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Thread: All Aug 2013 485 APPROVALS & DISCUSSION - report here with details

  1. #751
    Quote Originally Posted by goforgreen View Post
    Very happy to update that I got CPO emails yesterday for myself and spouse.

    I would like to thank Q for starting and maintaining this site. This site brought much needed sanity to the wait, dont know how much more frustrated I would have been without this site and the wonderful folks here.

    Would like to thank Teddy (I've some posts of yours saved in my local machine, I used to read those when I was down and frustrated like "I believe if the next intake happens in a timely manner there is a good chance that everyone in 2007 will have their GC in hand by Sep 2012, " you were bang on target but for USCIS issuing GCs to people in 2008 before 2007 folks, no hard feelings to 2008 folks though) , Soggadu ( your posts brought lot of humor and made the wait bearable), Spec (for the impeccable calculations), Nishant, Veni, and last but not least Pedro who said two days back that I dont have to wait for another year. Your words came true Pedro, all the best to you and I wish you get yours very soon.

    We have a wonderful bunch of folks here, would like to continue discussion on topics of interest in future.
    Congrats goforgreen! Very happy for you. Enjoy the long weekend in your new found freedom!

  2. #752
    Quote Originally Posted by goforgreen View Post
    Very happy to update that I got CPO emails yesterday for myself and spouse.

    I would like to thank Q for starting and maintaining this site. This site brought much needed sanity to the wait, dont know how much more frustrated I would have been without this site and the wonderful folks here.

    Would like to thank Teddy (I've some posts of yours saved in my local machine, I used to read those when I was down and frustrated like "I believe if the next intake happens in a timely manner there is a good chance that everyone in 2007 will have their GC in hand by Sep 2012, " you were bang on target but for USCIS issuing GCs to people in 2008 before 2007 folks, no hard feelings to 2008 folks though) , Soggadu ( your posts brought lot of humor and made the wait bearable), Spec (for the impeccable calculations), Nishant, Veni, and last but not least Pedro who said two days back that I dont have to wait for another year. Your words came true Pedro, all the best to you and I wish you get yours very soon.

    We have a wonderful bunch of folks here, would like to continue discussion on topics of interest in future.
    Congrats, and thanks for the shoutout. Tackle, you're next! Hopefully, today. If not, early next week.

  3. #753
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    Quote Originally Posted by goforgreen View Post
    Very happy to update that I got CPO emails yesterday for myself and spouse.
    Congratulations...pop the bubbly! What a wonderful and relaxing long weekend you'll have. All the best for everything ahead!
    PD - 3/15/2008 EB2 I TSC l RD - 1/6/2012 l ND - 1/10/2012
    CPO - Awaited

  4. #754
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    Latest update.

    A little summary of where the August approvals are currently (which will immediately out of date). It's, as usual, based on primary applicants who have updated the Trackitt I-485 tracker with the approval.

    Total to date - 517

    August ----- 1 -- 2 -- 3 -- 4 -- 5 -- 6 -- 7 -- 8 -- 9 - 10 - 11 - 12 - 13 - 14 - 15 - 16 - 17 - 18 - 19 - 20 - 21 - 22 - 23 - 24 - 25 - 26 - 27 - 28 - 29 - 30
    Number ---- 21 - 25 - 11 -- 0 - 27 - 32 - 42 - 28 - 33 - 12 -- 0 - 36 - 25 - 15 - 32 - 10 - 13 -- 0 - 39 - 10 - 17 - 27 - 17 -- 5 -- 0 - 14 -- 3 - 15 -- 8 -- 0


    Service Center

    Nebraska - 228 -- 44.10%
    Texas ---- 287 -- 55.51%
    California - 2 --- 0.39%
    Vermont ---- 0 --- 0.00%

    Total ---- 517 - 100.00%


    Priority Date

    PD ------ NSC --- TSC --- CSC --- VSC --- Total ---- %
    2003 ------ 1 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------- 1 --- 0.20%
    2004 ----- 18 ---- 13 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------ 31 --- 6.00%
    2005 ----- 30 ---- 24 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------ 54 -- 10.44%
    2006 ----- 49 ---- 32 ----- 1 ----- 0 ------ 82 -- 15.86%
    2007 ---- 130 --- 215 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- 346 -- 66.92%
    2008 ------ 0 ----- 3 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------- 3 --- 0.58%
    Total --- 228 --- 287 ----- 2 ----- 0 ----- 517 - 100.00%


