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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #5001
    Quote Originally Posted by paramjit74 View Post
    Experts - need your advice.

    My priority date is June 2009. I have an approved EB3 140 from 2011 and ported that date to EB2 140 approved in 2013 with the same company. I filed 485 in 2015 based on EB2 filing dates. I am no longer with that company.

    Now my date is current under EB3 but not under EB2. Can I request USCIS to use my EB3 140 for my 485. If yes what is the procedure and is there any risk in doing so?
    You should be on a phone call with a Lawyer right now.

  2. #5002
    Quote Originally Posted by techastro View Post
    Congrats on your GC !! Did you receive any RFE this year?

    I am on April 28, 2009 and have EAD and I got one very good job offer that pays 75% more than what I am getting right now. I have an approved 485J from last year. But I am wondering if I receive one more RFE with Sup J my new employer may not provide. Confused !!

    waiting is probably better, not sure how they will know that you changed jobs. But I replied my i485J last year. nothing this year. But NSC is processing fast after being current.

    Here are my dates

    5/1 - current
    5/2 - mobile notification
    5/5-approval notice
    5/8- GC in mailbox

  3. #5003
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    You should be on a phone call with a Lawyer right now.
    One lawyer I talked to just now actually advised me not to do it as "they are 2 different jobs"

  4. #5004
    Freshman
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    Quote Originally Posted by cursedguy View Post
    waiting is probably better, not sure how they will know that you changed jobs. But I replied my i485J last year. nothing this year. But NSC is processing fast after being current.

    Here are my dates

    5/1 - current
    5/2 - mobile notification
    5/5-approval notice
    5/8- GC in mailbox
    Thanks.Looking at your timelines you are not “cursedguy”, you are “blessedguy”.

    Happy for your GC and enjoy the green life. Our waiting still continues...

  5. #5005

  6. #5006
    Does EB1C require one in last 3 years in managerial role outside US before filing I-140 or I-485? If it's I-485 then future for EB1C looks bleak, it's already retrogressed to 2015 and in future the cut off date could be at least 3 years away from being current if the current demand sustains.

  7. #5007
    Quote Originally Posted by canada View Post
    I am August 2009 and I am now not even sure for the entire FY 2020 looking the way the visa bulletin is progressing.Hate to say this but you might be lucky in FY 2021
    Thank you for your comments. nobody seems to have looked at my question properly, my question was on good lawyers for i485. Regarding the date it could be next FY or the next after, i understand. or the filing date could become current next year. If anyone can suggest lawyers for i485, i would appreciate.

  8. #5008
    Very minimal movement both in EB2 & EB3 for May 2019.

    EB2 moved by 4 days ( 12 april 2009 to 16 april 2009)
    Eb3 moved by 8 days ( 22 june 2009 to 01 july 2009)

    https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...-may-2019.html

  9. #5009
    Quote Originally Posted by harapatta View Post
    Very minimal movement both in EB2 & EB3 for May 2019.

    EB2 moved by 4 days ( 12 april 2009 to 16 april 2009)
    Eb3 moved by 8 days ( 22 june 2009 to 01 july 2009)

    https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...-may-2019.html
    Good Morning! Would you like any cream or sugar with your coffee?

  10. #5010
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/stuartanderson/2019/05/16/trump-immigration-plan-may-throw-4-million-people-off-immigrant-waiting-lists/#15bcd1f96943

    Trump Immigration Plan May Throw 4 Million People Off Immigrant Waiting Lists
    “Immigrants in the green card backlog would lose their place in line and would need to apply under the new point-based system,” according to an analysis from Berry Appleman & Leiden. “The White House has said people who are currently waiting for green cards will receive additional points, but no specifics have been released.” This was confirmed by Donald Trump’s May 16, 2019, speech, in which he stated that all current family and employment-based preference categories would be eliminated and replaced by new “Build America” visas awarded by points.

  11. #5011
    Guru
    Join Date
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    CO has mentioned that all countries in family 2a categories will be current from July to September 2019. This is likely to be due to low demand ad consumption of less visasthan that are available for the current FY. May have implications for spillover

  12. #5012
    Quote Originally Posted by 16v100bhp View Post
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/stuartanderson/2019/05/16/trump-immigration-plan-may-throw-4-million-people-off-immigrant-waiting-lists/#15bcd1f96943

    Trump Immigration Plan May Throw 4 Million People Off Immigrant Waiting Lists
    “Immigrants in the green card backlog would lose their place in line and would need to apply under the new point-based system,” according to an analysis from Berry Appleman & Leiden. “The White House has said people who are currently waiting for green cards will receive additional points, but no specifics have been released.” This was confirmed by Donald Trump’s May 16, 2019, speech, in which he stated that all current family and employment-based preference categories would be eliminated and replaced by new “Build America” visas awarded by points.
    My 2c. The same firm (BAL) told privately to clients that there is no chance of this new immigration law passing as the house is controlled by the democrats.

