-ROW ------------- Q1 ----- Q2 ------Q3*
Interview Waiver -- 63.2% -- 25.6% -- 13.6%
Interview Needed -- 36.8% -- 74.4% -- 86.4%
* To Date
In general, most cases being processed by USCIS for ROW now require an interview and the times have started to stabilize.
EB3-India only passed the July 2007 PD in the April VB. Unless USCIS decide to give those new applications preferential treatment, they seem unlikely to be approved within FY2018, based on the time it currently takes cases needing an interview.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
How long does it take for new applications to receive an interview from application received date?
Thanks Q. It is not about trackit or anything just the frustration on waiting & waiting & waiting ....
I totally get it. Hence it is important to stick together and help each other with what we know. Everybody has gone through the same thing ...
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Spec,
This is great insight. Thank you.
In the meantime number of RFEs reported on trackitt for EB2I 2009 PDs is steadily increasing. I have been around enough to not read too much into it. But certainly gives a feel good factor
This is the question that has been on my mind: When is the visa reserved for the applicant? When they are called for the interview or when they are finally issued to the applicant? If it is the latter and as Spec clearly pointed out, EB3I folks needing interviews will not be able to get the GC this FY. So, what happens to those GCs?
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