I haven't posted any post for long time i.e. since June 2020.
Aim of this post is to create some awareness.
My advice to any person who are applying for new 485, I recommend to get it done before Oct 2nd 2020, if you miss that dead line then try to meet Oct 12th, if you miss the Oct 12th timeline then Oct 31st. (Why oct 2nd and Oct 11t, read USCIS news you will undersatnd.) (If you filed your Form I-485, Application to Register Permanent Residence or Adjust Status, after Feb. 24, 2020, you may be required to file Form I-944, Declaration of Self-Sufficiency. If we receive a Form I-485 before Oct. 13, 2020, that does not have all required forms and evidence, we will request any missing forms and evidence. After Oct. 13, 2020, we will reject your Form I-485 if you do not include the required forms and evidence with Form I-485 at the time of filing)
Coming to new Filing dates, I doubt these dates will last till Decemeber 2020. If not by next month dates might retrogress.
If US embassies around the world are opened then the GC consumption at the emabassies will be high, PHILIPPINES and MEXICO will consume more EB3 and South Korea will consume more at EB2/EB3 categories. These countries might consume close to 10K, these numbers are derived from previous years usage.
For Year 2021, there are 261K Visas avaliable for EB categeory and 226K Visas avaliable for FB categeory. 7% of these Visas it is close to 34k.
Close to 90K(Primary and dependents) EB1 Indians are eagerly waiting to apply, and No EB1 Indians has applied whose dates are beyond 2018 March. (Direct Source:-
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...2020_Q1_Q2.pdf)
Close to 300K applicants are eligible to apply under EB3 Indian Categoery. (Check Perm approvals from May 2011 to Jan 1st 2015 and mutiply by 2.5 numbers)
Close to 130K applicants under EB2 Indian Categoery. (Check Perm approvals and mutiply by 2)
If you have chance to apply 485 and if you miss this chance and if embassies opens up and embassies runs business as normal, it might take close to 10/15 years for these dates to become current again.
If you apply 485 in OCT, and your application might be tocuched sometime in March/April next year as the processing time for 485 application is minmun 6 months now it can go upto 9 months. You need to keep an eye how COVID is behaving around that time of the year and Also Economical and Political issues.
Many companies are trying to discourage to downgrade the applications, Please use every avaliable means/resources to apply 485 before OCT 2nd or OCT 12th or OCT 31st, but please try to apply AS FAST AS you can.
More Analysis to follow and will be flowing as I come with more analysis.