Needed this desperately and missed by 1 day.
PD is 1st Nov 07.
Needed this desperately and missed by 1 day.
PD is 1st Nov 07.
Shivarajan
Cheer up .We are with you too ( 11/09/2007) ,srd4gc(11/15/2007) and Nishant (around 11/15/2007 is what I remember)...
It definetly gives me hope they will move it again next month and we can be current or atleast the day is not too far off.
Originally Posted by shivarajan
Needed this desperately and missed by 1 day.
PD is 1st Nov 07.
Nishant, are you in? if u just missed, you will get chance for sure next month. Not that you don't know
Spec, Please explain FB model when you get a chance
Soggadu, I really want to call this guy and break the news, can't imagine what happens to him when he sees the news
Kanmani, is your PD in now?
needid , are u so excited!!!!!!!!!!
Is your PD oct 2007? or oct 2011
Congrats if you are current
Congratulations all who became current - especially frequent contributors like Teddy and Soggadu. Teddy - you have been a rock of support to this community - please continue your good work here and on IV to bring clarity to the whole process and bring a sense of sanity and restraint to our often wild expectations.
Kanmani 29/06/2009
Nishant, are you in? if u just missed, you will get chance for sure next month. Not that you don't know
Spec, Please explain FB model when you get a chance
Soggadu, I really want to call this guy and break the news, can't imagine what happens to him when he sees the news
Kanmani, is your PD in now?
How long it will take the new I485 applications to show up in the Demand Data? Probably we will have an idea in ~2 months on how many new non PWMB (post Aug 15'07 PD) applications are getting submitted. Probably, it will move into early 2008 in the Dec bulletin and then retrogress in 2012 like the FB visa bulletin.
No Bieber long way to go ..................................June 2009
My two cents...This looks much closer to what the source of CM from 'USNonImmigrants' blog said...
DOS strategically would like not to retrogress cut-off dates for EB2 India and China as long as possible, but rather move dates such that they can intake new demand without using excessive visa numbers than allowed. In retrospective, this means that next bulletin can bring none to one month movement at most, with bigger movement around December and January 2012 visa bulletin, where unused visas from current quarterly spillover and next quarterly spillover could be used rationally. Once that is done, cut-off dates may stall or retrogress based on total demand.
I feel they might be planning for quarterly spillover this year. This intake is for potential Q1 spillover. Hoping there are some internal agreements b/n DOS and USCIS to pre-adj in 3 months. Next movement may be in 2-3 bulletins from now, following the same pattern for Q2 spillover and that intake / movement might depend on how many are still pending from the current intake and this pattern may repeat once or twice until they get a hang of this. If it does not work by Q3/Q4, they might try something else.
Looks like this will provide a more favorable picture of them in terms of not too much retrogression.
One other note: This pattern might also reduce the time they spend in answering enquiries from Senators and so on.
Please feel free to disagree.
Last edited by mysati; 10-05-2011 at 03:15 PM. Reason: added last but one line
bieber,
I was referring to TK's previous post.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Guys why is the DOS site not updated and showing Nov bulletin coming soon ?
So now its confirmed, the FB model is in motion - increase PD by 3 months each in every month of the first quarter and then retrogress in the second quarter. That should give USCIS enough time to process everything and have a healthy inventory going into the spillover season. This also ensures that USCIS is not flooded all of a sudden.
Next demand data will be interesting to watch. I am essentially looking for gurus to come to a PERM-to-485 multiplier so that we can get a good fix on the hidden demand beyond the current PD.
Yes buddy, It is 10/28/2007.
I can't tell you , how frustrated i was, Many things put on hold esp career and some of the family issues.
Teddy, Hearty congratulations to you! Also, Congrats to all other who are current in Nov. Get busy with medicals,documents,forms,emails2lawyers, blah blah... Good Luck!
Hope that next VB allows me to join the club. :-)
CONGRATULATIONS to all whose dates are current with this VB....
Since this movement to NOV 1 07 has confirmed one of the many theories we had, could someone please shed light as to what this means in terms of future movement and how far will USCIS go in accepting new applications ?
The November Employment-based Second preference cut-off date for applicants
from China and India is the most favorable since August 2007. This advancement is expected to generate significant levels of demand based on new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services offices. While significant future cut-off date movements are anticipated, they may not be made on a monthly basis. Readers should not expect such movements to be the norm throughout the fiscal year, and an eventual retrogression of the cut-off at some point during the year is a distinct possibility.
When they say significant ...what is our projection/interpretation of this term based on our experience of hearing from CO?
Regards
Nat
Last edited by natvyas; 10-05-2011 at 03:22 PM.
3 of my friends and I got current. Thanks to Q and other forum gurus for all the calculations and predictions. All the best to the rest in line.
Congrats to all in the GC boat... and Please apply for I-485 if you have not done so. because next month bulletin we will never know apart from the accurate predictions here. Happy for all who became current.
Is this really true??????? Official site shows Nov bulletin as coming soon.....mine is Oct 26.....cant believe it......please confirm....
Sorry,In moment of excitement forgot the to Thanks.
Thanks to Q for this wonderful forum. Thanks to Q,Spec,T,Veni for getting hands dirty to put something useful out for this community.Congrats to all Current.Good luck to Nishant and rest for next bulletin.
Read this it is TRUE...Happy for you
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull...in_Nov2011.pdf
It is true. The PDF file often gets uploaded before the visa bulletin link is live. You can begin celebrating. Congratulations!
I can't believe. Congrats to everyone and to myself
Right now the PDF file also seems to have been pulled back. Its no longer accessible:
"Sorry, we couldn't find that page on travel.state.gov"
Big Thank you to all my friends.
Spec, the credit for all the research on the FB model should go to Nishant, he was the one who did all the hard work, Iam just using his work.
Last edited by TeddyKoochu; 10-05-2011 at 03:38 PM.
Yeah what happened to the PDF link? It is same like Sept VB. Making us crazy.
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