based on your latest analysis on trackitt it appears that as many as 60 ( including dependents) might have been approved and if you consider this 10% then maybe 600 are approved and I have a feeling that both of us will get approval by SaturdayOriginally Posted by MATT2012
I was just helping the OP, as he wanted to see PD of approved cases. I actually wanted to break up the data by porting cases to understand better. Based on PD of the cases, it is very close, 50:50 between interfiling and regular. By end of next week we may be able to make some reasonable projections . I do like your feeling about our approvals, Amen to thatbased on your latest analysis on trackitt it appears that as many as 60 ( including dependents) might have been approved and if you consider this 10% then maybe 600 are approved and I have a feeling that both of us will get approval by Saturday
Last edited by MATT2012; 08-02-2013 at 12:38 AM.
called L2 and she said its in " review" / "processing" and she can't say when decision can be made.
Its one of the most primitive and inefficient system and I am starting to get bit anxious already even though we are still in the "2nd over" ( cricket jargon).
I thought the pace will really pick up today but it appears that it might be a bit slower than yesterday and the system is anything but transparent.
Trackitt posts are the only info we can get about the approval rate as even the tracker isn't being updated right away by most.
I am checking my email and online status almost every few minutes ( visceral reaction)
Indiani, I hear you buddy, today seems to be a little slow so far based on the trackitt approvals......getting a little anxious too but I guess we don't have any other option other than just wait, wait and wait for our turn.
hope we get to see the light soon!
set up the text messaging thing... its the best...unless ofcourse you have your email pushed to your phone.
EB2 - PD 15NOV2007, still in initial review, getting nervous. I talked to L2 officer and she said its been pre-adj and someone worked on the case yesterday ... What that means? if someone worked means, is there any other "line of people" that needs to work on single case ?
This wait is killing me, do not want to miss this time ...
I have txt/email alerts set and also have email notification in iphone but when i got RFE, just online status changed , no email or txt.
Gurus pls help me understand this....if most of the cases upto Jan 1st 2008 are pre-adjudicated and are also accounted for in the demand data, why is the speed of 485 approvals so anemic?
I understand that 485 approval is not done merely by the push of a button, but shouldn't take more than a few minutes to approve a per-adj case. what am I missing here?
longwait,
Considering everything, I don't think the pace of approvals is particularly slow. Judge it in a week when the early dates start to become more representative.
I wouldn't agree that all cases are accounted for in the DD - a significant number of porting applications are not IMO.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Picking Low hanging fruits: Demand existing in 2005 and untouched till todate would have lot of Qs to be attended as to a DD as fresh as a classic ported case with fresh I-140 as late as Jan/Feb 2013 which will get fast approval
As SPEC mentioned earlier - it is a classic example of 'Picking Low hanging fruits/
thanks for the response Spec, I was actually pointing towards the direct EB2I cases prior to Jan 1st 2008 that are already pre-adjudicated and accounted for in the DD. I was expecting the rate of approval to pick up starting today since we got about 8000 direct EB2I cases prior to Jan 1st 2008 all set for approval just needing a visa number to push the approval button.
Anyways as you suggested, let's wait and watch the space!
what percentage of total trackitt cases are approved, I could see the score card where mostly primary approvals are there and there are about 44 approvals now., is there anyway to calculate what is the number of total EB2I cases prior to Jan 2008 on trackitt?
then we can see what percentage of total cases are approved.
The only extra step for the cases not in the DD that already have a pre-adjudicated I-485 under EB3 is to request the visa under EB2. That might be 2 screens and less than a minute. I don't think cases showing in the DD as EB2 have any particular advantage over that type of case.
If there is no pre-existing I-485 then the IOs won't be seeing them for some time yet.
PS:- Anyone else having trouble accessing the forum today? There's large period where the site times out for me.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
most of them if not all in trackitt EB2 approvals in last 2 days has "received email from attorney" and priority dates in 2013. I signed up for email notification for any status change. Is there a chance my attorney gets status change notification without me getting SMS/email/online status change?
no. if the change is made online, you will also get it.
