EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

[nishant2200]

I just wanted to open up the topic of Demand Data, for discussion. IMHO the cumulative demand data for India and China (prior to 1 January 2008) should atleast remain the same (if not decrease) from the number of 2675.

What do you folks think?

I agree with you. Unless he is doing any QSP allocation.

[nishant2200]

Oh law firm updated page with stay tuned for Dec VB link. Progress.

[kd2008]

Oh law firm updated page with stay tuned for Dec VB link. Progress.

Nishant, just my 2c of brotherly advice. You are way over invested and over obsessed about this bulletin - I would say to the point of being unhealthy. It will arrive in due course and it won't change anything that matters in your life - your family, your friends, your self-worth, your memories etc.

[vizcard]

I can understand why Nishant (or anyone else is antsy). It's the light at the end of a VERY long tunnel (and its not a freight train).

[sunny4gc]

I wish everyone best of luck for the forthcoming visa bulletin.

I should be current (PD 12/2007) by this bulletin...

[sandeep11]

Eb2_Dec07-

Apart from the documentation you have to fill G325A form for each of the applicant, sign it and send it along with the rest of paperwork. All other forms would be filled by your attorney and should be reviewd along with you. For medicals Doc office asked me to showup for the tests and they would fill everything, I will just review my personal details and confirm they are correct.

Hey Guys , for the filing of I 485 , we have an attorney and I was wondering , besides supplying the all paperwork , what forms are we as an applicant are expected to fill by ourselves.

[venkimakthal]

Based on trackitt data, i see one 485 approved on 11/1 and one 485 approved on 11/2 from India EB2.
May be CO does not have enough visas for this month. Any ideas?

[arikepudi]

My PD is 12/19/07, If i become current in dec bulletin, Will i be able to apply for 485 starting Dec 1st till the end of December or can i apply starting the release of the bulletin till Dec end. Just want to make sure what is the valid period for a visa bulltin to apply. Reason i am asking because, i am not getting any doctor appointments near my area till Dec first week.

[venkimakthal]

My PD is 12/19/07, If i become current in dec bulletin, Will i be able to apply for 485 starting Dec 1st till the end of December or can i apply starting the release of the bulletin till Dec end. Just want to make sure what is the valid period for a visa bulltin to apply. Reason i am asking because, i am not getting any doctor appointments near my area till Dec first week.

You will be able to apply the 485 between Dec 1 - Dec 31 only if you are current in Dec VB.

[kpt112107]

U can apply later also if dates won't retrogress.

You will be able to apply the 485 between Dec 1 - Dec 31 only if you are current in Dec VB.

[gc0907]

No you don't have to file anything extra yourself. That's the reason you have attorney, to do the work for you.
or may be you should be more specific what made you ask this?
You can check this thread.

Hey Guys , for the filing of I 485 , we have an attorney and I was wondering , besides supplying the all paperwork , what forms are we as an applicant are expected to fill by ourselves.

[gc_usa]

I re read on murthy's site and found this.

"There is a possibility that the EB2 cutoff date in December could be even more favorable than March 1, 2008. Since cutoff dates are based on estimates of demand, the DOS will use data regarding early November 2011 adjustment-of-status filings (Form I-485), prior to establishing the December cutoff date. The cutoff date movement in the November 2011 Visa Bulletin permits a large number of individuals to file for adjustment of status as of November 1st. The DOS monitors the filings to determine whether anticipated demand matches the actual demand for visa numbers."

If that is the case then they will wait for more time to get idea. Or they can go up to March 2008 this month and in Jan they will use nov filling as pivot point to decide how many they will get in Dec.

They can't use oct since that was most favorable date in 2007 and only give them PWMB .. but Nov can give them full idea of average demand per month.

Lets see what he does.

[vizcard]

I re read on murthy's site and found this.

"There is a possibility that the EB2 cutoff date in December could be even more favorable than March 1, 2008. Since cutoff dates are based on estimates of demand, the DOS will use data regarding early November 2011 adjustment-of-status filings (Form I-485), prior to establishing the December cutoff date. The cutoff date movement in the November 2011 Visa Bulletin permits a large number of individuals to file for adjustment of status as of November 1st. The DOS monitors the filings to determine whether anticipated demand matches the actual demand for visa numbers."

If that is the case then they will wait for more time to get idea. Or they can go up to March 2008 this month and in Jan they will use nov filling as pivot point to decide how many they will get in Dec.

They can't use oct since that was most favorable date in 2007 and only give them PWMB .. but Nov can give them full idea of average demand per month.

