EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2013

[SmileBaba]

I'm sure you can find a list someone where online. But the 2 key things (for both you and your family members) are -
- file new I9 with your current employer
- get a new social security card without any restrictions on them (same SSN)

Thanks Viz!

[vizcard]

Apologies, I thought you said there is a timeline. Thanks for providing the details

Typo... my brain moved faster than my hands

[GCKnowHow]

Freinds,
In the event of Green card approval, is it required to fill and submit I-9 form? I am currently not working with my petitioning employer and was wondering if I should be ready to do that once my GC is approved.
What could be other important things that one shouldn't miss/avoid after GC approval?

http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...-Card-Approval
Above link should give you the info you are looking for.

[incredible]

. For a second you have made me curious and scared too.

Typo... my brain moved faster than my hands

[vizcard]

. For a second you have made me curious and scared too.

I have that effect on people

[indiani]

as I have seen one GC approval of august bulletin current , anyone can be approved from now onwards so you can checking online status or emails once a day.
USCIS appears to be as anxious to give away GC's as we much as we are ..JK

[bloke2000]

Gurus...
need advice on what to do..
I have EB2 with June 2008 PD. Most likely based on discussions in this forum it is not coming through for another year..Filed 485 in January 2012 got RFE in July have not heard back since then..so safe to assume preadj..
Wife has EB2 with with Oct 2006 PD. which came through after 485 was filed through my case..
My questions are...
Should we interfile (if that is the right term for such switch)..basically making primary as dependent and vice versa..is that even allowed..
How should we do it?? What documents to send?? Where?? How much time does it take??
Any advice would be great..

[GCKnowHow]

USCIS appears to be as anxious to give away GC's as we much as we are ..JK

Good to hear it. I couldn't beleive myself seeing it in Trackitt.

[ampradni]

bloke2000,

We are in similar situation but with a different EB preference.

We applied I-485 for myself and my wife in Aug 2007 with my I-140(EB3-I, Dec 2004). Since then my wife's company did her I-140(EB2-I, Jun 2007).

Her date got current in Nov 2011. We called USCIS and asked if we could change the I-140 basis of the I-485 applications to my wife's I-140 in the EB2 category. I got an extremely helpful Level2 officer on the phone and he confirmed that we could do it by just sending an interfile request with all appropriate documentary evidence and a current EVL from my wife's employer.

Once we did that , we received a confirmation that they have received our request but it was not clear whether they "accepted" it. So we raised SR in Apr 2012. They responded in May 2012 that they have filed the letter in our files but just then EB2-I dates were retrogessed.

We plan to call them in August as soon as the dates are current to check on the status. Maybe we will plan to go to congressman/senator's office etc.

In your case both the PD dates are in the same EB preference but 2 years could save you some time. Please consult your attorney for more advice because we did (on Lawbench) and we got conflicting responses. Some attorneys recommended to file new I-485s with the new I-140. We ended up going with what the L2 officer told us. In either case I wanted to share that a L2 officer told us that it is possible and that we could do it using an interfile request ; however we have not seen any results so far :-(

A big THANK YOU to all the posters on this forum , especially Spec, Q, other individuals who are very helpful and have reduced the anxiety around this process. I have been lurking for some time now but this is my first post.

Cheers !!

Gurus...
need advice on what to do..
I have EB2 with June 2008 PD. Most likely based on discussions in this forum it is not coming through for another year..Filed 485 in January 2012 got RFE in July have not heard back since then..so safe to assume preadj..
Wife has EB2 with with Oct 2006 PD. which came through after 485 was filed through my case..
My questions are...
Should we interfile (if that is the right term for such switch)..basically making primary as dependent and vice versa..is that even allowed..
How should we do it?? What documents to send?? Where?? How much time does it take??
Any advice would be great..

[newguy]

Gurus, Any COD predictions for the rest of the year and in 2014? Please no hard feelings ..Looks like we are getting side tracked with 485 related question in this forum from the users.

