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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

  1. #2176
    Quote Originally Posted by 19YRSNOGC View Post
    Saw an Approval for Dec9 2009 on the first day of the being current in telegram group.
    Which group.. can you ping me the group link ..Thank you

  2. #2177
    Quote Originally Posted by YTeleven View Post
    Hi Jonty,

    Good that you downgraded to EB3 even you missed the current date by just 5 days.
    I was strongly advocating for downgrade in this forum for several years before covid.
    I do support of your decision of premium processing for I140 now.
    Based on my predictions your date will get current (FAD) in EB3I by end of this year so it is better to be ahead in the race by clearing the I140.
    Thank you, YTeleven. I appreciate your prompt response. I will reach out to my attorney and push him for premium processing.

    Thanks again.

  3. #2178
    Quote Originally Posted by Jonty Rhodes View Post
    Quick question regarding premiums processing of downgrade I-140.

    My PD is May 20, 2011, in EB2. I missed my date by 5 days. So I downgraded to EB3 in late October 2020. I have received I-485/I-765 and I-131 notices so far. My case status shows fingerprint fee received but I haven't got any biometrics appointment yet.

    Based on the movement of PDs in the visa bulletin and future predicted movement, do you guys recommend updating the EB3 I-140 for premium processing at this time?

    If the dates move in EB3 beyond my PD, I don't want to have a pending I-140 at that time and I am thinking that updating to premium processing makes sense but I am worried about an RFE and then further delays with possible rejection for some reason. Also if the dates are definitely not gonna move then I can wait. But just wanted to have some clarity regarding this from you guys.

    I am a physician with the same employer for last 10 years. So my case is very straightforward. But my attorney is very conservative and usually very reluctant to do anything that's even remotly aggressive.
    I am just amazed Jonty physicians have the same priority. Well ... what can you do? Good news is, you will be greened quickly now. Godspeed.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  4. #2179
    https://www.uscis.gov/about-us/a-day...-life-of-uscis
    No mention of interviews USCIS Canceled conducting interviews now a days after Biden took over.?

  5. #2180
    Quote Originally Posted by texas_ View Post
    https://www.uscis.gov/about-us/a-day...-life-of-uscis
    No mention of interviews USCIS Canceled conducting interviews now a days after Biden took over.?
    Interesting nugget from the site - USCIS Receive 50,000 phone calls to our toll-free phone line and more than 150,000 inquiries and service requests via online accounts and digital self-help tool

    I?m willing to bet half of those calls and the Emma digital requests were made by folks who?s date became current in Oct 2020

  6. #2181
    Sophomore
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    Mar 2020
    Location
    frisco
    Posts
    24
    tried to send you details,got error
    https://t.me/joinchat/XfTsBhwvW4YyODU5
    PD: EB2I 24 Dec 2009,EAD/AP 1/7/21

  7. #2182
    Sophomore
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    Mar 2020
    Location
    frisco
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    Quote Originally Posted by mesan123 View Post
    Which group.. can you ping me the group link ..Thank you
    https://t.me/joinchat/XfTsBhwvW4YyODU5
    PD: EB2I 24 Dec 2009,EAD/AP 1/7/21

  8. #2183
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Quote Originally Posted by Jonty Rhodes View Post
    If the dates move in EB3 beyond my PD, I don't want to have a pending I-140 at that time and I am thinking that updating to premium processing makes sense but I am worried about an RFE and then further delays with possible rejection for some reason. Also if the dates are definitely not gonna move then I can wait. But just wanted to have some clarity regarding this from you guys.
    Prediction of PD is anyone's best guess so I cannot help you there. While there is a good chance of PD movement you most definitely cannot take it to the bank. As far as RFE's/rejections are concerned think of it this way, How does it help your case to get an RFE/rejection a year from now (in normal processing) because Premium does not change the result of your case.

  9. #2184
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    I am just amazed Jonty physicians have the same priority. Well ... what can you do? Good news is, you will be greened quickly now. Godspeed.
    Thanks, Q. Yes, almost all physicians also qualify under EB2 only. There are estimates that approximately 15,000-20,000 Indian physicians across the US are currently backlogged. Some of them may have upgraded eventually to EB1A or EB1B but that percentage remains smaller overall. Most physicians post-2014 are on J1 visa (since there are fewer and fewer training programs that offer H1Bs) and are doing their J1 waiver jobs and the newer ones are still in training. In my midsize town only, I know at least 30 Indian Physicians who are backlogged. I have at least 2011 date so have some hope. But I have talked to some physicians who are graduates with their PDs in 2016-2017. They have absolutely no hopes of getting a green card in the next 15-20 years.

