EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[bones20]

Just put it in excel...do a formula for 180+receipt date..join the next day!

Thats comes to 04/27/2021. Thank you!

[ak7419]

Does anyone know if USCIS has to request visa for those applications that were filed in 2012? Also, does anyone know if USCIS makes these requests on a per-application basis or do they get a monthly quota? I understand this year is an exception and we have few extra available for employment-based applications. Is USCIS requesting visa on a lumpsum basis or monthly basis this year?

I came across this FAQ: https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...ull=1#post2091

[Moveon]

Yes - the current job is no less than jail. Counting days - literally !

I know that feeling @bones20. But just play it safe , its just a day more .
Best of luck and hope your new job/group is less stressful and lets you grow .

[incredible]

I know that feeling @bones20. But just play it safe , its just a day more .
Best of luck and hope your new job/group is less stressful and lets you grow .

Or if you have any vacation days left over, you could take it for the last week or so and then leave.

[1312011_eb2I]

Hi Friends,
I was thinking about EAD and GC. Technically, purpose of EAD is to provide employment authorization while you are waiting for GC and if you don?t get GC within 6 months then you can continue using EAD. If this is the case then we all should get EAD before filing date + 180 days. Correct me if I am wrong fundamentally.

[qesehmk]

Thats comes to 04/27/2021. Thank you!

@bones20 - I will say keep on good terms with your prior boss as you leave. Leave on nice terms even though you may have a volcano boiling inside. If nothing else, it will build your inner character in a way that will help your future career. All the best.

[android09]

Yes - the current job is no less than jail. Counting days - literally !

All the best fellow traveler. As others have said, dont burn the bridges on the way out. While all of us can understand the frustrations, give yourself some legal space and not be tied to that 180 number unless absolutely critical. There is not a big difference between 180 and 185 or 190.

[LeoAugust]

Thanks. Not sure though I understand:
Oct: 3 days
Nov: 30
Dec: 31
Jan: 31
Feb: 28
March: 31
Total: 154

So you need another 26 days in April. So a start date of 04/27 would honor the 180 day pending period, no?

yes 180 calendar days from RD.

[bones20]

@bones20 - I will say keep on good terms with your prior boss as you leave. Leave on nice terms even though you may have a volcano boiling inside. If nothing else, it will build your inner character in a way that will help your future career. All the best.

All the best fellow traveler. As others have said, dont burn the bridges on the way out. While all of us can understand the frustrations, give yourself some legal space and not be tied to that 180 number unless absolutely critical. There is not a big difference between 180 and 185 or 190.

yes 180 calendar days from RD.

Thanks! Absolutely. I have no problems with my manager - we get along well. So no question of burning bridges. The job itself is bit of a rut we got into due to a reorg.

[AceMan]

EB Approvals

- Country --- EB1 ----- EB2 ----- EB3 ----- EB4 ---- EB5 ---- Total
CHINA ----- 4,766 --- 3,118 --- 3,499 ----- 256 -- 1,564 --- 13,203
INDIA ---- 17,014 --- 2,599 --- 3,194 ----- 734 ---- 613 --- 24,154
MEXICO ---- 1,413 --- 1,613 --- 3,796 ----- 906 ----- 47 ---- 7,775
PHIL. ------- 271 --- 1,079 --- 3,411 ----- 236 ------ 9 ---- 5,006
ROW ------ 23,739 -- 34,718 -- 28,921 --- 8,274 -- 1,363 --- 97,015

TOTAL ---- 47,203 -- 43,127 -- 42,821 -- 10,406 -- 3,596 -- 147,153

They missed only about 9000 visas overall.

[bones20]

They missed only about 9000 visas overall.

Dont we have 261.5k visa available Fy20? 5.2k for each eb1,2,3-India?

[asankaran]

They missed only about 9000 visas overall.

EB2 India didn't even get full quota of 2800 visa. What a shame, forget about spill over!!

[AceMan]

Dont we have 261.5k visa available Fy20? 5.2k for each eb1,2,3-India?

EB2 India didn't even get full quota of 2800 visa. What a shame, forget about spill over!!

Those people would have downgraded and were given GC in EB3. You can see the Eb3 numbers it is more than 2803. Eb3-ROW was backlogged from February 2020.

Eb1 does not need any more visas this FY as they are current.

[LeoAugust]

Those people would have downgraded and were given GC in EB3. You can see the Eb3 numbers it is more than 2803. Eb3-ROW was backlogged from February 2020.

Eb1 does not need any more visas this FY as they are current.

For FY21 there was 121K SO. Can we see the impact on EB2/3I in next report? It is very demoralizing looking at this report.

[ak7419]

Those people would have downgraded and were given GC in EB3. You can see the Eb3 numbers it is more than 2803. Eb3-ROW was backlogged from February 2020.

Eb1 does not need any more visas this FY as they are current.

Aceman, are you saying that for example, EB2I candidates like me who filed in 2012 and waiting to get an RFE from TSC, were already given/assigned visa number?

[AceMan]

Aceman, are you saying that for example, EB2I candidates like me who filed in 2012 and waiting to get an RFE from TSC, were already given/assigned visa number?

