EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2014

[gkjppp]

Need suggestion:

My PD is Mar 15,2010. I am sure i may get current in 2015. I had changed my job on sep,2013. And yet to change my lawyer.My earlier lawyer bound to employer he wont continue my GC process any more.

Can you please suggest reasonably good lawyer to continue GC process. I had no RFE's so for. Its straight forward case. I got my spouse as a dependant.I was thinking of going with an attorney who is not bound to my employer , so that i can continue with him in case if i change my job.
Please move this to appropriate thread.

[kikoz9]

Hi folks,
I've been a silent reader for this great forum that is really helping to understand the GC process.

My Perm recently got approved and my PD is 05Dec13 EB3 ROW, I've read that the EB3 ROW has some good future next year, I'd like your to get your expert opinion on when the PD will be current?

Thank you so much in advance.

[Spectator]

Hi folks,
I've been a silent reader for this great forum that is really helping to understand the GC process.

My Perm recently got approved and my PD is 05Dec13 EB3 ROW, I've read that the EB3 ROW has some good future next year, I'd like your to get your expert opinion on when the PD will be current?

Thank you so much in advance.

See this thread.

I'll move your post there later and delete this one.

[gkjppp]

Thanks Sportsfan33, Hope you get your GC asap.As you said i will file G28 and will think about attorney little later.

I went through this and I do not have a lawyer. I am in the current batch hoping to get a GC approval. I will let you know how the process goes.

In all honesty, I am not sure how the lawyer can help at this stage. The most you will receive RFE for is EVL and medicals which is very easy to respond to. I have read the lawyers charge anywhere from $1500 to $3000 to respond. I would just save that money and go to a cruise with my family.

I would suggest that you fill up the G28 form and make yourself your own lawyer (on all pending cases including your dependents) in the interim. You can get a lawyer later and do this again if needs be. The G28 form can be filled online I believe. This way, any correspondence intended for your previous lawyer will now come to you.

[bluelabel]

When the next inventory buildup happens possibly in CY 2015, will DOS move only up to a date where visa can be assigned in 1 year and not let the medicals expire?

[Kanmani]

When the next inventory buildup happens possibly in CY 2015, will DOS move only up to a date where visa can be assigned in 1 year and not let the medicals expire?

I-693 Medical examination report has been excluded from the initial evidence documents checklist of I-485. It can be submitted whenever it is required, at the convenience of cut of date movement of respective countries.

Applicants from retrogressed countries may skip filing and wait for medical report RFE, when the adjudicator sends one in anticipation of visa number.

[feedmyback]

The way I see it, the movement is definitely not going to be like the one in 2012. It is going to be more calculated since moving the dates even by 6 months generates a good inventory. Unless something else (election year, politics etc) drives it, they have no technical reason to just move dates very aggressively. That is my thought process anyways. May be someone more knowledgeable can chip in.

When the next inventory buildup happens possibly in CY 2015, will DOS move only up to a date where visa can be assigned in 1 year and not let the medicals expire?

[kumar777]

HI

i have been a silent reader of this forum and learned a lot about GC processing. my pd is 12/15/09 ( eb2 india ) , is there is a chance of becoming current early next year? How many visa numbers required for eb2 india to progress from march 09 ( as per Guru's prediction for current year i.e fyi 2014) till End of 2009?

Thanks

[vizcard]

HI

i have been a silent reader of this forum and learned a lot about GC processing. my pd is 12/15/09 ( eb2 india ) , is there is a chance of becoming current early next year? How many visa numbers required for eb2 india to progress from march 09 ( as per Guru's prediction for current year i.e fyi 2014) till End of 2009?

Thanks

It should be current next summer. By my estimates probably need another 12k visas till dec 2009 .. so approx 9k spillover (assuming everything is cleared up to mar 2009).

[feedmyback]

From all the discussions the Gurus have done and calculations, all I understood is that you will definitely become current before October 2015. I am not sure what you had in mind when you said "early next year"...

HI

i have been a silent reader of this forum and learned a lot about GC processing. my pd is 12/15/09 ( eb2 india ) , is there is a chance of becoming current early next year? How many visa numbers required for eb2 india to progress from march 09 ( as per Guru's prediction for current year i.e fyi 2014) till End of 2009?

Thanks

[kumar777]

just read spec's prediction for FY 2015 , and want to hear about other guru's prediction as well..

In a slightly better scenario, fairly limited spillover to EB2-I would be available, but it would only allow a few months further progress to the Cut Off Dates from where they end FY2014.

