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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

  1. #1601

    Smile

    ChampU,
    Thanks for the amazingly fast response.
    Quote Originally Posted by ChampU View Post
    A friend of mine was in a similar position back in August 2007.. He had applied for H1 extension and it was in process while his PD became current.. his lawyer submitted the receipt as a proof of his current status.. His H1 was approved about 15 days after he submitted the I-485 application. When he went for the biometrics, he carried his approved H1 and a copy of it and told the officer about it. He handed over the copy to the officer, at the time of biometrics.

    He was expecting a RFE about the current status, but didn't receive any. His GC was approved recently. The officer must have updated something in the system or he could have received an RFE for a different reason (that I'm not aware of) and he updated it in the system.

    I guess your situation is similar to his, so you should be fine.
    Last edited by ggk189; 11-03-2011 at 04:36 PM.

  2. #1602
    Documents for 495 are very generic. Tax returns are the only major difference that I have seen so far.
    here is a link:http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/usc...0045f3d6a1RCRD

    Quote Originally Posted by SmileBaba View Post
    Hi buddy! Can you please share the list of documents that Fragomen firm asks for filing I485? Thanks!

  3. #1603
    Quote Originally Posted by leo07 View Post
    I'm thinking if VB were to come tomorrow they would have released Demand Data by now. Likely, it's tuesday of next week?
    Baba agrees with you!

  4. #1604
    Quote Originally Posted by leo07 View Post
    Documents for 495 are very generic. Tax returns are the only major difference that I have seen so far.
    here is a link:http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/usc...0045f3d6a1RCRD
    No offense..but I have seen a lot of difference in opinions among lawyers. Some asks for W2's, paystubs etc. for last 1/2/3 years. I asked Vizcard to share Fragomen's I485 list of documents because Fragomen is one of the prominent lawyer firm.

  5. #1605
    Admin/Moderators

    if possible, please move all personal questions and non-prediction/calculation related posts to different thread. Last few pages have none of the thread related posts

  6. #1606
    Yup, I totally agree this thread had outgrown the purpose. Mostly because people have started filing for 485 and CO himself is doing the predictions these days
    In a way, CO is competing with Spec,Q,Nishanth, Teddy, Veni & co

    Quote Originally Posted by bieber View Post
    Admin/Moderators

    if possible, please move all personal questions and non-prediction/calculation related posts to different thread. Last few pages have none of the thread related posts

  7. #1607
    No worries. I hear you
    Quote Originally Posted by SmileBaba View Post
    No offense..but I have seen a lot of difference in opinions among lawyers. Some asks for W2's, paystubs etc. for last 1/2/3 years. I asked Vizcard to share Fragomen's I485 list of documents because Fragomen is one of the prominent lawyer firm.

  8. #1608
    Hi ggk,

    Note sure if my response is too late for you. Posting here just in case, it might help you somehow or anyone else in a similar situation.

    My H1 was extended, beyond the 6 year period, on the basis of a PERM that was pending for more than a year. My PERM was in audit and got cleared through the backlog reduction process only after 2 years. In the meantime, I had got my extension and visa stamping done.

    It specifically stated in my extension that the reason for extension beyond the 6 year limit is due to PERM being in pending status for more than a year.


    Quote Originally Posted by ggk189 View Post
    gurus,
    I have a question.My H1 elapsed last month(could not extend it because of lack of ead /6 year completion/ my GC did not advance until I140 ) hence applied for H4 visa. All I have is a receipt for H4 that it is applied. My spouse priority date is feb 2008 under EB2I. In case if the dates become current for applying for 485 should I need to have H4 approval or does the receipt suffice.

  9. #1609
    If Fragomen isn't your attorney, you are just going to confuse yourself. And believe me if the list by Fragomen and your attorney differs, you are going to be worried and tensed. Sometimes the more you know the more you will be confused.
    Also each case is different based on individual's past and present circumustances. So some case needs W2s, paystubs, etc. as supporting documents but others don't. And that could be the reason why USCIS doesn't mention it is required.

    So I would suggest you should stick and trust your attorney's instructions or else should hire Fragomen.

    Quote Originally Posted by SmileBaba View Post
    No offense..but I have seen a lot of difference in opinions among lawyers. Some asks for W2's, paystubs etc. for last 1/2/3 years. I asked Vizcard to share Fragomen's I485 list of documents because Fragomen is one of the prominent lawyer firm.

  10. #1610
    Agree..I was looking for demand data whole day......As Nishantbhai said...every hours seems like a day

    Quote Originally Posted by leo07 View Post
    I'm thinking if VB were to come tomorrow they would have released Demand Data by now. Likely, it's tuesday of next week?

  11. #1611
    I do not mean to confuse anyone but I got below information from CM at US-Non-Immigrants Blog

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.co...s-from-mr.html



    Today I talked to our attorney friend and asked him his views on statement made by Mr. Oppenheim about future movements within EB and FB category and what information they have across their law firm regarding EB2- IC

    Here is his feedback as per information floating around the firm.

