EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[shriny]

Sharing my case updates - My 485 application case status changed online to reflect that an RFE was sent on 6/10 (yet to receive the mail). PD - 01/2011 (EB2-I). Also, Form-J Supplement shows as approved too on 6/10. All processed by the National Benefits Center. Also, my EAD/AP have been approved since January and biometrics were done in January too.

good to know, can you also share received date, notice date etc?

[Zenzone]

Good point though. Given the news about USCIS process efficiency, I suspect a retrogression is on the cards in Jan 2022 timeframe. Any thoughts ?

I don't see any chance for retrogression at least until Sep 2022 for folks who filed last October. Not sure about those who will file come this October though.

[Zenzone]

good to know, can you also share received date, notice date etc?

Sure. Here is my timeline (so far). Hope this is useful -

EB2-I PD - Jan-2011; Receipt date - 10/21/20; Notice Date - 11/12/20; Biometrics - 1/6/21; EAD/AP Approval - 1/13/21; I-485 Supp-J Approval - 6/10/21; I-485 RFE (Most Likely Medical) - 6/10/21; NBC

[may2011]

Hello guys
My PD is Eb2 india Aug 13 2010, I will be filing i140 premium and i485 This week
My lawyer is snail paced! When can I realistically expect GC ?

It depends a lot on the processing time.You need to have your I-140 approved first.Better file in premium.You first have to get receipt notices for your applications.Even though your PD is current, we have limited insight in USCIS processing.They seem to be processing applications by 'received date' and not by 'priority date'.All you can do is to file all your paperwork properly .That way your application won't be delayed by needless RFEs.

[may2011]

I don't see any chance for retrogression at least until Sep 2022 for folks who filed last October. Not sure about those who will file come this October though.

CO mentioned"barring any legislative changes,he expects the spillover.."I hope there are no legislative changes to prevent the spillover

[may2011]

Even NSC is slow! I filed a downgrade at NSC in Oct and have heard nothing since then. No biometrics and no EAD/AP.

Did you try calling USCIS? or asking EMMA? Thy give accurate updates.

[Zenzone]

CO mentioned"barring any legislative changes,he expects the spillover.."I hope there are no legislative changes to prevent the spillover

That's a standard disclaimer they have been using since last year. I won't read into it. This Congress has no apetite for any immi. changes right now. Infra. is the focus area and GOP has said it won't support any immi. or other provisions packaged into it for example. I see the legislative threat as low to minimal as things stand now.

[AceMan]

Hello all,
I have joined a new employer on EAD, and now want to submit the I-485J form. The lawyer from my last employer will charge us $2,500 to file I-485J form. The form looks very simple and I plan to do it on my own. Do any of the experts here know the process to revoke G-28, so that the last employer lawyer is dis-associated from my case?

Thank you.

2500$ for 485J alone appears very high.
https://www.uscis.gov/forms/all-form...your-form-g-28


Change your legal representative

Complete a new Form G-28 (edition date: 05/23/18 or 09/17/18), and make sure you and your new legal representative complete and sign the appropriate sections of the form. Indicate your mailing preferences by checking the box next to Item Number 1.a. for notices and/or Item Number 1.b. for secure documents in Part 4.
The USCIS office where your case is pending.

Find the USCIS office address on the most recent notice you received from USCIS.

Withdraw your legal representative
Send us a letter saying you want to withdraw your legal representative and intend to continue your case without any legal representation.

If you do so, USCIS will communicate only with you.

[vsivarama]

Good point though. Given the news about USCIS process efficiency, I suspect a retrogression is on the cards in Jan 2022 timeframe. Any thoughts ?

I do not see any retrogression till Sept 22. But after that the music stops. I can see some EB vertical spillover from EB1 in 2023 and maybe some ROW horizontal spillover but nothing from Family.

[Zenzone]

I do not see any retrogression till Sept 22. But after that the music stops. I can see some EB vertical spillover from EB1 in 2023 and maybe some ROW horizontal spillover but nothing from Family.

Agree that!

