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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #5401
    Quote Originally Posted by HarepathekaIntezar View Post
    Is it VB supposed to be released 3rd Friday?
    Few years ago CO said VB is just a courtesy thing that the agency is doing, otherwise they could publish wrong, revoke it anytime and not required to publish at all.
    or,
    DoS/USCIS may have found that some people are gaming the system using the VB, so they decided not publish it.

    could be one of it, free country and land of laws bro.

  2. #5402
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by HarepathekaIntezar View Post
    Is it VB supposed to be released 3rd Friday?
    DoS have until Oct 1,2019 to publish October 2019 Visa Bulletin. If they do it earlier, they're doing us a favor. There's no date or day before Oct 1,2019 that they have to oblige.

  3. #5403
    They will do whatever can make life of a legal immigrants difficult.

  4. #5404
    Quote Originally Posted by jimmys View Post
    DoS have until Oct 1,2019 to publish October 2019 Visa Bulletin. If they do it earlier, they're doing us a favor. There's no date or day before Oct 1,2019 that they have to oblige.
    Makes sense. I guess there is no benefit in releasing it early other than giving some extra lead time to the applicants to get their documents ready.

  5. #5405
    October visa bulletin out

    https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...ober-2019.html


    FAD

    Eb2 India-12th May 2009
    Eb3-India 1st January,2009
    Eb1-India-1st January,2015


    Employment First:

    WORLDWIDE: Up to three months

    China: Up to three months

    India: Little if any forward movement

    Employment Second:

    Worldwide: Current

    China: Up to two months

    India: Up to one week

    Employment Third:

    Worldwide: Current

    China: Little if any forward movement

    India: Little if any forward movement

    Mexico: Will remain at the Worldwide date

    Philippines: Up to several months

  6. #5406
    Quote Originally Posted by canada View Post
    October visa bulletin out
    EB1I FA -- 01JAN15 (Same dates as Jun19, Jul19 and Aug19 bulletins)
    EB2I FA -- 12MAY09 (+4 Days)
    EB3I FA -- 01JAN09 (Same days as Oct18 and Nov18 bulletins)
    If you remember, last year EB3I FA was gradually moved. Then it had one and two month movements before it briefly overtook EB2I. Nothing exciting. Everyone get back to work.

  7. #5407
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    Considering they moved filing dates by one month for EB2-I, I hope they accept filing dates. What do ya think?

  8. #5408
    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    EB1I FA -- 01JAN15 (Same dates as Jun19, Jul19 and Aug19 bulletins)
    EB2I FA -- 12MAY09 (+4 Days)
    EB3I FA -- 01JAN09 (Same days as Oct18 and Nov18 bulletins)
    If you remember, last year EB3I FA was gradually moved. Then it had one and two month movements before it briefly overtook EB2I. Nothing exciting. Everyone get back to work.
    Candidates who have EAD through 2012 movement under EB2 got their EAD who have PDs until March 2010. Now the EB3 filing dates were moved until february 2010. So there is no incentive for the EB2 candidates to downgrade. Only few people who did not get EAD and have the option to downgrade might consider it. So yeah nothing exciting... its just back to work until June 2020

  9. #5409
    Quote Originally Posted by canada View Post
    October visa bulletin out

    https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...ober-2019.html


    FAD

    Eb2 India-12th May 2009
    Eb3-India 1st January,2009
    Eb1-India-1st January,2015


    Employment First:

    WORLDWIDE: Up to three months

    China: Up to three months

    India: Little if any forward movement

    Employment Second:

    Worldwide: Current

    China: Up to two months

    India: Up to one week

    Employment Third:

    Worldwide: Current

    China: Little if any forward movement

    India: Little if any forward movement

    Mexico: Will remain at the Worldwide date

    Philippines: Up to several months
    Basically, both EB1I and EB3I are in bad shape. Wonder what happened to those predictions about EB3I zooming past EB2I.