    Pre 2007 PD - 168 -- 32.50%
    2007 PD ----- 346 -- 66.92%
    2008 PD ------- 3 --- 0.58%

    Total ------- 517 - 100.00%


    Prior to August, there were 128 approvals in FY2013.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  5. #755
    Gurus,

    My congresswoman's office received the following response from Congressional Liasion, Texas Service Center regarding my pending i-485 on 26th Aug 2013 (posting it today since the actual letter was received by me earlier today):

    In regards to your inquiry for above individual's i-485 application (SRC07262XXXXX) has current FBI fingerprints and name checks as well as a current visa available. I have requested the file from the file room and once I receive the file, I will assign it to an adjudicator for review. Please allow 45-60 days for a decision or other Notice of Action for this i-485 application.

    My question is:
    - How much time does it take to retrieve/receive file from File room? Anybody who got a similar response earlier?
    - Can I expect a decision in next 15 days or so? Planning to travel back to India after approx 4 years from 15 Sept-30 Sept since my wife did not have an EAD till few days ago. I know that I can travel using EAD/Advance Parole and even if I get an approval while I am outside US, I can mention about my GC approval while talking to immigration officer at PoE. My concern is that if I get an approval email by say 13 Sept, but do not receive the physical card, can I travel using Advance Parole in such a scenario?

    Any thoughts or feedback will be highly appreciated.

  6. #756
    Hi Niksammy


    My question is:
    - How much time does it take to retrieve/receive file from File room? Anybody who got a similar response earlier?

    hopefully before the end of spet., but no one can tell exact time.-

    Can I expect a decision in next 15 days or so?

    most likely
    Planning to travel back to India after approx 4 years from 15 Sept-30 Sept since my wife did not have an EAD till few days ago. I know that I can travel using EAD/Advance Parole and even if I get an approval while I am outside US, I can mention about my GC approval while talking to immigration officer at PoE. My concern is that if I get an approval email by say 13 Sept, but do not receive the physical card, can I travel using Advance Parole in such a scenario?

    when you enter you can tell officer that your GC is approved, have AP just in case
    Last edited by indiani; 08-30-2013 at 05:20 PM.

  7. #757
    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    Latest update.

    A little summary of where the August approvals are currently (which will immediately out of date). It's, as usual, based on primary applicants who have updated the Trackitt I-485 tracker with the approval.

    Total to date - 517

    August ----- 1 -- 2 -- 3 -- 4 -- 5 -- 6 -- 7 -- 8 -- 9 - 10 - 11 - 12 - 13 - 14 - 15 - 16 - 17 - 18 - 19 - 20 - 21 - 22 - 23 - 24 - 25 - 26 - 27 - 28 - 29 - 30
    Number ---- 21 - 25 - 11 -- 0 - 27 - 32 - 42 - 28 - 33 - 12 -- 0 - 36 - 25 - 15 - 32 - 10 - 13 -- 0 - 39 - 10 - 17 - 27 - 17 -- 5 -- 0 - 14 -- 3 - 15 -- 8 -- 0


    Service Center

    Nebraska - 228 -- 44.10%
    Texas ---- 287 -- 55.51%
    California - 2 --- 0.39%
    Vermont ---- 0 --- 0.00%

    Total ---- 517 - 100.00%


    Priority Date

    PD ------ NSC --- TSC --- CSC --- VSC --- Total ---- %
    2003 ------ 1 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------- 1 --- 0.20%
    2004 ----- 18 ---- 13 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------ 31 --- 6.00%
    2005 ----- 30 ---- 24 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------ 54 -- 10.44%
    2006 ----- 49 ---- 32 ----- 1 ----- 0 ------ 82 -- 15.86%
    2007 ---- 130 --- 215 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- 346 -- 66.92%
    2008 ------ 0 ----- 3 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------- 3 --- 0.58%
    Total --- 228 --- 287 ----- 2 ----- 0 ----- 517 - 100.00%


    Pre 2007 PD - 168 -- 32.50%
    2007 PD ----- 346 -- 66.92%
    2008 PD ------- 3 --- 0.58%

    Total ------- 517 - 100.00%


    Prior to August, there were 128 approvals in FY2013.
    spec,

    the last week has been painfully slow, my guess is 8k might have been approved, considering last couple of weeks the actual approvals were like 25/day average on good days but trackitt was updated by 15 average ( both numbers for primary)

  8. #758
    Nik - your case is most likely preadjudicated. So the moment your file is fetched and assigned to an adjudicator ... there won't be much to do. I believe you should receive GC even before you leave.