No, you are waiting for the visa number. You don't have one yet.
What I am proposing as a theory is people who downgraded from EB2 and got their GC in EB3 during the FY 2020 appears to be the key for missing numbers 2803-2599 = 204. It can also include people who may have upgraded to Eb1 as well. Nothing concrete to present it as an irrefutable fact.

[ak7419]

No, you are waiting for the visa number. You don't have one yet.
What I am proposing as a theory is people who downgraded from EB2 and got their GC in EB3 during the FY 2020 appears to be the key for missing numbers 2803-2599 = 204. It can also include people who may have upgraded to Eb1 as well. Nothing concrete to present it as an irrefutable fact.

Thanks Aceman. Can you please clarify something for me? When you say I am waiting for visa number - does USCIS request this visa number when they blow the dust from my file or do they request monthly quota of visa numbers?

[android09]

Thanks Aceman. Can you please clarify something for me? When you say I am waiting for visa number - does USCIS request this visa number when they blow the dust from my file or do they request monthly quota of visa numbers?

AceMan and others can confirm, but from what I have learned, the adjudicating officer after completion of the I-485 interview, requests the number from the system. Only when they are ready to approve the case.

[Moveon]

AceMan and others can confirm, but from what I have learned, the adjudicating officer after completion of the I-485 interview, requests the number from the system. Only when they are ready to approve the case.

Yes think of it as an account into which Visa numbers are added . This year the admin decided to SO early in the year rather than wait till the last Quarter so the account has many visas. This account is based on ROW , India , China etc. After all the process is completed the officer requests for a number and if there is/are numbers left in the account for the primary and dependents it will be assigned and the case moves to approved and the card(s) is issued . Else Its Pre-adjudicated and will lead to a faster process when the account is refilled .
That is why you need to respond to the RFE ASAP. I feel bad for the TX Service Center folks as they are getting penalized for no fault of theirs. People way behind them (I included ) have filed their RFEs and some even getting GCs with Nov 2009 PDs, while they wait for their RFEs with PD in September. Now if Visa numbers get exhausted in the coming months people with earlier PDs need to wait for the next fiscal SO. its a double whammy for these folks. First Screwed by Country quota and then having been assigned to TX Service Center. Wishing them luck , I hope the system corrects in the coming weeks.

[nbk1976]

I received a response to the Supp-J as "i485j confirmation of bona fide job offer or request for job portability sec 204(j)" . Notice Type : "Receipt Notice Fee Waived" .
Looks like they will send the actual response to the Supp-J soon.
We had responded to the RFEs in Jan for the Supplement-J and Medicals .

Any idea on what that means for the Processing of our application, our Dec 2009 dates went current this month.

If you have responded to the RFEs and you are current now, it should not take more than 30 days for them to approve your application. That has been the pattern.

Which is your service center?

[nbk1976]

AceMan and others can confirm, but from what I have learned, the adjudicating officer after completion of the I-485 interview, requests the number from the system. Only when they are ready to approve the case.

Are interviews being held for all AOS applicants? I thought that they are interviewing only folks that filed after March 6, 2017.

[skpanda]

Thanks! Absolutely. I have no problems with my manager - we get along well. So no question of burning bridges. The job itself is bit of a rut we got into due to a reorg.

You have put up for so many years, my suggestion would be wait atleast a week extra just to be sure and avoid borderline concerns and possible flags for the USCIS adjudicator.

Good luck!

[Moveon]

Are interviews being held for all AOS applicants? I thought that they are interviewing only folks that filed after March 6, 2017.

From what I read , they are not calling any of the 2012 filers for interviews. Even post 2017 are getting exemption .

[Moveon]

If you have responded to the RFEs and you are current now, it should not take more than 30 days for them to approve your application. That has been the pattern.

Which is your service center?

Thanks . I am at NSC .

[ak7419]

Yes think of it as an account into which Visa numbers are added . This year the admin decided to SO early in the year rather than wait till the last Quarter so the account has many visas. This account is based on ROW , India , China etc. After all the process is completed the officer requests for a number and if there is/are numbers left in the account for the primary and dependents it will be assigned and the case moves to approved and the card(s) is issued . Else Its Pre-adjudicated and will lead to a faster process when the account is refilled .
That is why you need to respond to the RFE ASAP. I feel bad for the TX Service Center folks as they are getting penalized for no fault of theirs. People way behind them (I included ) have filed their RFEs and some even getting GCs with Nov 2009 PDs, while they wait for their RFEs with PD in September. Now if Visa numbers get exhausted in the coming months people with earlier PDs need to wait for the next fiscal SO. its a double whammy for these folks. First Screwed by Country quota and then having been assigned to TX Service Center. Wishing them luck , I hope the system corrects in the coming weeks.

Hi @Moveon - I don't want to offend anyone and everyone deserves GC as it is not a privilege. My question is, do you think there is a possibility that folks who filed/downgraded in October and if they are current right now, they have better possibility of getting a GC than folks who are stuck at TSC since 2012? Is it because downgraded folks' applications are low-hanging fruit? They don't need medicals, 485J etc and interviews are also getting exempted - is that the reason?