https://fcw.com/articles/2020/07/21/...enate.aspx?m=1
Furloughs!! not quite yet
Let's see!
https://fcw.com/articles/2020/07/21/...enate.aspx?m=1
Furloughs!! not quite yet
Let's see!
Coming back to the guesstimate game, since US consulate is closed in China do you think there could be a significant movement in FAD for EB2-I? Do you think EB1-I will be cleared for spillover to come to EB2-I?
looks like furloughs postponed
https://www.wcax.com/2020/07/24/leah...ghs-postponed/
If the agency is lying to its own employees about its financial situation, what all they must be lying about?Originally Posted by usvisas
Leahy did great. It is not a surprise he is a democrat. USCIS needs a complete overhaul of how they work. The buggers are still passing paper around and sucking the blood out of immigrants by charging sky high prices.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
I knew this coming. hahahah very funny that the blood sucking USCIS management being shown the correct funds not the deficit.
Leahy pivoting the deficits to surplus what a comedy of lying by USCIS to it's own people
They can't show a simple number, how many people with pending I-485 on quarterly basis, we can understand, how clue less this organization is.
There are countless such things with their process, no transparency.
The articles report "new revenue estimates that show the agency ending the fiscal year in a surplus". Still the furlough was only postponed by a month. Am I missing something here? or is it one of those conniving schemes being hatched by USCIS?
If my understanding is right, USCIS didn't say they are going to furlough all 13,000 employees on Aug 3,2020. They said, they will start furloughing 13,000 employees starting from Aug 3,2020.With Senate intervention, most likely FY 2020 will escape unscathed. The problem was not solved yet and likely in FY 2021 USCIS will face issues. The start of the FY2021 is barely 2 months away.
While it's good news for FY2020, the problem will only become bigger with perceived FB SO for FY2021. Hope they find a way to resolve this issue sooner or later.
I have my Employment based EB2-I I-485 pending with USCIS and I am currently on Parole status and have I94 validity until June 2021.
Questions:
1.How can i extend my Parole I-94 beyond June 2021 within US without traveling outside the country?
2.Where should I apply for Parole I-94 extension and How?
2.How soon i should i apply for Parole I-94 extension?
Come FY 2021 all the bloodsuckers would be hungry for $$ to open a flood gate bit to squeeze out some hard earned money from the beneficiaries
Don't worry this circus is endless and need some kind of intervention by POTUS or Law makers eg. Leahy to pivot numbers real way not the FAKE WAY
Guys, is there any news on FB spillover? Is there any bill which is trying to stop that? just want to confirm.
Also, if USCIS is trying to allocate SO to EB2 China, can we sue them?
Someone has posted the Check In With Charlie from the AILA site on Trackitt https://www.trackitt.com/usa-discuss...-july-21-2020/
Here's some of the more interesting parts:
but you can read the full text at the above link.Check-in with DOS s Charlie Oppenheim: July 21, 2020
General Observations
Given reduced processing capacity occasioned by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Department of State and USCIS are closely collaborating to maximize number usage for FY20, focusing on processing capacity and the applications that are capable of being finalized this fiscal year. There continues to be forward movement in all family-based preference categories and in most employment-based preference categories in August, with the exception of EB-2 India, EB-4 El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras and EB-4 Mexico, which hold at their July dates (July 8, 2009, April 1, 2017 and June 15, 2018 respectively). In particular, there is rapid advancement in the EB-1 and EB-3 categories. There is insufficient time for new I-485 filings resulting from these advancements to be processed to completion before the end of the fiscal year. These movements were instead motivated by a desire to convert pre-adjudicated demand at USCIS into immigrant visa issuance prior to October 1, 2020.
Processing capacity has been dramatically diminished at consular posts, and USCIS normally processes about eighty-five percent of the Employment-based immigrant visa numbers each fiscal year. Following imposition of final action dates on EB-1 China and EB-1 India, USCIS continued to process these applications, and in many cases, even conducted interviews before the pandemic hit. Thousands of these applications can potentially be finalized following a renewed security check and/or upon receipt of a medical exam, thus enabling the employment-based annual limits to be reached or approximated as closely as possible.
If a furlough of USCIS employees occurs as planned in early August, it could have a significant negative impact on the government s efforts to maximize immigrant visa number usage for FY20.
From EB1:
AILA members may notice that EB-1 China and EB-1 India now have the same final action date. This is because they have both reached their per country limits and are now utilizing otherwise unused numbers from the EB-1 category as well as numbers that have fallen up from otherwise unused EB-5 numbers. Otherwise unused numbers are available within the EB-1 category because the rest of world demand is currently insufficient to fully utilize numbers under the Worldwide limit this fiscal year. While there is still potential for forward movement in EB-1 China and EB-1 India in September, any advance movements are unlikely to be as dramatic as in August.