    But regardless you can travel since you seem to have a valid AP. (EAD is not for travel and reentry.). If you get a GC meanwhile when you were travelling ... then the IO will let you in even without AP!!

    Enjoy the India trip!

    Quote Originally Posted by Niksammy View Post
    Gurus,

    My congresswoman's office received the following response from Congressional Liasion, Texas Service Center regarding my pending i-485 on 26th Aug 2013 (posting it today since the actual letter was received by me earlier today):

    In regards to your inquiry for above individual's i-485 application (SRC07262XXXXX) has current FBI fingerprints and name checks as well as a current visa available. I have requested the file from the file room and once I receive the file, I will assign it to an adjudicator for review. Please allow 45-60 days for a decision or other Notice of Action for this i-485 application.

    My question is:
    - How much time does it take to retrieve/receive file from File room? Anybody who got a similar response earlier?
    - Can I expect a decision in next 15 days or so? Planning to travel back to India after approx 4 years from 15 Sept-30 Sept since my wife did not have an EAD till few days ago. I know that I can travel using EAD/Advance Parole and even if I get an approval while I am outside US, I can mention about my GC approval while talking to immigration officer at PoE. My concern is that if I get an approval email by say 13 Sept, but do not receive the physical card, can I travel using Advance Parole in such a scenario?

    Any thoughts or feedback will be highly appreciated.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  9. #759
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Nik - your case is most likely preadjudicated. So the moment your file is fetched and assigned to an adjudicator ... there won't be much to do. I believe you should receive GC even before you leave.

    But regardless you can travel since you seem to have a valid AP. (EAD is not for travel and reentry.). If you get a GC meanwhile when you were travelling ... then the IO will let you in even without AP!!

    Enjoy the India trip!
    Q,
    Thanks as always for the quick response . Yes, my case is already pre-adjudicated (confirmed by L2 on 5th July 2013). When I mentioned traveling using EAD, I meant EAD/AP combo card - my bad, I should have explicitly mentioned AP.

    Regarding traveling using AP, my concern is regarding a scenario where I get my approval email before leaving US but do not get the physical card in hand.

    Lets say that I am leaving on 15th Sept 2013 and I get the magic mail on 13th Sept 2013. Since it can take almost a week to physical green card, can I still travel using AP and re-enter (even though my green card has been approved)?

    I thought that if your green card has been approved while I am still in US but I have not received it in mail, I MUST wait till I get the green card before traveling. PLEASE note that this scenario is different from a case where you travel using AP, while you are outside US, GC is approved and then you enter using AP and inform the IO.

  10. #760
    You are welcome Nik. I wouldn't worry too much about that. You can always tell the CO that you didn't receive the cards until you left for India. As I always say the US is quite kind to its own people!! With GC - don't know if you know this but you become a "US Person" - not a citizen yet ... but a "US Person" in the eyes of the government.
    Quote Originally Posted by Niksammy View Post
    Q,
    Thanks as always for the quick response . Yes, my case is already pre-adjudicated (confirmed by L2 on 5th July 2013). When I mentioned traveling using EAD, I meant EAD/AP combo card - my bad, I should have explicitly mentioned AP.

    Regarding traveling using AP, my concern is regarding a scenario where I get my approval email before leaving US but do not get the physical card in hand.

    Lets say that I am leaving on 15th Sept 2013 and I get the magic mail on 13th Sept 2013. Since it can take almost a week to physical green card, can I still travel using AP and re-enter (even though my green card has been approved)?

    I thought that if your green card has been approved while I am still in US but I have not received it in mail, I MUST wait till I get the green card before traveling. PLEASE note that this scenario is different from a case where you travel using AP, while you are outside US, GC is approved and then you enter using AP and inform the IO.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  11. #761
    Thanks Indiani !

    I hope that you are having fun giving it back to your crazy employer after getting GREENED

  12. #762
    Q,

    Appreciate the quick response. I hope to share the good news on this forum soon.

