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Thread: Discussion On The Politics of Immigration Reform (Comprehensive Or Otherwise)

  1. #1776
    http://judiciary.house.gov/hearings/..._10012013.html

    Another hearing.. Hopefully we will have markups on actual bills soon

  2. #1777
    If I am Obama, I would take this Shutdown discussion and bargain with GOP on Immigration in House... I will give a 6 months to 1 year time delayfor ObamaCare to take effect, but will bargain for Senate Immigration bill to be introduce in House, which will then pass as is with the 20 or so republican support. Won't this be a great win for both Dems and GOP?

    Wishful thinking though...

  3. #1778
    Quote Originally Posted by GCSeekerIndia View Post
    If I am Obama, I would take this Shutdown discussion and bargain with GOP on Immigration in House... I will give a 6 months to 1 year time delayfor ObamaCare to take effect, but will bargain for Senate Immigration bill to be introduce in House, which will then pass as is with the 20 or so republican support. Won't this be a great win for both Dems and GOP?

    Wishful thinking though...
    Obamacare is far more important for Obama's legacy than Immigration reform. I mean Obama would love to get Immi reform passed as well but if it comes down to protecting his legacy ...Obama care by far will outweigh anything else. Also it is a big deal for the Democractic party.

    I personally do not beleive CIR in any form or piecemeal bills being touted by the Repubs have any chance of passing in late October. Rep Goodlatte and Rep Mike Mccaul head the House Judiciary and Homeland security committes respectively. However rest of the Repub party is in no mood to compromise on the heart of Immigration reform which is border security ( according to them )

    http://www.latintimes.com/articles/8...m#.UknadT_-vIg

    A spokesman for Eric Cantor, the House Majority Leader and Republican from Virginia, told the AP that moving forward on immigration reform "remains a priority" but added that "right now there's no firm timetable". And the bills which Goodlatte seeks to bring up first don't address the question which Democrats consider to be at the heart of immigration reform: what sort of legal status to extend to the estimated 11 million undocumented immigrants living in the United States. Cantor and Goodlatte are planning to sponsor a bill which would partially address the question by making some undocumented immigrants brought to the US as children eligible for citizenship.

    There is still the shutdown...Many thought even the shutdown would not come to pass.This is the first shutdown in 17 yrs and the Repubs are not conceding anything ..The debt ceiling fight is upcoming on Oct 17th and there is no reason to think at this point that it will be any easier......
    "Before you criticize a man, walk a mile in his shoes"

  4. #1779
    The GOP has long forecast that Obamacare will fail when it is implemented, and that it will result in a landslide victory for the GOP in the 2014 elections. Now that initial data indicates that the trainwreck don't seem to be coming to bear (regardless of hitches with the websites) and prices are actually coming out to be quite reasonable, some in the GOP are worried that the law might actually become popular. When half of the country realize they like this thing they've been told was going to be awful, they might sour on the senators and congressmen that have been leading a crusade against it thusfar, and hand the GOP an electoral defeat in 2014. That may be the onus for the 1 year delay strategy the GOP is orchestrating in the House.

    Anyway if Obamacare endures, and is successful, this will be one of the biggest political ironies ever. Obama and the Dems getting credit for bringing healthcare costs under control using a plan written by conservatives and first implemented by a GOP Governor, that leads to Democrat control over both houses of government, thereby permitting Obama to pass immigration reform, gay right laws, gun control and every other liberal fantasy legislation in his final 2 years in power. How's that for wishful thinking!

    Anyway, I agree with gcseeker. Obamacare is far more important to the democrats right now than immigration overhaul. They won't trade one for the other.

  5. #1780
    Quote Originally Posted by Pedro Gonzales View Post
    GOP are worried that the law might actually become popular.
    Exactly right.. If what they say(Obama care will fail on its own weight) is true, they can just let it fall and reap the benifits of it in next election..

    Tying immigration reform or other things to this debate is day dream.. I am not sure even Mr. Amnesty will think about it as an option

  6. #1781
    http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/...59.html?page=3

    hopefully it is changing ---also saw in the news that some repubs are working in the background
    Last edited by geterdone; 09-30-2013 at 09:56 PM.

