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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

  1. #1776
    This is it. Anytime next 4 days. All calculations predictions, logic, has no meaning now; Whatever CO does will be the truth. Last time rdsingh found DD at 6.52 am and VB at 12.12 pm PST.

    I hope the wait ends tomorrow!
    Last edited by nishant2200; 11-07-2011 at 01:27 AM.

  2. #1777
    New week .... New numbers.... New news.... All the best guys.....
    http://youtu.be/h0b5VGrKVG4 -- GC Journey in KOLAVERI Song!!!!!

  3. #1778
    Reminds me of the Mech Engg's results @ Mumbai univ....all the best to everyone...

  4. #1779
    I see many approval from EB2I in trackitt on Nov 3(8 Approved) and Nov 4(11 Approved), in which 8 of them are between July 15-July 31.
    EB2-I, PD April 08, 08

  5. #1780

    Don't be selfish man

    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    This is it. Anytime next 4 days. All calculations predictions, logic, has no meaning now; Whatever CO does will be the truth. Last time rdsingh found DD at 6.52 am and VB at 12.12 pm PST.

    I hope the wait ends tomorrow!

    People with PD in 2009 or later 2008 has meaning. You will be current for sure in next 2 VB max but there are thousands who needs prediction who are in same state where you were last year.

  6. #1781
    Most of these people filed in 2007, but the wave was so strong in this weekend and may guys got approvals on Sunday morning!

    I counted them and the number is from 40-60. I think the 2007 fiasco cases will be cleared by this month!

    Quote Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
    Woow !, thats great news, are here any PWMB case approvals as well for people who just filed last month.

  7. #1782
    yes, CO is unpredictable. I hope all the wish comes true!

    Let's keep fingers crossed!

    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    This is it. Anytime next 4 days. All calculations predictions, logic, has no meaning now; Whatever CO does will be the truth. Last time rdsingh found DD at 6.52 am and VB at 12.12 pm PST.

    I hope the wait ends tomorrow!

  8. #1783
    Quote Originally Posted by gc_usa View Post
    People with PD in 2009 or later 2008 has meaning. You will be current for sure in next 2 VB max but there are thousands who needs prediction who are in same state where you were last year.
    Dude I meant for this couple of days, there is no point in speculation.
    I am not a lawyer, and it's always best to consult an immigration attorney.

  9. #1784
    Qblogfan

    Did you find any approval with PD in August 2007 ?

  10. #1785
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    Quote Originally Posted by gc_usa View Post
    People with PD in 2009 or later 2008 has meaning. You will be current for sure in next 2 VB max but there are thousands who needs prediction who are in same state where you were last year.
    I think Nishant meant that unless we get more demand or VB info, it's meaningless to have any realistic calculations. Otherwise it's pure speculation which this forum is not about. When we get data, you can bet that there will be a lot more discussion and "meaningful" calculations /predictions.

  11. #1786
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    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    Dude I meant for this couple of days, there is no point in speculation.
    We will need a separate thread just to 'congratulate Nishant' whenever he becomes current . And really hope that happens today

  12. #1787
    I didn't see a single August 2007 case.

    Some people discussed on mitbbs and said the cut off of 140 was July 2007 or sth?

    I don't know why August 2007 cases are not being approved.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    Qblogfan

    Did you find any approval with PD in August 2007 ?

  13. #1788
    Quote Originally Posted by qblogfan View Post
    I didn't see a single August 2007 case.

    Some people discussed on mitbbs and said the cut off of 140 was July 2007 or sth?

    I don't know why August 2007 cases are not being approved.
    May towards end of this month we may see approvals from Aug 2007.
    EB2-I, PD April 08, 08

  14. #1789
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    October, November EB2-I Trackitt Trend

    This is my first post and this is specifically to Teddy, Nishant and Qblogfan (The number crunchers).

    So far for EB2-I, on trackitt only 132 cases are reported during October and November. To me this number is very low as the priority date range in from 15th April to 1st November. If we assume 7% as trackitt ratio for EB2-I, the total number of new application is just 1886. If that is true, then it is very optimistic sign for people with PD in 2008. Any inputs from you guys?

    Month "Priority Dt Range" .... "Total", "In Range" ,"Ports","PWMBs", "New", "7%", "5%"
    -------- ------------------- ------- -------- ----------- -------- --------- ------ ------- -------
    Oct, 11 15th Apr - 15th Jul.... 70....... 62........... 4........ 66........ 0...... 1000..1400
    Nov, 11 15th Jul - 30th Oct.... 62....... 61........... 1........ 15....... 47...... 886.. 1240
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    ..........................................132..... .............................................. 1886..2640
    Attached Images Attached Images
    Last edited by Sudheer; 11-07-2011 at 01:08 PM. Reason: formatted the table

  15. #1790
    Q, Teddy, Nishanth

    do you guys know where Spec is now a days?