Speed of approvals from NSC seems to be reasonable and going along at a steady pace while TSC seems to be a little sluggish...anyone knows if TSC works on Saturdays?....if so, let's hope they do a better job tomorrow otherwise on the hook until Monday, next week.
I just called uscis and spoke with L2.
He said my case is pending since 2012 when i last responded to rfe. I then asked if my case is pre adjudicated and he still said it is pending since 2012. Didnt say it has been preadjudicated. He said he will raise a request to get exact status
Im now concerned if it is pending is it not touched yet for preadjudication. I hope i will get approval in this window.
EB-2 Ind- PD - Dec 07 ( Derivative- primary 485 approved ) ; 485 Applied- Dec 10 2011; Rcvd - Dec 14th 2011; EAD Received - Jan 2012 ; 485 Case x-fer from TSC to NSC : March 2012; 485 RFE Received : April 2012 ; 485 RFE Response Review status : May 2012 ; 485 Address Change : April 2013 ; 485 Online status change: Initial Review April 2013 ; 485 Approval : Aug 20 , 2013 ;
The rate of approvals are about the same as yesterday with NSC performing better and TSC slightly worse,
I suspect there could be some approval emails/txts tomorrow also, not as many as weekday numbers.
approx. . 2000 pending cases ( EB2I who are current) on trackitt, of which 50 got approved
that's about 2.5%, ( very rough estimate and I welcome any other alternate explanations)
I think everyone who is current won't be approved in august, some might get in September and few might not get this fiscal year ( the percentage of the few is unknown , hopefully very small )
Not even a single approval today so far
Give it a week, many individuals may not have visited trackitt after the last fiasco. Some individuals wait until receiving physical GC to update trackitt. I do think that next two weeks are crucial, I hope VB gets released by next Friday and for sure we will get the required direction.approx. . 2000 pending cases ( EB2I who are current) on trackitt, of which 50 got approved
that's about 2.5%, ( very rough estimate and I welcome any other alternate explanations)
I think everyone who is current won't be approved in august, some might get in September and few might not get this fiscal year ( the percentage of the few is unknown , hopefully very small )
Not even a single approval today so far
eventually some approvals today even though slower than a weekday, I think the actual trackitt approvals might be slightly higher than the updated ones and moreover the scoreboard did not add all dependents, so I am guessing the actual total approvals might have been somewhere like 5% of total DD so far.
That's probably a fair point.
The number becoming Current in September is likely to be far lower than the number that became Current in August.
USCIS have up to 2 months to approve the total.
Unlike previous years, there is some additional demand for adjudication time from most of EB3, who are playing catch up to use their visa allocation after the large forward movement and stalling of approvals earlier in the year.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
one of my friends who is ROW got GC with the online status till in acceptance.
same thing happened to me regarding h-1, even though the approval was sent to attorney, the online status was still in acceptance, I don't know how common it is for GC, I haven't heard of anyone mentioning anywhere for GC apart from one case I know so I think it might be like less than 1%.
I doubt the USCUS seriously considers giving final decision on every case that is current this fiscal year, as no one will see their own lives/ careers affected in anyway at uscis. ( I doubt uscis staff or management knows that people actually are as anxious as many of us are about this stuff)
This reminds me of govt. hospital in india where no one is accountable for their actions
when there are repurcussions for " loss to others based on our actions" then the quality will improve dramatically. In this case uscis is more or less is like govt. hospital in india so almost nothing will surprise me in the way they do things.
before people start ganging up on me about this comparision, that's based on my life experience and those are my familiar exposures and obviously cannot compare in literal sense but just wanted to make a point.
Looking at the trackitt scorecard, seems like Saturday was the best day so far for approvals @ TSC.
Let's hope we get to see an increasing trend of approvals for this week so the probability of getting picked and approved goes up for everyone waiting.
from Monday it is supposed to increase even more.
I would like to see upto 50 approvals a day on trackitt, now its about 25 ( average), good news is TSC is picking up pace.
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