    "Mr. Oppenheim did make those projections for EB and FB category. All the stated projections did came from Mr. Oppenheim himself. Everything other than "01 March 2008" for EB2 IC was explicitly stated. During addressing everyone in meeting Mr Oppenheim mentioned that significant movement as big as 3-4 months is expected in December bulletin with follow on movement in Jan- Feb 2012 based on demand. I(attorney) am not sure if specific date of '01 Mar 2008' was given to specific group of people later on but was not mentioned in our presence. On asking about excessive backlog in currently released inventory and it's repercussion on the stated projections, Mr. Oppenheim mentioned that he is not aware of released data from USCIS and will look into it later. Nevertheless, he still made it very clear that some significant movement for EB2 India and China is necessary to generate demand for fiscal year in order to keep cases adjudicated for processing at USCIS later in the year.

    Based on released inventory it may be that Mr. Oppenheim will rethink his projected movement for EB2 India and China. I(attorney) believe this would mean bigger movement than 3-4 months for EB2 India and China in December and early retrogression than projected in summer 2012 in such case. Mr. Oppenheim was insistent about acute need to ensure enough cases are ready for adjudication before summer 2012."

    CM - I believe this is very good news but please take it with a grain of salt. Let's hope for the best and be ready for the worst.

  12. #1612

    Post Hang in there for few more days...

    I can totally imagine the nerve wrecking tension. Hang in there strong, I some how feel that the news is going to be good. ( even if we know that it's going to be a temporary movement )

    Quote Originally Posted by nabrika View Post
    Agree..I was looking for demand data whole day......As Nishantbhai said...every hours seems like a day

  13. #1613
    Get well soon. ( not munna bhai estyle, but seriously
    As of now , it looks like VB will wait for your fever/cold to come down until Monday/Tuesday

    btw, your PD anniversary is on 11/8 as well
    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    point taken kd. Its difficult to do so though when 8 days from last cut off, but I see where you are coming from.

    Just ordered a pizza hut pizza in all its glory. I have been sick with cold and fever, glad right now, so that doesn't impede me during the 485 running around.

    Now for the cheese and to indulge.
    Last edited by leo07; 11-03-2011 at 06:01 PM.

  14. #1614
    Most of us waiting for lucky day.. Just wait 24hrs maxxxxxx.

  15. #1615
    Is it a rule that VB is done 1-2 days after Demand data? I maybe wrong but I thought I noticed an instance (maybe last month or 2-3 months back) where the Demand data was either released same day as VB or even a day after.

  16. #1616
    There's lot of information and mis-information put together in different piles, depending on whom you ask. This could go into either of them. If at all, you may be adding a drop to the infinity (confusion), so no worries
    Quote Originally Posted by nabrika View Post
    I do not mean to confuse anyone but I got below information from CM at US-Non-Immigrants Blog

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.co...s-from-mr.html



    Today I talked to our attorney friend and asked him his views on statement made by Mr. Oppenheim about future movements within EB and FB category and what information they have across their law firm regarding EB2- IC

    Here is his feedback as per information floating around the firm.

    "Mr. Oppenheim did make those projections for EB and FB category. All the stated projections did came from Mr. Oppenheim himself. Everything other than "01 March 2008" for EB2 IC was explicitly stated. During addressing everyone in meeting Mr Oppenheim mentioned that significant movement as big as 3-4 months is expected in December bulletin with follow on movement in Jan- Feb 2012 based on demand. I(attorney) am not sure if specific date of '01 Mar 2008' was given to specific group of people later on but was not mentioned in our presence. On asking about excessive backlog in currently released inventory and it's repercussion on the stated projections, Mr. Oppenheim mentioned that he is not aware of released data from USCIS and will look into it later. Nevertheless, he still made it very clear that some significant movement for EB2 India and China is necessary to generate demand for fiscal year in order to keep cases adjudicated for processing at USCIS later in the year.

    Based on released inventory it may be that Mr. Oppenheim will rethink his projected movement for EB2 India and China. I(attorney) believe this would mean bigger movement than 3-4 months for EB2 India and China in December and early retrogression than projected in summer 2012 in such case. Mr. Oppenheim was insistent about acute need to ensure enough cases are ready for adjudication before summer 2012."

    CM - I believe this is very good news but please take it with a grain of salt. Let's hope for the best and be ready for the worst.

  17. #1617
    CO can release the Dec VB ASAP like tomorrow, Jan and Feb VB can make little late based on demand data
    EB2-I, PD April 08, 08

  18. #1618
    seems like two of colleagues had their 485 - apps filed at NSC.
    However mine was filed at Phoenix Service Center.
    Anybody else in same situation?

  19. #1619
    Lot of comments on need for Tax return or not.
    Found this paragraph in instructions section. This may explain why some attorneys have asked for W2 and tax returns.

