EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

[Desperate8]

Your Current Case Status for Form I485, APPLICATION TO REGISTER PERMANENT RESIDENCE OR TO ADJUST STATUS

Card/ Document Production
On March 9, 2012, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow 30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283.

This step applies to applications that result in an applicant receiving a card (such as a "green card") or other document (such as a naturalization certificate, employment authorization document, travel document, or advance parole). Applications will be in this step from the time the order to produce the card/document is given until the card/document is produced and mailed to the applicant. You can expect to receive your card/document within 30 days of the approval of your application.

If you do not receive your document, please contact our National Customer Service Center at 1-800-375-5283.



Q/OTHERS does this mean i am only preadjucated and waiting on visa number??? and will not be getting card any time soon? I went from initial review to CPO directly ,I STILL THINK ITS A BUG , an update table without a where clause , what are your
views, Q BOUGHT THE LIGHT ELEMENT OF DOUBT HE HAD

[Desperate8]

--------------------------------------------------------------------

@Suninphx

nothing personal against deperate8.... i guess you are right..there is no value for/of people who came to USA (legally) by following the right approach .....spending family's money and invest their time to study the MS/MBA or phDs. and still waiting for the GCs.......10 years...Why ? becaz they didn't use the so called IT consultants?????
while as people with little or some IT knowledge come to us and get through consultants and then apply EB3 and port to EB2 using ...not so existing exp. and get the GCs. ---- America ...Land of opportunity! with Luck!

I value and respect your thoughts , i am a father of 2 beautiful kids, did 2 masters , came in 2004, ditched by emp 1, went from black to gray to bald , want to be a FT EMPLOYEE , i am always for EB3 folks , i can be in their shoes and feel the pain.

[vizcard]

Your Current Case Status for Form I485, APPLICATION TO REGISTER PERMANENT RESIDENCE OR TO ADJUST STATUS

Card/ Document Production
On March 9, 2012, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow 30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283.

This step applies to applications that result in an applicant receiving a card (such as a "green card") or other document (such as a naturalization certificate, employment authorization document, travel document, or advance parole). Applications will be in this step from the time the order to produce the card/document is given until the card/document is produced and mailed to the applicant. You can expect to receive your card/document within 30 days of the approval of your application.

If you do not receive your document, please contact our National Customer Service Center at 1-800-375-5283.



Q/OTHERS does this mean i am only preadjucated and waiting on visa number??? and will not be getting card any time soon? I went from initial review to CPO directly ,I STILL THINK ITS A BUG , an update table without a where clause , what are your
views, Q BOUGHT THE LIGHT ELEMENT OF DOUBT HE HAD

You are all set. You should get a follow up email saying that they have been shipped. I believe if you are just preadjudicated and waiting for visa, it would show up as "Approved" under Decision.

By all accounts there should be about 10k+ SOFAD still left.

[Desperate8]

just saw i m promoted to Sophomore

[qesehmk]

D you are all set. Card is only ordered after a visa has been allocated.

This is a really good news for all EB2IC folks. It clearly indicates that there is a significant amount of demand destruction. I haven't calculated how much as yet. But I think Teddy and Spec and others have done a good amount of work.

Your Current Case Status for Form I485, APPLICATION TO REGISTER PERMANENT RESIDENCE OR TO ADJUST STATUS

Card/ Document Production
On March 9, 2012, we ordered production of your new card. Please allow 30 days for your card to be mailed to you. If we need something from you we will contact you. If you move before you receive the card, call customer service at 1-800-375-5283.

This step applies to applications that result in an applicant receiving a card (such as a "green card") or other document (such as a naturalization certificate, employment authorization document, travel document, or advance parole). Applications will be in this step from the time the order to produce the card/document is given until the card/document is produced and mailed to the applicant. You can expect to receive your card/document within 30 days of the approval of your application.

If you do not receive your document, please contact our National Customer Service Center at 1-800-375-5283.



Q/OTHERS does this mean i am only preadjucated and waiting on visa number??? and will not be getting card any time soon? I went from initial review to CPO directly ,I STILL THINK ITS A BUG , an update table without a where clause , what are your
views, Q BOUGHT THE LIGHT ELEMENT OF DOUBT HE HAD

[cool_dude]

Hi,
My priority date is June 2011 and I140 is approved.When do you think I will be able to apply for I-485.

