Did anyone go through the new bill of "Blue Card" "Agricultural Worker Program Act of 2017," S-1034 listed on the OH Law firm.
I guess with a fixed amount of Green Cards, this is going to be more wait times for Employment based Green cards.
Any thoughts.
Immigration girl gave more details of what CO said of the coming VBs:
http://immigrationgirl.com/what-to-e...s-of-may-2017/
Here is what he said of our interested categories:
EB-1 Worldwide is expected to remain current through this fiscal year and into the next.
EB-1 China and EB-1 India. A final action date of January 1, 2012 is being imposed as almost half of the entire EB-1 Worldwide limit has been used up for this fiscal year. This date is expected to hold through the remainder of this fiscal year. It is anticipated that these will return to current on October 1.
EB-2 Worldwide. EB-2 number usage remains high, and a final action cut-off date will be imposed for EB-2 Worldwide by August, and possibly in July. We don’t know how far back this category will retrogress or for how long. It is likely that the date will remain the same through the end of the fiscal year and that the category will again become current on October 1.
EB-2 India. Demand for EB-2 India continues to be strong, in large part due to EB-3 upgrades. Due to the lack of spillover from other categories, it is unlikely that this category will recover to last year’s final action date. The existing final action date will likely stay the same through the remainder of the fiscal year.
EB-2 China and EB-3 China. EB-2 China should continue to advance slowly and is on track to hit the per country limit. EB-3 downgrades are rising and retrogression of this category cannot be ruled out.
EB-3 Worldwide. This category is expected to continue to advance.
EB-3 India. Since EB-3 Worldwide and Mexico demand is low, those otherwise unused numbers should allow the advancement of the final action date for EB-3 India in July and August. The July final action date for EB-3 India is expected advance to October 15, 2005.
EB-5 China. Expect slow forward movement in this category.
My EB2-I PD is mid-July 2009 and I yet to file.I've been so close in the past but it still didn't happen. Do you think mid-July 2009 PD will be able to file in Oct'17? Since the dates are dilly-dallying past 3 years, I'm unable to make a decision in my career. I hate to do the whole labor/I-140 process again. Meanwhile I'm furious to see the opportunities that were passed by me. It really pisses me of thinking the position I'm in.
Unfortunately, no. Looking at what CO told AILA in his latest meeting, it seems EB2I will end another year in 2008 and in a worse position than it was in last year. It will move forward again in FY 2018 but then there will also be many porters who are waiting in file when that happens. EB2I movement will be severely restricted till EB3I eventually catches up with it and there is no incentive to port. It is already happening for those whose PDs are in late 2006 and early 2007. I am sure they will be sitting pat now even if they were thinking of porting since EB3I has now finally started to move. But porting will truly stop only when EB3I gets within 1 year of EB2I.Originally Posted by jimmys
Spec and other gurus:
Recently I came across a news regarding CO's monthly meeting with AILA. As per the news:
"FB-4 Worldwide should be watched closely. Charlie hopes this category will advance during this fiscal year. Only 40% of FB-4 Worldwide beneficiaries who were sent "Agent of Choice" letters before April 2016 have responded to those letters. Additionally, of those, only 15% provided enough information to schedule an interview."
Source: http://www.sivisalaw.com/immigration...017/05/29/436/
Does this mean we can expect additional visas from FB category next year?
vedu,
Not necessarily.
CO has identified the potential problem fairly early and has at least 3 months to correct it. He can move FB4 forward more quickly in the remaining VB and also has the option of moving FB1 forward to use SO within the FB categories.
Given the long wait for FB4 beneficiaries, it is perhaps not surprising that people decide they do not want to follow through with immigration to the USA at the time it finally becomes current. Lives and circumstances change dramatically over the now 13 year minimum waiting time.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Spec,
Thanks for your explanation. We can only hope that under current administration, extreme scrutiny and background check of all the applicants is underway and that may eventually result in some spillover. Of course we can't count on anything these days!
USCIS have updated the Immigration and Citizenship Data with FY2017 Q2 numbers on this page https://www.uscis.gov/tools/reports-...ion-forms-data
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
July VB is out:
https://travel.state.gov/content/vis...july-2017.html
EB3I has moved to 15th Feb 06 Final Action date with Filing Date now moved to 1st October 06. Looks to be a good SO from EB3ROW this year.
Finally some good news for eb3 India. Do you guys think it will move past July 2006 this FY?
Very good chance.
Hit Aug 2006 in Aug VB and Dec 2006 in Sep VB
USCIS Performance data for 2nd quarter is released.
Based on the trackitt data which Spectator updates and historical stats, here is breakdown for the 2nd quarter 485 approvals.
I would say +/-5% error
EB1 India 5600
EB1 Row ROW 9000
EB2 India 700
Non Indians 6560
EB3 India 500
Non Indians 6600
28960
A little confusing. Does this number exclude Consular Processing? Do you have Q1+Q2 Numbers to be able to project a trend?
Does this number exclude Consular Processing? YES
Do you have Q1+Q2 Numbers to be able to project a trend? See below
Attachment 1183
P.S.:- I could be wrong, this is my first time estimating.
Based on these charts, Eb2I might get spill over close to 2k, and Eb3I might get anywhere close to 10k
Here is my very simple back of the envelope calculations solely based on where CO said the filing date for EB3I will be by the end of this FY and based on the April 2017 inventory numbers. Considering where CO moved the final action dates, it seems he considered a SO of 1958 this month considering 233 is monthly quota. If EB3I were to indeed reach cutoff date of 1st October 2006, it will seem that he is considering an additional 2704 SO considering the 2 month quota is 466. So, looking at where Filing date is, CO is considering EB3I to get a SO of around 4662. This will be in addition to the 2800 yearly quota.
