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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2013

  1. #3076
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    Quote Originally Posted by civilengineer View Post
    EB-5 could slow down a little due to RBI rules
    http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/...w/21923165.cms
    It's unlikely to have any effect.

    EB5-India only accounted for 77 approvals last year out of 7,641 (1%).
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  2. #3077
    Yes, civilengineer - for good or bad - that article is a joke.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  3. #3078
    Hello Guys,

    I wanted to ask a quick question: do you know at what stage a visa number is assigned to your I485? Is it at last stage, just before they are done with all background check, other verifications & ready to approve ?

  4. #3079
    Once an application is documentarily qualified in all aspects, which includes successful completion of background checks, a visa is requested. if visas are available for the case, a visa number gets assigned and GC is issued. if visa numbers are not available the case at the time of request the case will remain in demand until visas are available.

  5. #3080
    Thanks Matt. So after finger printing is done, do we know how much time does it takes for background check and other things? I have used two names in my I485 application (other names used) so do you think my application will be delayed because of this?

    Appreciate your opinion on this.

  6. #3081
    Hi Gurus,Q
    When will we know how many spillover used this year?

  7. #3082
    Quote Originally Posted by helooo View Post
    Hi Gurus,Q
    When will we know how many spillover used this year?
    We will have a rough idea when 485 inventory as of end of Sep 2013 published.

    We will have clear idea when the DHS annual report comes out.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  8. #3083
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vkkpnm View Post
    Thanks Matt. So after finger printing is done, do we know how much time does it takes for background check and other things? I have used two names in my I485 application (other names used) so do you think my application will be delayed because of this?

    Appreciate your opinion on this.
    it will take longer obviously to check out both names. nothing can be done about it.

  9. #3084

  10. #3085
    Hello Everyone,

    Just an update. Both my case and the dependent case status changed today to initial review. PD is 08/2008.

    Thanks

  11. #3086
    Quote Originally Posted by JackD1 View Post
    Hello Everyone,

    Just an update. Both my case and the dependent case status changed today to initial review. PD is 08/2008.

    Thanks
    Your PD is not current but the change is good. I am hoping that USCIS is looking to move the dates further ahead.

  12. #3087
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    PD+5 yrs

    today is that day for me ofcourse the rule doesn't apply to me

  13. #3088
    Quote Originally Posted by vizcard View Post
    today is that day for me ofcourse the rule doesn't apply to me
    Viz,

    PD+6 won't apply to you either, your approval will be before that.. Good luck..

  14. #3089
    Quote Originally Posted by vizcard View Post
    today is that day for me ofcourse the rule doesn't apply to me
    PD + 5 does not apply to most... I think the rule needs modification...

    I will be Pd + 5 and no EAD yet...

  15. #3090
    Quote Originally Posted by Jagan01 View Post
    PD + 5 does not apply to most... I think the rule needs modification...

    I will be Pd + 5 and no EAD yet...
    Spec,

    I am reading data from trackitt that is different from what u fetched. I am sure that it would be an error on my side. But I will just represent the data anyways. Please correct me as to where I am going wrong.

    The number of applicants who applied for I-485 in Aug 2013 so far is 75. Also many entries are by repeated usernames and therefore the actual count would be more like 68. I will represent data for last 4 months as that is more interesting.

    Dec 07 - 06
    Nov 07 - 10
    Oct 07 - 08
    Sep 07 - 10

  16. #3091
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jagan01 View Post
    Spec,

    I am reading data from trackitt that is different from what u fetched. I am sure that it would be an error on my side. But I will just represent the data anyways. Please correct me as to where I am going wrong.

    The number of applicants who applied for I-485 in Aug 2013 so far is 75. Also many entries are by repeated usernames and therefore the actual count would be more like 68. I will represent data for last 4 months as that is more interesting.

    Dec 07 - 06
    Nov 07 - 10
    Oct 07 - 08
    Sep 07 - 10
    Jagan,

    I wouldn't worry about it too much.

    I have extracted the figures from a database I keep based on the Trackitt data.

    As you have observed, the original Trackitt data is quite messy.

    All new entries are checked against existing entries so there shouldn't be any duplicates.

    What can happen is that people subsequently remove their case. If that happens, it will still be in my database but not in the actual Trackitt tracker. It happens more than you would think.

    I've been keeping it since October 2011 and it it just too difficult to cross check against the latest information in the Tracker when I can only grab 50 records at a time. I have over 4k records in the database now and it forms the basis for these posts.

    I use Country of Chargeablity = India. If you are using Nationality = India you will almost certainly get lower figures. That's a possibility.