Lets see what he does.

I believe Nov demand will impact the Jan and Feb VB rather than Dec. Personally, I don't expect dates to move ahead until April anyway (the next QSP) - after Dec VB.

[TeddyKoochu]

Based on trackitt data, i see one 485 approved on 11/1 and one 485 approved on 11/2 from India EB2.
May be CO does not have enough visas for this month. Any ideas?

So far the approvals have been extremely lukewarm at best. The 11/02 approval is EB2 ROW the guy is from Germany and the 11/01 approval is from someone with a Sep 2006 PD who had an interview so must have had a cap number reserved for his case kind off when his interview was scheduled. Besides that I read of another one which is again ROW - Cross chargeability. It’s still early days however if we do not see many approvals then it is indicative of numbers not being allocated. There were still 2.5K cases available by the last demand data. QBF what’s the news on MITTBS.

[soggadu]

Hello Guys,

Pardon me if i am interrupting the flow of discussion.

I was convicted of a DUI in New Jersey in 2007. I have completed all the formalities and also have the court disposition letter. I have these questions:

1. Do I need to include the original court disposition letter (with the court seal) in my I-485 packet or is a notarized copy enough? Its not a big deal to get that letter, it costs about $20 and I can get it in 2-3 days.
2. I plan to include copies of the police report, court documents, course completion certificate, receipts and the disposition letter. Do all these documents need to be notarized?
3. DUI s not a criminal offense in NJ (At least it wasn't in 2007). I was not finger printed. I have my lawyer's letter that states this. Do I also include it in the packet?

It was a big big mistake in my life and I want to make sure that it doesn't have any adverse impact on the GC process. Are there any other steps that I need to take?

Thanks a lot!

Champu bhai.... on this one, please dont listen to anyone other than your immigration lawyer experienced in these situations... i wish you all the best and darne ka nahi....even with DUI, lot/almost all get their GC's....just need a good eligible experienced lawyer....galtiyan sabse hoti hein bhai... tension nahi lena ka....

[natvyas]

Champu bhai.... on this one, please dont listen to anyone other than your immigration lawyer experienced in these situations... i wish you all the best and darne ka nahi....even with DUI, lot/almost all get their GC's....just need a good eligible experienced lawyer.....aur jagah dekh ke darru peene ka

Just kidding.....no offense meant

[qblogfan]

T, I checked MITBBS these days and there is ZERO approval in November. I think maybe the total approval is close to the 26% of EB2 annual quota. Maybe they stopped approvals and will resume in the next quarter in January. Nobody knows what's going on. Maybe they will start approving in this Friday?

So far the approvals have been extremely lukewarm at best. The 11/02 approval is EB2 ROW the guy is from Germany and the 11/01 approval is from someone with a Sep 2006 PD who had an interview so must have had a cap number reserved for his case kind off when his interview was scheduled. Besides that I read of another one which is again ROW - Cross chargeability. It’s still early days however if we do not see many approvals then it is indicative of numbers not being allocated. There were still 2.5K cases available by the last demand data. QBF what’s the news on MITTBS.

[suninphx]

T, I checked MITBBS these days and there is ZERO approval in November. I think maybe the total approval is close to the 26% of EB2 annual quota. Maybe they stopped approvals and will resume in the next quarter in January. Nobody knows what's going on. Maybe they will start approving in this Friday?

I checked back few months - we get concerned about no approvals at start of each month. I am not drawing any conclusions but just an observation.

[qblogfan]

It is very ridiculous! Many of them got GC in 1 year or less, we are getting GC in 5 years. Now they are complaining............

In the same industry, the competition is unfair. In the same company, one Korean guy got his GC in several months and jumped to a better company. one Indian/Chinese guy has to stick to a low pay job for 5 years or more before advancing in careers.

It's like a Chinese guy has a rope attached to his testicles and the Korean guy has no rope attached and these two guys are boxing on the stage. The Chinese guy can't jump because he feels the pain whenever he jumps. Now the Chinese guy asks the judge to release this rope to have a fair competition with the Korean guy. The Korean guy complains to the judge: don't release the rope, let his testicle pain continue.......

Koreans opposed HR 3012.

In a letter for committee leaders, the Korean-American Scientists and Engineers Association said the law would create a two-year wait for Koreans who get science, technology, engineering or math (STEM) degrees from universities in the U.S. It urged the committee "not to force engineers from Korea to wait [an] additional two years in their immigration process to get green cards."

http://www.computerworld.com/s/artic...?taxonomyId=72

[cbpds1]

Awesome logic !!!