[gcpursuit]

It should be current next summer. By my estimates probably need another 12k visas till dec 2009 .. so approx 9k spillover (assuming everything is cleared up to mar 2009).

Viz,

9k spillover is possible next year? I mean with heavy EB2-ROW with PERM having picked up speed and heavy EB1 usage as well.

What are the chances that the dates will move to july or beyond this year? I understand getting greened part is not possible. All I am looking for is to file my I-485 as I missed it in 2012 when I changed jobs.

[kumar777]

gcPursuit,

it seems like ( as per spec's prediction) it is hard to get 9k spillover next year due to retrogression in FB numbers.

[rka_72]

This link has the updated list of approvals:::
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...gid=1242834732

[Spectator]

I'd just like to remind people that when I talk about FY2015, it should be considered "talking out loud" at this stage. FY2014 is still difficult enough!!!!

The front page in particular was written some time ago and specifically discusses a "nuclear" option that may not come to pass.

[vizcard]

Viz,

9k spillover is possible next year? I mean with heavy EB2-ROW with PERM having picked up speed and heavy EB1 usage as well.

What are the chances that the dates will move to july or beyond this year? I understand getting greened part is not possible. All I am looking for is to file my I-485 as I missed it in 2012 when I changed jobs.

Who knows about the 9K in 2015. Too many unknowns to make a realistic prediction. This year I have always been in the camp that says it will stop around March/April. I hope I am wrong and dates move to the "early summer" timeframe.

[sdesh005]

Who knows about the 9K in 2015. Too many unknowns to make a realistic prediction. This year I have always been in the camp that says it will stop around March/April. I hope I am wrong and dates move to the "early summer" timeframe.

I'm at the end of July '09 and I am not at all hopeful in this FY, so I don't know..."early summer" seems elusive to me at least. May be I'm looking at June/July 2015 VBs to be current?

[civilengineer]

Does anyone analyze receipt numbers for trends? I filed 485/EAD/AP for me and my wife and we got sequential receipt numbers for all except my wife's EAD. Her EAD recepit number was processed a day or two later and was off by 16000 from the rest of the numbers. This was at Nebraska Service Center.

[vizcard]

I'm at the end of July '09 and I am not at all hopeful in this FY, so I don't know..."early summer" seems elusive to me at least. May be I'm looking at June/July 2015 VBs to be current?

Most likely ..yes.

[fedupwithgc]

Any idea/thoughts why the approvals are so slow this Month ? What's the point in moving the dates and not approving the cases, especially TSC. I am worried that they will start approving randomly next month and people with 2008 PD will be left out and 2009 will get GC....

[vizcard]

Any idea/thoughts why the approvals are so slow this Month ? What's the point in moving the dates and not approving the cases, especially TSC. I am worried that they will start approving randomly next month and people with 2008 PD will be left out and 2009 will get GC....

someone posted that TSC is busy issuing RFEs first and then will get to approving cases. It really is worrisome.

[fedupwithgc]

someone posted that TSC is busy issuing RFEs first and then will get to approving cases. It really is worrisome.

Yeah, What if by the time they finish giving RFE's the FY ends and next year starts. They can risk wasting all the numbers which will be devastating.... I am thinking to do a Congressmen Inquiry next Month if things don't change. What do you think ?

[saagar_is_cool]

Gurus,

Matt,

I am a silent spectator of forums here and finally ventured into posting today. My PD is 17 April 2009. I have never filed 485 so far.
1. Do you think I will get a chance for getting EAD in September bulletin.
2. Assuming the dates move far enough like October/November 2009, what are my chances of getting GC this year.

I had an amazing opportunity to change jobs last December (financially and title wise) and did not because it would mean new PERM from scratch which would not give me a chance for EAD this year. I hope I didn't make a mistake then. I see multiple postings here and other forums about GCs being given until March 2009 etc. but what about chance for EAD for mid-April PD guys.

[jimmys]

Any idea/thoughts why the approvals are so slow this Month ? What's the point in moving the dates and not approving the cases, especially TSC. I am worried that they will start approving randomly next month and people with 2008 PD will be left out and 2009 will get GC....

That's exactly they have been doing all along. What's new that you expect? It's gonna be a mix of 2008 and 2009 people to get approved. And there will be many that will be left out in 2008 and 2009.

[fedupwithgc]

I think if I don't get it by end of August, I am going to make up my mind to wait for next year...