EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2013

[Spectator]

The USCIS Dashboard has been updated with the April 2013 figures, for those that follow this.

[engineer]

Gurus,

How do I know if my case is "pre-adjudicate" . I do have EAD and AP does that mean I am pre-adjudicated? Please help me understand. - PD march08

Thanks!

[dec2007]

Gurus,

How do I know if my case is "pre-adjudicate" . I do have EAD and AP does that mean I am pre-adjudicated? Please help me understand. - PD march08

Thanks!

'

having ead and AP doesnot mean the app is preadjudcated. You can find by talking to L2 officer by calling uscis customer service number.

i was told my app was preadjudicated back in feb 2013, but i got RFE last week.

[qesehmk]

dec2007 - unfortunately USCIS is the judge jury and executioner on whether preadj apps should be issed an RFE.

i was told my app was preadjudicated back in feb 2013, but i got RFE last week.

[vizcard]

Gurus,

How do I know if my case is "pre-adjudicate" . I do have EAD and AP does that mean I am pre-adjudicated? Please help me understand. - PD march08

Thanks!

It ain't over till you get the "Card Production Ordered" text/email

[Arvind]

Hi,
can someone give me an idea on when can I expect my GC?
PD 12/31/2008 - EB2I.

Thanks
Arvind

[vizcard]

Hi,
can someone give me an idea on when can I expect my GC?
PD 12/31/2008 - EB2I.

Thanks
Arvind

assuming that we end of at Feb 2008 this year, we will need approx 15-20k spillover to get to Dec 2008. So right now id say 2015 but its too early to make any real predictions.

[Arvind]

Thanks Vizcard

[desitiger]

assuming that we end of at Feb 2008 this year, we will need approx 15-20k spillover to get to Dec 2008. So right now id say 2015 but its too early to make any real predictions.

How about last week of March 2008?

[gkjppp]

How about last week of March 2008?

chances are high that you will get urs this year.

[fun4dddd]

I am getting excited.
I am at April-02-2008/EB2-I.
Any ideas guru?

[indiani]

I am getting excited.
I am at April-02-2008/EB2-I.
Any ideas guru?

probably, not guaranteed.

august bulletin and before that AILA might give some clues.

I am still anxious with PD nov 2007 ( especially with RFE )

[NOV2007]

AILA meet is on 25th to 29th next week, I presume one still cann't confirm what will be the exact COD for AUG2013VB. We have to wait untill July10th to know what is the COD in AUG2013VB. All we can know after AILA meeting is same thing like what we read on Fragomen/Murthy websites that Dates can may move upto Feb2008 in Aug/or Sep VB.

probably, not guaranteed.

august bulletin and before that AILA might give some clues.

I am still anxious with PD nov 2007 ( especially with RFE )

[fun4dddd]

probably, not guaranteed.

august bulletin and before that AILA might give some clues.

I am still anxious with PD nov 2007 ( especially with RFE )

Thanks
I can understand the anxiety but when we look at the bigger picture GC is just a small thing in our life..

Enjoy your weekend!!!

[indiani]

AILA meet is on 25th to 29th next week, I presume one still cann't confirm what will be the exact COD for AUG2013VB. We have to wait untill July10th to know what is the COD in AUG2013VB. All we can know after AILA meeting is same thing like what we read on Fragomen/Murthy websites that Dates can may move upto Feb2008 in Aug/or Sep VB.

until the bulletin is released there is no guarantee about COD.

CO's language is always a bit vague so he certainly won't say " I will definitely move beyond this month"

[fun4dddd]

I think the CO should have moved the dates for India from where it is currently. It does not make sense to keep it at 2004.....

[drysnow]

Guys, saw this interesting post in trackitt

http://www.trackitt.com/member/sarshad5

He is 2006 EB2I and claiming that after June 14 th RFE, he received CPO mails. I am not sure about the veracity of his post but its really interesting.

Admins do not hesitate to remove this post if it turns out to be just a hoax

[Spectator]

Guys, saw this interesting post in trackitt

http://www.trackitt.com/member/sarshad5

He is 2006 EB2I and claiming that after June 14 th RFE, he received CPO mails. I am not sure about the veracity of his post but its really interesting.

