EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

[grnwtg]

Congrats on your very long journey my Friend. You patience indeed paid off..

Friends:

It is a broken system.

I hope this information helps everyone who are waiting for the GC and their PD is current.

PD 04/15/2007 NSC
RD 08/10/2007
ND 10/10/2007

Here is a synopsis of event:
10/01/11- PD became current
10/03/11 - Openned an SR with L1 officer.
10/06/11 - Contact Congressman M. Doyle (D) office. Visited personally. Told them I am buying a House in there constituency. Showed them my sales agreement.
(REMEMBER: YOU HAVE TO CONTACT THE CONGRESSMAN OF YOUR OWN CONSTITUENCY)
10/07/11 - Got a response from Congressman's office
"After speaking with USCIS today, they are forwarding your case to an officer for review. This should take approximately two or three weeks."

10/14/11 - Got a standard e-mail reponse for the openned SR. "Application pending..wait 90 days ...bla bla bla"

10/25/11 - Contact Senator Toomey's office (R). Visited his office personally. Very formally dressed. Caseworker was really nice. Gave them the paperwork. He promised he will look into it.
10/25/11 - SAME DAY.. got the following response:
"I called the Nebraska Service Center and talked to someone who told me your case is with a review officer currently. There is no timeline for completion, it just depends on what else is on that person’s desk and how fast they can get it done."
10/27/11 - Got Approval.

I hope this helps. Good luck my friends. I am pretty sure everyone will overcome this once they are current.

[veni001]

Friends:

It is a broken system.

I hope this information helps everyone who are waiting for the GC and their PD is current.

PD 04/15/2007 NSC
RD 08/10/2007
ND 10/10/2007

Here is a synopsis of event:
10/01/11- PD became current
10/03/11 - Openned an SR with L1 officer.
10/06/11 - Contact Congressman M. Doyle (D) office. Visited personally. Told them I am buying a House in there constituency. Showed them my sales agreement.
(REMEMBER: YOU HAVE TO CONTACT THE CONGRESSMAN OF YOUR OWN CONSTITUENCY)
10/07/11 - Got a response from Congressman's office
"After speaking with USCIS today, they are forwarding your case to an officer for review. This should take approximately two or three weeks."

10/14/11 - Got a standard e-mail reponse for the openned SR. "Application pending..wait 90 days ...bla bla bla"

10/25/11 - Contact Senator Toomey's office (R). Visited his office personally. Very formally dressed. Caseworker was really nice. Gave them the paperwork. He promised he will look into it.
10/25/11 - SAME DAY.. got the following response:
"I called the Nebraska Service Center and talked to someone who told me your case is with a review officer currently. There is no timeline for completion, it just depends on what else is on that person’s desk and how fast they can get it done."
10/27/11 - Got Approval.

I hope this helps. Good luck my friends. I am pretty sure everyone will overcome this once they are current.

valuablehurdle,
Congratulations, long journey... Happy Ending.

[red2green]

Thanks Nishant, I was concerned about that as well. I checked with my attorney's office and got the following:

"This will not affect your wife's I-485 application, since you were married well before the date of your I-485 approval. We look forward to receiving your wife's signed documents to proceed with her I-485 application."

So this means I can apply for my wife anytime as long as I am married prior to the I-485 approval. This doesn't completely clear the doubts as I can't find any information on case like this on USCIS website or anywhere else.

I was also of the same opinion as Nishant's but glad your lawyer said 'no problem'. good to know this rule. But just curious if your PD is 6/7/07, you should be current for some time now. What were you waiting for without filing your wife's 485(especially when folks with around that PD getting GCs) ?

[nishant2200]

Murthy bulletin is up now: http://murthy.com/bulletin.html

with the late breaking newsflash

[gc_usa]

There are two set of people who are posting information.

Few who didn't attended meeting with CO but got information on AILA site being a member of that group and few who are member of AILA and went to this meeting.

Those who didn't attended saying significant movement is possible from now to Feb 2012 but can't confirm March 2008 for Dec 2011 bulletin. While others like Murthy and few other law firms mentioned that it will be March 1 2008 as they might have heard directly from CO may be after meeting is over.

I would trust Murthy since if it is not even close to confirm she will not post on site home page.

Why CO will move to March 1 2008 ?

If he moves till March 2008 and USCIS start showing more and more demand from PWMB in Jan or later and he can't move date , still he is close to secure mode for this years quota for EB2 IC. If he can move in Jan - Feb 2012 , its a buffer for him.