  13. #763
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by indiani View Post
    spec,

    the last week has been painfully slow, my guess is 8k might have been approved, considering last couple of weeks the actual approvals were like 25/day average on good days but trackitt was updated by 15 average ( both numbers for primary)
    indiani,

    I'd agree that is in the ballpark.

    That would mean 10.5 - 11k have been approved for the year to date.

    A similar performance in September will probably be close to using the number of visas available for FY2013.

    To me, that means several thousand cases within the September COD will fall into FY2014, which doesn't bode well for movement next year.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  14. #764

    Gurus.. Please advice

    I am not sure what I can do next here.

    Filed labor in August 03.
    Stuck in backlog for 4 years
    Filed for 140 and 485 in July 2007
    Spouse filed for EB3 in July 2006
    2012 Spouse filed for EB2 labor in 2012, and got 140 approval and date ported to July 2006 for 140

    Jun 14 2013 , got RFE for spouse, RFE response status by July 02 2013
    August 1 2013, EB2 dates are current so her lawyer filed request for her EB2 application to be linked to mine
    I also spoke to Level 2 who created SR and by August 2, they informed that application is in EB2 category
    Case status change from RFE response review to Initial review on august 13th
    Also spoke to congressman who got response on August 19 that request has been sent to I485 supervisor and I should get decision or notice of action in 30 days.
    I also have Info Pass appointment for September 06

    Honestly I am getting close to believing I might not be getting GC this year. Because if it has gone to a supervisor then not sure whether it will be decision or RFE.

    Just wanted to check with gurus if there is anything else I can do except waiting....
    Last edited by sandyn16; 08-30-2013 at 09:27 PM.

  15. #765
    Sandy,

    I aint a guru by any standards , but based on everything you mentioned above, you should be getting the GC this year (hoping numbers will still be available). IMHO there's nothing that says, your file will go to a supervisor ONLY to be scrutinized closely. Hopefully you will get the good news soon. I agree and understand that these are tense moments....hang in there, you are CLOSE....

    And yes, you can pray while you wait, I did the same .

    Good Luck!
    Last edited by haripathhi; 08-30-2013 at 10:30 PM. Reason: typo

  16. #766
    sandy - youve done everything right. My judgement is - you should be greened this year with 99.99% certainty. Enjoy the weekend. Don't overthink this.
    Quote Originally Posted by sandyn16 View Post
    I am not sure what I can do next here.

    Filed labor in August 03.
    Stuck in backlog for 4 years
    Filed for 140 and 485 in July 2007
    Spouse filed for EB3 in July 2006
    2012 Spouse filed for EB2 labor in 2012, and got 140 approval and date ported to July 2006 for 140

    Jun 14 2013 , got RFE for spouse, RFE response status by July 02 2013
    August 1 2013, EB2 dates are current so her lawyer filed request for her EB2 application to be linked to mine
    I also spoke to Level 2 who created SR and by August 2, they informed that application is in EB2 category
    Case status change from RFE response review to Initial review on august 13th
    Also spoke to congressman who got response on August 19 that request has been sent to I485 supervisor and I should get decision or notice of action in 30 days.
    I also have Info Pass appointment for September 06

    Honestly I am getting close to believing I might not be getting GC this year. Because if it has gone to a supervisor then not sure whether it will be decision or RFE.

    Just wanted to check with gurus if there is anything else I can do except waiting....
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  17. #767
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    indiani,

    I'd agree that is in the ballpark.

    That would mean 10.5 - 11k have been approved for the year to date.

    A similar performance in September will probably be close to using the number of visas available for FY2013.

    To me, that means several thousand cases within the September COD will fall into FY2014, which doesn't bode well for movement next year.
    In my opinion USCIS has done reasonably well till this point. I know there are few friends on this forum yet to be approved but I am pretty confident they would be cleared soon. Also judging by trackitt threads initial fears of too many people being left behind seems to have vanished ( have not looked at numbers because IMO they just provide overall higher level picture. Guessing actual numbers based on trackitt numbers..well I would not go there..too many variables).

    As for next year, I think we knew all the way that some numbers are going to be carried forward, so not really a surprise. At this point I would not worry much about how it will affect next years movement. Its too early. Till recently we were thinking that this year would be 'not so good' year for the movement ...but as we all know dates have moved much beyond 'most optimistic scenario'.

  18. #768
    Quote Originally Posted by sandyn16 View Post
    I am not sure what I can do next here.

