EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[gcconnect]

Basically, American immigration system is based on family reunification and the needs of employers. Needs of the employers cannot be fulfilled without employee family which is again Children.
On a broader view employment category is developed based on the employer’s requirements in different skills that are valuable to the U.S. economy. Immigration system view is different than us who are in different category lines. They don't care who got in which employment category, as the main objective is the diversity and economy.
I know so many people who does not even know GC process got GC long back. I was also under the same impression that it will come one day. Decade waiting makes me slowly getting into the things around GC and understanding people jumping lines to see the Heaven. people catch anything when drowning, that may be others leg. Cant blame it.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Need advise on how to address this correction of the i-485 application for derivative applicant.
the date of birth for on the parent is entered wrong (entered marriage date instead of birth date). we recently (last month) filed the application and waiting for receipt notice. wondering how to address this correction.

https://www.nolo.com/legal-encyclope...orrect-it.html

[vsivarama]

On a broader view employment category is developed based on the employer’s requirements in different skills that are valuable to the U.S. economy. Immigration system view is different than us who are in different category lines. They don't care who got in which employment category, as the main objective is the diversity and economy.

Here is the biggest problem with this. EB is only 14-15% of American immigration system. The Rest is based on diversity anyway, so not sure what diversity is going to achieve in employment based category, and why family members should count as recipients of EB numbers. I agree that US has the right to decide which immigrants should be prioritized based on occupations or needs of the country (doctors, nurses, scientists). But then to discriminate within the occupations based on country of birth is like trying to plant your hands firmly on the scales and force a winner. You never get innovation (the best and the brightest) by forcing an outcome devoid of logic.

[AceMan]

Basically, American immigration system is based on family reunification and the needs of employers. Needs of the employers cannot be fulfilled without employee family which is again Children.
On a broader view employment category is developed based on the employer’s requirements in different skills that are valuable to the U.S. economy. Immigration system view is different than us who are in different category lines. They don't care who got in which employment category, as the main objective is the diversity and economy.
I know so many people who does not even know GC process got GC long back. I was also under the same impression that it will come one day. Decade waiting makes me slowly getting into the things around GC and understanding people jumping lines to see the Heaven. people catch anything when drowning, that may be others leg. Cant blame it.

You have hit the nail on the head. American immigration was always on family and the diversity it brings into this country. EB based immigration was created only in 90’s and this was heavily influenced by family based. The 2001 incidents ripped out any possible increase in the number of immigrants which has already been set.

In the big scheme of things these line jumpings does not even matter as they are legit. People who are waiting in this nonsense queue will catch anything to pick them from drowning in the quick sand.

[mesan123]

Hi All, if anyone not received receipt notices, I came to know that uscis chat will give 485 receipt no. Is this true

Yes. If your checks are cashed. I got it like that, before i got my physical reciepts home. I used A # to get reciept numbers.

[inspired_p]

i have it on my I-485 reciept notice

Maybe because mine was filed concurrently - there was no priority date mentioned on the 85 receipt notice. That is only plausible reason I can think of.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Maybe because mine was filed concurrently - there was no priority date mentioned on the 85 receipt notice. That is only plausible reason I can think of.

I filed normal EB2. Priority date was indicated only on my I-485 filing receipt, not on the other 5 receipts.

[skpanda]

Yes. If your checks are cashed. I got it like that, before i got my physical reciepts home. I used A # to get reciept numbers.

Was there a live person in the chat? If yes, what options did you choose to get it?

I am chatting with a bot and it just says

You will have to wait for your receipt number to arrive in the mail, or be sent to you electronically if you filed G-1145 along with your application/petition. If it has been more than 30 days since you submitted your application/petition and you have not received your receipt notice, please check to make sure your payment was cashed by USCIS.

If your payment was not cashed, your application/petition might have been lost in the mail or rejected by the Lockbox for some reason. Please email the Lockbox at lockboxsupport@uscis.dhs.gov to inquire about your application/petition.

If your payment was cashed, please call the USCIS Contact Center at 1-800-375-5283 or 1-800-767-1833 (TTY).

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Was there a live person in the chat? If yes, what options did you choose to get it?

I am chatting with a bot and it just says

You will have to wait for your receipt number to arrive in the mail, or be sent to you electronically if you filed G-1145 along with your application/petition. If it has been more than 30 days since you submitted your application/petition and you have not received your receipt notice, please check to make sure your payment was cashed by USCIS.

If your payment was not cashed, your application/petition might have been lost in the mail or rejected by the Lockbox for some reason. Please email the Lockbox at lockboxsupport@uscis.dhs.gov to inquire about your application/petition.

If your payment was cashed, please call the USCIS Contact Center at 1-800-375-5283 or 1-800-767-1833 (TTY).

