My guess (could be a wild one) is that with Bidens announcement of immigration reform in first 100 days USCIS is expecting increased work load in Q4. As a result they may move away from the conservative Q4 spillover model. The only anecdotal evidence I have is the increase in RFEs in the low hanging cases. On Trackitt i have noticed a spurt of RFEs for folks who have one or two items missing in their file. It appears that there could be a push to increase the files reviewed count and if that is the case then FAD should move quickly.