  10. #2185
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    Prediction of PD is anyone's best guess so I cannot help you there. While there is a good chance of PD movement you most definitely cannot take it to the bank. As far as RFE's/rejections are concerned think of it this way, How does it help your case to get an RFE/rejection a year from now (in normal processing) because Premium does not change the result of your case.
    I agree and that makes sense. If there is a rejection, I would rather know now than find out a year later. As I have said, I am personally leaning towards upgrading to premium. I will contact my attorney.

    Thanks for your input.

  11. #2186
    Quote Originally Posted by YTeleven View Post
    Hi Jonty,

    Based on my predictions your date will get current (FAD) in EB3I by end of this year so it is better to be ahead in the race by clearing the I140.
    I have a different take on this. With the embassies closed now, Eb2 has the potential to go past May 2011 by July bulletin.
    PD: EB3-I 24 Feb-2011
    I-485, I-765, I-131 applied : 26 OCT 2020 BIOMETRICS : 19 MAR 21 RFE : 13 APR 21 RFER : 14 MAY 21 EAD APPROVED : 17 JULY 21
    I-485 Interview and Approval : 15 DEC 21 CARD Received : 23 DEC 21

  12. #2187
    Friends, Any idea on which/why I-485 applications go to Missouri Service Center(National Benefits Center). I'm from Dallas and my I-485 application was sent to USCIS, Lewisville, Texas drop box.

    PD: EB2 India, Sep 2010

    Thanks!

  13. #2188
    Quote Originally Posted by AceMan View Post
    I have a different take on this. With the embassies closed now, Eb2 has the potential to go past May 2011 by July bulletin.
    Really? Would DoS and USCIS really move dates beyond the FA of May-15, 2011 for the financial year? Or are you speculating for EB3I ? What gives ?

  14. #2189
    Quote Originally Posted by maverick2010 View Post
    Friends, Any idea on which/why I-485 applications go to Missouri Service Center(National Benefits Center). I'm from Dallas and my I-485 application was sent to USCIS, Lewisville, Texas drop box.

    PD: EB2 India, Sep 2010

    Thanks!
    They do this as part of load sharing between service centers.

    https://www.aila.org/infonet/uscis-a...load-transfers
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  15. #2190
    Sophomore
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    Sep 2020
    Location
    Michigan
    Posts
    44
    Finally received my EAD.

    PRIMARY APPLICANT
    PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
    485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
    485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
    765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
    Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
    Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021 (Grand Rapids Mi ASC)
    Combo card Approval update: 02/12/2021
    Card Received : 02/27/2021



    SPOUSE Status
    PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
    485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
    485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
    765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
    Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
    Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021
    Case closed update : 02/12/2021 No Approval
    Customer service opened Ticket : 02/17/2021


    Spouse needed an EAD to restart her job which she lost because of her H4EAD being still in process. Vermont center will not reuse 1-765 finger prints for H4EAD .. Ridiculous!!

    Thanks to All the Gurus ( @qesehmk, @Idliman, @VSivarama and others.... ) for being a voice of reason for me all this years when frustrated with the process.

    no on to next phase .....

  16. #2191
    Quote Originally Posted by android09 View Post
    Really? Would DoS and USCIS really move dates beyond the FA of May-15, 2011 for the financial year? Or are you speculating for EB3I ? What gives ?
    Why not? EB1 filing date was September 2020 at the start of FY. The final dates is already at August 2020 within 5 months, and will be current in the next bulletin. It is the start of 3rd quarter and where do you expect the spill over to go? EB3? Do not accuse me of the EB3 bias here as this person has date beyond May 15 2011 which is after my February 2011 PD.

    We got more than 3 months movement for March bulletin. If we get a 4+ month movement for the next 3 bulletins which is highly possible with EB1 current and no additional demand from anywhere, the final dates would be at May 15th 2011 at the beginning of the 4th quarter of this FY.

    I am not sure why people cannot see this, rather obsessed with downgrading, adding premium, filing more 485. All these steps make your lawyer rich and you get a feel of doing something with nothing in return.
    PD: EB3-I 24 Feb-2011
    I-485, I-765, I-131 applied : 26 OCT 2020 BIOMETRICS : 19 MAR 21 RFE : 13 APR 21 RFER : 14 MAY 21 EAD APPROVED : 17 JULY 21
    I-485 Interview and Approval : 15 DEC 21 CARD Received : 23 DEC 21

  17. #2192
    Quote Originally Posted by android09 View Post
    Really? Would DoS and USCIS really move dates beyond the FA of May-15, 2011 for the financial year? Or are you speculating for EB3I ? What gives ?
    If USCIS becomes extremely efficient starting now and tries to not waste the spill over numbers, then.....Will it happen? too many variables in this equation to draw conclusion at this point Anything is possible though...

