there is only one hope for EB2I in the near future. It is HR 213.
there is only one hope for EB2I in the near future. It is HR 213.
Interesting observation. It does seem that whenever he speaks, he offers no good information to share on EB3I other than stating the obvious, i.e. EB3I is severely backlogged, and demand outruns supply. I assume he's tired of people asking him about it, and the law doesn't allow him to do much for EB3I. Nevertheless, I will go out on one limb and say that he's done a pretty average job over the years. Same with a succession of USCIS directors who fed him information. I don't think government officials care or possess the competence required to deal with complicated problems efficiently.Originally Posted by gcq
It is beyond obvious now that nothing will get through 114th congress. Save your time by not following any immigration related legislative stuff.
Could some one let me know what the unlikeness is between EB and EB-ROW?
Thank you.
Also he blames EB3-I porters anytime there is a slowdown in EB2-I dates including this time though he never has any clarity as to how many people are actually porting until I-485 is approved !
gcq,
I don't think CO blames EB3-I porters.
CO is having a regular dig at USCIS for not providing good enough quality of advance information to determine the true future demand.
As CO often says, he has no idea of that demand until the I-485 is approved and it stops him doing his job properly.
One action I hope will come out of the "modernization" is that USCIS will finally be forced to provide much better information to DOS. They are not going to do it voluntarily. A nice side effect could be that the quality of the USCIS Inventory that we see might also improve. At the very least, people should have improved clarity and it might stop the wild swings in Cut Off Dates in EB2.
As for EB3-ROW, as has been discussed, their theoretical quota is substantially reduced by overuse within EB3 under the 7% rule by some Countries. It is therefore quite important that the reduced numbers of visas available to them are fully used.
I have said many times that it is a scandal every time visas are wasted in EB3, particularly since they do not receive additional visas from other Categories at the moment. China, India, Mexico and ROW have all suffered as a result.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Hi YT,
Are there any changes in your prediction for FY 15 after AILA meeting with CO?
No. I知 not changing my predictions post CO comments. I知 still positive on what I predicted before.
We know that the FY15Q1 approvals were 30% lesser than the average (31k) in a typical quarter: I485_performancedata_fy2015_qtr1.pdf and CO was talking about the surge in demand during Feb15 to Apr15. We still have 5 more months left in the remaining period of FY15. This surge could be expanded further or get subsided. I知 hoping that this is a temporary surge reflecting the underlying processing dynamics. We will know more in next 2 months.
Just a heads up for those that follow the Trackitt approvals in the FACTS & DATA section.
I'll be traveling for the next 2 weeks or so and unable to update the figures.
I'll catch up and update them sometime around the 2nd week of June.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Yahoo is reporting a new lawsuit against USCIS claiming that officials delay work authorization documents (EADs). The lawsuit is claiming class action status and is possibly asking for temporary work authorization to be re-instated in case of delays. I think it is very relevant for all folks on EAD who nervously wait during renewal to receive cards on time. Consider signing up... the lawsuit was filed in U.S District Court in Seattle.
http://news.yahoo.com/lawsuit-offici...201617008.html
Gurus .. I posted here for visibility. Please move to a appropriate thread.
Thanks Spec! have nice time!
Not sure this is the right place to post it, but some might find this article and database interesting:
http://spectrum.ieee.org/view-from-t...salary-secrets
Interesting case. http://www.murthy.com/2015/05/28/bia...40-revocation/
Do you folks think this would slow down EB3-EB2 porting? Would be blessing in disguise for EB2.
Right now this is not precedent. Not sure whether decision can be appealed. Even then, the administrative fixes being put in by administration would eventually override this decision. Also murthy states that they are routinely getting PD retention approved.
any ideas, when will it be released ? will July and April be released together at the same time ;-?
All forms Report 2nd Quarter is released.
http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/f...y2015_qtr2.pdf
Now we have the I485_performancedata_fy2015_qtr2.pdf and it shows a moderate increase in 485 approvals and still 15% lesser than a quarterly average approvals (31k). Also, total FY15H1 approvals comes to 47.6k and still they have to approve ~75k in the next 2 quarters(FY15H2). With the current rate of processing speed it is highly impossible to achieve this without spilling the visas to EB2-I. This is the reason I was betting big on processing delays and hence I'm confident that EB2-I receives at least 14k visas this year in spite of huge EB2Row demand.
YT I appreciate your effort. I do a similar kind of calculation as that of yours, but none other than myself could understand how I arrived with those numbers.
Unless otherwise there is going to be a drastic change in processing timings, 15K is agreeable. Let us see!
Another voice in appreciation of your efforts YT. Thank you for sharing your thoughts and calculations with the forum.
EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary
YT -Thank you for your number crunching.
Does that mean there is a better chance of dates to move beyond May/June 2009? From the inventory it looks like there are roughly 10K pending till July 2009. Am I looking at this right or am I missing something? I know porting will add to that 10K but if there is 14K spillover it should be enough to move it to August/September 2009?
In previous years this forum used to be active this time of the year but it is different this time. Hope to see some approvals and activity soon.
I am not an expert but with 14k total visas, I think that a date much beyond that should become current this year. Getting approved is a different story.
Great effort YT. Really appreciate it. I have a feeling at the end of this FY dates will be between Aug 2009 and Oct 2009.
I looked at approvals in 2014 and 2013...2015 q1 and q2 #s are def lower
assuming processing rates only increase nominally, there should be 15k + spill over, which goes to EB2 as most retrogressed (till it catches up with EB2 China)
I sure hope it happens that way. One thing or the other comes through for EB2I every year. But we need to be cautious at the same time .. dont count your chickens before they hatch.
YT, When do you expect next inventory build up for EB2-I based on 15k expected SO this FY?
My PD is Feb 2011. Do you think it will be with the start of next FY (oct-nov)?
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