EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[vsivarama]

Good News ! I would assume very small nuisance removed for EB applicants, but this is huge for FB applicants I am sure.

It may improve the 485 processing times, but my how much? That is the real question.

[srimurthy]

All,
I have moved the Elections and impact discussions to a new thread:
https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...ct-Discussions

[longwaitgigu]

Why all downgrade petitions go to trxas

[vsivarama]

https://www.uscis.gov/i-485-addresses
It is based on the state one resides. All EB based on I140 are filed either in TX or AZ. I am not sure if the workload transfer applies for 485.

For non downgrade cases you are correct. But if you look at the link, cases to be filed along with i-140 just have the Dallas lockbox address. If you either have a receipt of i-140/approval notice along with your application, then it would depend on your location. So all downgrade cases by the virtue of not having a receipt of i-140 will go to Dallas. Now will it be processed in texas or be transferred to a different location, that's a USCIS call. Anyways, none of this matters as long as we keep getting the receipt notices.

[gcconnect]

Any chance of VB this week?

I hope from this month at least FAD should move minimum 2 to 3 months for EB2I and EB3I

Any predictions number gurus

[Pundit Arjun]

Any chance of VB this week?

I hope from this month at least FAD should move minimum 2 to 3 months for EB2I and EB3I

Any predictions number gurus

Just take it easy and enjoy the month of Nov, gcconnect .
I have taken Nov 30th as the day the VB will be out - Better to keep the expectations low and plan for a good holiday season. Zen mode after many years of being there and getting disappointed - LOL

[Positive]

It was filed with Dallas lockbox but the notification came from the National Benefits Center (Receipt number starts with MSC). It’s a regular EB2 case, no downgrade.

My downgrade application was mailed on the Oct. 9. No word yet, checks are yet to be cashed. I have wondered what I will do if they reject it because it was filed as a standalone I-140 for EB3 and not an amendment. I am not worried about running out of time, it will likely be decided this month. The worry is if I want to file as an amendment even if there is time to do so.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

My downgrade application was mailed on the Oct. 9. No word yet, checks are yet to be cashed. I have wondered what I will do if they reject it because it was filed as a standalone I-140 for EB3 and not an amendment. I am not worried about running out of time, it will likely be decided this month. The worry is if I want to file as an amendment even if there is time to do so.

From what I have read, the issue with rejected I-485 downgrades have to majorly do with them being having filed in premium. So attorneys started adjusting for that and recommending to first wait for the receipts first before seeking premium processing.

[Positive]

From what I have read, the issue with rejected I-485 downgrades have to majorly do with them being having filed in premium. So attorneys started adjusting for that and recommending to first wait for the receipts first before seeking premium processing.

Thanks, that is reassuring.

[inspired_p]

Whats the prediction from December Visa bulletin?

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Whats the prediction from December Visa bulletin?

Wouldn't it be fun if the DoS asks the admin to go pound sand and massively move the dates?

Pessimistic view is the EB2-I will move to Nov 22, 09 and Eb3-I moves to May 1, 10

[1312011_eb2I]

Logically, they should move FAD for both Eb2 and EB3 to 1 May,2010, since almost all the cases are pre-adjudicated and just need a Visa.
Thoughts?

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Logically, they should move FAD for both Eb2 and EB3 to 1 May,2010, since almost all the cases are pre-adjudicated and just need a Visa.
Thoughts?

That's what I was also expecting, or at least the dates moving 3 months in Oct and Nov so that as a whole it can move toward May 2011 at a gradual but consistent pace. But nothing is logical and if this continues they will end up wasting visas at the end of the fiscal. The only hope is a new admin coming in Jan and setting things straight and use all the numbers available at least for this fiscal and check if Congress is going to do anything about spillover for FY2022. That's why Democrats not having the Senate is a double edged sword. No immigration reform but no other bills will also pass. That's just my opinion.

[gcconnect]

Wouldn't it be fun if the DoS asks the admin to go pound sand and massively move the dates?

Sounds like Thousandwala . Diwali wishes are pouring from Admin.

[1312011_eb2I]

Prediction, EB3I will be 1 May 2010 , EB2I will be 15 Nov 2009.

[ak7419]

Logically, they should move FAD for both Eb2 and EB3 to 1 May,2010, since almost all the cases are pre-adjudicated and just need a Visa.
Thoughts?

They can move as much as they want but the applicants who were current since three months have not even received RFE

[1312011_eb2I]

So, what I understand is , current processing time for I-485 is up to 45 Months , timer will start once FAD is current, correct?

[ak7419]

So, what I understand is , current processing time for I-485 is up to 45 Months , timer will start once FAD is current, correct?

45 months might be an exaggeration but it is taking anywhere from 3 to 6 months.

[qesehmk]

Happy Diwali to all. May you and your loved ones live happier healthier and more prosperous lives!

As you celebrate Diwali don't forget India's farmers who have been forced into selling their produce at below cost prices since 1947 and have been driven into abject poverty today. To the extent you can support fair prices for agricultural produce in India.

diwali-2890605_640.jpg

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Happy Diwali to all. May you and your loved ones live happier healthier and more prosperous lives!

As you celebrate Diwali don't forget India's farmers who have been forced into selling their produce at below cost prices since 1947 and have been driven into abject poverty today. To the extent you can support fair prices for agricultural produce in India.

diwali-2890605_640.jpg

Happy Diwali to you too, Q and everyone else here!

[inspired_p]

We received Biometric appointment for 1st December.

[raradhya]

We received Biometric appointment for 1st December.

Thank you for the update. looks like you filed on 23rd October. did you receive the receipt notice along with appointment letter?

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

I know there was some debate on A numbers and whether they change. Well, I was trying to look up my wife's case and they couldn't find it and when we received the notices, her A number was different than what was previously issued for OPT EAD. So it looks like it can change between applications maybe between F1 and other types.

[Spectator]

Friends, happy to inform you all that we just received the approval notice. Extremely thankful to q and spec for the forum, comments, encouragement and advice. You guys rock. Hoping the queue keeps moving ahead fast, and we see lots of approvals in the next year.

rabp77,

Congrats on your approval.




I've updated the FACTS & DATA PERM section with the full FY figures for FY2020.

[mesan123]

Friends, happy to inform you all that we just received the approval notice. Extremely thankful to q and spec for the forum, comments, encouragement and advice. You guys rock. Hoping the queue keeps moving ahead fast, and we see lots of approvals in the next year.

. Congratulations rabp77 on your approval