    Filed labor in August 03.
    Stuck in backlog for 4 years
    Filed for 140 and 485 in July 2007
    Spouse filed for EB3 in July 2006
    2012 Spouse filed for EB2 labor in 2012, and got 140 approval and date ported to July 2006 for 140

    Jun 14 2013 , got RFE for spouse, RFE response status by July 02 2013
    August 1 2013, EB2 dates are current so her lawyer filed request for her EB2 application to be linked to mine
    I also spoke to Level 2 who created SR and by August 2, they informed that application is in EB2 category
    Case status change from RFE response review to Initial review on august 13th
    Also spoke to congressman who got response on August 19 that request has been sent to I485 supervisor and I should get decision or notice of action in 30 days.
    I also have Info Pass appointment for September 06

    Honestly I am getting close to believing I might not be getting GC this year. Because if it has gone to a supervisor then not sure whether it will be decision or RFE.

    Just wanted to check with gurus if there is anything else I can do except waiting....
    agree with haripathi, the message has only positive news, 90% chances you will get GC in 2 weeks from now

  19. #769
    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    In my opinion USCIS has done reasonably well till this point. I know there are few friends on this forum yet to be approved but I am pretty confident they would be cleared soon. Also judging by trackitt threads initial fears of too many people being left behind seems to have vanished ( have not looked at numbers because IMO they just provide overall higher level picture. Guessing actual numbers based on trackitt numbers..well I would not go there..too many variables).

    As for next year, I think we knew all the way that some numbers are going to be carried forward, so not really a surprise. At this point I would not worry much about how it will affect next years movement. Its too early. Till recently we were thinking that this year would be 'not so good' year for the movement ...but as we all know dates have moved much beyond 'most optimistic scenario'.
    I think spec's point was if 4K who are approvable are left for next fiscal year and already first time 485 filers ( who filed on august 1st for first time) will be approvable in October, we are dealing with close to 7K demand instantly created if dates were to remain current, if COD remains same in October, we might end up like last year where its going to be unavailable for several months.
    FB SO definitely will not be like this year.
    correct me if I misread your message spec. obviously the numbers are my wild guess .

  20. #770
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    Quote Originally Posted by indiani View Post
    I think spec's point was if 4K who are approvable are left for next fiscal year and already first time 485 filers ( who filed on august 1st for first time) will be approvable in October, we are dealing with close to 7K demand instantly created if dates were to remain current, if COD remains same in October, we might end up like last year where its going to be unavailable for several months.
    FB SO definitely will not be like this year.
    correct me if I misread your message spec. obviously the numbers are my wild guess .
    indiani,

    That wouldn't be my main point. What will be, will be regarding October anyway. If CO doesn't want to release more than the allocation, it will make no difference.

    I agree with suninphx that USCIS will probably do a pretty good job approving cases that became current in the August VB and were preadjudicated at that time.

    If I have a concern, it would be about the overall demand/supply equation for FY2014 as a whole.

    I've noticed that EB2-WW and EB1 approvals are holding up quite well - that squeezes the number of SO visas available to EB2-I this year.

    I have been surprised at the number of new EB2-I applications submitted in August, with a 2007 PD. They won't hit the Demand for several months, but they will constrain total forward movement in FY2014 when they do become preadjudicated.

    Without FB numbers, EB2-I might receive around 16k in FY2014. Even if all cases before 15JUN08 were approved and there was 3k additional porting, that only allows all cases around the end of Q1 2009 to be approved in FY2014. If 2k are left behind, that goes back to mid Q1 and 4k pushes it back to the very beginning of 2009. The dates would probably actually move somewhat more than that.

    The odd couple of thousand has quite large effects.

    I do agree with suninphx that it is too early to have a good handle on the numbers, but people are going to speculate anyway.

    As for FB numbers, I hope there will be some, but I don't expect the 18k seen this year. The 5k seen in FY2012 is probably more realistic, which would add about 3.5k visas to the number available to EB2-I.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  21. #771
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    Spec - i concur with your post. I don't expect actual dates to move beyond Q1 2009 and backlog clearance somewhat less than that. I think we'll see a similar situation where 2-4K will carry over to FY15.