  13. #5013
    Quote Originally Posted by GCdreamz View Post
    Good point Aceman. Hope Philippines get Current soon and stop consuming Rest of the World Spill Over. More likely Next FY they will consume very very less SO. Just hoping.
    One problem I see with the advancement with Philippines is the June 2019 filers (June 18 - 1st November 18) will have no chance to utilize their visa numbers in FY 19 due to the interview mandate. In fact this might result in some spillover to EB3 I which can push the final dates to 1st October 2009.

  14. #5014
    April Consular Processing of the AOS.

    Here is the 2019 April DOS data.


    China India Mexico Philippines South Korea Vietnam ROW-SK-VET Total
    EB1 59 19 00 00 17 00 104 199
    EB2 12 06 02 20 64 04 168 276
    EB3 025 179 054 336 027 013 518 1152
    EB4 03 07 14 09 07 00 202 242
    EB5 533 104 020 001 187 116 437 1398
    Total 632 315 090 366 302 133 1429 3267


    Compared to the previous month, EB5 went up by 1167, China, South Korea and VET visas went up. India also went up.

    Overall Eb5 utilization is 4K

    On the other hand Family-based is slowing down, compared to the previous year to the same period, it is 16k less.

  15. #5015
    My priority date is jan 2011 in EB3 India. When can I expect to apply for EAD.

  16. #5016
    My priority date is Jan, 2011 eb3-I. When can I expect applying for EAD. Thanks

  17. #5017
    Quote Originally Posted by Dukeldh View Post
    My priority date is Jan, 2011 eb3-I. When can I expect applying for EAD. Thanks
    Based on current trends, you will be lucky if you get a chance in a decade.

  18. #5018
    Quote Originally Posted by redsox2009 View Post
    April Consular Processing of the AOS.

    Here is the 2019 April DOS data.


    China India Mexico Philippines South Korea Vietnam ROW-SK-VET Total
    EB1 59 19 00 00 17 00 104 199
    EB2 12 06 02 20 64 04 168 276
    EB3 025 179 054 336 027 013 518 1152
    EB4 03 07 14 09 07 00 202 242
    EB5 533 104 020 001 187 116 437 1398
    Total 632 315 090 366 302 133 1429 3267


    Compared to the previous month, EB5 went up by 1167, China, South Korea and VET visas went up. India also went up.

    Overall Eb5 utilization is 4K

    On the other hand Family-based is slowing down, compared to the previous year to the same period, it is 16k less.
    The slowing down of family based is indeed good news. Looks like the administration policies to slow down family based immigration is indeed working. Some spillover from FB, even if it is a few thousands visas will definitely help EB2I and EB3I

  19. #5019
    Yoda
    Join Date
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    Location
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dukeldh View Post
    My priority date is Jan, 2011 eb3-I. When can I expect applying for EAD. Thanks
    I would expect the end of next year at the latest when you will be able to apply for EAD. When you will get your GC however is a different matter.

  20. #5020
    Quote Originally Posted by Dukeldh View Post
    My priority date is Jan, 2011 eb3-I. When can I expect applying for EAD. Thanks
    Currently the DF for EB3I is 01APR10. Typically USCIS allows "DF" dates in the first quarter or month (October to Dec). It all depends on spillover and "FA" date movement for EB3I. You might need to wait till end of this fiscal year to guess the "DF" movement. It might be 2-3 years down the road for you.

  21. #5021
    My friend's EB2 priority date is in March 2010. He is an FTE and didnt file 485 when the dates were current in 2012. He filed a new i140 for EB3 and 485 in Dec 2018. His 140 is approved and got EAD for one year. He got an interview scheduled notification last week. Yet to receive the actual notice with date. Is this a positive sign that FAD dates might move for EB3I in last quarter? Of course dates may get retrogressed in the first quarter of next fiscal year .

  22. #5022
    Quote Originally Posted by greenzone View Post
    My friend's EB2 priority date is in March 2010. He is an FTE and didnt file 485 when the dates were current in 2012. He filed a new i140 for EB3 and 485 in Dec 2018. His 140 is approved and got EAD for one year. He got an interview scheduled notification last week. Yet to receive the actual notice with date. Is this a positive sign that FAD dates might move for EB3I in last quarter? Of course dates may get retrogressed in the first quarter of next fiscal year .
    That is indeed great news about your friend, which field office (city/state) is his interview? USCIS can schedule an interview without the FAD being current in the near future, it can depend on the field office workload and their current (ever changing) policies .

  23. #5023
    Quote Originally Posted by waitingsoldier View Post
    That is indeed great news about your friend, which field office (city/state) is his interview? USCIS can schedule an interview without the FAD being current in the near future, it can depend on the field office workload and their current (ever changing) policies .
    He lives in New Jersey

  24. #5024
    Charlie Oppenheim of the U.S. Department of State has announced that the EB-3 category for Filipino nurses and other professionals will be become current in July 2019 and will stay current all summer long.

  25. #5025
    Has anyone calculated how many approvals eb2i received this year per trackitt Data?

    This will give us a good idea of how many GCs are left for this year.

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