Last year EB3 overall missed out on some 2.5K GCs as they were allocated to EB1. The year before, EB3I missed out on some 3.5K GCs as they were over allocated to EB2I before. Considering the misallocations, EB3I should have actually cleared its pending inventory by now.
Last year saw the highest PERM certifications ever and yet, EB3I got a modest spillover and that included the fact that some 2.5K GCs were misallocated. This year, we are seeing the second highest PERM certifications, and yet EB3I seems to be set for some 4.5K SO which could be a conservative calculation from CO. He already moved the filing date with the July VB and if the SO is more, he will simply move the filing date further.
That being said, I am still trying to figure out the high EB3ROW demand.
what would be the final action date if we get 2k spill overs for eb2i?
EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009
I see that DOS have started to publish some details of monthly visa issuances at Consulates https://travel.state.gov/content/vis...issuances.html
This might be useful, since it gives some insight into Consular Processed approvals by DOS which lie outside AOS approvals from USCIS (and the USCIS Inventory).
There is only data for March 2017 and April 2017 at the moment. I've had a look at the data for April.
For the April 2017 figures, there were the following number of CP cases approved for EB categories:
Class -- China -- India -- Mexico -- Philippines ---- ROW --- Total
EB1 ------- 56 ------ 7 ------- 0 ------------ 0 ------ 76 ---- 139
EB2 ------- 10 ------ 2 ------- 1 ----------- 25 ----- 140 ---- 178
EB3 ------- 10 ----- 14 ------- 9 ---------- 256 ----- 206 ---- 495
EB4 -------- 1 ----- 13 ------- 0 ------------ 3 ----- 137 ---- 154
EB5 ------ 808 ----- 10 ------- 4 ------------ 0 ------ 79 ---- 901
Total ---- 885 ----- 46 ------ 14 ---------- 284 ----- 638 -- 1,867
For reference, these were the % of CP cases in FY2016:
EB1 - 5.4%
EB2 - 5.5%
EB3 - 27.4% (China and Philippines have high % - 33.9% and 80.2% respectively)
EB4 - 17.3%
EB5 - 89.9%
Here's the March 2017 figures:
Class -- China -- India -- Mexico -- Philippines ---- ROW --- Total
EB1 ------- 70 ------ 4 ------- 5 ------------ 0 ---- 116 ----- 195
EB2 ------- 17 ------ 5 ------- 0 ----------- 24 ---- 196 ----- 242
EB3 ------- 58 ----- 21 ------- 7 ---------- 346 ----- 27 ----- 659
EB4 -------- 0 ----- 20 ------- 0 ----------- 14 ----- 56 ----- 190
EB5 ------ 834 ------ 6 ------- 8 ------------ 0 ---- 121 ----- 969
Total ---- 979 ----- 56 ------ 20 ---------- 384 ---- 816 --- 2,255
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Where did you get that from? I am not saying it will not reach 1st October 2006, in fact I am saying that it will blow past that date comfortably.
CO's latest comments make for interesting reading.
See http://immigrationgirl.com/what-to-e...cal-year-2017/
Some highlights:
I hope CO didn't leave it too late to retrogress. In FY2016, EB1 used 43.7k when China used 6.7k and India 11.0k before retrogression.EB-1 China and India:
.....
So far this fiscal year, EB-1 China has used more than 6,300 numbers and EB-1 India has used more than 12,900 (due to spillover from unused Worldwide EB-1 numbers).
As expected.EB-2 Worldwide: A final action cut-off date will be imposed in August and will remain through September.
I'm actually surprised CO thinks it's only 40%.EB-2 India: Minimal advancement is expected through the rest of the fiscal year. The final action date may only get to September or October 2008
....
approximately 40 percent of the available EB-2 India numbers are being used by beneficiaries who have upgraded from EB-3 India.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
This does not make sense to me. He was talking 1 Week after the July VB was released, so he was not making any predictions, he was just stating a fact.
It looks to me like he is planning on screwing EB3I folks again!! Why would he not predict how many unused EB3ROW numbers would go to EB3I?EB-3 Worldwide: In July, EB-3 Worldwide will advance less than two months to June 8, 2017, keeping this category effectively current.
EB-3 India should continue to advance.
I agree this is very surprising. I was under the impression that most 2008 original EB2Is have been cleared a while ago and the slow movement is primarily due to porters taking MOST of their quota. 40% seems really low. How is it that 60% of original EB2Is from 2008 and before are getting GCs now? How many times did they miss the boat?
I am still confused why CO prefers to keep a cutoff date for EB3ROW. He seems determined to screw EB3Is as long as he can.
EB3Iwaiting - how does keeping a cut-off date for EB3Row screw EB3I? anyway after all these years trying to keep expectations very low. I had high hope in 2015 only to see it get crushed by CO brilliant allocations to other categories.
If not for the 2015 and 2016 misallocations, EB3I pending inventory would have been cleared out by now. I just hope he does not continue to misallocate GCs. Hope he did not overallocate EB1 again. Because he will then simply take GCs out from EB3I to balance it out.
EB2I moving forward is good news. It also proves that the April 2017 EB2I inventory is bogus.
I think he means fresh porters who have ported this year only are 40% and ppl who have ported last yr and before he is not considering them as porters.
EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009
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