    My latest figures for PD 2007

    Jan-07 --- 1
    Feb-07 --- 1
    Mar-07 --- 1
    Apr-07 --- 2
    May-07 --- 3
    Jun-07 --- 3
    Jul-07 --- 6
    Aug-07 --- 5
    Sep-07 -- 13
    Oct-07 -- 12
    Nov-07 -- 14
    Dec-07 --- 9
    Total --- 70


    Either way, it should still give the trend.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  17. #3092
    My case status changed to Initial review as well on August 17, 2013. PD is July 22, 2008.

    Dependent case status has not changed.

    What does this mean. It may mean nothing, it is possible that they are just looking at cases close to current priority date. If all visas are used quickly, dates retrogresss this may mean nothing or it may be a good news.

    Any comments by experts over here.


    Quote Originally Posted by JackD1 View Post
    Hello Everyone,

    Just an update. Both my case and the dependent case status changed today to initial review. PD is 08/2008.

    Thanks

  18. #3093

    This is good news..

    Quote Originally Posted by Jagan01 View Post
    Your PD is not current but the change is good. I am hoping that USCIS is looking to move the dates further ahead.
    short by 18 days!!!

  19. #3094
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    Gurus.. quick Q:

    A friend of mine has a EB3 PD in 2005. He has ported to EB2 and I140 is approved. However his 485 (that he filed for EB3 in 2007 fiasco) is still in review status since 2010. Now he is current.

    What are his options to find out what is going on with this 485 application.

    Thanks in advance for your advise!

  20. #3095
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    Quote Originally Posted by skpanda View Post
    Gurus.. quick Q:

    A friend of mine has a EB3 PD in 2005. He has ported to EB2 and I140 is approved. However his 485 (that he filed for EB3 in 2007 fiasco) is still in review status since 2010. Now he is current.

    What are his options to find out what is going on with this 485 application.

    Thanks in advance for your advise!
    Other than calling USCIS and opening an SR (since his application is outside of normal processing times), I don't think there is anything else that your friend could do. Requesting help from Congressman and/or Senator would be another option.
    TSC | PD: 09/07/07 | RD: 11/01/11 | ND: 11/02/11
    FP Notice: 11/17/11 | FP Appt: 12/08/11 | FP early walk-in completed: 11/21/11
    EAD/AP: Approved 12/28/11, Received 12/31/11
    RFE#1: Notification 08/28/12, Received Notices 09/04/12 (submit BC),

    RFE#1: Responded 10/12/2012, Received "RFE response received" notice: 10/16/2012

    RFE#2: Notification 06/14/2013, Received Notices 06/16/2013 (submit EVL/EAD),
    RFE#2: Responded 06/19/2013.
    I-485 Approved (Primary & Dependent): 10/07/13


  21. #3096
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    Quote Originally Posted by tackle View Post
    Other than calling USCIS and opening an SR (since his application is outside of normal processing times), I don't think there is anything else that your friend could do. Requesting help from Congressman and/or Senator would be another option.
    Thank you.. can you please point me to any link that gives the procedure to open a SR?

    Regards,
    S

  22. #3097
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    Quote Originally Posted by w253sxs View Post
    My case status changed to Initial review as well on August 17, 2013. PD is July 22, 2008.

    Dependent case status has not changed.

    What does this mean. It may mean nothing, it is possible that they are just looking at cases close to current priority date. If all visas are used quickly, dates retrogresss this may mean nothing or it may be a good news.

    Any comments by experts over here.
    Quote Originally Posted by geevikram View Post
    short by 18 days!!!
    Guys
    There is zero chance that dates will move ahead in Oct.... absolutely ZERO. Some differ whether COD will retrogress or not (I believe it will) but there is absolutely consensus that dates will not move forward any time soon.

  23. #3098
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    Quote Originally Posted by vizcard View Post
    Guys
    There is zero chance that dates will move ahead in Oct.... absolutely ZERO. Some differ whether COD will retrogress or not (I believe it will) but there is absolutely consensus that dates will not move forward any time soon.
    vizcard,

    I, for one, agree with you.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  24. #3099
    Quote Originally Posted by tackle View Post
    Other than calling USCIS and opening an SR (since his application is outside of normal processing times), I don't think there is anything else that your friend could do. Requesting help from Congressman and/or Senator would be another option.
    One more option is to take an Info pass appointment.

  25. #3100
    Quote Originally Posted by gcq View Post
    One more option is to take an Info pass appointment.
    I am guessing opening a SR and Info Pass are only valid for USCIS and not for DOL. I want to check on my PERM status since the dates are current for Sept.

    Thanks!

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