[Desperate8]

Some one sent me a PM , I am not sure how to reply a PM back and so this blog, may be it is useful to many others

I took MMR , FLU SHOT and TB Test

On the other hand , my wife being pregnant then did just her physicals none of the shots / tests above.

The doctor checked the waiver box in I693 for my wife and had a note which said pregnant blah blah...

In my case I have to take MMR again after 6 months and so he had marked Insufficient time interval.


Birth Certificates - My registration was done in the same month and year of birth but we didnot have a copy so had to request one , got one with the issued date of a recent date. , I didnot submit any affidavits.

For my wife we got affidavits

[vizcard]

Engineer,

This is a free forum and hence you have right to disagree/not like any/all of my comments. I fully respect that.
I would like to point out that may be you have taken my comment out of context. All I am saying is at I485 stage whether you have MS or you are direct employee etc etc may not seem to matter much. And may rightly so. Because there are earlier stages (PERM, I140) whether these factors carry weight(and rightly so IMO). At least I have not seen any co-relation between these factors and early approvals. If you have some data please point me to that. ( I would love to see these criteria being applicable to be low hanging fruit at I485 stage because that will make me one)

As for IT people getting GC- I think you know its pure demand supply. There is/was shortage of those skills here and that's why more people getting through that channel. And while every one should be against fraud of any kind in any system I think you are making few assumptions while criticizing IT Consultants (or at least sound like that). One of classic assumption seem to be like IT Consultants don't have MS. Let me tell you my friend in my team there are multiple consultants working and at least 50% of them have MS in US.

I am with you on this.
There are a set of criteria that need to be met at each stage. Appropriate educational and technical qualifications criteria are required in the I140 stage. I personally have a MS and MBA and work for a Big 4 management consulting firm and am perhaps 3-4 yrs away from making Partner in my Firm. I got my I-140 approved in 15 days - and it wasn't premium processing - because all that is relevant there.

In the 485 stage, the criteria are very different. Here it is more social criteria vs employment criteria. It fundamentally is "are you a threat to US population". Hence, all the background checks, health checks, BC checks. Qualifications don't (and shouldn't) mean anything at the 485 stage.

[eb2ODer]

CO strategically is slowly killing our hopes... He thought going through a phase of denial "April bulletin is still not out, IVR is in error", confusion "Is it really stalled? or is it a March VB date??!" and slow acceptance "PDF version shows the same COD, yet let me wait for the actual update on VB, Mumbai consulate webpages" - is better to avoid mass hysteria

no man since the voice recording is done and the pdf is done, I am pretty sure it's already gone out to all consulates around the world via cable. I can't comprehend why its not yet on the web page, really unpardonable.

[vizcard]

CO strategically is slowly killing our hopes... He thought going through a phase of denial "April bulletin is still not out, IVR is in error", confusion "Is it really stalled? or is it a March VB date??!" and slow acceptance "PDF version shows the same COD, yet let me wait for the actual update on VB, Mumbai consulate webpages" - is better to avoid mass hysteria

Seriously?
Folks - please step away from the ledge. We knew this was coming.

[eb2ODer]

Just wanted to post something lighter to break away from earlier posts... guess my joke was too flatline.

Seriously?
Folks - please step away from the ledge. We knew this was coming.

[qesehmk]

No harm eb2ODer. Generally speaking people here are quite tolerant and appreciative. I am sure nobody means to disrespect or disregard.

Just wanted to post something lighter to break away from earlier posts... guess my joke was too flatline.

[operas]

Some one sent me a PM , I am not sure how to reply a PM back and so this blog, may be it is useful to many others

I took MMR , FLU SHOT and TB Test

On the other hand , my wife being pregnant then did just her physicals none of the shots / tests above.

The doctor checked the waiver box in I693 for my wife and had a note which said pregnant blah blah...

In my case I have to take MMR again after 6 months and so he had marked Insufficient time interval.


Birth Certificates - My registration was done in the same month and year of birth but we didnot have a copy so had to request one , got one with the issued date of a recent date. , I didnot submit any affidavits.

For my wife we got affidavits

Thanks.. that was me.. 5 months to go.. and Im gonna be a dad.. Thanks for the information.

[eb2ODer]

Thanks Q!

No harm eb2ODer. Generally speaking people here are quite tolerant and appreciative. I am sure nobody means to disrespect or disregard.

