I am not sure how 612 for FY2020 compare to FY2019, Is this number considered too high ?
I am not sure how 612 for FY2020 compare to FY2019, Is this number considered too high ?
It's about the same. FY 19 603 vs FY 20 612. They keep coming. All these were before Jan 1,2009. No one knows how many CP cases are pending still. It looks really scary to see all these demand for EB-3 India CP.Originally Posted by texas_
FY 20 CP numbers are on track to match FY 19 numbers. Unless EB3-India is assigned more than the regular quota, it's not going anywhere this FY 20.
This link makes it sound like there’s 20000+
CP immigrant visa applications pending in EB3-I before 11/2010. No idea if it’s true.
https://immigrationroad.com/green-ca...entory-nvc.php
Such report just lists that how many folks are awaiting GC via CP. Below is latest report from 2019, which lists India EB2 at 15k+ and EB3 at 20k+. If my knowledge is correct about CP process then what happens is post I-140 approval your application is sent to NVC which wait for dates to be current before your application is sent to consulate for Interview. This report list that particular wait-list which can be from 2009 till Nov 1st 2019. Now how this number are distributed that I have no idea. May be its even or top heavy i.e more in 2010s or bottom heavy i.e in past few yrs.
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2019.pdf
For me good data point is I-140 approval as both Eb2 and eb3 needs that approval. As per that report between 2008-2010, 48K I-140 were approved (2009+2010+ half of 2011) between Eb2 and Eb3. Lets round this up to 40K with assumption that duplicates with job change, both spouses in line resulting in 8k filing. If multiplier of 2.5 is applied then we are looking at 100K GC to clear till 2010.
2008 + half of 2009 is cleared from EB2 (approx 33k visa), EB3 (my guess says need 24k visa) is still going thru as dates were moved in past 1-1.5 years. We are in long haul to clear dates till 2010 for both eb2 and eb3
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...ry_FY09_19.pdf
PS: Not an expert, just taking a logical guess here in absence of other data.
EB3-I CP issuance for FY 2019 was 1676.
For FY 2020, issuance is occuring at the same rate.
If there is no spillover, then CP may consume approx 60% (~1700) of allocated numbers for FY 2020
Do Anyone has idea how the current Perm approval trend is compare to last year around the same time frame?
I used to check it on www.permchecker.com but it appears the data isn't updated since September 2019
Thanks
Thanks all and specially Q for keeping this site active and separate from biased opinions. Still keeping track on various issues
Finally Became US citizen in February month. GC in September 2014. Minneapolis, application to citizenship finished in about 7 months
Wow. Time flies. Many congratulations. I haven't yet summoned the courage to give up my Indian Passport. But I am getting there!! I am a minority in my house.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
April Bulletin out:
EB1I 01MAY15
EB2I 25MAY09
EB3I 22JAN09
EB-3 India is stagnant because of consistently high CP numbers month after month. With no SO from EB-3 ROW, this is not going anywhere.
I have stopped following the VB knowing there will be no movement! Depressing to say the least..
One thing is clear from Filing dates which hasn't changed since it was imposed, there is not much demand/filers left for EB2-I (7/1/09) and EB3-I (2/1/2010).
And Eb2I moved 3 days. Interesting part is those 3 days were Saturday, Sunday and Memorial Day.
< >
US Missions in India have cancelled all immigrant and non-immigrant visa appointments from Monday, March 16 onward until further notice.
What impact, if any, would COVID-19 have on EB2 date movement. Not being insensitive but just curious.
I believe EB3I CP numbers were about 1600 last year. Assuming that the virus shuts down CP for two months, we might see ([1600/12]*2 = 267) visas for AOS EB3I. Guesstimate. How it is going to affect overall demands? No idea. Situation is still fluid.
you are right. the main impact will be ROW CP, thats not utlized, and spills over to EB3 india. Also another likely impact will be Family based petitions, at go unused till september, and get added to EB for next year. Like everything else, this is difficult to predict, and only time will give the final answer.
ROW proably gets around 25-30 K visas..so if 10% of that goes unutilized, that would mean 2.5K-3K additional visas for india in each category, which could move the needle a bit.
I was curious about it too. I think there will be some impact of it directly and indirectly. There will be benefit of lower CP filing. Moreover, if this brings in recession, then likely reduce number of cases in EB1C category benefiting EB2 and EB3I. This will benefit for those who will weather the storm! Good luck to all.
The US consulates / embassies will be closed for a couple of months with no new visas being issued. We are almost at the very start of recession or perhaps already in one. There is also the family spillover that would need to be applied. How will this impact the EB2 / EB3 dates going forward? Can the gurus pitch in with their 0.02 cents?
Carl Shusterman's site published a Charlie update dated 20MAR2020.
EB1: The longer the Guangzhou, China post remains closed EB-5 numbers will fall up to EB1-I. There are 18,000 EB1-I already interviewed and ready to get visa numbers.
EB2: EB2 ROW remains current and he earlier predicted a PD around June 2020. Based on the anticipated slowdown in processing due to the coronavirus, Charlie expects that might not occur until late summer, if at all.
EB3: EB-3 number usage in FY20 has been robust, which caused the category to retrogress. As such, this category has already used a significant amount of its fiscal year allocation.
Shusterman's website link
I would think it is little too early to check the options with the country reeling with cases increase daily. We are now the 3rd highest in the world with this pandemic.
Anyone noticed that EB2ROW cases are getting approved without interviews? I think any chance of getting horizontal spillover is getting reduced.
I think the NSC behavior seems to be inconsistent. We had ours filed in the first week of Jan and were approved by third week of Feb and received documents.
There are currently 2 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 2 guests)
Posting Permissions