    "What If You Claim Nonresident Alien Status on Your Federal Income Tax Return?
    If you are an alien who has established residence in the United States after having been admitted as an immigrant or adjusted status to that of an immigrant, and are considering the filing of a nonresident alien tax return or the non-filing of a tax return on the ground that you are a nonresident alien, you should carefully review the consequences of such actions under the Immigration and Nationality Act.


    If you file a nonresident alien tax return or fail to file a tax return, you may be regarded as having abandoned residence in the United States and as having lost your permanent resident status under the Act. As a consequence, you may be ineligible for a visa or other document for which permanent resident aliens are eligible.
    You may also be inadmissible to the United States if you seek admission as a returning resident, and you may become ineligible for adjustment of status as a permanent resident, or naturalization on the basis of your original entry."

  20. #1620
    mysati,
    thanks for the response.since my case was not pending for more than one year I was not eligible for the same.
    Quote Originally Posted by mysati View Post
    Hi ggk,

    Note sure if my response is too late for you. Posting here just in case, it might help you somehow or anyone else in a similar situation.

    My H1 was extended, beyond the 6 year period, on the basis of a PERM that was pending for more than a year. My PERM was in audit and got cleared through the backlog reduction process only after 2 years. In the meantime, I had got my extension and visa stamping done.

    It specifically stated in my extension that the reason for extension beyond the 6 year limit is due to PERM being in pending status for more than a year.
    Last edited by ggk189; 11-03-2011 at 06:46 PM.

  21. #1621
    Quote Originally Posted by gc0907 View Post
    If Fragomen isn't your attorney, you are just going to confuse yourself. And believe me if the list by Fragomen and your attorney differs, you are going to be worried and tensed. Sometimes the more you know the more you will be confused.
    Also each case is different based on individual's past and present circumustances. So some case needs W2s, paystubs, etc. as supporting documents but others don't. And that could be the reason why USCIS doesn't mention it is required.

    So I would suggest you should stick and trust your attorney's instructions or else should hire Fragomen.
    Agreed..Thanks!

  22. #1622
    Friends , i understand the anxiety around 485 filing and lots of questions. Also i understand why everyone wants to post here.

    Personally i am quite time crunched and although I keep doing cleanup .... it is becoming difficult to spend enough time to keep the cleanup. The same is true for other gurus too.

    May I ask for a few volunteers who could as much as they could keep this thread clean.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  23. #1623

    News Flash - EB2 Predictions

    The subject of the U.S. Department of State (DOS) Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement is extremely important to many MurthyDotCom and MurthyBulletin readers. We provide predictions only when they are based upon reliable information. What follows is such reliable information, as it was shared by Charles Oppenheim, Chief, Immigrant Visa Control and Reporting Division, DOS. As advised in our October 27, 2011 NewsFlash! EB2 Cutoff of Mar 1, 2008 Expected in December 2011! these predictions include significant movement in the employment-based, second preference (EB2) category for India and China in the upcoming months.

  24. #1624
    Let me know if I can be of any help.

    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Friends , i understand the anxiety around 485 filing and lots of questions. Also i understand why everyone wants to post here.

    Personally i am quite time crunched and although I keep doing cleanup .... it is becoming difficult to spend enough time to keep the cleanup. The same is true for other gurus too.

    May I ask for a few volunteers who could as much as they could keep this thread clean.

  25. #1625
    Quote Originally Posted by qblogfan View Post
    I think the Dec VB may be released tomorrow or next Monday.

    nishant bhai, are you ready for tomorrow's VB?

    I hope good luck to both of us.
    Ok qbf, and all others, this is my take. Today was no probability of VB anyways, it was only for demand data maybe. Last demand data was dated October 4th for data collection, the third working day of october, and today was the third working day of the month Nov 3. They published demand data on October 5th, the fourth working day of the month, tomorrow is the fourth working day of the month. They also released VB the same day.

    Probability of VB releasing on the 4th, 7th, 8th, 9th and 10th is the same for now, and with each passing day after tomorrow, the probability of VB release on subsequent day will keep on getting higher!

    I say the VB shall be released tomorrow. I know it has never happened, so early on the 4th of a month I think, but I am asking for it The demand data IMHO is not significant for this VB, it won't matter. Whatever CO wants to do, he will do. This VB he is the God, next VB on, USCIS and other reasonable factors too, shall affect and cloud his hands.

    Quote Originally Posted by bieber View Post
    Admin/Moderators

    if possible, please move all personal questions and non-prediction/calculation related posts to different thread. Last few pages have none of the thread related posts
    I will get it cleaned once Dec VB pans out.

    Quote Originally Posted by leo07 View Post
    Get well soon. ( not munna bhai estyle, but seriously
    As of now , it looks like VB will wait for your fever/cold to come down until Monday/Tuesday

    btw, your PD anniversary is on 11/8 as well
    Never thought of this, you are correct
    Last edited by nishant2200; 11-03-2011 at 07:17 PM.
    I am not a lawyer, and it's always best to consult an immigration attorney.

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