    Iatiam

  10. #5410
    Quote Originally Posted by iatiam View Post
    Basically, both EB1I and EB3I are in bad shape. Wonder what happened to those predictions about EB3I zooming past EB2I.

    Iatiam
    Without all the information about Pending Inventory etc,. there is no point in predictions and analysis. If the dates are moving in leaps and bounds or not moving, we can make an informed opinion... so there is no point in believing, relying on these predictions... that's what I understood in the last few months

  11. #5411
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    Yay!!! Looks like they are accepting filing dates this time. Finally May 22, 2009. It's been a Long wait. I feel even to get EAD/AP I'll be lucky. Haven't traveled home for last 6 yrs. Every time I go out, I'm afraid of H1 interview. LOL

  12. #5412
    Quote Originally Posted by lville View Post
    Yay!!! Looks like they are accepting filing dates this time. Finally May 22, 2009. It's been a Long wait.
    Yep!!!!

    @Gurus : Mine is 9th July 2009. Please suggest if it is better to file in EB3-I or wait for EB2-I to move. Last year, I missed it thinking EB2-I would move and wasted one year.

  13. #5413
    Got a call from one my close friends (PD 2009 who already became a citizen last month) who was really excited for me that the immigration bill is going to pass tomorrow? Is this HR1044 in Senate now? I though it got blocked in Senate so did not pay too much attention. Are there any implications to EB2/EB3 predictions because of this?

  14. #5414
    Quote Originally Posted by IamGSN View Post
    Yep!!!!

    @Gurus : Mine is 9th July 2009. Please suggest if it is better to file in EB3-I or wait for EB2-I to move. Last year, I missed it thinking EB2-I would move and wasted one year.
    Without demand data info, nothing can be predicted for sure. If you already have an EAD I recommend stay put. Else you can downgrade and get the EAD.

  15. #5415
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by iatiam View Post
    Basically, both EB1I and EB3I are in bad shape. Wonder what happened to those predictions about EB3I zooming past EB2I.

    Iatiam
    At the start of FY 19, DoS was optimistic about horizontal spillover to EB3I. But that didn't happen due to spike in the EB3-ROW filings last spring. To add more misery, the consular processing numbers were much higher than the average. These two factors turned the start of FY 20 to be more realistic.

    With only 2800 visas at disposal, it's just a positive sign that it's back up to 2009. It all depends on how ROW demand shows up during the year. With only 2800 visas, I don't see EB3 going too far in this FY.

    I don't know if there are any unused FB visas that are coming to EB categories.

    EB3-Philippines was current for a month (and close to current for sometime as well) or so in last FY and it's now back to 2017. What happened?

  16. #5416
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    Since my EAD date is current, my lawyer sent me list of documents that I need to send him back. In there it says to complete form I-693.

    Here are my important questions:

    1: Does medical need to be done ASAP while EAD date is current or I can take my time with it and send it later ?

    2: Does anyone know any Docs in Seattle are that will be able to get me in quickly ? The closest one to my town said $1000 and wait for another month.

    Thank you

  17. #5417
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by lville View Post
    Since my EAD date is current, my lawyer sent me list of documents that I need to send him back. In there it says to complete form I-693.

    Here are my important questions:

    1: Does medical need to be done ASAP while EAD date is current or I can take my time with it and send it later ?

    2: Does anyone know any Docs in Seattle are that will be able to get me in quickly ? The closest one to my town said $1000 and wait for another month.

    Thank you
    1. You don't have to send in medicals with I-485. If you don't send in, you will get an RFE (A pink courtesy letter). You have to wait for your RFE before sending anything to USCIS. Then, you can either carry it while you're called for interview or send it as per the instructions in the letter.

