Id say start another congressional enquiry giving them the entire timeline.Originally Posted by gc_dec_2008
Id say start another congressional enquiry giving them the entire timeline.
Any idea on how much time does the USCIS gives to respond to an "Employment Verification Letter" RFE ?
Its the same for any RFE ~ 90 days
The 2015 Ombudsman Report has been published.
One interesting snippet of information is contained on page 66. This gives Details for I-140 receipts/Approvals for EB1 to EB4 (EB4 uses an I-360 rather than I-140). It's quite rare to get any I-140 information with this level of detail.
The FY2014 figures for EB3 don't look correct, so I have am only really looking at FY up to 2013.
Some highlights for FY2013:
EB1 Receipts - 20,258 (appears to increase to 22,874 in FY2014)
EB1 approval rate - 87-89%
EB2 Receipts - 46,720 (appears to increase to 63,644 in FY2014)
EB2 approval rate - 93-94%
EB3 Receipts - 4,617 (appears to decrease significantly from 10,926 in FY2012)
EB3 approval rate - 81%
The data also seem to confirm the rise in % of EB2 I-140 versus EB3 I-140.
Trying to adjust the figures for the different I-140 denial rates, the data seems to suggest the following EB2% approvals based on total EB2/EB3 receipts. This is something of a kludge figure, since the receipts and approvals are not the same applications. For trend purposes it is probably adequate.
% EB2 I-140 Approvals of Total EB2/EB3 Approvals
FY2009 - 53%
FY2010 - 67%
FY2011 - 73%
FY2012 - 83%
FY2013 - 92%
People upgrading earlier PD cases will tend to increase the %.
The data also seems to confirm a large increase in EB2 cases from FY10 onwards. I've used 2.05 applicants per approved I-140 and a 5% I-485 denial rate to calculate the figures:
Potential CP/Adjustment Cases for EB2
FY2009 - 35,092
FY2010 - 69,845
FY2011 - 88,021
FY2012 - 83,972
FY2013 - 85,528
Again, this is something of a kludge figure.
With EB2-I accounting for 55-60% of PERM cases, that gives some fairly scary potential numbers for later PD year EB2-I cases. Again, it's worth considering that many of the cases will actually have an earlier PD because they are upgrades from a previous EB3 case.
As ever, I urge you read the above using a large pinch of salt. The quality of the data is uncertain (even though it is the best we will likely see) and a certain amount of assumption is still required. I still hope people find it interesting, but don't over interpret my comments.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Spec, thanks for the analysis. I was curious about the denial rates, as they seem to be somewhat high and should have resulted in cut-off dates moving a little faster in all categories from everything else we know.
The report makes a statement about the denials, but I'm not sure I understood it. My own understanding is that the denial rates are high because approvals are only counted for petitions approved in a given fiscal year. Petitions filed but not approved in a given fiscal year are counted as denials, even though those petitions might be approved in the subsequent fiscal year. Did I understand this correctly, or is your understanding different from mine?
perestroika,
That is not my understanding.
Completions equals Approvals plus Denials i.e. cases that had a final adjudication result.
Completions in a FY are not the same cases that are received in the FY.
Cases filed in a FY but not completed would be classified as Pending. The Pending figure is not given in the data in the report.
At the end of Q2 FY2015, USCIS reported they had 36,117 I-140 cases Pending.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Today I received RFE notification on my and my wife's case with PD of May 2004 - EB3-I. Will wait for RFE details
Looks like CO heard you; you are being fast tracked! :-P Keep us posted!
Spec, thanks for clarifying. Now, that makes sense.
It's still staggering to see a 20% denial rate on new EB3 I-140 petitions. Do we know if these denials are proportional to the country chargeabilities, or are they primarily for India?
:-) should be. I should have done this long back !
Congratulations for getting one step closer to your GC! ( It is funny to congratulate for an RFE though).
On a side note looks like RFEs are being sent for EB3 I. There is one on trackitt with Aug 2004 EB3 I PD. One was reported with a June 2006 PD a week back.
I am hoping for big jump for EB3 I!
"Overall, I favor EB2-I ending FY2015 with a COD somewhere in Q4 2009"
Spec,
Do you still believe on this or changing your perspective in the first page prediction you have said?
Hi GCQ, is your case with Nebraska or Texas service center ?
Thanks
That's a great sign for EB3-I.
I think it is Nebraska. Originally sent to texas in 2007, but was transferred and receipted in Nebraska as part of workload balancing it seems.
http://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/f...04-01-2015.pdf
Much awaited ... I-485 pending inventory ....
Ignore if already posted.
I-485 inventory - where is the country wise data??
Don't know whats going on.
EB2I PD: 08/23/2010 | NBC : MSC21903****
I-485 RD: 10/28/2020 | ND: 12/08/2020 | FP: 03/02/2021 | Approved: 09/22/2021
I-485J ND: 08/11/2021 | Approved: 09/22/2021
I-693 RFE: 08/30/2021 (Fom local FO) - RFER 09/15/2021
I-765, I-131 RD: 12/18/2020 | FP: 03/15/2021 | Exp. Request 07/21/2021 - Humanitarian Reason (07/28/2021 - Assigned to officer) | Approval: pending
I-485 New card production: 9/18/2021
I-485 Approval: 9/22/2021
Green card mailed: 9/22/2021
Green card received : 9/24/2021
I always thought that the next inventory report is going to be useless.
You can still derive the per country data by assuming that pending inventory prior to 2010 is mostly belonging to India and the pending inventory in 2013/2014/2015 is mostly belonging to EB2-nonIC.
Shame on USCIS - they are actively working to keep things opaque.
First they release the data late. Then they hide the countrywise data.
On another note - comparing this with January inventory - it is clear that the inventory is increasing across the board - which is a bad sign for backlogged countries.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
I don't see the link on their regular website with other inventory reports. It shows Jan 2015 report on the top.
http://www.uscis.gov/green-card/gree...-485-inventory
I hope we did not hack into their files
Refresh your browser. Perhaps it's your browser.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Thanks Q. Yes it was by browser. I see it now.
GCQ,
Which service center was your I-485 applied at?
Thanks
gcvijay,
I also said:
PERM processing times did not increase, so that scenario has actually happened.Worldwide
Unless PERM processing time slow considerably, EB2-WW would generate sufficient demand to use their allocation in FY2015. FA to EB2-I would be limited. However, it seems very likely that PERM processing times will increase, allowing FA to EB2-I.
I'll be surprised if there is any further movement for EB2-I this FY.
Worldwide demand remains high and there still appears to be a lot of cases yet to be approved within the 01OCT08 EB2-I COD.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
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