  7. #1782
    I just signed the @FWD_us petition telling the House to pass #immigration reform. Add your name today: http://bit.ly/16Dj0uV

  8. #1783
    Quote Originally Posted by geterdone View Post
    http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/...59.html?page=3

    hopefully it is changing ---also saw in the news that some repubs are working in the background
    4 partisan bills(not so much except bits and pieces) from house judiciary committee are already passed and placed on house calender..
    Also bipartisan border security bill(HR 1417) from homeland security committee is also in house calender..
    KIDS act is the main bill which is remaining along with few others.. House judiciary committee is holding a hearing on entry exit system today.. Homeland security committee already held a similar hearing few days back.. Once actual bills are ready they will be marked up and will be placed on house calender in no time..

    Things will turn to immigration once appropriations and debt ceiling fights are over..

    Sit back and enjoy the political drama while doing the action items recommended by the lobbyist of your choice..
    Last edited by idiotic; 10-01-2013 at 09:25 AM.

  9. #1784
    Quote Originally Posted by idiotic View Post
    4 partisan bills(not so much except bits and pieces) from house judiciary committee are already passed and placed on house calender..
    Also bipartisan border security bill(HR 1417) from homeland security committee is also in house calender..
    KIDS act is the main bill which is remaining along with few others.. House judiciary committee is holding a hearing on entry exit system today.. Homeland security committee already held a similar hearing few days back.. Once actual bills are ready they will be marked up and will be placed on house calender in no time..

    Things will turn to immigration once appropriations and debt ceiling fights are over..

    Sit back and enjoy the political drama while doing the action items recommended by the lobbyist of your choice..
    House Judiciary Cmte ‏@HouseJudiciary

    Today's scheduled markup and hearing have been postponed.

  10. #1785
    House Democrats, frustrated by the lack of action by House leadership and fearing all hope of a bi-partisan comprehensive immigration reform bill is lost, are expected to introduce an immigration bill of their own today.


    http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/house...ry?id=20440034

  11. #1786
    Quote Originally Posted by psychedelicNerd View Post
    House Democrats, frustrated by the lack of action by House leadership and fearing all hope of a bi-partisan comprehensive immigration reform bill is lost, are expected to introduce an immigration bill of their own today.


    http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/house...ry?id=20440034
    Just an eyewash measure as the article itself states this

    Sources say the bill's supporters realize that it has little chance of passing because there is still no indication that House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, would allow it to come to a vote.

    Boehner has said repeatedly he has no plans to bring the bi-partisan Senate bill to the house floor.

    Instead, sources acknowledge, the bill will receive predominantly Democratic support and languish in the House without ever coming to a vote.
    "Before you criticize a man, walk a mile in his shoes"

  12. #1787
    Quote Originally Posted by idiotic View Post
    House Judiciary Cmte ‏@HouseJudiciary

    Today's scheduled markup and hearing have been postponed.

    Rescheduled on 10/09 .. Is it an indication that House republicans are expecting the shutdown drama to be over before 10/09 internally? Good news!!
    http://judiciary.house.gov/hearings/..._10092013.html

  13. #1788
    Quote Originally Posted by idiotic View Post
    Rescheduled on 10/09 .. Is it an indication that House republicans are expecting the shutdown drama to be over before 10/09 internally? Good news!!
    http://judiciary.house.gov/hearings/..._10092013.html
    This is showing as cancelled now...

  14. #1789
    Quote Originally Posted by seahawks2012 View Post
    This is showing as cancelled now...
    Yes.. started showing as cancelled again from today morning..

    It seems to be caught in the hostages list for Obamacare ransom right now..

  15. #1790
    Quote Originally Posted by idiotic View Post
    Yes.. started showing as cancelled again from today morning..

    It seems to be caught in the hostages list for Obamacare ransom right now..
    http://homeland.house.gov/markup/ful...41-and-hr-3202

    Here is the actual bipartisan bill on the same topic.. This bill just requires some plan to be submitted by Napalitano's replacement..

    So, totally house bills now total to 4 from House judiciary committee and 2 from House homeland security committee. I guess just amnesty piece(KIDS Act) is missing..
    5 of them already in house calender ready to vote..

    http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/113/hr3141
    98% chance of getting past committee
    27% chance of being enacted..
    Last edited by idiotic; 10-11-2013 at 01:52 PM.

  16. #1791

  17. #1792
    Quote Originally Posted by seahawks2012 View Post
    Goodlatte is busy with Tea Party for an hearing on to impeach Obama instead of the immigration hearings http://www.codewit.com/north-america...hment-hearings

    IQ factor of Tea Party astounds me.. How much time is wasted on not doing real things and doing things like impeaching Obama / defunding Obamacare / repealing Obamacare 50+ times.. No wonder they are making into all the Late night comedy shows unedited..