From EB2:
EB-2 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) remains current in August and will remain so through this fiscal year. EB-2 China advances approximately nine weeks from November 8, 2015 to January 15, 2016. In contrast, EB-2 India holds at July 8, 2009 in August. It is currently estimated that there is a sufficient amount of worldwide demand to reach or approximate the EB-2 annual limit for FY2020.
From EB3:
EB-3 Worldwide (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) and EB-3 Worldwide Other Workers (including El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, Mexico Philippines and Vietnam) continue to advance rapidly at the pace of almost one year in August from April 15, 2018 to April 1, 2019. This advancement includes over three thousand EB-3 Philippines applications which are eligible to be finalized.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Thank you Spec.
I think we might see slight EB2I and EB3I movement in Sep Bulletin. EB2I might see 3-4months FAD movement in Oct. Not sure about EB3I.
Does this mean they will use 25k spillover CO was mentioning earlier?
Last checkin, he said Eb2 wont use its full numbers, and now says there is sufficient worldwide demand. I dont consider any of these checkin predictions seriously now a days.
Someone on this forum recently shared an article where the Senate Appropriations Committee was making USCIS accountable for wastage of visas...and this month's check-in magically has no mention of the 25k wastage! Instead CO says there is enough worldwide demand for EB2I! I don't believe these check-in meetings anymore. There is no real value addition to predictions.Now EB2I will not move next month because there is enough ROW demand Vs maybe furlough/ processing issues. Same outcome, different reason!
Spec,
Thank you for your thoughtful, data driven, and most importantly pessimistic update as always!I am sure you had tremendous pleasure in highlighting those damned sentences! The show is over for this year. There will be very insignificant if any movement in EB India categories at all in September Visa bulletin. Let's hope for the best for the next year now! Well, we can't expect that hope from you after all. Looking forward to your another pessimistic update next month! Bring it on!! At least, it is good to know that they showed intention to use full quota for this year.
My PD is current.
I have my interview on July 27 and was just going over recent Charlie's check in. If there is no spillover to EB2-I since EB2 ROW is taking over all spillover, does that mean there are no more GC numbers available for EB2-I ? Just trying to make sense as my PD has been current and I'll be done with interview in next 3 days.
I hope there are still numbers available and I get my GC in next 2 to 3 weeks.
If all goes well, most likely you should be assigned a visa number at the end of you interview, and the case should move to approved status after the interview, and you should get the gc In a few weeks.
Best of luck for your interview.
vedu,Spec,
Thank you for your thoughtful, data driven, and most importantly pessimistic update as always!
I like your style!!!
For those not in on the joke of being the eternal pessimist, let me say I would equally have highlighted good news and been pleased to have been able to do so.
The reason I do highlight/underline passages is that, even when only posting excerpts, we seem to live in such a TLDR world, that I think it's helpful to draw attention to the salient points.
I generally don't tend to comment on information - rather I post what I believe to be interesting information and leave it to be interpreted by the reader.
I am genuinely baffled as to how the tone from CO can have changed so much in one month.
First, it's "EB will use at least 25k less than the allocation" and now he's saying EB2 will likely use its entire allocation (having previously also said EB3 will use its entire allocation). Additionally EB1 use by China and India is now using using up at least some of the EB1 total allocation.
At this point - I think I give up. We're no privy to what USCIS is telling him and that's probably at the root of any change. I can't divine what the truth is.
To put a positive spin on it - if these visas are indeed used by ROW in FY2020, then they won't have to come out of the FY2021 allocation.
Good luck everybody.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Yes, that's the only positive thing I see in this update. I am cautiously optimistic about the next year for both EB2I and EB3I candidates, at least for those with priority dates before April 30th, 2010. With all the chaos that happened this year, finally we will see the demand slowing down resulting in spillover. Also, there will be some meaningful spill across from FB to EB, even if not as high as people are expecting now. The filing dates in October bulletin will be first clear indication of how the next year is going to play out. If those dates won't show material forward movements at the beginning of the next year, then unfortunately all bets will be off.
Trackitt I-485 approval data:
Oct 2018 - June 2019 - 947
Oct 2019 - June 2020 - 517
For the coronavirus months, the approvals are half of what it was the previous year. I do not see how USCIS can use up all the quota. CO has magically changed the tune that there may not be wastage. Does not make any sense. Even if USCIS lies, is there anyway for us to know?
They do publish visa issuance data periodically. So that should eventually tell us if the quota was used.
By not mentioning 25k wastage, CO released whatever pressure congress can put on them. Even if they waste visas now, by the time people know about it, it will be too late to correct it.
I laugh why he got the wisdom of using pre-adjudicated cases in last two months? He could have used that wisdom starting from June bulletin rather than waiting till Aug bulletin.
Cases pre adjudicates in 2012 should be May 2010 for Eb2I and April 2010 for Eb3I. Long way away from those dates in 2020.
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