[bloke2000]

Thanks for the response ampradni..this really helps..my only concern is the time they take for such requests..I hope they reply within 2 months before oct 1st when dates will retrogress...crossing our fingers..if possible can you share the list of documents you submitted..

Looks like you will definitely be green in this current wave..

Thanks again

bloke2000,

We are in similar situation but with a different EB preference.

We applied I-485 for myself and my wife in Aug 2007 with my I-140(EB3-I, Dec 2004). Since then my wife's company did her I-140(EB2-I, Jun 2007).

Her date got current in Nov 2011. We called USCIS and asked if we could change the I-140 basis of the I-485 applications to my wife's I-140 in the EB2 category. I got an extremely helpful Level2 officer on the phone and he confirmed that we could do it by just sending an interfile request with all appropriate documentary evidence and a current EVL from my wife's employer.

Once we did that , we received a confirmation that they have received our request but it was not clear whether they "accepted" it. So we raised SR in Apr 2012. They responded in May 2012 that they have filed the letter in our files but just then EB2-I dates were retrogessed.

We plan to call them in August as soon as the dates are current to check on the status. Maybe we will plan to go to congressman/senator's office etc.

In your case both the PD dates are in the same EB preference but 2 years could save you some time. Please consult your attorney for more advice because we did (on Lawbench) and we got conflicting responses. Some attorneys recommended to file new I-485s with the new I-140. We ended up going with what the L2 officer told us. In either case I wanted to share that a L2 officer told us that it is possible and that we could do it using an interfile request ; however we have not seen any results so far :-(

A big THANK YOU to all the posters on this forum , especially Spec, Q, other individuals who are very helpful and have reduced the anxiety around this process. I have been lurking for some time now but this is my first post.

Cheers !!

[indiani]

Gurus, Any COD predictions for the rest of the year and in 2014? Please no hard feelings ..Looks like we are getting side tracked with 485 related question in this forum from the users.

go back to last post of Matt about the predictions, unless there is new data which might come in august I doubt there is any better prediction until then..

[GCKnowHow]

What a quite day. Next week this time it should be as active as a valcano.

[Eb2_Dec07]

What a quite day. Next week this time it should be as active as a valcano.

Indeed it is quiet. Usually we see some good quick wit messages from Indiani :-) . Get ready for a nailbiting few weeks in Aug starting in a week. I keep checking this forum almost every hour to see anything new. Good luck to all who are current in Aug bulletin.

PS: Is it worth calling the L2 to ask if case is pre-adjudicated ?

[civilengineer]

Probabilities of EB-2I cut-off date in September bulletin as of 7/25/2013. This is the impression I am getting from predictions made so far.:
Stays at Jan 1, 08 - 10%
Feb 1, 08 - 10%
Mar 1, 08 - 30%
Apr 1, 08 - 10%
May 1, 08 - 10%
June 1, 08 - 10%
July 1, 08 - 10%
Same as China Aug 8, 08 - 10%
Dec 31, 08 - 0%

[pseudonym]

Looks like one of the Trackitt users already received their GC today!

http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussi...ent-yet/page/3

Good luck to those who are current in August!

[erikbond101]

Probability percentage will be.:

Stays at Jan 1, 08 - 100%
Feb 1, 08 - 90%
Mar 1, 08 - 60%
Apr 1, 08 - 50%
May 1, 08 - 40%
June 1, 08 - 30%
July 1, 08 - 20%
Same as China Aug 8, 08 - 10%

Probabilities of EB-2I cut-off date in September bulletin as of 7/25/2013. This is the impression I am getting from predictions made so far.:
Stays at Jan 1, 08 - 10%
Feb 1, 08 - 10%
Mar 1, 08 - 30%
Apr 1, 08 - 10%
May 1, 08 - 10%
June 1, 08 - 10%
July 1, 08 - 10%
Same as China Aug 8, 08 - 10%
Dec 31, 08 - 0%

[erikbond101]

By looking at the past years movement with spillovers, it seems not enough time is there for CO to set COD equivalent with SO. If he had moved the date in July bulletin then it would have been a different story. Now IMO for Sept 13, he is going to set COD at-least 25-30% ahead of available SO. He can always internally retrogress COD in Sept as it was done in 2012.
From my perspective we may see movement of dates in range of May 08 to Aug 08 for SOFAD availability of 18K.