[vedu]

Sure. Here is my timeline (so far). Hope this is useful -

EB2-I PD - Jan-2011; Receipt date - 10/21/20; Notice Date - 11/12/20; Biometrics - 1/6/21; EAD/AP Approval - 1/13/21; I-485 Supp-J Approval - 6/10/21; I-485 RFE (Most Likely Medical) - 6/10/21; NBC

Zenzone, looks like things are moving along nicely for you. It is good that you don't have to worry about submitting medicals without RFE and all the confusion related to that. You will be in green zone soon. Good luck! And remember the journey doesn't stop here. We need to get to that deca status one day...sooner rather than later!

[insane.yogi]

Hello everyone, I have a question regarding my GC process and looking to get feedback on the general approach from gurus on this forum

- I have a EB2 priority date from my previous employer of Oct 2011.
- I switched jobs in 2019, PERM process was initiated in 2019 and after COVID delays (recruitment process to be specific since offices were closed), the new PERM was submitted to DOL in Jan 2021.
- With latest PERM trends and I'm estimating to get PERM approval by Aug 2021 and file concurrently for I-140/485

My question, should I wait till Oct to file in EB2 ? (since USCIS is only accepting FADs) Or should i concurrently file in EB3 directly (FAD will be current) ? Does it even matter at this point if i file in EB2 or EB3 in Aug/Sept time frame? Looking forward for feedback.

[may2011]

That's a standard disclaimer they have been using since last year. I won't read into it. This Congress has no apetite for any immi. changes right now. Infra. is the focus area and GOP has said it won't support any immi. or other provisions packaged into it for example. I see the legislative threat as low to minimal as things stand now.

thanks for the update

[1312011_eb2I]

Thank you Zenzone,
Did you submit 485j along with original application? Also, what is your Field office?

[Zenzone]

Zenzone, looks like things are moving along nicely for you. It is good that you don't have to worry about submitting medicals without RFE and all the confusion related to that. You will be in green zone soon. Good luck! And remember the journey doesn't stop here. We need to get to that deca status one day...sooner rather than later!

Ty bud! Fingers crossed, its not done until it's done. Yes if GC is a marathon, the deca club status is a triathlon!

[Zenzone]

Thank you Zenzone,
Did you submit 485j along with original application? Also, what is your Field office?

Haven't received the physical RFE yet. But it should be Boston FO based on geography.

[PDAUG2011]

Sure. Here is my timeline (so far). Hope this is useful -

EB2-I PD - Jan-2011; Receipt date - 10/21/20; Notice Date - 11/12/20; Biometrics - 1/6/21; EAD/AP Approval - 1/13/21; I-485 Supp-J Approval - 6/10/21; I-485 RFE (Most Likely Medical) - 6/10/21; NBC

Hi Zenzone,

Thanks for sharing the timeline! How did you figure out or come to know that your Supp J is approved?

[mesan123]

Sharing my case updates - My 485 application case status changed online to reflect that an RFE was sent on 6/10 (yet to receive the mail). PD - 01/2011 (EB2-I). Also, Form-J Supplement shows as approved too on 6/10. All processed by the National Benefits Center. Also, my EAD/AP have been approved since January and biometrics were done in January too.

Nice to hear Zen. Got my 485 J reciept on 6/3. Is your file in MSC or NSC and also when did you recieve 485J reciept. My all other dates match with you( Reciept date, BM, EAD/AP)…

[knighthood83]

Hey Guys I got the receipt number on 485J and I get the following message

Duplicate Notice Was Mailed
On June 14, 2021, we sent you a duplicate notice about a decision on your Form I-485J, Confirmation of Bona Fide Job Offer or Request for Job Portability Under INA Section 204(j), Receipt Number MSCXXXXXXX, or describing how we will process the case if it is still pending.

Anything I should be concerned about? I was told that by Emma my receipt notice was mailed on May 26th and today I see this. Weird stuff!!!!!

[delguy]

Nice to hear Zen. Got my 485 J reciept on 6/3. Is your file in MSC or NSC and also when did you recieve 485J reciept. My all other dates match with you( Reciept date, BM, EAD/AP)…

OK, so there is a I-485J approval too post I-185J receipt? I received my receipt today with ND of 6/8.

[kb2013]

Can someone predict when I will likely get a decision on my I-485. I will send a $100 gift card to whoever gets it closest.

