I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
If anybody is interested to see where is the EB3-India I485 ineventory levels heading.
Here is the link:
EB3-India I485 Inventory level decrease and its trend to future.PNG
gcpursuit and EB2IndSep09,
Whenever i hear stories like yours, I feel what some other people are going through including me is nothing compared to what you both have gone through/are going through. These are the reasons why US government should pass legislations to such as giving EAD with I140 approval and removing dependents from the overall quota. These changes would only benefit the country as it would give many people a reason to go to other countries looking for stability. There may be many people having American Dream but there are many who are returning back to India or moving to another country fed up of this instability.
I truly wish and hope that you guys get your GC soon.
For those waiting for EAD approvals (first time or renewals), Murthy has published an article saying that there could be delays in processing.
http://www.murthy.com/2014/09/17/ead...p-suggestions/
After reading some of the stories here I feel I have no right to complain . I cannot imagine the stress especially with having kids on h4 status too. Kudos for braving all of this, hopefully we all get what we want someday in the near future. Thanks to all for posting their journey here although I feel no one deserves this kind of wait but that's the price we are paying by choice to stay in this country !
Murthy has also published an article that consolidates the various pieces of information from the recent monthly meeting with CO.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Eb2Ind, I share your grievance. After a long ordeal taking chances with possible deportation, I finally got a chance to file for 485 on Sep 2nd. I made sure the lawyer got it filed on Sep 2 itselfAll I want to say is, it will all turn out to be good and with few exceptions, there is always a happy ending. Hang in there and I am pretty sure that you will get greened very soon.
Last edited by saagar_is_cool; 09-19-2014 at 03:05 PM. Reason: Content not relevant, so summarized it
I see from trackitt data that there are 994 EB2-I approvals from August until today. I have heard that trackitt represents around 7% of the actual approval count. This comes out to ~14000 visas issued to EB2-I.
Also between Oct-2013 and June 2014, I see 710 approved which comes out to ~10000 approvals. July 2014 approvals stand at 208.
So total visas issued to EB2-I ~(14000+10000+3000=27000). Do you think EB2-I received around 24000 spill over this FY? I am assuming trackitt representation must be higher than 7% and some visas issued in Oct 2013 must be from previous FY quota. But then the approvals dried out around middle of September last year.
Last edited by bikenlalan; 09-18-2014 at 10:59 PM.
bikenlalan,
I think 7% is a little low these days.
The % even changed between October/November 2013 and July 2014 because so many people added their cases to Trackitt after then.
Currently, I would estimate that EB2-I has received around 19k approvals (16k SO) for FY2014. I could be out by a few '000 either way.
I don't think that number will change significantly during the remainder of the FY.
I'd be interested to hear what number other people believe is the correct figure.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
saagar_is_cool My story is similar but not as miserable, I think. I came in 2000 to do an MS and started working in 2002. The company started GC processing in 2004 October but those days there was no PERM and labor used to take much longer. By 2006 I decided to not wait for GC any longer and just switched jobs for better career prospects. That was a good move professionally, but immigration process got screwed up as I could not retain priority date and the new company delayed filing and filed in EB3 finally in 2008. They refused to file in EB2 as it was no benefit to them and I cannot legally pay for it myself. I missed the 2007 and 2012 buses and finally changed jobs again. Now finally after 14 years, I am going to get my EAD in the mail tomorrow. It looks like USCIS is not issuing my wife's EAD yet, which is messed up and random, but hopefully that will go through as well this month.
Sorry for taking over this thread with stories guys, but these are "slow news" days anyway, so hopefully nobody has issues with it.
One suggestion for Eb2IndSep09 --> look into filing EAD for your kids under Obama's executive action for DREAMers. They may be eligible, but I am not sure.
Back in April, I had projected that EB2-I could recieve a total of 21k visas in FY14 and based on that number I arrived at Apr'09 COD by end of FY14.
I'm still sticking to that number, a total of 21k for EB2-I in FY14.
Here is the post:
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...2317#post52317
YT,
Thanks for your thoughts.
I too thought that was a possible figure at one point, but the continued increased EB1 approvals and a slight upturn in EB2-WW knocked the figure down. I'd always assumed EB5 would pretty much use their entire allocation.
If I have erred on one side or another, it would be to the low end. A figure as high as 21k is certainly possible, particularly if EB1 are lower than I believe (which is in the error margin I would ascribe to that figure, given the paucity of data).
Last edited by Spectator; 09-20-2014 at 09:03 PM.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
If we got 20K (+ or -), balance inventory is about 10K. CO does not have visibility on Porting and Consular processing cases. Wondering why he is not doing a inventory build up now? (Like he did in 2012 - at that time i think the dates were moved when the inventory was around 9K)
Am i missing something? What has changed?
Sorry i am bit confused.
If you say by Oct 2014, PD upto 1st May 2009 will be greened, from the inventory we will have 13,344 pending cases (May 2009 to May 2010). I do understand the below:
1. This number going down in FY2015 will completely depend on spillover (Annual quota is gone in oct 14)
2. Porting could be additional 3 to 5 K
3. Consular processing will also need to be taken into account.
So is your 23K includes porting and consular processing also? If not, from pending inventory the number should be 13.5K.
Thanks for your time!
But I guess we do not need 21k if the inventory is going to be around 25k. Last time when build up happened, there were about 8-9k in inventory when CO started building the pipeline. I guess we would need 14-15k SO for CO to move dates forward.
Does anybody have a link to the thread that shows the SOFAD that we got year on year (may be since 2008). Appreciate your help!
Spec's Gold Standard Effort is here: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...FY2008-Onwards
EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary
sk,
Here you go.
Some points to ponder on.
Not every EB2-I approval will have resulted in a reduction in the USCIS Inventory.
When CO last moved the dates in 2012, he thought at the time that more numbers would be available to EB2-I than eventually was the case. USCIS had told him that EB1 approvals would be very low, which was not the case. If we are moving into a period of lower SO (and depending on the timing), he may not feel the need to move the COD until the demand is lower. He got burnt last time and I don't think he will forget that.
There have been a large number of new applications within the CODs that were in effect from July 2014 onwards (several '000 possibly).
I think there will be rather more than 3k "old" cases within the 01MAY09 COD going into October 2014. I don't think they will all be cleared in October.
YT's estimation of about 18k inventory after October (and use of the 3k allocation) looks about right. To that, you could also add some more porting cases that don't appear in the Inventory.
I think it will be quite difficult to go into "Inventory Building Mode" at the end of FY2015.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Hi Gurus,
My PD is July 2011 in EB2 I.
I'm working for a consulting company and working for its client(no other layers). I'm on 9th year of H1B (3 yr approval based on I-140). My client made a good offer to me and I'm thinking of joining them. However, this client won't start the GC untill I complete 1 year with them and as you know the PERM process is very slow. So it could take about 2 to 2.5 years before I get I-140 approval if I choose my client's job offer. My concerns are
1. If the H4 EAD rule comes, does it allow the spouse to get EAD even though we are not with the previous employer(consulting firm)? I mean based on the current consulting firm's I-140 after joining the client company? I know the rule is not finalized and no one is sure if it will even come or not...still since we can use the previous I-140 for retaining PD/renewing H1, do you think is this something we can count on?
2. Once I leave the consulting firm, they won't proceed the GC. But is there any hope for EAD before early 2017 for mid 2011 folks?
Thanks...
Have a great weekend.
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