  18. #5418
    Yoda
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    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    Got a call from one my close friends (PD 2009 who already became a citizen last month) who was really excited for me that the immigration bill is going to pass tomorrow? Is this HR1044 in Senate now? I though it got blocked in Senate so did not pay too much attention. Are there any implications to EB2/EB3 predictions because of this?
    look and follow the Bills and Rules thread

  19. #5419
    Why EB3 philippines gets more than 7% ? This year is those rules trigger for EB2/EB3 India to get more than 7% due to EB1 India retrogression, as EB1 India usage limited to 7%?

  20. #5420
    Because USCIS in its infinite wisdom interprets 7% rule across EB and FB and says they are underutilizing in FB and so allows them to overutilize in EB.
    Quote Originally Posted by akshaya8 View Post
    Why EB3 philippines gets more than 7% ? This year is those rules trigger for EB2/EB3 India to get more than 7% due to EB1 India retrogression, as EB1 India usage limited to 7%?
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  21. #5421
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    http://immigrationgirl.com/what-to-e...-begin-fy2020/

    I think all Indian categories are royally screwed.

  22. #5422
    I have a PD of 07/29/2009 India. I just successfully upgraded to EB1A with updated I-140 application. I am excited about next step for filing I-485 as I have never been able to file I-485 before. Dont ask me why. Looking at trackitt it seems 485 approval is taking close to a year. Its not clear to me if it is due to visas not being available or just administrative delays.

    Questions :

    1) How much time it takes to get an EAD after applying I-485 ?
    2) Is priority date being "current" a requirement for an interview to get scheduled ?
    3) How much time it takes to get an interview to get scheduled ?
    4) It seems if priority date is current for someone getting interviewed, time to GC is 2-4 weeks. Is this true ?
    5) Gurus - When do you see EB1 dates become unavailable ?

  23. #5423
    Quote Originally Posted by Airbender View Post
    I have a PD of 07/29/2009 India. I just successfully upgraded to EB1A with updated I-140 application. I am excited about next step for filing I-485 as I have never been able to file I-485 before. Dont ask me why. Looking at trackitt it seems 485 approval is taking close to a year. Its not clear to me if it is due to visas not being available or just administrative delays.

    Questions :

    1) How much time it takes to get an EAD after applying I-485 ?
    2) Is priority date being "current" a requirement for an interview to get scheduled ?
    3) How much time it takes to get an interview to get scheduled ?
    4) It seems if priority date is current for someone getting interviewed, time to GC is 2-4 weeks. Is this true ?
    5) Gurus - When do you see EB1 dates become unavailable ?
    < >

  24. #5424
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    Quote Originally Posted by Airbender View Post
    I have a PD of 07/29/2009 India. I just successfully upgraded to EB1A with updated I-140 application. I am excited about next step for filing I-485 as I have never been able to file I-485 before. Dont ask me why. Looking at trackitt it seems 485 approval is taking close to a year. Its not clear to me if it is due to visas not being available or just administrative delays.

    Questions :

    1) How much time it takes to get an EAD after applying I-485 ?
    2) Is priority date being "current" a requirement for an interview to get scheduled ?
    3) How much time it takes to get an interview to get scheduled ?
    4) It seems if priority date is current for someone getting interviewed, time to GC is 2-4 weeks. Is this true ?
    5) Gurus - When do you see EB1 dates become unavailable ?
    Good Questions! Same here. Now they are accepting filing dates and My PD is EB2-I May 22, 2009. Yesterday I sent all requested papers to my lawyer to file I-485. I know I don't have to do Medicals but I got it done Yesterday and waiting for the results. I was told by the Dr they will most likely sign the medicals next week and give it to me. They did not do any TB test. Is it now done by blood test ? Bcuz they took my blood and urine sample ? I just hope I'm not positive for TB. If positive then I'll have to go back for another tests and that will delay me sending medicals to Lawyer. I really want to send my file as complete as possible by end of next week so that they are able to file I-485 first/second week of October. My biggest worry is how long does it take to get EAD/AP. Most likely my PD should be current by Jan 2020.

  25. #5425
    TB test is done through blood test. You can submit the medical records during the interview, so its better to focus on I 485 application now.

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