Page 31 of 321 FirstFirst ... 2129303132334181131 ... LastLast
Results 751 to 775 of 8002

Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

  1. #751
    Guru's,
    My Dad is a doctor and I have the vaccination record from when I was born in India. Will that be sufficient or I still have to get them from here in US? BTW I am not current yet but close.

  2. #752
    I asked my lawyer and he said USCIS is fine.

    Quote Originally Posted by gc0907 View Post
    Even my lawyer asked for check $1070 payable to USCIS

    Even I noticed 485 insturctions but I didn't question my attorney on this one.
    Quote Originally Posted by knight View Post
    I got a copy of the 485 application (that was filed for my spouse on 10/3) from the attorney's office. I just checked that and I see that the check was made payable to "U.S. Department of Homeland Security". Hope this helps!

  3. #753
    I am not aware of any law that says you have to work the company for X number of days. Generally lawyers advise 6 months after GC is approved.

    I would think that in case you are no lonegr with your GC sponsor prior to completion of 6 months post GC approval, that you leaving voluntarily would be frowned upon much more than you being fired or RIR at your work place.


    Quote Originally Posted by kingcaeser View Post
    Also, please tell me what if the company fires me just after I get my GC? Will my GC be revoked?
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  4. #754
    What is happening...

    intially I thought in in 1st Q FY2012 (OCT -DEC 2011) they are going to 2700 (For India alone) visas while they build BTM for rest of the year!

    But just checked Trackitt..there are 80 approvals from Oct 1 - OCT 15 in EB2I
    with the assumtion 5% cases in Trackitt...80*20 = 1600..and its only half of the month..and not likely to slow down the approvals...so by end of the Oct,2011 the approval count would reach 2700 or a little higher..

    Does this imply no approals at all in Nov,11? and zero approvals in dec, 2011..until they decide to quarterly SO...Sounds not right...I am loosing my mind with this trend!!!

  5. #755
    USCIS processing times updated on October 18, 2011:


    Nebraska NSC
    - EB1 and EB2 I-140 : April 2011 (6 months back)
    - I-485 : 4 months

    Texas TSC

    - All I-140 including EB1 and EB2 : April 2011 (6 months)
    - I-485 : for EB, March 2011 (7 months back)

    ---------------------
    NSC which was doing better is also now getting bogged on 140 processing. TSC was already not doing great, it's still not doing great, as well as it's bogged on EB 485 also.

    One question guys who got current last two months etc, where did your 485 receipts come from, NSC or TSC. I want to see which service center is taking the bulk of new 485 applications.

  6. #756
    USCIS Q&A:
    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Outreach/...202011_mtg.pdf

    It indicates that they are still following Kazarian for EB1A, EB1B and EB2 NIW.

    And they say that they tried to reduce backlog for EB1 in last FY (in the end), but looks like they are still again getting behind. My personal feeling is that they have hit a plateau in terms of processing backlog, there will be spurts here and there like last quarter of FY 2011, to make their books look bit clean to the higher powers, but unless they increase fees and get more manpower, it's not going to happen drastically.

  7. #757
    I know what you are confused about, me too. I have not yet seen a reasonable explanation.

    really, at this point, I don't even know what will happen next VB.

    Hopefully though, this year will set forth a trend, and then next year on, we shall know strategy of CO.

    Quote Originally Posted by polapragada View Post
    What is happening...

    intially I thought in in 1st Q FY2012 (OCT -DEC 2011) they are going to 2700 (For India alone) visas while they build BTM for rest of the year!

    But just checked Trackitt..there are 80 approvals from Oct 1 - OCT 15 in EB2I
    with the assumtion 5% cases in Trackitt...80*20 = 1600..and its only half of the month..and not likely to slow down the approvals...so by end of the Oct,2011 the approval count would reach 2700 or a little higher..

    Does this imply no approals at all in Nov,11? and zero approvals in dec, 2011..until they decide to quarterly SO...Sounds not right...I am loosing my mind with this trend!!!

  8. #758
    Quote Originally Posted by gc0907 View Post
    I got Tdap and not sure if it was because this was my second dose of vaccine for Tetanus. I got my first one couple years back in India.

    Since your blood test results says you are immune and don't require the vaccines that is sufficient proof.
    If you got the copy of I693 form signed by CS, then look on page 4(#5 Vaccinations). See what he has mentioned for each vaccines listed.
    Mostly there will be an entry in Date Received / or lab results or Not Age Appropriate.

    At the end of the list in Results he should have checked:"Vaccination history complete for each vaccine, all requirements met."
    Thanks guys for quick responses.

    On page 4, 'Vaccines Date Given by CS' column filled for Td,MMR,varicella,influenza and all other vaccines checked as 'Not age appropriate' - No other columns used.
    And yes,at the bottom 'all requirements met' box is checked. seems like I should be fine. Thanks for the info.

    btw, I asked CS if additional docs like blood test results/vaccines given record etc should be attached to I-693 in the envelope, he said not necessary and sealed it (only 693 form inside).