Depending on the chat volume, they do that periodically. You just have to keep trying periodically. You could also try calling the number. If your A-number has not changed, then you may be able to get your receipt numbers. If it has changed, they will not be able to pull it up unless they have a way to pull up the updated A number using your name, dob and address.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...mber-2020.html

Oof they pulled back EB3 filing dates by a year!!

[idliman]

Dec 2020 VB is out.
EB1 FA - 01APR19 -> + 121 days
EB1 DF - 01NOV20 -> + 61 days

EB2 FA - 01OCT09 -> + 9 days
EB2 DF - 15MAY11 -> No Change

EB3 FA - 15MAR10 -> + 14 day
EB3 DF - 01JAN14 -> - 365 days

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

The massive Eb2-EB3 downgrades are already having an effect. Wonder how long they are going to keep inching EB2 FAD like this?!

[Zenzone]

The massive Eb2-EB3 downgrades are already having an effect. Wonder how long they are going to keep inching EB2 FAD like this?!

I bet not too long...once they receipt the applications filed, things should start moving. Plus the change in admin.

[Sebiswaiting]

I did anticipate filing date to retrogress..
But I was also hoping that FAD moves ahead, it seems really odd that FAD moved in few days inspite of the huge spillover. I can think of only two reasons - 1. interference, 2. And/or manpower

I feel eb2 FAD should move my 4 months, considering they expects it to reach FD my sept21. EB3 is still tricky as they still won't have clear numbers of downgrade, but I think EB3 FAd should move by 3.5 months.
They might still consider FD for December, but more and more I look at numbers and downgrade news , I feel FD for EB3 might be moved up to mid of 2014 as precaution.
By end of December, with reciepts/rejection trend, and possibly CO's insight, we get clearer picture.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

I bet not too long...once they receipt the applications filed, things should start moving. Plus the change in admin.

February bulletin is one to watch out for Inauguration is Jan 20 which is Wed. Maybe they will open the FAD floodgates that Fri as a welcome present.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

I did anticipate filing date to retrogress..
But I was also hoping that FAD moves ahead, it seems really odd that FAD moved in few days inspite of the huge spillover. I can think of only two reasons - 1. interference, 2. And/or manpower

The obvious point being made after every bulletin still stands: why not move EB2 FAD to May 1, 2010 where it was 8 years back. Give those people who have all documents filed their GCs. I don't follow trackitt but looks like there have not been any medical RFEs either, so no idea why they are sitting on their hands.

[EB2IndSep09]

Not sure how they are planning to complete the quota of Q1 by not moving dates? Hope there is not going to be any wastage which is a disservice.

[vsivarama]

Are they focusing/diverting all their energy on collecting applications and will divert them to processing applications starting Q2? At least it will be encouraging if the continue to accept DF.

[Noesis]

3 Bulletins are out and this simply shows that they would be wasting the visas; this admin is doing everything they can to torture the already frustrated community.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Are they focusing/diverting all their energy on collecting applications and will divert them to processing applications starting Q2? At least it will be encouraging if the continue to accept DF.

Will be interesting to know if USCIS is going to accept FD or FAD. If they think they have enough applications to process and stop accepting FD, maybe that will be a trigger to start moving FADs.

[longwaitgigu]

Every bulletin we expect our dates would move and we give Hopes to others saying next bulletin should be good for indians
My prediction is both eb2 and eb3 will be somewhere in Q1 of 2011 by end of September 2021
I dont expect any huge movements for eb3 like 2012 or 2013

[inspired_p]

Dec 2020 VB is out.
EB1 FA - 01APR19 -> + 121 days
EB1 DF - 01NOV20 -> + 61 days

EB2 FA - 01OCT09 -> + 9 days
EB2 DF - 15MAY11 -> No Change

EB3 FA - 15MAR10 -> + 14 day
EB3 DF - 01JAN14 -> - 365 days

This is disappointing to say the least. Both EB2 and EB3 should move well past 2010 by the end Sept 2020 but these kind of movements it seems impossible to reach that date.

[longwaitgigu]

Where r they going to use 65,000 for first quarter- 27% of 261,000?
Can this number be carried forward for 2nd and 3rd quarters

[Viking]

Every bulletin we expect our dates would move and we give Hopes to others saying next bulletin should be good for indians
My prediction is both eb2 and eb3 will be somewhere in Q1 of 2011 by end of September 2021
I dont expect any huge movements for eb3 like 2012 or 2013

With this pace, if both Eb2/Eb3 after downgrades will not cross June 2010 by end of September 21

[mar2010er]

Hi guys, My priority date is exactly March 15th, 2010. Did I miss it by one day? or does it include the 3/15 as well?