- PD: Jan 2010
- EB2 to EB3 downgrade Jan 2019 (concurrent filing)
- RD: Jan 2019
- Service center: TSC
- FAD: Current since Oct 2020
- Raised SRs and expedite requests using Emma
- Contacted Congressperson and Senator's office
- employed with a Fortune 15 company for last 8 years (sponsoring employer)
- let me know if there are other parameters that will help to estimate better

[idliman]

Can someone predict when I will likely get a decision on my I-485. I will send a $100 gift card to whoever gets it closest.

From your description, I understand that you are not a 2012 filer. I assume that your downgrade I-140 is approved. Did you get any proper reply from either congressman or senator office? The key is to get some insider information through your liasson. If they did not say anything, then it must be just normal processing time. I am surprised that they did they give you a ETA, Wonder why you went with both congressman and senator? One would have been enough for your case, if there are no flags. If you are still pursuing congressional action, give your congressional aide plenty of time and have patience. When it comes to congressional action, people in bigger population centers / democratic districts are at a disadvantage as staff cannot give you individual attention.

[kb2013]

From your description, I understand that you are not a 2012 filer. I assume that your downgrade I-140 is approved. Did you get any proper reply from either congressman or senator office? The key is to get some insider information through your liasson. If they did not say anything, then it must be just normal processing time. I am surprised that they did they give you a ETA, Wonder why you went with both congressman and senator? One would have been enough for your case, if there are no flags. If you are still pursuing congressional action, give your congressional aide plenty of time and have patience. When it comes to congressional action, people in bigger population centers / democratic districts are at a disadvantage as staff cannot give you individual attention.

I was also a 2012 filer. In some unbelievable twist of events, USCIS denied that petition citing some technicality. My downgrade I-140 was approved in Jan 2020. Senator/Congressperson's office mentioned that they are processing/monitoring the case and they will communicate as soon as they hear from USCIS. Contacted congressperson first. Then another forum suggested contacting Senator. I went ahead and did, as I thought it should not hurt to have more help. Been few months after contacting the congressperson/Senator's office.

[vsivarama]

Can someone predict when I will likely get a decision on my I-485. I will send a $100 gift card to whoever gets it closest.

- PD: Jan 2010
- EB2 to EB3 downgrade Jan 2019 (concurrent filing)
- RD: Jan 2019
- Service center: TSC
- FAD: Current since Oct 2020
- Raised SRs and expedite requests using Emma
- Contacted Congressperson and Senator's office
- employed with a Fortune 15 company for last 8 years (sponsoring employer)
- let me know if there are other parameters that will help to estimate better

Your Question reminds of Calculus problems we used to grapple with in our younger days. If our application approaches TSC then the processing time tends to be infinity.... Just trying to bring in some humor in these frustrating times.

[idliman]

I was also a 2012 filer. In some unbelievable twist of events, USCIS denied that petition citing some technicality. My downgrade I-140 was approved in Jan 2020. Senator/Congressperson's office mentioned that they are processing/monitoring the case and they will communicate as soon as they hear from USCIS. Contacted congressperson first. Then another forum suggested contacting Senator. I went ahead and did, as I thought it should not hurt to have more help. Been few months after contacting the congressperson/Senator's office.

Please browse a thread on congresman process with good details. I wonder whether you contacted one person (congressman) and before they could process, you went to someone else (senator). The unit / office that deals with these requests at USCIS is a compact one and people might have noticed. Whatever done is done and past is past. So pick one route/office you think is more cooperative / favorable and be in contact with them. It is a very powerful process and eventually things will work out.

I consider elevating / expediting existing cases with USCIS as a process. You have to call USCIS a few times, document it. Then you open one or two SRs. Then try to present a good reason for why they should look at you or expedite your case to congressman. You might have done all these, however you need to specify the things you had done before you went to congressman in the initial paperwork. Just saying the wait time as a reason is not good enough as there hundreds of folks in your boat (2012 filers).

Just as a positve note things are happening slowly for 2012 folks. A friend of mine (straight EB2I 2012 filer), who never kept a tab on GC process or pushed his case or called USCIS for anything (his case is with NSC), went though RFE process and got his cards today. Good Luck.