Lesson learned from GC journey. When USCIS runs out of demand CO is very liberal and when they have enough cases CO is more conservative.

[parsvnath]

I agree Nishant...

Trust me....I need this more than anyone else....My dates are 21st Feb 2008...

[leo07]

Nishanth and all folks waiting for vb to move to march 1 2008,

Please keep a check on your hopes until you see that date on official VB. Don't take me wrong, I want the dates to move to 2008, but have the first hand experience of a let down multiple times before. So, don't make any changes in the way you conduct your business in your professional as well as personal lives yet

Best!

Murthy bulletin is up now: http://murthy.com/bulletin.html

with the late breaking newsflash

[leo4ever]

Dude, c'mon lets move it to Nov 1, 2008.

I really hope CO goes all the way till end 2008 at some point in FY2012. I'm in August 2008 so selfishly I want it to go atleast till end-Aug but it really would be good for others to atleast get the EAD and start the 180 day clock to change jobs. And it really wouldn't "hurt" the DOS/USCIS either - it's a matter of optics at that point.

[nishant2200]

I completely agree leo. The professional conduct very true, what u said, dont want to be in bad books, as well as shud not give too high hopes to family yet.

Nishanth and all folks waiting for vb to move to march 1 2008,

Please keep a check on your hopes until you see that date on official VB. Don't take me wrong, I want the dates to move to 2008, but have the first hand experience of a let down multiple times before. So, don't make any changes in the way you conduct your business in your professional as well as personal lives yet

Best!

[RMS_V13]

This is the most useful post in this forum in a long long while. Thank you ValuableHurdle for all the great tips.

Friends:

It is a broken system.

I hope this information helps everyone who are waiting for the GC and their PD is current.

PD 04/15/2007 NSC
RD 08/10/2007
ND 10/10/2007

Here is a synopsis of event:
10/01/11- PD became current
10/03/11 - Openned an SR with L1 officer.
10/06/11 - Contact Congressman M. Doyle (D) office. Visited personally. Told them I am buying a House in there constituency. Showed them my sales agreement.
(REMEMBER: YOU HAVE TO CONTACT THE CONGRESSMAN OF YOUR OWN CONSTITUENCY)
10/07/11 - Got a response from Congressman's office
"After speaking with USCIS today, they are forwarding your case to an officer for review. This should take approximately two or three weeks."

10/14/11 - Got a standard e-mail reponse for the openned SR. "Application pending..wait 90 days ...bla bla bla"

10/25/11 - Contact Senator Toomey's office (R). Visited his office personally. Very formally dressed. Caseworker was really nice. Gave them the paperwork. He promised he will look into it.
10/25/11 - SAME DAY.. got the following response:
"I called the Nebraska Service Center and talked to someone who told me your case is with a review officer currently. There is no timeline for completion, it just depends on what else is on that person’s desk and how fast they can get it done."
10/27/11 - Got Approval.

I hope this helps. Good luck my friends. I am pretty sure everyone will overcome this once they are current.

[leo07]

sure, why not Oct 2011

Dude, c'mon lets move it to Nov 1, 2008.

[sandeep11]

Yes Nishant, the best example is this past May where there was a huge expectation 'siginificant movement' as a result of 12K SO from EB1 ( Almost all law firms came up with the news). Finally it turned out to be 3 week movement (for that VB atleast). Later it did catch up.

This situation is different now though, CO explicitly mentioned he would be front loading the applications from this Year and his particular mention in the Both the VB for this year.

Lets hope for the best.

I completely agree leo. The professional conduct very true, what u said, dont want to be in bad books, as well as shud not give too high hopes to family yet.

[veni001]

There are two set of people who are posting information.

Few who didn't attended meeting with CO but got information on AILA site being a member of that group and few who are member of AILA and went to this meeting.

Those who didn't attended saying significant movement is possible from now to Feb 2012 but can't confirm March 2008 for Dec 2011 bulletin. While others like Murthy and few other law firms mentioned that it will be March 1 2008 as they might have heard directly from CO may be after meeting is over.

I would trust Murthy since if it is not even close to confirm she will not post on site home page.

Why CO will move to March 1 2008 ?

If he moves till March 2008 and USCIS start showing more and more demand from PWMB in Jan or later and he can't move date , still he is close to secure mode for this years quota for EB2 IC. If he can move in Jan - Feb 2012 , its a buffer for him.