  9. #759
    Quote Originally Posted by polapragada View Post
    What is happening...

    intially I thought in in 1st Q FY2012 (OCT -DEC 2011) they are going to 2700 (For India alone) visas while they build BTM for rest of the year!

    But just checked Trackitt..there are 80 approvals from Oct 1 - OCT 15 in EB2I
    with the assumtion 5% cases in Trackitt...80*20 = 1600..and its only half of the month..and not likely to slow down the approvals...so by end of the Oct,2011 the approval count would reach 2700 or a little higher..

    Does this imply no approals at all in Nov,11? and zero approvals in dec, 2011..until they decide to quarterly SO...Sounds not right...I am loosing my mind with this trend!!!
    The approval trend shows the priority dates are allover from Apr 15 2007 to July 15 2007. I noticed one july 13 2007 pd approval while july 14, july 15 of 2007 are happened to be saturday and sunday.

    So, I doubt USCIS cannot have a policy to approve a part of apr-july batch and make the rest of them to wait until the spillover season and also apr-july batch total exceeds the 2800 quota .

    My questions are
    1. Are we expecting a quarterly spillover ?
    2. Are these visa numbers from 2011 FY?
    Last edited by Kanmani; 10-18-2011 at 01:35 PM.

  10. #760
    Guru veni001's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    South-West
    Posts
    1,053
    Quote Originally Posted by polapragada View Post
    What is happening...

    intially I thought in in 1st Q FY2012 (OCT -DEC 2011) they are going to 2700 (For India alone) visas while they build BTM for rest of the year!

    But just checked Trackitt..there are 80 approvals from Oct 1 - OCT 15 in EB2I
    with the assumtion 5% cases in Trackitt...80*20 = 1600..and its only half of the month..and not likely to slow down the approvals...so by end of the Oct,2011 the approval count would reach 2700 or a little higher..

    Does this imply no approals at all in Nov,11? and zero approvals in dec, 2011..until they decide to quarterly SO...Sounds not right...I am loosing my mind with this trend!!!
    I think 5% assumption could be really low...

    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    The approval trend shows the priority dates are allover from Apr 15 2007 to July 15 2007. I noticed one july 13 2007 pd approval while july 14, july 15 of 2007 are happened to be saturday and sunday.

    So, I doubt USCIS cannot have a policy to approve a part of apr-july batch and make the rest of them to wait until the spillover season and also apr-july batch total exceeds the 2800 quota .

    My questions are
    1. Are we expecting a quarterly spillover ?
    2. Are these visa numbers from 2011 FY?
    Again we did not have any precedence for quarterly spillover, so until we see visa usage data for Q1 published, we don't know.

    Based on DOS document dated 09/15/11 #2 can be ruled out!
    Last edited by veni001; 10-18-2011 at 01:57 PM.
    Not a Legal advice/opinion, please check with good immigration attorney.

  11. #761
    Guru veni001's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    South-West
    Posts
    1,053
    Quote Originally Posted by gc0907 View Post
    I asked my lawyer and he said USCIS is fine.

    Originally Posted by gc0907
    Even my lawyer asked for check $1070 payable to USCIS

    Even I noticed 485 insturctions but I didn't question my attorney on this one.
    Originally Posted by knight
    I got a copy of the 485 application (that was filed for my spouse on 10/3) from the attorney's office. I just checked that and I see that the check was made payable to "U.S. Department of Homeland Security". Hope this helps!

    Even though USCIS is part of DHS, i would stick with i485 instructions irrespective of what the attorney or paralegal said.
    Not a Legal advice/opinion, please check with good immigration attorney.

  12. #762

    Lightbulb

    Veni , Just for the sake self analysis I am putting down the following ..

    apr-july were already adjudicated and in a scenario where Dos were expecting a EB1 backlog clearance ( as discussed in the Q&A sec of AILA meeting oct 5 2011) .......... which was not duly happened around 09/01/2011, So Dos took immediate action in the oct bulletin released on 09/09/2011 moving IC dates to July 15 2007, and attaching visa numbers to them, later announcing visa numbers exhausted ..............
    Last edited by Kanmani; 10-18-2011 at 02:08 PM.

  13. #763
    Guru veni001's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    South-West
    Posts
    1,053
    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    Veni , Just for the sake self analysis I am putting down the following ..

    apr-july were already adjudicated and in a scenario where Dos were expecting a EB1 backlog clearance ( as discussed in the Q&A sec of AILA meeting oct 5 2011) .......... which was not duly happened around 09/01/2011, So Dos took immediate action in the oct bulletin released on 09/09/2011 moving IC dates to July 15 2007, and attaching visa numbers to them, later announcing visa numbers exhausted ..............
    Kanmani,
    In that event i would expect at-lest, if not higher, similar to first-half of September approval trend in the second-half on trackitt.
    Not a Legal advice/opinion, please check with good immigration attorney.