    As usual some sense prevails by Boehner doing the right thing at the end of every game .. http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-mone...on-senate-deal Immigration game will be no different..
    Last edited by idiotic; 10-16-2013 at 01:42 PM.

  18. #1793
    Quote Originally Posted by idiotic View Post
    Goodlatte is busy with Tea Party for an hearing on to impeach Obama instead of the immigration hearings http://www.codewit.com/north-america...hment-hearings

    IQ factor of Tea Party astounds me.. How much time is wasted on not doing real things and doing things like impeaching Obama / defunding Obamacare / repealing Obamacare 50+ times.. No wonder they are making into all the Late night comedy shows unedited..

    As usual some sense prevails by Boehner doing the right thing at the end of every game .. http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-mone...on-senate-deal Immigration game will be no different..
    Tea party has the best IQ. They knew it is difficult to defund obama care. But by trying this they can block Obama's other legislative agendas including immigration. They successfully delayed many other items and also constantly weakened the presidency. For past 2 weeks they made Obama to sit just in WH and talk just about shut down. Also they successfully killed immigration reform by delaying it. Do you think tea party is that much stupid to add 30 million democrat votes in next 20 years? Now at most they will pass some piecemeal bills which will not be accepted by Senate.

  19. #1794
    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    Tea party has the best IQ. They knew it is difficult to defund obama care. But by trying this they can block Obama's other legislative agendas including immigration. They successfully delayed many other items and also constantly weakened the presidency. For past 2 weeks they made Obama to sit just in WH and talk just about shut down. Also they successfully killed immigration reform by delaying it. Do you think tea party is that much stupid to add 30 million democrat votes in next 20 years? Now at most they will pass some piecemeal bills which will not be accepted by Senate.
    Wild imagination.. They have given popularity to Obamacare among americans to know about their new entitlement..
    Also, Farm bill conference was setup amid all this Chaos.. Immigration debate is upcoming..

    They have hurt the republican party so much now that even some republicans are trying to disassociate themselves from the movement. Pro business groups vs Tea party groups fight will define the republican party in future.. For example, on today's vote, business is saying vote yes and tea party groups are saying vote no.. http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-mone...es-senate-deal

    leadership is urging yes.. http://thehill.com/homenews/house/32...ck-senate-deal

  20. #1795
    Quote Originally Posted by idiotic View Post
    Wild imagination.. They have given popularity to Obamacare among americans to know about their new entitlement..
    Also, Farm bill conference was setup amid all this Chaos.. Immigration debate is upcoming..

    They have hurt the republican party so much now that even some republicans are trying to disassociate themselves from the movement. Pro business groups vs Tea party groups fight will define the republican party in future.. For example, on today's vote, business is saying vote yes and tea party groups are saying vote no.. http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-mone...es-senate-deal

    leadership is urging yes.. http://thehill.com/homenews/house/32...ck-senate-deal
    With the republicans party's rating drop and internal rifts, my personal opinion is that if the Democrats and/or President Obama play the cards right, they can get Boehner to put the Senate CIR bill on floor for voting. If I remember correctly, I think I read an article sometime in Aug. that there are just enough republicans votes in House to clear senate version of CIR.

    Obama did say he will focus on immigration reform right after a deal is reached on the current Govt. shutdown. Maybe this shutdown will be a blessing for Immigration Reform? Only time will tell...

  21. #1796
    Quote Originally Posted by gten20 View Post
    With the republicans party's rating drop and internal rifts, my personal opinion is that if the Democrats and/or President Obama play the cards right, they can get Boehner to put the Senate CIR bill on floor for voting. If I remember correctly, I think I read an article sometime in Aug. that there are just enough republicans votes in House to clear senate version of CIR.

    Obama did say he will focus on immigration reform right after a deal is reached on the current Govt. shutdown. Maybe this shutdown will be a blessing for Immigration Reform? Only time will tell...
    The way it will play out is house will pass piecemeal bills and then go into conference with senate.. boehner has to break the so called unconstitutional "hastert rule" to bring the compromised bill to the floor for a vote and it will pass with support of democrats and moderate republicans just like it did in senate.. there are approximately 18 odd republican senators and 80 odd house republicans (our high IQ tea party team) who will vote no for just about anything constructive including something like clean CR or debt ceiling or immigration reform.. they will hold 2 weeks of hearings to impeach obama and the same dead on arrival repeal obamacare bill 40+ times wasting everyone's time.. the only good thing they did was the "sequestration" in 2011.
    Last edited by idiotic; 10-16-2013 at 07:18 PM.