  16. #1791
    Quote Originally Posted by Sudheer View Post
    This is my first post and this is specifically to Teddy, Nishant and Qblogfan (The number crunchers).

    So far for EB2-I, on trackitt only 132 cases are reported during October and November. To me this number is very low as the priority date range in from 15th April to 1st November. If we assume 7% as trackitt ratio for EB2-I, the total number of new application is just 1886. If that is true, then it is very optimistic sign for people with PD in 2008. Any inputs from you guys?

    Month "Priority Dt Range" .... "Total", "In Range" ,"Ports","PWMBs", "New", "7%", "5%"
    -------- ------------------- ------- -------- ----------- -------- --------- ------ ------- -------
    Oct, 11 15th Apr - 15th Jul.... 70....... 62........... 4........ 66........ 0...... 1000..1400
    Nov, 11 15th Jul - 30th Oct.... 62....... 61........... 1........ 15....... 47...... 886.. 1240
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    ..........................................132..... .............................................. 1886..2640
    The Trackitt ratio's keep changing with time. The intersting thing about this time duration is that people have just filed so the numbers may pick up. The trackitt ratios have varied all the way from 5 - 30 based on the opinions of several individuals. Its a little early to read anything based on them.

  17. #1792
    Quote Originally Posted by bieber View Post
    Q, Teddy, Nishanth

    do you guys know where Spec is now a days?
    Bieber we have all not heard from Spec in a while. We are all missing his company, commentary and valuable inputs.

  18. #1793
    Oracle tackle's Avatar
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    Pardon my ignorance, but what's the consensus on Trackitt? Do we extrapolate the numbers from Trackitt to get a reasonable number? I ask this because I do not have a trackitt account (neither do any of my friends) and so trackitt does not track any of our applications. The numbers from Trackitt are fully based on user submitted records, isn't it?


    Quote Originally Posted by Sudheer View Post
    This is my first post and this is specifically to Teddy, Nishant and Qblogfan (The number crunchers).

    So far for EB2-I, on trackitt only 132 cases are reported during October and November. To me this number is very low as the priority date range in from 15th April to 1st November. If we assume 7% as trackitt ratio for EB2-I, the total number of new application is just 1886. If that is true, then it is very optimistic sign for people with PD in 2008. Any inputs from you guys?

    Month "Priority Dt Range" .... "Total", "In Range" ,"Ports","PWMBs", "New", "7%", "5%"
    -------- ------------------- ------- -------- ----------- -------- --------- ------ ------- -------
    Oct, 11 15th Apr - 15th Jul.... 70....... 62........... 4........ 66........ 0...... 1000..1400
    Nov, 11 15th Jul - 30th Oct.... 62....... 61........... 1........ 15....... 47...... 886.. 1240
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    ..........................................132..... .............................................. 1886..2640

  19. #1794
    In my opinion the more time it takes to get the demand data or VB, the less the movement beyond Mar 1 2008. If CO would have made up his mind already, he releases it today itself.

    Gurus what are your thoughts.

  20. #1795
    Quote Originally Posted by pdmay2008 View Post
    In my opinion the more time it takes to get the demand data or VB, the less the movement beyond Mar 1 2008. If CO would have made up his mind already, he releases it today itself.

    Gurus what are your thoughts.
    It may work quite opposite, the later they collect the demand data higher will be the number of approvals, so close to zero demand

  21. #1796
    Quote Originally Posted by bieber View Post
    It may work quite opposite, the later they collect the demand data higher will be the number of approvals, so close to zero demand
    I agree with you in that perspective.

    But the more he waits for the number of filings after Nov 1 2011, he gets more apps into pipeline. Which makes him decide how much more he needs in pipeline.

  22. #1797
    Quote Originally Posted by pdmay2008 View Post
    I agree with you in that perspective.

    But the more he waits for the number of filings after Nov 1 2011, he gets more apps into pipeline. Which makes him decide how much more he needs in pipeline.
    i do not think so, because it takes atleast 7-10 days for USCIS to release a receipt notice, so unless he is going to wait till the end of this week, it is unlikely that USCIS will be able to tell him the precise number of applications received ... thought i am surprised as to why the delay, ...

  23. #1798
    Quote Originally Posted by doctorp View Post
    i do not think so, because it takes atleast 7-10 days for USCIS to release a receipt notice, so unless he is going to wait till the end of this week, it is unlikely that USCIS will be able to tell him the precise number of applications received ... thought i am surprised as to why the delay, ...
    In that cases he does not even get a chance to look at how many new cases after Nov 1st 2011. He should make a guess based on historical data.

  24. #1799
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    I've said this before. I don't get why people are so anxious. what happens will happen. Keep your documents ready and wait for it. No need to get all worked up.

  25. #1800
    Been Away for a while...had a nice india trip...got visa stamped with no issues in chennai...dates did move last month...so many pages to catch up ha...congrats to my friends who became current...Soggadu bhai congrats...hoping nishanth will become current this bulletin

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