  14. #764
    me too. I don't know what's going on with DOS/USCIS.

    They have approved more than 100 Chinese EB-2 reporting on mitbbs.

    I think their target is to approve all the cases that are current, no matter how much quota it requires.

    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    I know what you are confused about, me too. I have not yet seen a reasonable explanation.

    really, at this point, I don't even know what will happen next VB.

    Hopefully though, this year will set forth a trend, and then next year on, we shall know strategy of CO.

  15. #765
    One theory can be that they are going to respect the 15th April 2007 to 15th July 2007 move by utilizing all available quota for EB2 I/C in first quarter and citing low usage of EB2 ROW in first quarter as a means to respect the law.

    Also they might have cleaned out some 485s from pending queue (requested EVL, no response, data entry errors, etc.)

    And since this is not spillover visas, they can approve in any order for period that is current, no need of ordering by PD.

    It seems to me that as CO indicated, he did really plan to move in the Sep VB to 1st July 2007, but his plans got spoiled by sudden huge demand pointed out by USCIS for EB1, EB2 ROW due to backlog reduction effort of I-140, and hence CO had to be creative.

    I definitely think they are on course to meet similar as Q1 FY 2011, to meet half of the available EB2 I/C quota, are they going to in fact go on top of that and meet full quota.

    I am going crazy thinking about possibilities.

    Questions like:
    Why moved till 15th July 2007, and not 15th August 2007 in Oct VB.

    Why moved till 1st Nov 2007, and not 15th Oct 2007 in Nov VB.

    If we know answers to these, we would be knowing better about CO's strategy.

    100 Chinese EB2 on mittbbs is quite a lot.

    Quote Originally Posted by qblogfan View Post
    me too. I don't know what's going on with DOS/USCIS.

    They have approved more than 100 Chinese EB-2 reporting on mitbbs.

    I think their target is to approve all the cases that are current, no matter how much quota it requires.
    I am not a lawyer, and it's always best to consult an immigration attorney.

  16. #766
    I thought ur question wud be
    Why moved till 1st Nov 2007, and not 15th Nov 2007 in Nov VB.

    It doesnt matter why they are approving many 485's now, its a good thing. It will reduce the backlog and more ppl can file their 485's, I think it more evident to see cases getting approved mainly because there are almost no cases from 2006 and most of the 2007 folks are members of trackit etc.

    Again just deciphering.



    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    Questions like:
    Why moved till 15th July 2007, and not 15th August 2007 in Oct VB.

    Why moved till 1st Nov 2007, and not 15th Oct 2007 in Nov VB.

    If we know answers to these, we would be knowing better about CO's strategy.

    100 Chinese EB2 on mittbbs is quite a lot.

  17. #767
    cbpds1, I try to be not biased by my PD. Honestly I felt 15th Oct 2007 would be the reachable goal, but they surpassed that by 15 days.

    As you said, we can just try to decipher.

    I sincerely hope that they do another such 3.5 or even more move, and more of our friends can get in. I know you would like that!

    Quote Originally Posted by cbpds1 View Post
    I thought ur question wud be
    Why moved till 1st Nov 2007, and not 15th Nov 2007 in Nov VB.

    It doesnt matter why they are approving many 485's now, its a good thing. It will reduce the backlog and more ppl can file their 485's, I think it more evident to see cases getting approved mainly because there are almost no cases from 2006 and most of the 2007 folks are members of trackit etc.

    Again just deciphering.
    Last edited by nishant2200; 10-18-2011 at 05:57 PM.

  18. #768
    good one !!!, lets sail together

    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    cbpds1, I try to be not biased by my PD. Honestly I felt 15th Oct 2007 would be the reachable goal, but they surpassed that by 15 days.

    As you said, we can just try to decipher.

    I sincerely hope that they do another such 3.5 or even more move, and more of our friends can get in. I know you would like that!

  19. #769
    http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...Related-Issues..

    is the thread where you may find info. there is active discussion there.

    Quote Originally Posted by beeooh View Post
    Hi ,

    During the process of applying for Adjustment of status, birth certificate needs to be produced. And I don't have one.
    But I have an affidavit from Indian Consulate Houston, Texas stating the facts usually presented on a birth certificate.
    Is the affidavit along with Xth school certificate enough ? If not please advise.

