Lately this blog has been quite. Experts are also missing from the scene. The purpose of this thread was to predict eb2 and eb3 movement instead everything's other than that is being discussed.
I like to ask Q and spec , with out pending inventory report can the movement be predicted?
Thats good to know. is it possible for you to share at which center your friend had filed the AOS? I am actually on the same boat as far as the PD and AOS filing with I140. TIAOriginally Posted by greenzone
In same boat myself , PD is March 2010 , never filed EAD , downgraded in Jan 2019(concurrent filing, NSC).
Got 140 approved in EB3, waiting for EAD approval.
Maybe this case is an exception rather than a norm ( will be happy to be proved wrong)
Wow. That's 3 downgrades in one page of this thread. Is this an indication of downgrade floodgates that are about to open?In same boat myself , PD is March 2010 , never filed EAD , downgraded in Jan 2019(concurrent filing, NSC).
Got 140 approved in EB3, waiting for EAD approval.
Maybe this case is an exception rather than a norm ( will be happy to be proved wrong
I'm in EB2 March 30th, 2010 PD and using EAD for my employment for the last 5 yrs. I dont have an option to downgrade but I'm very happy people getting out of EB2 queue LOL. I hope more people leave and get GC faster
I am following this blog since 2012. Spec, q and Matt2012 are the only names I recognize.
Spec and you are geniuses. In your calculation sheet With out pending inventory can EB2india and eb3india movement predicted?
swordfish start scanning this thread from the beginning and you will come across many more ... !
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Not trying to speak for others, but Spec and Q have answered your question a few times over the last couple of years. You can look at their posts in this very thread. There is no data to do micro-analysis and do short term predictions. Q still does macro-analysis via his venture. And Spec still posts data when he finds it. It is upto us to put in if else conditions to make the best out of that data.
Once you start using EAD it's very tough to downgrade/upgrade right? Please confirm. I believe I heard from Attorney that it's not advisable. Clarification will help me in estimating Dates movement.I'm in EB2 March 30th, 2010 PD and using EAD for my employment for the last 5 yrs. I dont have an option to downgrade but I'm very happy people getting out of EB2 queue LOL. I hope more people leave and get GC faster
Experts please clarify
I have PD in third week of May 2009. Just received notice that my supplement J was approved. I am reading this as, they touched my application.
Any correlation between this and 485 approval? or is this the another case of getting medical RFE and building expectations on priority date movements?
If you have used EAD to change your job/employer, then it is harder to upgrade/downgrade as a new PERM/I-140 is needed from your current employer. If your employer supports it, then I don't think it's a problem per se .. more of a long drawn out process (12 - 18 months). But if your GC is more than 2 years away based on current processing times, then it may be worth the effort.
FWIW, my employer was supportive, but the attorney believes EB2I will move faster (with no data to support that view) and nixed a new PERM process.
Do consult with the attorney and ask why it is not advisable.
While it is a positive development It essentially means your supplement J has satisfied the job portability test and the case is clear to proceed. I had a Supplement J filed in Oct 18 as a response to an RFE which also included medical. I noticed that my I 485 had a date update when that happened. After that no news. My PD is Jun 19 2009. Hope data moves. or ill have to adopt the name 'elevenyearsgone' . lolI have PD in third week of May 2009. Just received notice that my supplement J was approved. I am reading this as, they touched my application.
Any correlation between this and 485 approval? or is this the another case of getting medical RFE and building expectations on priority date movements?
EB-2 I Priority Date - 06/19/2009 I-485 Filed - 10/2015
.. ten years were gone a long time back. Never thought I would hit a new "tenyearsgone" milestone with PD 2009.
Came across this : https://immfinews.com/june-visa-bull...lie-oppenheim/
Is it authentic? I haven't seen this one Murthy or AILA sites.
I have not seen this update anywhere else but if its true then it is indeed very depressing. I am surprised to read that EB3I dates are expected to hold until September. Wow! What about spill overs? Do we really have so many downgrades / demand? We are in a black hole...
EB-1 India: It is not going to advance for this Fiscal Year
EB-3 India: July 1, 2009 Final Action date should hold for another month in the July Visa Bulletin.
EB-2 India: It is expected to continue to advance slowly, in days or up to a week at a time.
The silver lining is that EB2ROW will be current for the rest of the FY and may give some SO. Also it looks like the impact of downgrading will not be visible this FY. Also wondering what impact would be of EB3P becoming current.
Iatiam
Hi Mavarick - Can you please share the link for original post on any news site?
Wondering what would be the impact of the following next FY,
1. EB3 Philippines becoming current
2. Potential FB spillover
Can someone comment? @aceman
Iatiam
For those interested, a more comprehensive report of the "Check in with Charlie" has been posted on the Shusterman website.
https://www.shusterman.com/visa-bulletin-predictions/
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
EB2 I is going to move again .. I am all confused !!!!
This sounds like weather prediction in India. It may or may not rain. In all fairness, if EB2ROW is current, why wouldn't it yield spillover?
Iatiam
Also we all know that RAPID is 2 weeks movement as opposed to 1 week....
By past experiences, Charlie is known to provide hopes to EB-I to keep them positive few months at a time. Just a little bit of news is good enough for us to remain optimistic. I think he cares for us. /sarcasm.Also we all know that RAPID is 2 weeks movement as opposed to 1 week
Thanks Spec!
When would we know if there is a chance of spillover from FB (if at all
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