EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2013

[Guest123]

Hi Spec/Q

Any idea why only TSC is sending the RFEs and not NSC. Is NSC going to send the RFEs anytime soon, or will they send it only when the dates become current for those applications - If the dates open in Sept and NSC starts sending the RFEs, by the time the applicats send the responses Sept might be done and dates retrogress back?

Assuming they don't send the RFEs for some applications whose application is already preadjudicated - is there a possibility to still approve the application or is it going to be a standard process now to send RFE, review the response and approve/reject, if the application is preadjudicated long time back. I have a March 2008 PD - NSC - didn't receive RFE - wondering what the process would be and if it would be completed this year. Appreciate your comments.

Thank you !!

Thank you.

[sreddy]

The part of the AILA Conference we are most interested in will happen quite late on in the day at 4:00 PM to 5:00 PM Pacific Time on Thursday June 27, 2013.

No CO in person unfortunately.

4:00 pm–5:00 pm
Not entirely new information I know, but the original posts are buried now.

Thanks Spec for helping the community with valuble information. Do you know if CO call would be followed by a Q&A (Question&Answer)? Lot of our folks want to hear more about current RFEs, if there is a QA, some one should be asking that question. Or is that not COs problem?

[Spectator]

Thanks Spec for helping the community with valuble information. Do you know if CO call would be followed by a Q&A (Question&Answer)? Lot of our folks want to hear more about current RFEs, if there is a QA, some one should be asking that question. Or is that not COs problem?

sreddy,

CO will not be part of this session in any form, as far as I am aware, so there will not be any Q&A with CO. If I remember correctly, CO is in a different timezone on that date. He offered to call in if the session could be moved to a different time, but AILA declined the offer.

The session will be presented by AILA members who have spoken to him recently. It seems unlikely they would be able to answer any further questions that arise.

The RFEs have been issued by USCIS. CO is in DOS and would not be able to answer questions on them anyway.

[qesehmk]

Guest ... I wonder if all backlog has been moved to TSC. That could be an excellent reason why only TSC has been sending out RFEs..

Hi Spec/Q

Any idea why only TSC is sending the RFEs and not NSC. Is NSC going to send the RFEs anytime soon, or will they send it only when the dates become current for those applications - If the dates open in Sept and NSC starts sending the RFEs, by the time the applicats send the responses Sept might be done and dates retrogress back?

Assuming they don't send the RFEs for some applications whose application is already preadjudicated - is there a possibility to still approve the application or is it going to be a standard process now to send RFE, review the response and approve/reject, if the application is preadjudicated long time back. I have a March 2008 PD - NSC - didn't receive RFE - wondering what the process would be and if it would be completed this year. Appreciate your comments.

Thank you !!

Thank you.

[Kanmani]

Guest ... I wonder if all backlog has been moved to TSC. That could be an excellent reason why only TSC has been sending out RFEs..

If that had happened, why only applications originally filed with TSC are getting RFEs ?

What is the reason to set aside all NSC originated pending files ?

I think that is not the case. NSC are little laid back.

[qesehmk]

I am only wondering. Is it a fact that only TSC originated cases are receiving RFEs?

If that had happened, why only applications originally filed with TSC are getting RFEs ?

What is the reason to set aside all NSC originated pending files ?

I think that is not the case. NSC are little laid back.

[vizcard]

maybe nebraskans are more trusting than texans ?

just kidding...If all backlog has indeed been moved to TSC AND only TSC originated cases are getting RFEs, then it might be bad news for Nebraska originated cases. I don't think the TSC would just rubber stamp NSC cases without doing their own due diligence.

Ofcourse, this is a total hypothetical scenario. So people don't freak out !!!

[Spectator]

I am only wondering. Is it a fact that only TSC originated cases are receiving RFEs?

Q,

With very, very, few exceptions, that is what I am seeing as well.

If people whose case was originally filed at NSC and later was transferred to TSC had received RFE, I think they would have mentioned that fact.

Also, the USCIS Dashboard figures through April 2013 do not show any evidence of a transfer of pre-adjudicated I-485 cases from NSC to TSC.

It wouldn't be the first time we have seen the Service Centers working in entirely different ways.

[qesehmk]

It wouldn't be the first time we have seen the Service Centers working in entirely different ways.

Totally true Spec.

[Guest123]

Thanks everyone for your replies. Does that mean there could be random approvals again - applicants from NSC before before 2007/2008 wouldn't get it, but applicants with 2008 PD from TSC can get it.

Is there a possibility for applicants from NSC who didn't get the RFE to still be approved?

[vizcard]

Thanks everyone for your replies. Does that mean there could be random approvals again - applicants from NSC before before 2007/2008 wouldn't get it, but applicants with 2008 PD from TSC can get it.

Is there a possibility for applicants from NSC who didn't get the RFE to still be approved?

There is a chance that the opposite will happen. "Newer" NSC cases getting approved before "older" TSC cases who have got RFEs.

About your second question, whether or not you get a RFE has got nothing to do with whether or not you will get approved. The only thing a RFE proves is that they have looked at your file recently. They could very well have looked at your file, decided they were satisfied and straightaway approved it without a RFE.

[longwait100]

There is a chance that the opposite will happen. "Newer" NSC cases getting approved before "older" TSC cases who have got RFEs.