[aGCHopefull]

Hello everyone,

I have quick questions about the affadvits required (from parents) to support the late registered BC

Do we need to have those affadavits on stamp paper or can it be done on a legal paper (the green one in India)?

Do we need 2 affadavits one from father and other from mother?

In either case it has to be notarized, right?

Please advise.

Thanks,

[vgraj1]

Spec thanks for your great presentation. When you present something everyone is literally a spectator !
Good to note that we are now reaching the 50% approval figure for Nov filers and 35% for Dec filers. At this rate surely 20K SOFAD may well be allocated by the end of March and we can expect 35K for the year. This is based on 10K consumption for the preadjudicated cases and 10K for the new filings. SOFAD this year would definitely come close to 35K if USCIS is not stepping ahead of the quarterly allocation. I agree with the 80% Trackitt threshold 20% people do not historically update their profiles. On Trackitt the number of EB2-I cases is probably far higher than expected and due to the great excitement on the date movement.
A lot of Nov filers waiting now are actually those with RFE's. Atleast 25% people seem to be getting RFE's. Most of the older people waiting are from TSC literally some people have not seen any updates on their cases. If I see around my own receipt number before and after there are few cases that are approved either cases are untouched or there is a RFE. People will be ok as long as everyone can get approved and the numbers itself don't run out.
I would bet that by Sep 2012 everyone till 01-JAN-2009 will get GC in hand if 35K + SOFAD literally happens with demand destruction OR at 0.75.

Hi Teddy, If 35K SOFAD clears visa demand upto PD 01-JAN-2009 for EB2I in FY 2012, and we assume there is another 30K SOFAD in FY 2013, upto what PD for EB2I will this 30K suffice?

[vgraj1]

On a lighter side, President Obama is facing some issue regarding his birth certificate, please see the link below (hope it comes up):

http://blog.beliefnet.com/watchwoman...term=gmail.com

[vishnu]

DoS visa bulletin for April now officially up on DoS site.
Gurus - why is China still at May 2010 when they've had FAR fewer EB2 apps than India and as per PERM etc, will likely continue to have far fewer EB2 apps.

[mesan123]

Hi,

You can take one single affidavit from both parents. and it has to be on stamp paper( can be 10rs stamp paper).
you can find more details about the format and rest of the details in birth certficate link below.


http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...ficate-Related

Hello everyone,

I have quick questions about the affadvits required (from parents) to support the late registered BC

Do we need to have those affadavits on stamp paper or can it be done on a legal paper (the green one in India)?

Do we need 2 affadavits one from father and other from mother?

In either case it has to be notarized, right?

Please advise.

Thanks,

[bee369]

Hi Guys,
I received my receipt notices on Friday and I observed that one letter ( first letter) in my last name was typed wrong.
My application was correct, I just checked the copy of application I sent to Attorney.
and also my wife's I765 contains wrong DOB.* Are these normal ? Should I call the customer service and make them correct ?
*
Can you please advise ?

[usernameisnotvalid]

I don't think this are normal. Ask your attorney or call customer service asap.

Hi Guys,
I received my receipt notices on Friday and I observed that one letter ( first letter) in my last name was typed wrong.
My application was correct, I just checked the copy of application I sent to Attorney.
and also my wife's I765 contains wrong DOB.* Are these normal ? Should I call the customer service and make them correct ?
*
Can you please advise ?

[Spectator]

DoS visa bulletin for April now officially up on DoS site.
Gurus - why is China still at May 2010 when they've had FAR fewer EB2 apps than India and as per PERM etc, will likely continue to have far fewer EB2 apps.

When spillover visas are being given under INA Section 202(a)(5), the Cut Off Dates must move together, since the visas are allocated purely on the basis of the earliest Priority Date.

Since EB2-I has more than EB2-C, they will receive more.

While the initial Preference numbers (2,803 each) are being used, the dates can move at a different pace.

CO explained it in the May 2011 VB.

[vishnu]

appreciate the response Spec!

[just_curious]

http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_1360.html

Interestingly they also have "May 2012 (Coming soon)". Is it something new/update happening at their IT systems? I haven't noticed this before...

[skpanda]

they just mess it up sometimes.... it should be -

Upcoming month's visa bulletin: April 2012

This month's visa bulletin: March 2012

Archived visa bulletins: February 2012 and before

http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulleti...etin_1360.html

Interestingly they also have "May 2012 (Coming soon)". Is it something new/update happening at their IT systems? I haven't noticed this before...