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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #4726
    Sophomore
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    Quote Originally Posted by swordfish380 View Post
    Pardon my ignorance, based on this report DOS has ißued 800 GCs to EB2i? If this is correct then EB2i has 2000 GCs to receive ?
    This is the total EB visas issued to India by DOS in all categories in the current FY.

  2. #4727
    Quote Originally Posted by bikenlalan View Post
    This is the total EB visas issued to India by DOS in all categories in the current FY.
    it is mearly nothing . So there should be significant movement in all EB india categories? Does this number include consular processing Visas as well?

  3. #4728
    check this out, https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eA...&RIN=1615-AC22 so they are going to publish quality demand data going forward.

    I think removing the concurrent filing brings the frivolous filings down across the board, which is a good sign.

  4. #4729
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raj0687 View Post
    check this out, https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eA...&RIN=1615-AC22 so they are going to publish quality demand data going forward.

    I think removing the concurrent filing brings the frivolous filings down across the board, which is a good sign.
    Not sure the chances of this rule happening but if it happens, this is bad news for downgraders as they can’t do concurrent filing

  5. #4730
    Newly Revealed Statistics Show USCIS Quietly Nibbling Away at the H-1B Program

    https://cis.org/North/Newly-Revealed...ay-H1B-Program

  6. #4731
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    here is an update from CO on Murthy

    https://www.murthy.com/2019/03/04/ma...stly-stagnant/

    Not very encouraging.

  7. #4732
    Quote Originally Posted by mcmilers View Post
    here is an update from CO on Murthy

    https://www.murthy.com/2019/03/04/ma...stly-stagnant/

    Not very encouraging.
    Looks like EB1 will be retrogressed forever with no chances of getting current in the near future.

    Does CO believe that EB3I also needs to be retrogressed behind EB2I due to downporting. I am guessing it

  8. #4733
    This does not look good where many of us were hoping to see EB3I final action dates reach the filing dates of April 2010 by the end of this fiscal year. CO talked about "up to 3 month movement in every bulletin until May" not so long ago, wonder what changed .

  9. #4734
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by waitingsoldier View Post
    This does not look good where many of us were hoping to see EB3I final action dates reach the filing dates of April 2010 by the end of this fiscal year. CO talked about "up to 3 month movement in every bulletin until May" not so long ago, wonder what changed .
    EB-3 I PDs in early part of 2009 are getting interview scheduled as of March, 2019. There are 6 more bulletins remain in this FY. I think EB-3 India Final Action dates may easily reach at least Oct 1,2009 by end of this FY. It may be a stretch to reach April 2010 for EB-3 but most of the 2009 will be done for EB-3 I by this FY. Fears of down porting for the first half of 2009 is overestimated.

  10. #4735
    Quote Originally Posted by jimmys View Post
    EB-3 I PDs in early part of 2009 are getting interview scheduled as of March, 2019. There are 6 more bulletins remain in this FY. I think EB-3 India Final Action dates may easily reach at least Oct 1,2009 by end of this FY. It may be a stretch to reach April 2010 for EB-3 but most of the 2009 will be done for EB-3 I by this FY. Fears of down porting for the first half of 2009 is overestimated.
    Thank you @jimmys! My priority date is December 2009, hoping for a miracle this calendar year

  11. #4736
    I do receive client alerts from another immigration law firm and the estimate mentioned for EB3I is 0-3 months, which is the same as it was in the Feb Bulletin. I think the coming bulletin might provide more insight. At this point we can all only provide guesstimates.

  12. #4737
    Quote Originally Posted by jimmys View Post
    EB-3 I PDs in early part of 2009 are getting interview scheduled as of March, 2019. There are 6 more bulletins remain in this FY. I think EB-3 India Final Action dates may easily reach at least Oct 1,2009 by end of this FY. It may be a stretch to reach April 2010 for EB-3 but most of the 2009 will be done for EB-3 I by this FY. Fears of down porting for the first half of 2009 is overestimated.
    It may end up too little, too late for EB3I. While I don't wish it, this FY EB3****isas might be wasted. I don't think CO or USCIS has any insight in to actual demand in field offices. Correct me if I am wrong - I think on average it takes 8-months to schedule an interview in a field office.

    Iatiam

  13. #4738

    Thank You All

    All,
    I would like to express my sincere Thanks to everyone in this forum, who has provided tremendous support throughout the journey. We received GC on Feb28,2019. Here is the detail.

    PD: 03/25, NSC
    I-485 File : Sep,2014(Missed in 2012)
    Date became Current : Oct 1, 2018
    SR : Raised 2 SR for myself (Nov18, and Dec 23) - Case approved on Jan 28, though not for spouse. Raised 2 SR for spouse(Jan 19, Feb4) and case approved on Feb19.
    Both Card Received on - Feb28.