Admins do not hesitate to remove this post if it turns out to be just a hoax

It is possible it is not actually a Card Production.

The actual status is - Your Case Status: Card/ Document Production

The text following is needed to know whether it is Card Production or Document Production.

If it is Card Production, it would say:

On June 21, 2013, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow 30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283.

If it was Document Production, it would say:

On June 21, 2013 we mailed the document to the address we have on file. You should receive the new document within 30 days. If you do not, or if you move before you get it, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283.

Given the post also mentions an address change, I would wager it was a Document Production and a letter has been mailed. The person does not provide the text of the document.

But stranger things have happened.

[indiani]

even though CO is unpredictable to some extent always, what is everyone prediction for august?

for july I made prediction of jan-july 2007 which turned out to be way out of line with real movement (which was none)

for Aug I am anticipating dec 2007 as I think CO might want to make only minimal movement in september.

[JosephM]

it is going to be July 2008 a gut feel

[vizcard]

even though CO is unpredictable to some extent always, what is everyone prediction for august?

for july I made prediction of jan-july 2007 which turned out to be way out of line with real movement (which was none)

for Aug I am anticipating dec 2007 as I think CO might want to make only minimal movement in september.

it is going to be July 2008 a gut feel

My sense is that he will move it to the furthest date he feels he can surely cover. no more no less. Whether thats July 2007, Dec 2007 or Feb 2008..I don't know. The Sept move will be whatever is left over..which may just be new porters.

[Spectator]

The part of the AILA Conference we are most interested in will happen quite late on in the day at 4:00 PM to 5:00 PM Pacific Time on Thursday June 27, 2013.

No CO in person unfortunately.

4:00 pm–5:00 pm
The Visa Bulletin: A View from Charlie Oppenheim’s Desk

The movement of the numbers on the Visa Bulletin, forward and back, is one of the most poorly understood areas of immigration practice.

• Interaction Between Family– and Employment-based Preferences
• Interaction Between USCIS and DOS on Visa Numbers
• Charting the Interaction
• FY 2014 Projections and Beyond

Michael P. Nowlan (DL), AILA Business Immigration Committee Chair, Detroit, MI
Christopher A. Teras, Annandale, VA

http://ailahub.aila.org/i/138487 or http://www.ailadownloads.org/agora/i...13-Program.pdf from http://www.aila.org/content/default.aspx?docid=29445

I guess we are not going to hear anything until Friday at the earliest.

Not entirely new information I know, but the original posts are buried now.

[qesehmk]

Thanks Spec. Added to the calendar. Next time please add directly if u can.

Few weeks back - I was pleasantly surprised when the calendar said -- some data was due - and the same day you published news about USCIS publishing the data.

The part of the AILA Conference we are most interested in will happen quite late on in the day at 4:00 PM to 5:00 PM Pacific Time on Thursday June 27, 2013.

No CO in person unfortunately.

4:00 pm–5:00 pm
The Visa Bulletin: A View from Charlie Oppenheim’s Desk

The movement of the numbers on the Visa Bulletin, forward and back, is one of the most poorly understood areas of immigration practice.

• Interaction Between Family– and Employment-based Preferences
• Interaction Between USCIS and DOS on Visa Numbers
• Charting the Interaction
• FY 2014 Projections and Beyond

Michael P. Nowlan (DL), AILA Business Immigration Committee Chair, Detroit, MI
Christopher A. Teras, Annandale, VA

http://ailahub.aila.org/i/138487 or from http://www.aila.org/content/default.aspx?docid=29445

I guess we are not going to hear anything until Friday at the earliest.

Not entirely new information I know, but the original posts are buried now.

[grooming]

Q/Spec,
According to your calculations what would be the PD in Oct 2013 VB for EB2I?

[Spectator]

Thanks Spec. Added to the calendar. Next time please add directly if u can.

Few weeks back - I was pleasantly surprised when the calendar said -- some data was due - and the same day you published news about USCIS publishing the data.

Q,

Thanks. A good idea. I didn't consider it for the Calendar because there is too little room for further explanation.

I think you were referring to the USCIS Dashboard which I did put into the Calendar previously. That is one of the more reliable ones for updating on time.