It is very ridiculous! Many of them got GC in 1 year or less, we are getting GC in 5 years. Now they are complaining............

In the same industry, the competition is unfair. In the same company, one Korean guy got his GC in several months and jumped to a better company. one Indian/Chinese guy has to stick to a low pay job for 5 years or more before advancing in careers.

It's like a Chinese guy has a rope attached to his testicles and the Korean guy has no rope attached and these two guys are boxing on the stage. The Chinese guy can't jump because he feels the pain whenever he jumps. Now the Chinese guy asks the judge to release this rope to have a fair competition with the Korean guy. The Korean guy complains to the judge: don't release the rope, let his testicle pain continue.......

[Eb2_Dec07]

Very well put and funny Qblogfan .

It is very ridiculous! Many of them got GC in 1 year or less, we are getting GC in 5 years. Now they are complaining............

In the same industry, the competition is unfair. In the same company, one Korean guy got his GC in several months and jumped to a better company. one Indian/Chinese guy has to stick to a low pay job for 5 years or more before advancing in careers.

It's like a Chinese guy has a rope attached to his testicles and the Korean guy has no rope attached and these two guys are boxing on the stage. The Chinese guy can't jump because he feels the pain whenever he jumps. Now the Chinese guy asks the judge to release this rope to have a fair competition with the Korean guy. The Korean guy complains to the judge: don't release the rope, let his testicle pain continue.......

[suninphx]

It is very ridiculous! Many of them got GC in 1 year or less, we are getting GC in 5 years. Now they are complaining............

In the same industry, the competition is unfair. In the same company, one Korean guy got his GC in several months and jumped to a better company. one Indian/Chinese guy has to stick to a low pay job for 5 years or more before advancing in careers.

It's like a Chinese guy has a rope attached to his testicles and the Korean guy has no rope attached and these two guys are boxing on the stage. The Chinese guy can't jump because he feels the pain whenever he jumps. Now the Chinese guy asks the judge to release this rope to have a fair competition with the Korean guy. The Korean guy complains to the judge: don't release the rope, let his testicle pain continue.......

lol ...I am going to tell this around at my work (Dont worry I will be careful when I select the audience)

[Eb2_Dec07]

Guys with out my fault and because of my employer's mistake back in 2009 , I was out of status for over 2 months . My employer withdrew my visa and didnt tell me . He told me 2 months after he did it and I rushed to apply for h4 since spouse on h1b and h4 got approved , got an h1 with a new employer and then about 1 year transferred h1 to my current MNC corporation. I have an M.S from a reputed university and about overall 3 h1b's and 2 h4s all approved. Now as my spouse primary is readying to file for 485 next month ( if current for Dec PD 07 Ind) , jitters running through thinking about those 2 months of out of status. I had already put this question to this forum earlier and Q was kind enough to answer. I'm fearful of any rfe since that year I did not have payroll run for few months and dont have pay stubs if proof is sought. Since that incident I have no t left the country or traveled outside . I confronted my ex employer and he said since I'm not the primary applicant I should be ok . Any thoughts from gurus ? Now I'm also wondering if in the form somewhere I should accept that I had been out of status or not .

[gcseeker]

Monica behen

Thanks for those prayers. They mean a lot...just hope this VB comes soon.

Nishant, Gcseeker and others waiting to be current,
Hang in there buddies....praying for you guys..hopefully tomorrow is the day
Otherwise, next week for sure you guys will get electrified !

Qblogfan...

Hilarious.Simply hilarious.I cannot get the visualization out of my mind ,just like suninphx will be sharing this with my colleagues.

It is very ridiculous! Many of them got GC in 1 year or less, we are getting GC in 5 years. Now they are complaining............

In the same industry, the competition is unfair. In the same company, one Korean guy got his GC in several months and jumped to a better company. one Indian/Chinese guy has to stick to a low pay job for 5 years or more before advancing in careers.

It's like a Chinese guy has a rope attached to his testicles and the Korean guy has no rope attached and these two guys are boxing on the stage. The Chinese guy can't jump because he feels the pain whenever he jumps. Now the Chinese guy asks the judge to release this rope to have a fair competition with the Korean guy. The Korean guy complains to the judge: don't release the rope, let his testicle pain continue.......

[vchirakala]

Hi Guru's,

Do we need to have all the tax return copies when filing I-485 ? if so how many years copies do we need ?