[indiani]

Indeed it is quiet. Usually we see some good quick wit messages from Indiani :-) . Get ready for a nailbiting few weeks in Aug starting in a week. I keep checking this forum almost every hour to see anything new. Good luck to all who are current in Aug bulletin.

PS: Is it worth calling the L2 to ask if case is pre-adjudicated ?

well as everyone is just waiting for the approvals to seep in and them flow , I didn't have much to add.

Please refrain from calling L2 atleast until a week after its current , just imagine if 10% of people will call i.e. 1000x10 min. wasted for L2. however if there is any issues to be resolved then obviously people can try to talk to L2.

only news for today as someone else already posted: someone received the GC in mail today on trackitt

[qesehmk]

Moved all the "Lawyer delays and employer exploitation" discussion in its own thread so that this thread keeps focused on calculations / predictions.

http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...r-Exploitation

[sk.aggarwal]

Have been a silent reader on this thread. Thanks to all the Guru's to have such an informative forum.
I hate to ask specific Predictions but have a major decision to make around house, would appreciate your help.

Have been in US for 10 years. My PD is June 2010. By when do you think I should be able to file I-485, so I can get EAD. My wife will also be able to work then. Need to figure out this before we decide to buy house. Please help to advice.

[vizcard]

By looking at the past years movement with spillovers, it seems not enough time is there for CO to set COD equivalent with SO. If he had moved the date in July bulletin then it would have been a different story. Now IMO for Sept 13, he is going to set COD at-least 25-30% ahead of available SO. He can always internally retrogress COD in Sept as it was done in 2012.
From my perspective we may see movement of dates in range of May 08 to Aug 08 for SOFAD availability of 18K.

Not necessarily

The components are known demand, porting and new applications. Porting will be known (and approved) in the first 10 days (more or less) since its a "push the button" type exercise. New applications have no way of getting approved (regardless of category) so thats a big zero.

So unless there are a large number of unresolved RFEs, it will be fairly safe to move it only slightly ahead of available SOFAD.

[qesehmk]

sk - welcome to forum. The date being current is rather erratic. But I would say - worst case for you should be 4 years from now. Best case could be Sep 2014. Good luck with your decision regardless. Home ownership is a wonderful feeling and luckily anybody can buy a home in US as long as you have benjamin.

Have been a silent reader on this thread. Thanks to all the Guru's to have such an informative forum.
I hate to ask specific Predictions but have a major decision to make around house, would appreciate your help.

Have been in US for 10 years. My PD is June 2010. By when do you think I should be able to file I-485, so I can get EAD. My wife will also be able to work then. Need to figure out this before we decide to buy house. Please help to advice.

[vizcard]

Have been a silent reader on this thread. Thanks to all the Guru's to have such an informative forum.
I hate to ask specific Predictions but have a major decision to make around house, would appreciate your help.

Have been in US for 10 years. My PD is June 2010. By when do you think I should be able to file I-485, so I can get EAD. My wife will also be able to work then. Need to figure out this before we decide to buy house. Please help to advice.

A long time from now.... FY15 at the earliest IMO and probably later in the year if that. I wouldn't base any decisions on becoming current.

[rferni]

From the DOL website:
http://www.foreignlaborcert.doleta.g...tification.pdf


PERM approval rate in Q2 and Q3 of FY2013 has a direct correlation on EB2-ROW demand for Q3 and Q4? Is it a fair assessment that lower PERM approval rates should mean the demand for FY 2013 EB2-ROW may be lower than what's estimated so far?

Or am I reading too much into this?