  22. #1797
    Quote Originally Posted by idiotic View Post
    Wild imagination.. They have given popularity to Obamacare among americans to know about their new entitlement..
    Also, Farm bill conference was setup amid all this Chaos.. Immigration debate is upcoming..

    They have hurt the republican party so much now that even some republicans are trying to disassociate themselves from the movement. Pro business groups vs Tea party groups fight will define the republican party in future.. For example, on today's vote, business is saying vote yes and tea party groups are saying vote no.. http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-mone...es-senate-deal

    leadership is urging yes.. http://thehill.com/homenews/house/32...ck-senate-deal
    Though they are losing the people support Tea party was standing up for their policy. America will live with many issues due to Obama care. Each and every person in republican is opposing Obama Care. It was highly unusual that such a big socialism bill passed without a single republican vote. They disassociated with tea party not because of the policy of tea party but because they cannot win in this fight. Democrats played for their advantage than concentrating on resolving the issue. Immigration debate will come and go but no bill will go to President office after this big bitter fight.

    For now they might hurt Republican party. Still this fight will be helpful for some especially Mcconnell to win the 2014 election. I still strongly believe GOP will take over the house again though with slim margin. Yes America is divided by policy. American rarely give all the powers to one party(read the history). Of course any party will attempt to have permanent President,house and Senate but rarely happens.

  23. #1798
    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    American rarely give all the powers to one party(read the history).
    This is so true and is a good thing.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  24. #1799
    Interesting read.

    "I think what he has done over the past two and a half weeks -- he's trying to destroy the Republican party," Labrador said of Obama. "I think that anything we do right now with this president on immigration will be with that same goal in mind, which is to destroy the Republican party and not to get good policies."
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/1...n_4109716.html

  25. #1800
    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    Though they are losing the people support Tea party was standing up for their policy.
    They have no policy on Obamacare. Their policy is to just to repeal it without any constructive alternatives. They are not party of ideas anymore (like the initial Heritage foundation). I did post many links in this forum before how Obamacare stemmed from original republican ideas(Heritage foundation initial volumes).

    The whole battle is a last ditch **whatever it takes** to stop Obamacare before people realize it is actually good. Truth is they are afraid it will succeed.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    America will live with many issues due to Obama care.
    Look at history.. It is otherwise.. Romneycare rolled out in 2005 and is very successful. Nothing will be different for Obamacare.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    Each and every person in republican is opposing Obama Care.
    Its ok to disagree on policy but there has to be some sense on how to disagree. Even republicans agree that tea party just lacks the sense completely.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    It was highly unusual that such a big socialism bill passed without a single republican vote.
    Group insurance is not socialism.. Again it is a republican idea(original hertigage foundation)..

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    They disassociated with tea party not because of the policy of tea party but because they cannot win in this fight.
    The grown up repulicans disassociated because they wanted not to be seen as high school bullies.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    Democrats played for their advantage than concentrating on resolving the issue.
    Again, telling Democrats their biggest ever legislative achivement is an **issue** itself is debatable. No wonder they wont get solution.

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    Immigration debate will come and go but no bill will go to President office after this big bitter fight.
    No one knows.. Let us wait and see.. Main thing is debate will happen regardless of the fight.. you originally mentioned the whole fight is to avoid the debate.. On Immigration both moderate republicans(pro business) and democrats agree.. only the tea party republicans disagree.. It is the tail of the party not the head.. The head is the business..

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    For now they might hurt Republican party.
    Like John McCain said, it is one of the worst chapters in american political history..

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    Still this fight will be helpful for some especially Mcconnell to win the 2014 election.
    If anyone used the whole thing for their personal gain, it is "Ted Cruz".. Atleast McConnell got "Kentucky kickback" for his constituents. What did Ted Cruz bring for this constituents apart from publicilty(both bad and good) for himself..

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    I still strongly believe GOP will take over the house again though with slim margin.
    It would be a good thing actually to keep the policies in check.. because right now America is divided country on policy and so should be the government too..

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramsen View Post
    Yes America is divided by policy. American rarely give all the powers to one party(read the history). Of course any party will attempt to have permanent President,house and Senate but rarely happens.
    Agreed. No one wants one rule monopoly.. there has to be healthy debate between moderate republicans and moderate democrats on policy.. the extermism should be punished and put on its place duly just like what will happen to Tea Party folks..

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