EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[may2011]

In trackitt I see people with PD of Aug 2010 EB2 and May 2011 EB2, who filed in October getting medical RFE. This is a positive indication but we can’t tell for sure unless more people get the RFE.

May2011 getting RFEs? That's too good to be true.Lets wait and see

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

May2011 getting RFEs? That's too good to be true.Lets wait and see

Could be something, could be nothing...

https://twitter.com/gsiskind/status/1364040361954275329

Greg Siskind
@gsiskind
Once again, the Visa Bulletin is very late. I have heard from someone in a position to know that there is something major coming in the bulletin, but I don't know what exactly. Only that it would be very good. So stay tuned. If I'm wrong, we'll know soon.

[ImmiAlien]

Indeed great new. Eb2 moved to 15 Jan 2010.

[bangaloreboy]

Mar 2021 VB out
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...arch-2021.html

[bangaloreboy]

EB2I FA date 15JAN10
EB3I FA Date 01JUL10

[incredible]

Mar 2021 VB out
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...arch-2021.html

This is by far a very good visa bulletin for FAD after October, 2020. Hoping that they started to use the spill over. This also explains a lot of RFE's of late.

[mitul75]

This is good news indeed. Funny that in the last bulletin they had predicted only 2 weeks of movement till May.

[AceMan]

Mar 2021 VB out
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...arch-2021.html

Finally moved Eb3 got to move past May 2010 after Eb2 reaching there more than 9 years back.

[incredible]

This is good news indeed. Funny that in the last bulletin they had predicted only 2 weeks of movement till May.

That comment probably was from the last administration. New administration's first real visa bulletin definitely looks much better

[goracer]

EB2I FA date 15JAN10
EB3I FA Date 01JUL10

That's great and first positive movement since October...congrats to all who got current...

[smuggymba]

EB2I FA date 15JAN10
EB3I FA Date 01JUL10

Mine is March 30, 2010....so hopefully I can get greened by end of year (fingers crossed)

[Moveon]

That comment probably was from the last administration. New administration's first real visa bulletin definitely looks much better

Splendid news! The new administration has delivered in its very first bulletin helping legal immigrants. I suppose a lot us mailing our members of congress to move dates did bear fruit . Thanks everyone who mailed your members , keep the pressure by thanking them for their help and requesting that they make sure the USCIS issues every single green card for the deserving legal immigrants who contribute so much for the US economy . Best of luck , Lets hope the FA dates moves to 2011 by the last quarter and interviews are exempt . We have been here for well over 10 years , they have enough history about us .

[incredible]

Splendid news! The new administration has delivered in its very first bulletin helping legal immigrants. I suppose a lot us mailing our members of congress to move dates did bear fruit . Thanks everyone who mailed your members , keep the pressure by thanking them for their help and requesting that they make sure the USCIS issues every single green card for the deserving legal immigrants who contribute so much for the US economy . Best of luck , Lets hope the FA dates moves to 2011 by the last quarter and interviews are exempt . We have been here for well over 10 years , they have enough history about us .

Agree. They know everything about us already. My PD is 02/01 and have to respond to medical RFE. I will be sending the packet next week. Hopefully the date becomes current in the next month or two and not delay thereafter with RFE already responded. Keeping fingers crossed !!!

[Zenzone]

Splendid news! The new administration has delivered in its very first bulletin helping legal immigrants. I suppose a lot us mailing our members of congress to move dates did bear fruit . Thanks everyone who mailed your members , keep the pressure by thanking them for their help and requesting that they make sure the USCIS issues every single green card for the deserving legal immigrants who contribute so much for the US economy . Best of luck , Lets hope the FA dates moves to 2011 by the last quarter and interviews are exempt . We have been here for well over 10 years , they have enough history about us .

That's great news indeed. I hope they waive interviews more as a norm than exception and get the line moving and keep overall wastage to an acceptable minimum by the end of this fiscal!

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Congrats to all those who became current! Siskind definitely seems to have some insiders and came through this time...

[march272010]

Mine 27 March 2010 got rfe yestereday they just asking medicals as they expired when filed for RFE back in 2018

[vsivarama]

As expected USCIS did the opposite of their movement projection. This has been happening quite a bit of late. I am glad that at least there is a method to USCIS madness!! Anyone with PD May 01/10 - Jul 01/10 getting GC in next few weeks would be a very positive sign as they filed for AOS in Oct 2020.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Now all the second guessing by EB2 folks with PDs from May 2010-Jul 2010 who did not downgrade will start! The reality is that likely EB3 will slow down some time because of the downgrades and EB2 will catch up. If they are determined to move EB2 FAD until May 2011 by the September bulletin, they will have to move it by 3 months every bulletin which they just started, so it could be a good sign. So we could see mid-April 2010 by April and mid-July 2010 in May VB.

[bluelabel]

My PD is 02 March 2010, need to reply RFE next week. Hopefully it will be current next month.

[phkb2020]

Has anyone with post 2010 priority dates with pending application at TSC received any RFEs ?
Mine is Feb 2010 priority date, applied with TSC in 2012. Not a single RFE till now.

[ak7419]

I don't want to be a debbie downer but how is USCIS going to process all these applications? I am EB2 Sep 2009 and I have not received any RFE yet and there are hundreds of folks like me. I am just confused..

[Justmyself]

Any predictions on future movements for EB3I? It does look like EB2I might have a good year. With EB1 almost current and lot of EB3 downgrades past May 2010, the future looks good for EB2I. Is EB3I expected to reach May 2011 this FY? Any thoughts?

[skpanda]

Any predictions on future movements for EB3I? It does look like EB2I might have a good year. With EB1 almost current and lot of EB3 downgrades past May 2010, the future looks good for EB2I. Is EB3I expected to reach May 2011 this FY? Any thoughts?

My prediction - This year I feel that EB3I will always be ahead of EB2I atleast by 6 months. Next year onwards.. downgrades will catch up and they should go hand in hand.

Anybody with PD >= May 2010 should consider downgrading.
Anybody with PD >= Jan 2011 should seriously think of downgrading. If not, there is a chance of GC in hand moved by years.

[texas_]

Mine 27 March 2010 got rfe yestereday they just asking medicals as they expired when filed for RFE back in 2018

Is your PD of 27 March 2010 from EB2 or EB3 ?

[19YRSNOGC]

Became Current for 2nd time after 10 years. Replied to RFE regarding Marriage certificate and Birth certificate.