    Once again Thanks a lot All and Good Luck !!!

  14. #4739
    I have my EAD though the AOS that I filed in 2012 for a PD of Dec 2009 as an Individual Contrbutor (Senior MTS) . I am talking to a company for a "Senior engineering Manager" position . The lawyers seem to be OK saying that its fine to move into a managerial role as it is on the tech side and not Product Management/Marketing . Just wanted to know if others have done that .
    thanks .

  15. #4740
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by iatiam View Post
    It may end up too little, too late for EB3I. While I don't wish it, this FY EB3****isas might be wasted. I don't think CO or USCIS has any insight in to actual demand in field offices. Correct me if I am wrong - I think on average it takes 8-months to schedule an interview in a field office.

    Iatiam
    I don't know about 8-months delay to schedule an interview. Are you talking about people have to wait 8 months after their dates becoming current? But I saw a few cases interview scheduled which were filed in October,2018. I even saw a case in trackitt which got I-485 approved that filed in Aug,2018.

  16. #4741

    Congrats!!

    Quote Originally Posted by arc1202 View Post
    All,
    I would like to express my sincere Thanks to everyone in this forum, who has provided tremendous support throughout the journey. We received GC on Feb28,2019. Here is the detail.

    PD: 03/25, NSC
    I-485 File : Sep,2014(Missed in 2012)
    Date became Current : Oct 1, 2018
    SR : Raised 2 SR for myself (Nov18, and Dec 23) - Case approved on Jan 28, though not for spouse. Raised 2 SR for spouse(Jan 19, Feb4) and case approved on Feb19.
    Both Card Received on - Feb28.

    Once again Thanks a lot All and Good Luck !!!
    Congrats on your green card.

  17. #4742
    confused situation!

    my pd is 3/25/09 eb2-i. received rfe on 5/22/18 and rfer 6/7/18 with company A. I have accepted an offer in 11/18 with company B and working for them since then and didn't submit updated supp-j as I thought I would get GC by then.
    1. do you guys think if it is a good idea to submit sup-j now?
    2. will there be any rejection if i dont submit my new sup-j?
    I have started talks with my current employer regarding sup-j.
    EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009

  18. #4743
    Quote Originally Posted by EB2-03252009 View Post
    confused situation!

    my pd is 3/25/09 eb2-i. received rfe on 5/22/18 and rfer 6/7/18 with company A. I have accepted an offer in 11/18 with company B and working for them since then and didn't submit updated supp-j as I thought I would get GC by then.
    1. do you guys think if it is a good idea to submit sup-j now?
    2. will there be any rejection if i dont submit my new sup-j?
    I have started talks with my current employer regarding sup-j.
    If you get a rfe for sup j then submit it.

  19. #4744
    Quote Originally Posted by swordfish380 View Post
    If you get a rfe for sup j then submit it.
    Thanks for the reply, spoke to my company A attorney, she said if I intent to work for company A after getting GC for atleast 6 months then I am good else I need to apply for Sup-J.
    EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009

  20. #4745
    Quote Originally Posted by jimmys View Post
    EB-3 I PDs in early part of 2009 are getting interview scheduled as of March, 2019. There are 6 more bulletins remain in this FY. I think EB-3 India Final Action dates may easily reach at least Oct 1,2009 by end of this FY. It may be a stretch to reach April 2010 for EB-3 but most of the 2009 will be done for EB-3 I by this FY. Fears of down porting for the first half of 2009 is overestimated.
    The date movement last month was slow for EB3. There is little possibility like last April for a good Eb3 final date movement. Compared to 20 months back when Eb3 was stuck in March 2005 for a long time, any movement is good.

  21. #4746
    Yoda
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    Apr bulletin is out:

    https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...pril-2019.html

    3 days movement for EB2I and 1 month for EB3I
    Looks like more of an approach to stop downporting

  22. #4747
    Quote Originally Posted by srimurthy View Post
    Apr bulletin is out:

    https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...pril-2019.html

    3 days movement for EB2I and 1 month for EB3I
    Looks like more of an approach to stop downporting
    So... holding on EB2I date stops down porting?

  23. #4748
    Yoda
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raj0687 View Post
    So... holding on EB2I date stops down porting?
    No, the EB3I dates not progressing much and staying close to the dates of EB2I means less down porting.
    Say if the EB3I dates are moved to Apr'10, or later you see a lot more down porting just my thoughts.

  24. #4749
    Spillover not applied, right? Guessing it’ll be applied in the last quarter so July bulletin?

  25. #4750
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    Slowly moving EB2-I, they might be tempting the Apr-May-June 09 folks to jump the queue to EB-3 rather than advancing EB-3 I further ahead and letting folks with later PD to jump.

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