Lesson learned from GC journey. When USCIS runs out of demand CO is very liberal and when they have enough cases CO is more conservative.

gc_usa,
CO could be hoping to generate enough EB2IC demand for FY2012 spillover season with 01MAR2008 cut off date, if not he can move dates (in Q3 or as soon as he find out demand Vs Supply)

[zztopfan]

Hi Folks,

My PD is EB2 India Dec 2008. When can I expect to be current? Btw, great forum - civil, respectful and people caring for each other. Long it may continue to be so.

[cbpds1]

If there is arnd 35k applicants by march 2008, CO will get more applications only when his bag contains less than 15k , so it all depends on SOFAD, pls look at spec's calculations in 2011 header

Hi Folks,

My PD is EB2 India Dec 2008. When can I expect to be current? Btw, great forum - civil, respectful and people caring for each other. Long it may continue to be so.

[gchappy]

I was also of the same opinion as Nishant's but glad your lawyer said 'no problem'. good to know this rule. But just curious if your PD is 6/7/07, you should be current for some time now. What were you waiting for without filing your wife's 485(especially when folks with around that PD getting GCs) ?

yes I became current since October. But essentially I was taken by surprise by the October bulletin. I just started getting everything together after the bulletin came out. Getting all the documentation together including the medicals and birth certificate affidavits from India took some time plus the attorney prep took some time. I guess I didn't do this as fast as I could.

At the risk of promoting a business, I will mention this. Please remove this comment if it is inadequate. In case if anybody in CA bay area finds it helpful, we visited Dr. Maina Shetty (Hayward, CA)for medical test. She charged about 133 which includes blood work. We had to take TDap which was covered under insurance so we got from a pharmacy.

[zztopfan]

Thanks cbpds1. I am trying to understand everything on this forum. There is lot of number crunching which is impressive. Just wondering, where this 35K applicant number comes from?

[cbpds1]

Sorry there will be arnd 48k applicants before you assuming there is 6k porting by that time.
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...oved-in-FY2011

Thanks cbpds1. I am trying to understand everything on this forum. There is lot of number crunching which is impressive. Just wondering, where this 35K applicant number comes from?

[vizcard]

Thanks cbpds1. I am trying to understand everything on this forum. There is lot of number crunching which is impressive. Just wondering, where this 35K applicant number comes from?

I think its ~10K visas for EB2I+25K SOFAD. Gurus?

[cbpds1]

Spec,
in the chart u have mentioned numbers for No porting to 6k porting.
http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...oved-in-FY2011

Consider 6k porting, just wanted to confirm if you have considered incremental porting of 6k each FY instead of 6k as a whole.
I guess u wud but just wanted to double check.

[zztopfan]

Sorry there will be arnd 48k applicants before you assuming there is 6k porting by that time.

If the cut off date moves to 1st Mar 2008 as widely reported, that would mean they would already be taking in around 35k new applications. Then I also read on Murthy.com bulletin that they are expecting to move the dates in Jan as well as Feb bulletins too. So I would imagine those two latter moves would at least move it to middle of late 2008 (I hope). No ?

[cbpds1]

Since ur pd is dec 2008, it doesnt matter to you if the dates move to mid 2008, since CO wud then have a large buffer and he will concentrate on clearing it (ur wait time increases), only then will he move dates further, so its a function of sofad anyways, guess ill leave it to the gurus now .

If the cut off date moves to 1st Mar 2008 as widely reported, that would mean they would already be taking in around 35k new applications. Then I also read on Murthy.com bulletin that they are expecting to move the dates in Jan as well as Feb bulletins too. So I would imagine those two latter moves would at least move it to middle of late 2008 (I hope). No ?

[zztopfan]

I understand what you mean. Unless I get picked up in this wave, I would have to wait probably till 2012/13. Unless I guess the 3012 becomes law.

[codesmith]

Hi Q/Nishant and experts,
I'm referring to Oct 2011 Inventory Report

http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Green%20C...001%202011.pdf

USCIS fqa says this report is : The “Pending Employment-Based Form I-485 Report,” displays the total number of pending adjustment of status applications,
Whats does it mean ? I140 approved and 485 filed and still not approved
or 485 approved but actual GC not done ?

Why do we see numbers even from yr 2000 ? What does it signify ?

[nishant2200]

http://murthy.com/news/n_vbpred.html

detailed stuff from murthy on the recent predictions