  22. #772
    Thanks for all your wishes..... It is a big relief and as Q said all is well that ends well. I dont want to look back on the wait and want to look forward to future.
    NSC | PD: 12/12/2007 | RD: 01/17/2012 | ND: 01/20/2012 | FP Done: 2/28/2012 | EAD/AP Approval Email: 3/7/2012 | EAD/AP Card : 3/9/2012| EAD Renewal: 2/15/2013 | GC CPO: 8/29/2013

  23. #773
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    sandy - youve done everything right. My judgement is - you should be greened this year with 99.99% certainty. Enjoy the weekend. Don't overthink this.
    All,

    Thanks for the kind words and the support.. it really helps...

  24. #774
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    Latest update. In future, all further updates will be in this thread.

    A little summary of where the August/September approvals are currently (which will immediately out of date). It's, as usual, based on primary applicants who have updated the Trackitt I-485 tracker with the approval.

    Total to date - 528

    August ----- 1 -- 2 -- 3 -- 4 -- 5 -- 6 -- 7 -- 8 -- 9 - 10 - 11 - 12 - 13 - 14 - 15 - 16 - 17 - 18 - 19 - 20 - 21 - 22 - 23 - 24 - 25 - 26 - 27 - 28 - 29 - 30 - 31
    Number ---- 21 - 25 - 11 -- 0 - 27 - 32 - 42 - 28 - 33 - 12 -- 0 - 36 - 25 - 16 - 31 - 10 - 12 -- 0 - 39 - 10 - 18 - 28 - 17 -- 5 -- 0 - 14 -- 3 - 16 -- 9 -- 8 -- 0

    September -- 1
    Number ----- 0


    Service Center

    Nebraska - 231 -- 43.75%
    Texas ---- 295 -- 55.87%
    California - 2 --- 0.38%
    Vermont ---- 0 --- 0.00%

    Total ---- 528 - 100.00%


    Priority Date

    PD ------ NSC --- TSC --- CSC --- VSC --- Total ---- %
    2003 ------ 1 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------- 1 --- 0.19%
    2004 ----- 18 ---- 13 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------ 31 --- 5.87%
    2005 ----- 30 ---- 25 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------ 55 -- 10.42%
    2006 ----- 49 ---- 33 ----- 1 ----- 0 ------ 83 -- 15.72%
    2007 ---- 133 --- 221 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- 355 -- 67.23%
    2008 ------ 0 ----- 3 ----- 0 ----- 0 ------- 3 --- 0.57%
    Total --- 231 --- 295 ----- 2 ----- 0 ----- 528 - 100.00%


    Pre 2007 PD - 170 -- 32.20%
    2007 PD ----- 355 -- 67.23%
    2008 PD ------- 3 --- 0.57%

    Total ------- 528 - 100.00%


    Prior to August, there were 128 approvals in FY2013.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  25. #775
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    indiani,

    That wouldn't be my main point. What will be, will be regarding October anyway. If CO doesn't want to release more than the allocation, it will make no difference.

    I agree with suninphx that USCIS will probably do a pretty good job approving cases that became current in the August VB and were preadjudicated at that time.

    If I have a concern, it would be about the overall demand/supply equation for FY2014 as a whole.

    I've noticed that EB2-WW and EB1 approvals are holding up quite well - that squeezes the number of SO visas available to EB2-I this year.

    I have been surprised at the number of new EB2-I applications submitted in August, with a 2007 PD. They won't hit the Demand for several months, but they will constrain total forward movement in FY2014 when they do become preadjudicated.

    Without FB numbers, EB2-I might receive around 16k in FY2014. Even if all cases before 15JUN08 were approved and there was 3k additional porting, that only allows all cases around the end of Q1 2009 to be approved in FY2014. If 2k are left behind, that goes back to mid Q1 and 4k pushes it back to the very beginning of 2009. The dates would probably actually move somewhat more than that.

    The odd couple of thousand has quite large effects.

    I do agree with suninphx that it is too early to have a good handle on the numbers, but people are going to speculate anyway.

    As for FB numbers, I hope there will be some, but I don't expect the 18k seen this year. The 5k seen in FY2012 is probably more realistic, which would add about 3.5k visas to the number available to EB2-I.
    Spectator,

    I would like to see dates clearing through FY 2008 primarily in FY2014. FY2009 being light in terms of demand (unless porting changes it significantly)... FY 2015 will bring up multiple possibilities.

    Overall permutation combinations tell me that other factors remaining same ,we might see a date of Jul 1, 2009 sometime in FY 2014.
    Last edited by suninphx; 09-01-2013 at 04:10 PM.

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