    Thanks

  20. #770
    Oracle pch053's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    San Diego
    Posts
    246
    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    100 Chinese EB2 on mittbbs is quite a lot.
    Do we have an idea on what 100 approvals in mittbs will translate to *actual* I485 approvals for EB2C in the month of Oct. Similarly for EB2-I, there are around 70+ approvals in trackitt; I will be curious to know what the corresponding number will be for *actual* approvals for EB2-I. For the month of Oct, we have around 6K EB2-I+C cases that got current (PDs from mid-April'07 to mid-July'07) plus anywhere between 1K - 2K cases that were pending from last year (incl. EB3->EB2 porting). So, overall, we have 7K - 8K cases that are ready to be approved and (probably) pre-adjudicated. For the month of Nov., we will have another 2K cases with PD between mid-July'07 to mid-Aug'07 in the above category. I think, it will take ~3 months for the PWMB cases (w/PD after 15th April'07) to appear in the inventory; so it is unlikely we will see PWMB approvals this year.

    Irrespective of the above numbers, I do think it makes more sense to move forward the dates by 3 - 4months in the Dec bulletin and retrogress later on if needed as opposed to moving forward slowly by few weeks to one month at a time.
    Last edited by pch053; 10-18-2011 at 09:25 PM.

  21. #771
    yes, it's very important to understand Mr.Co's plan, but we will never understand him. He gives people thing we never expect.

    On the MITBBS, I saw many people got GC, but some folks with PD 2006.11 are still pending, but I believe at least half of the cases before 7.15 already got GC in the first two weeks.

    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    One theory can be that they are going to respect the 15th April 2007 to 15th July 2007 move by utilizing all available quota for EB2 I/C in first quarter and citing low usage of EB2 ROW in first quarter as a means to respect the law.

    Also they might have cleaned out some 485s from pending queue (requested EVL, no response, data entry errors, etc.)

    And since this is not spillover visas, they can approve in any order for period that is current, no need of ordering by PD.

    It seems to me that as CO indicated, he did really plan to move in the Sep VB to 1st July 2007, but his plans got spoiled by sudden huge demand pointed out by USCIS for EB1, EB2 ROW due to backlog reduction effort of I-140, and hence CO had to be creative.

    I definitely think they are on course to meet similar as Q1 FY 2011, to meet half of the available EB2 I/C quota, are they going to in fact go on top of that and meet full quota.

    I am going crazy thinking about possibilities.

    Questions like:
    Why moved till 15th July 2007, and not 15th August 2007 in Oct VB.

    Why moved till 1st Nov 2007, and not 15th Oct 2007 in Nov VB.

    If we know answers to these, we would be knowing better about CO's strategy.

    100 Chinese EB2 on mittbbs is quite a lot.

  22. #772
    As we discussed earlier, they might approve 5800 visas plus few spill overs if they want. Probably next month also we would see same pattern in approvals for remaining applicants from spill over.
    I believe similar to Nishant, they also cleaned up inventory and probably we have far less than 8000 as pending visas.


    Quote Originally Posted by qblogfan View Post
    yes, it's very important to understand Mr.Co's plan, but we will never understand him. He gives people thing we never expect.

    On the MITBBS, I saw many people got GC, but some folks with PD 2006.11 are still pending, but I believe at least half of the cases before 7.15 already got GC in the first two weeks.

  23. #773
    My guess is that they are trying to get the demand data (documentarily qualified) for the next period as close to zero. The PWMBs are not going to appear for a few months at least. Meaning prior pending inventory will almost be done with. That way, even if they move dates significantly (the BTM), there is no pressure on USCIS to use FIFO with processing. The optimist in way tells me this is setting the stage up for a BTM - perhaps not next month but soon.

  24. #774
    Ideally they should do that. They need to build inventory for 1-1.25 yrs with last years data statistics and then giving GC's with respect to priority dates and not just randomly who are current.

    Quote Originally Posted by vishnu View Post
    My guess is that they are trying to get the demand data (documentarily qualified) for the next period as close to zero. The PWMBs are not going to appear for a few months at least. Meaning prior pending inventory will almost be done with. That way, even if they move dates significantly (the BTM), there is no pressure on USCIS to use FIFO with processing. The optimist in way tells me this is setting the stage up for a BTM - perhaps not next month but soon.

  25. #775
    Quote Originally Posted by grnwtg View Post
    Ideally they should do that. They need to build inventory for 1-1.25 yrs with last years data statistics and then giving GC's with respect to priority dates and not just randomly who are current.
    A kind of similar crazy thought occurred to me last night. If they indeed hack the demand data numbers to justify the date movement, then next demand data should be near to 0, if they can put some approximation formula in place about date movement vs expected numbers. Can't not a 3.5 month movement eat away the few thousand left in demand data as well as few PWMB and porters who got in that period.

    A flip side of this reasoning is somehow if next demand data, big numbers return back showing, then we might be screwed.
    Last edited by nishant2200; 10-19-2011 at 10:11 AM.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 9 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 9 guests)

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •