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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #1801
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    Everyone knows now so it doesn't matter. Now it's time to update Itellisofttech and Rahul Reddy's reviews on google. check those out and we should add more.
    I think this is the original video.

    http://www.veoh.com/watch/v108126019cxrJJ9fa

  2. #1802
    Spectator ,
    Given there will be no spillover from EB2RoW ,will Eb2 the dates move to Aug 2007 in Oct visa bulletin ? Where will EB2I stabilize in FY2017 ?

  3. #1803
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Sorry can you elaborate that? I completely missed this conversation.
    Q - There was a video posted on youtube where ITServ alliance members were having a meeting and Rahul Reddy (Houston attorney) and Intellisofttech CEO Satish Manduva (https://www.linkedin.com/in/satish-manduva-27080b) were talking about the fact that if people get EAD right after filing for 140, it would be a big detriment to their company and they were planning to file a lawsuit against this provision that would have helped people like us stuck in backlogs. Rahul Reddy was also asking them to "take control" and push this forward and asked 100K to be set aside.

    The desi suckers who came here on H4/H1/F1 etc themselves are trying to ruin our lives; scumbags. I wish everyone goes there an updates their reviews on google.

  4. #1804
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    Q - There was a video posted on youtube where ITServ alliance members were having a meeting and Rahul Reddy (Houston attorney) and Intellisofttech CEO Satish Manduva (https://www.linkedin.com/in/satish-manduva-27080b) were talking about the fact that if people get EAD right after filing for 140, it would be a big detriment to their company and they were planning to file a lawsuit against this provision that would have helped people like us stuck in backlogs. Rahul Reddy was also asking them to "take control" and push this forward and asked 100K to be set aside.

    The desi suckers who came here on H4/H1/F1 etc themselves are trying to ruin our lives; scumbags. I wish everyone goes there an updates their reviews on google.
    Thank you smuggymba.

    Unfortunately EVERYBODY understands this game except the sheeples that are H1B folks. Friends - wake up. I understood this long time back in 2004 and fought with my HR. My exact words to my HR were "I am not a slave".

    Friends - tell that you yourself first. The problem today is that almost everybody here has a 6 figure package --- some of you probably have a 300K-500K package. But don't let that blind you. Your worth is more than that damn package. Freedom is invaluable.

    I am not here to give you a sermon. This video just confirms what we already know. The question is - as an individual what is the worth of your freedom? Fight back ... take on this unjust system. Use that video in the courts. You are wrong in believing that there are no lawyers who will fight for you. That is absolutely not true. You just haven't found one yet.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  5. #1805
    Quote Originally Posted by Sub#Ash View Post
    Hi everyone - Though I have been a regular visitor of Q blog, I have always refrained from posting on this forum as my prediction skills are not good. I thought I will register today and post my thoughts here as I feel very bad for whats going on in Immigration realm, especially EB2. Current situation for EB2 applicants is much worse than what a Criminal OR an Illegal Immigrant goes through in this country. They atleast know that they have done something wrong and are prepared to pay the price. But what EB2 is going through is unprecedented and if am not wrong this started from 2014 onwards. Though I was lucky to scrape thru in 2013 window to get my GC, MY wife is still stuck with a 2010 Feb PD. Even after living in this country for 15+ years I am still made to watch for Visa bulletin every month. I know I am in a better situation than some of my other friends who missed the boat, but my heart goes out to everyone who is looking at this current situation. Back in 2013 we atleast had the hope that the dates will move atleast a year every year, but whats we are seeing now is a 1 month movement or maybe even less than that every year. Someone on this forum put it the right way "Is this the end of US Immigration for all ?" . I personally do not think so. We software folks from India are smart, no question about that and cud do a bit more, I am ready to pitch in if anyone has any ideas. I personally feel that filing a mass lawsuit fighting this discrimination and highlighting the things that have gone wrong earlier might help us here. Also, as someone else on this forum said, I believe Hillary is smart to fix things and hope Dems control both the House and Senate to end this nonsense.
    Thanks Sub. Welcome to forum. Why dont you file your wife's green card in Family category. She will get her GC yesterday.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  6. #1806
    Quote Originally Posted by YTeleven View Post
    In few hours from now we will be in FY15, this will be my last post in FY14.
    I've a very positive prediction for EB3-India folks who are waiting for more than 10 years in the GC Q.
    Back in May'14 I was predicting that EB3-India will have bright future ahead in this post: here

    After a thorough data analysis I could say that in FY16 we will see a complete wipe out of EB3-I I485 inventory as shown in this graph:EB3-I I485 inventory trends
    Here I'm comparing the same graph with current EB3-ROW inventory trend:EB3-I I485 inventory trends comparing with EB3-ROW inventory trend

    After seeing these graphs you might question why would we see 20k spillover to EB3-I in FY16. This is what I'm getting from all the available data pointers.
    After FY15 there will not be any demand for EB3 to consume its yearly 40k visas and that gives a massive horizontal spillover to EB3-India.
    So this means we will have inventory buildup for EB3-I also in FY16.

    Already, this post predicts that there is a possibility for EB2-I inventory building in FY16.
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Any changes in the update ?

  7. #1807
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Thank you smuggymba.

    Unfortunately EVERYBODY understands this game except the sheeples that are H1B folks. Friends - wake up. I understood this long time back in 2004 and fought with my HR. My exact words to my HR were "I am not a slave".

    Friends - tell that you yourself first. The problem today is that almost everybody here has a 6 figure package --- some of you probably have a 300K-500K package. But don't let that blind you. Your worth is more than that damn package. Freedom is invaluable.

    I am not here to give you a sermon. This video just confirms what we already know. The question is - as an individual what is the worth of your freedom? Fight back ... take on this unjust system. Use that video in the courts. You are wrong in believing that there are no lawyers who will fight for you. That is absolutely not true. You just haven't found one yet.
    Q, What freedom are you talking about? Just getting a green card doesn't set anybody free. For example, after getting green card, try quitting the job and sitting at home OR stop making a mortgage payment, etc. and then one will realize how superficial this freedom is! One still has to be slave to his/her employer, or may be if you change one...then to the next employer! The true freedom comes with only complete financial independence, and then GC doesn't make much difference! My two cents...

  8. #1808
    Quote Originally Posted by vedu View Post
    Q, What freedom are you talking about? Just getting a green card doesn't set anybody free. For example, after getting green card, try quitting the job and sitting at home OR stop making a mortgage payment, etc. and then one will realize how superficial this freedom is! One still has to be slave to his/her employer, or may be if you change one...then to the next employer! The true freedom comes with only complete financial independence, and then GC doesn't make much difference! My two cents...
    Good point Vedu. I do agree with you on your broader viewpoint. One can take the same even further and beyond financial freedom and ask if one is really free!! Right?

    I was only talking about the slavery that H1B has become. I personally felt truly freed when I received my own GC long time back. I just hated the fact that I was tied to an employer, I was given a different badge than regular employees, I couldn't physically go into certain office locations, I had to always worry about visa stampings, couldnt bring the courage to buy a house and so on and so forth.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  9. #1809
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Good point Vedu. I do agree with you on your broader viewpoint. One can take the same even further and beyond financial freedom and ask if one is really free!! Right?

    I was only talking about the slavery that H1B has become. I personally felt truly freed when I received my own GC long time back. I just hated the fact that I was tied to an employer, I was given a different badge than regular employees, I couldn't physically go into certain office locations, I had to always worry about visa stampings, couldnt bring the courage to buy a house and so on and so forth.
    Q, I know and agree with what you are referring to. Sorry for diverting the main topic of discussion. I am still waiting for my own GC, but was fortunate to receive EAD by sheer luck once when they temporarily moved the dates all the way to April, 10. Since then life has certainly been easier!

  10. #1810
    Quote Originally Posted by vedu View Post
    Q, I know and agree with what you are referring to. Sorry for diverting the main topic of discussion. I am still waiting for my own GC, but was fortunate to receive EAD by sheer luck once when they temporarily moved the dates all the way to April, 10. Since then life has certainly been easier!
    Don't be sorry. Exchange of thoughts is welcome and refreshing!
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  11. #1811
    On a more religious point of view for vedu's comment about freedom. The lack of "freedom" is destined for human beings. :-)

    From Bible:
    To Adam he said, "Because you listened to your wife and ate fruit from the tree about which I commanded you, 'You must not eat from it,' "Cursed is the ground because of you; through painful toil you will eat food from it all the days of your life.

  12. #1812
    Quote Originally Posted by gcq View Post
    On a more religious point of view for vedu's comment about freedom. The lack of "freedom" is destined for human beings. :-)

    From Bible:
    LoL!!

    Unless you are a swami / baba / priest / or a government babu. Then you get to eat without toiling at all.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  13. #1813
    I have been following date movement very closely since Sept 2015. It has been very frustrating after every VB. Really fed up. 12 years is a long time. Looking back, I feel I have sacrificed a lot for this. Hope life turns better after I get GC (god knows when). Talking of freedom, at least I am free from watching this stupid date movement.
    I feel we must educate every new person coming from our country India ... what is in store. This is absolutely ridiculous. I make it a point to tell everybody to seriously think before taking this step. Coming for higher education here ... looking for an opening thereafter is like death trap.

  14. #1814
    Q I am in same boat as Sub#Ash. Can you please elaborate how a spouse can get GC faster in family category as compared to waiting for I-485 approval. F2A dates are somewhere in 2009. So if we apply for our spouse in family category, she shall have a PD of 2016. Please correct me if I am wrong.
    We were married before my I-485 was filed; My wife was visiting india when I got current (PD Jan 2009: EB2-I); We missed the window for her hoping that retrogression was temporary.
    Had we known that dates will never return; She could have flown back. Anyway that is history.
    Even though I have my GC for a while; I still visit this forum to get trends for my wife's pending I-485
    Thanks for your help.

    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Thanks Sub. Welcome to forum. Why dont you file your wife's green card in Family category. She will get her GC yesterday.

  15. #1815
    Quote Originally Posted by iamsam View Post
    Q I am in same boat as Sub#Ash. Can you please elaborate how a spouse can get GC faster in family category as compared to waiting for I-485 approval. F2A dates are somewhere in 2009. So if we apply for our spouse in family category, she shall have a PD of 2016. Please correct me if I am wrong.
    We were married before my I-485 was filed; My wife was visiting india when I got current (PD Jan 2009: EB2-I); We missed the window for her hoping that retrogression was temporary.
    Had we known that dates will never return; She could have flown back. Anyway that is history.
    Even though I have my GC for a while; I still visit this forum to get trends for my wife's pending I-485
    Thanks for your help.
    I thought the date was in 2014/1015. So I checked Aug bulletin and yes I am right.

    What am I missing?
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  16. #1816
    Q
    My bad; Yes the dates are in Nov 14 for F2A. But they have only moved ~9 months in an year.
    So on that logic; if we apply today for my wife, it will take another 2 years to get GC under F2A. The dilemma is whether EB2-I will reach Jan 5, 2009 (my PD) by then or not?
    Or should i just wait to be a citizen by 2019 and then apply for her and get her GC right away and meanwhile we wait for her EB2 and stay on EAD/AP.



    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    I thought the date was in 2014/1015. So I checked Aug bulletin and yes I am right.

    What am I missing?

  17. #1817
    Quote Originally Posted by iamsam View Post
    Q
    My bad; Yes the dates are in Nov 14 for F2A. But they have only moved ~9 months in an year.
    So on that logic; if we apply today for my wife, it will take another 2 years to get GC under F2A. The dilemma is whether EB2-I will reach Jan 5, 2009 (my PD) by then or not?
    Or should i just wait to be a citizen by 2019 and then apply for her and get her GC right away and meanwhile we wait for her EB2 and stay on EAD/AP.
    Q and others can provide a better response. But from what I see, as long as it is legal to have both FB application and EB application in parallel, it is advisable to to apply in F2A. Take advantage of both routes. You never know which one is going to move faster. In case you have to wait till you get your Citizenship, you can upgrade the F2A application to get it approved as the spouse of a citizen.

  18. #1818
    Hello All,
    Seems like there is a petition going on for recapture of unused visa numbers from the past. A friend sent me this via whatsapp; please try and sign this. I know its a broken record but it doesn't harm to sign it.

    QUOTING
    H1-B,L1,F1 and EAD holders
    Please spend 2 minutes of your time to help yourself!
    Skilled Immigrants of America has opened a petition to white house to provide update on I140 based EAD and Recapture 500K wasted Green cards
    1) How can you help yourself?
    We need 100k signs by end of Aug 10, 2016. This is time sensitive!
    a)We need your support by you and asking family members, friends to sign the petition. By going to below link and enter name and email details and then click the confirm link in the email.
    http://tinyurl.com/z7aqbgr
    Or scan this QR code with QR scanner app from your phone.
    b) Share above URL in your Facebook timeline and ask tag all your friends to sign the petition and ask them to do the same in their face book timeline.
    a) Copy the petition link, paste in your time line. At bottom of your screen click Tag friends/people and select the friends and click Post.
    2) What happens after 100k signs are reached?
    We will get an official update from white house on I140 EAD and recapture of 500k wasted green cards which will change your life in USA!!
    3) How you will benefit?
    a) Recapture of 500k Green cards will fetch you green cards within 1 year instead of 20 to 50 years wait time.
    b) Using I140 EAD, you can change any employer without H1B visa, not have to be dependent on employer.
    Join skilled immigrants of America Face book group. We have 100k members! Go to this link and click join Group:
    http://tinyurl.com/FBSK2016

  19. #1819
    The end result of petition is a standard boring response from White House. Yes, signing is a waste of time. It has been many times before, you can read the response from WH on those.

  20. #1820
    Quote Originally Posted by gcq View Post
    Q and others can provide a better response. But from what I see, as long as it is legal to have both FB application and EB application in parallel, it is advisable to to apply in F2A. Take advantage of both routes. You never know which one is going to move faster. In case you have to wait till you get your Citizenship, you can upgrade the F2A application to get it approved as the spouse of a citizen.
    Absolutely. I wouldnt suggest anybody abandon EB path.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  21. #1821
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    The end result of petition is a standard boring response from White House. Yes, signing is a waste of time. It has been many times before, you can read the response from WH on those.
    smuggymba,
    As I said there is no harm in trying. Maybe we haven't made a big enough noise earlier or maybe this will be that one more time that does it. The more signatures we get the better chances we have. It takes less time to sign it then grabbing coffee at work and given the stakes we have in this, its certainly worth trying if one can. Even god helps those who try to help themselves.

  22. #1822
    Quote Originally Posted by almost View Post
    smuggymba,
    As I said there is no harm in trying. Maybe we haven't made a big enough noise earlier or maybe this will be that one more time that does it. The more signatures we get the better chances we have. It takes less time to sign it then grabbing coffee at work and given the stakes we have in this, its certainly worth trying if one can. Even god helps those who try to help themselves.
    Sorry almost but it's a waste of time; trust me.

    The end results is something like this - The White House is committed to making America competitive in the world and we understand the importance of high-skilled workers etc. etc. etc.etc. etc. ...............that's it, nothing else. The outcome is a 5-6 liner standard response.

  23. #1823
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    Sorry almost but it's a waste of time; trust me.

    The end results is something like this - The White House is committed to making America competitive in the world and we understand the importance of high-skilled workers etc. etc. etc.etc. etc. ...............that's it, nothing else. The outcome is a 5-6 liner standard response.

    smuggymba,
    I fully understand and appreciate what you say; I believe I accepted that in my first post itself. The fact remains that if you have enough muscle behind it people eventually listen. Honestly, it takes less time to sign it then to keep making a moot point. Also, pessimism has never accomplished anything; the resolve should go up with every failure and eventually you will succeed.

  24. #1824
    Quote Originally Posted by gcq View Post
    Can FOIA requests be turned down that easily ?

    From my understanding all departments are required to comply with FOIA. I was thinking of requesting an yearly FOIA from CO regarding the details of visa bullletin moment decisions - as to why he arrived at a particular decision, what all laws were taken into account. How did he make sure he complying with INA etc.
    http://www.murthy.com/2016/07/20/pre...f-information/
    On June 30, 2016, President Obama signed a law aimed at strengthening the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA). The Freedom of Information Improvement Act of 2016 implements policies to increase the transparency by the U.S. federal government. These important changes come on the eve of the 50th anniversary of the original FOIA going into effect.Background: 2009 Presidential Mandate

    On his first day in office, President Obama issued a memorandum that directed government agencies to favor disclosure to the public. The memorandum set forth a policy of timely information disclosure and increased openness and transparency by the federal government.
    Increased FOIA Filings and Resources Since 2009

    Since 2009, the government has processed more than 4.6 million FOIA requests and made publically available more than 180,000 federal datasets and collections. There is now a centralized FOIA resource and a shared FOIA case-management system and public portal. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) also has a mobile FOIA app, due to the large volume of immigration-related FOIA requests.
    The Obama administration has provided extensive FOIA outreach, established a FOIA ombudsman, and formed a federal advisory committee for FOIA. More details on these activities are available in the MurthyDotCom NewsBrief, Improved FOIA System for Immigration-Related Requests (20.Mar.2014).
    Summary of the FOIA Improvement Act of 2016

    The FOIA Improvement Act lays a foundation for one consolidated FOIA portal for all federal government agencies; prior to the enactment of the bill, 12 agencies were already using this online system. The law also curtails how and to what extent the federal government can deny a records request under any of the nine exemptions provided for under FOIA. The new law further places a 25-year limit on withholding information under "exemption 5," which allows the government to deny a FOIA request for privileged inter- and intra-agency documents, such as privileged attorney work product. Prior to this, such documents could be withheld indefinitely.
    The FOIA Improvement Act also creates a new chief FOIA officers council to work with stakeholders inside and outside of the government to identify and address the biggest problems the public encounters when trying to access records via FOIA. The council also looks into the "release to one is a release to all" presumption by having all documents released three or more times under FOIA online.
    Conclusion

    The streamlined policies and transparency should help to obtain information through FOIA filings. This is of particular importance in the immigration context, given the massive number of immigration-related FOIA requests that are made each year.

  25. #1825
    Yoda
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    369
    Any Shashank Redemption fans?

    Write a letter every week until Govt decides to give atleast part of what you want.
    Then you write a letter every day until Govt decides to give what you want.

    Similarly:

    Open the same petition every month (with updates saying, Govt's empty words to last petition does not help in any way) and get to 100K signatures. They will not be giving the same answer after few months.


    Just my thought.



    Quote Originally Posted by almost View Post
    smuggymba,
    I fully understand and appreciate what you say; I believe I accepted that in my first post itself. The fact remains that if you have enough muscle behind it people eventually listen. Honestly, it takes less time to sign it then to keep making a moot point. Also, pessimism has never accomplished anything; the resolve should go up with every failure and eventually you will succeed.

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