  18. #2193
    Sophomore
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    Jan 2019
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mgajsk View Post
    Finally received my EAD.

    PRIMARY APPLICANT
    PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
    485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
    485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
    765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
    Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
    Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021 (Grand Rapids Mi ASC)
    Combo card Approval update: 02/12/2021
    Card Received : 02/27/2021



    SPOUSE Status
    PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
    485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
    485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
    765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
    Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
    Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021
    Case closed update : 02/12/2021 No Approval
    Customer service opened Ticket : 02/17/2021


    Spouse needed an EAD to restart her job which she lost because of her H4EAD being still in process. Vermont center will not reuse 1-765 finger prints for H4EAD .. Ridiculous!!

    Thanks to All the Gurus ( @qesehmk, @Idliman, @VSivarama and others.... ) for being a voice of reason for me all this years when frustrated with the process.

    no on to next phase .....
    Why no EAD approval for spouse? Did you check why? And H4EAD doesn?t need fingerprints. I am in same situation as you. I am waiting for biometrics for 485 and H4EAD is in progress at Vermont. H4 is approved

  19. #2194
    Quote Originally Posted by maverick2010 View Post
    If USCIS becomes extremely efficient starting now and tries to not waste the spill over numbers, then.....Will it happen? too many variables in this equation to draw conclusion at this point Anything is possible though...
    You can take this info with a grain of salt, but there are multiple EB2-I Oct/Nov 2009 folks on trackitt who got their I-485s approved yesterday, the first day they got current. So there is some hope if you can believe these posts.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  20. #2195
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    Sep 2020
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    Michigan
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    Quote Originally Posted by EB32010 View Post
    Why no EAD approval for spouse? Did you check why? And H4EAD doesn?t need fingerprints. I am in same situation as you. I am waiting for biometrics for 485 and H4EAD is in progress at Vermont. H4 is approved
    We called 1800 number. They said they send it back to NBC center and us a ticket number. we were informed to expect a call in 15 days. Otherwise call again.
    PD: 03/2011 (EB2-I) RD: 10/19/20 ND: 11/ 11 /20 BM: 01/12/21 EAD/AP :02/16/21

  21. #2196
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    You can take this info with a grain of salt, but there are multiple EB2-I Oct/Nov 2009 folks on trackitt who got their I-485s approved yesterday, the first day they got current. So there is some hope if you can believe these posts.
    One of my old coworker/friend who downgraded in 2018 to EB3 with a November 09 PD, got his I-485 approved yesterday. He had a prior EB3, got EB2 when he changed jobs, and he downgraded couple of years back.

    It might be a coincidence, he has been current in EB3 for 5 months, he did not get his GC, but got his 485 approved on the first day EB2 got current.

    I am not ready to brag on my theory of USCIS ignoring the downgrades for GC with a single case.
    PD: EB3-I 24 Feb-2011
    I-485, I-765, I-131 applied : 26 OCT 2020 BIOMETRICS : 19 MAR 21 RFE : 13 APR 21 RFER : 14 MAY 21 EAD APPROVED : 17 JULY 21
    I-485 Interview and Approval : 15 DEC 21 CARD Received : 23 DEC 21

  22. #2197
    Sophomore
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    Jan 2019
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mgajsk View Post
    We called 1800 number. They said they send it back to NBC center and us a ticket number. we were informed to expect a call in 15 days. Otherwise call again.
    Thank you and pls keep us posted on the development.

    And thank you Q for providing this site for all of us. It?s incredibly helpful.

  23. #2198
    Sophomore
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    Mar 2019
    Location
    Ohio, USA
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    Quote Originally Posted by texas_ View Post
    https://www.uscis.gov/about-us/a-day...-life-of-uscis
    No mention of interviews USCIS Canceled conducting interviews now a days after Biden took over.?
    Where does the interviews take place? ASC? If yes, below is the only mention of them.
    * Fingerprint and photograph 10,000 people at 131 application support centers.
    PD:OCT 2011 EB3-I
    485,765,131 Filed: Oct 20 2020
    485 Receipt notice date: Nov 16 2020 NBC
    Biometric notice received: 2/05/2021
    Biometric appointment: 02/19/2021

  24. #2199
    Quote Originally Posted by EB32010 View Post
    thank you Q for providing this site for all of us. It?s incredibly helpful.
    It's really a community effort by people who are expert as well as helpful !
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  25. #2200
    All,

    Latest I-140 data below - please ignore if someone already posted

    Approved Employment-Based Petitions Awaiting Visa Availability:
    https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...2020_Q1_Q2.pdf


    Number of Petitions and Approval Status By Fiscal Year Received
    https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...ry_FY09_19.pdf

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