About your second question, whether or not you get a RFE has got nothing to do with whether or not you will get approved. The only thing a RFE proves is that they have looked at your file recently. They could very well have looked at your file, decided they were satisfied and straightaway approved it without a RFE.

Vizcard, majority of the TSC applicants who got the boiler plate RFEs dated 6/14 have either responded already or should be responding to it by the end of June. TSC should be able to review most of these RFEs by the end of July (since these RFEs are pretty straight forward as per my attorney), these applications should be ready for approval from August 1st depending on how far the COD progress in the August bulletin. Until then, fingers crossed!

[Thomman]

Hi All...I am new member on the forum, but was following the forum for long time...I have a priority date on EB2 Jan 28 2008. Till yesterday my status was showing as Initial Review. From today it shows "At this time USCIS cannot provide status of your case at this time"

Any idea why this is hapening.

[vizcard]

Hi All...I am new member on the forum, but was following the forum for long time...I have a priority date on EB2 Jan 28 2008. Till yesterday my status was showing as Initial Review. From today it shows "At this time USCIS cannot provide status of your case at this time"

Any idea why this is hapening.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say technical difficulties

[Thomman]

I'm going to go out on a limb and say technical difficulties

not sure...because I am the inly one having te issus and my other numbers are returning results...planning to call them...

[Guest123]

If CIR passes this year, possibly before August (not sure even if Senate passes, Congress can pass it this year) , does it have any advantage for EB2I this FY?

[qesehmk]

McConnell voted -ve.

CIR has passed senate by 68-32.

[Thomman]

I'm going to go out on a limb and say technical difficulties

The status chnaged to RFE today.

[IJune05]

Gentlemen,

Does anyone have any update on this?
Thanks in advance,

The part of the AILA Conference we are most interested in will happen quite late on in the day at 4:00 PM to 5:00 PM Pacific Time on Thursday June 27, 2013.

No CO in person unfortunately.

4:00 pm–5:00 pm
The Visa Bulletin: A View from Charlie Oppenheim’s Desk

The movement of the numbers on the Visa Bulletin, forward and back, is one of the most poorly understood areas of immigration practice.

• Interaction Between Family– and Employment-based Preferences
• Interaction Between USCIS and DOS on Visa Numbers
• Charting the Interaction
• FY 2014 Projections and Beyond

Michael P. Nowlan (DL), AILA Business Immigration Committee Chair, Detroit, MI
Christopher A. Teras, Annandale, VA

http://ailahub.aila.org/i/138487 or http://www.ailadownloads.org/agora/i...13-Program.pdf from http://www.aila.org/content/default.aspx?docid=29445

I guess we are not going to hear anything until Friday at the earliest.

Not entirely new information I know, but the original posts are buried now.

[Spectator]

Gentlemen,

Does anyone have any update on this?
Thanks in advance,

IJune05,

This has been posted on the Oh Law site fairly recently:

06/27/2013: India EB-2 Cut-Off Date to August 2, 2008 in Next Visa Bulletin Confimed Here

Mr. Oppenheim was unable to attend the meeting here in SF, but through the related attorney, he released the information that the EB-2 India Visa Cut-Off date will indeed move to January1, 2008.

There are contradictory dates in the message - I think they do mean a move to 01JAN08 in the August VB.

[willywonka]

He corrected it, now it says 1jan 2008.

[billu77]

He corrected it, now it says 1jan 2008.

My wife's (dependent) case has been stuck in RFE response review since March 2012 (PD Oct 2007) when the dates retrogressed for EB 2 India. Now, the latest we hear is that the dates may move to Jan 1, 2008 in August VB. Are there any actions we need to take since we would only have 2 months (August, Sept) for follow-up when our date would be current. Should we just wait till mid of August and then contact USCIS/Senator etc or start following up from day one i.e. August 1st? thanks for the responses.

[natvyas]

I dont think the dates are going to move beyond Feb'08. The narrative in the Aug bulletin will forecast a 4-6 weeks movement in September which will take the COD to Feb 08 (just as in the News Flash on Murthy and Fragomen)

Personally with a 24th March 08 PD date, I'm disappointed. I was hoping that it would go till end of March but I guess not.

Regards
Nat

[druvraj]

I dont think the dates are going to move beyond Feb'08. The narrative in the Aug bulletin will forecast a 4-6 weeks movement in September which will take the COD to Feb 08 (just as in the News Flash on Murthy and Fragomen)

Personally with a 24th March 08 PD date, I'm disappointed. I was hoping that it would go till end of March but I guess not.

Regards
Nat

6 weeks from Jan 1 is about Feb 15. My PD is Feb 26. I really want it this time as I have a potential to get in to a fortune 5 company at a good position. All they need is LPR. This EAD crap is what they do not want to deal. I am hoping with a RFE the dates reach Mar 1. Let hope. Anyways after I respond to RFE nothing is in my hand. Would like an end to this but if this has to continue so be it. Wishing everybody good luck!

[Spectator]

The latest PERM Fact Sheet has been released, covering the period to June 15,2013.

DOL seem to have hit a new low for processing PERM.

With 2 weeks still to go in Q3, the number Certified in Q3 stands at 5,844. That compares to 12,123 in Q1 and 9,024 in Q2.

Denials are quite high, but that may reflect the quite public mass denials for certain Companies.

There was a significant drop in the number of PERM applications received in Q3 compared to the previous quarters. Overall, DOL are still reporting the number to date at 10% higher than FY2012.