EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

[Spectator]

These are not directly from USCIS or DOS, but they cite DOS as the source of the figures.

I found them through this EB5 blog.

They can be found here.

There does not seem to have been much usage in Q2.

On January 23, 2012 a USCIS document estimated 2,364 had been used as of January 17, 2012.

This document has a figure of 2,405 at the end of February.

Perhaps that explains where some of the QSP was coming from.

Again, it confirms that EB5 usage in FY2011 was 3,463 vs. 1,885 in FY2010.

[vizcard]

Hi Gurus,
I have a quick question - I am currently using my H1B while we have EAD/AP approved but I-485 pending, does my wife need to apply for H-4 if she does not have a job yet? Thank you.

She does not need to.

[Spectator]

Hi Gurus,
I have a quick question - I am currently using my H1B while we have EAD/AP approved but I-485 pending, does my wife need to apply for H-4 if she does not have a job yet? Thank you.

It isn't strictly necessary.

If her I-94 expires, as long as she has a pending I-485, she will become an AOS Pending Applicant.

This is a period of Authorized Stay.

Some people think maintaining H status is a big deal, while others do not.

If she is planning to use the EAD to work, then it probably doesn't make much sense to extend the H4, because she will lose H4 status as soon as she starts working.

If she is not planning to work, then you might consider it.

Ultimately, it is a personal call.

Hope that helps.

[goforgreen]

The only thing I can think of is you can naturalize sooner (GC+5 yrs). Since that's what I ultimately care about, I wish I could have my GC tomorrow! I'm just out of college and my company is filing for EB2-I (going through PERM right now) and they'd be really happy too if EB2-I were current and I could get it ASAP.

sportsfan33

Well there are many reasons to want GC instead of being satisfied with EAD. With GC

There is no more sword hanging of 485 approval, RFEs, etc
You can pay in state tuition for college
You can travel without issues with any port of entry, any layover city without transit visa
You can naturalize sooner as abx mentioned
No more following Trackitt
Can buy house (ofcourse you can do that on H1 as well but seeing the horror stories of people having to go back at a short notice its just safer, you can call me a worrying desi :-) )
It gives a closure to your long wait of GC

[tatikonda]

Generally speaking 4-5 years since your PD is when EB2IC's get GCs. So when you file is a matter of visa bulletin dates. However time to GC is fairly constant across EB2ICs.

..

Q,

Are you saying, it takes another 4-5 years to get GC with priority date of Sep 2010 ??
I am unable to comprehend it !! Why 4-5 Years .. we are already seeing some approvals from Mid 2009. I was hoping to get it in FY2013.

Same is for applying EAD, When do you guesstimate for dates will move until Sep 2010, just to apply for EAD..

Please suggest !!

[Pundit Arjun]

..

Q,

Are you saying, it takes another 4-5 years to get GC with priority date of Sep 2010 ??
I am unable to comprehend it !! Why 4-5 Years .. we are already seeing some approvals from Mid 2009. I was hoping to get it in FY2013.

Same is for applying EAD, When do you guesstimate for dates will move until Sep 2010, just to apply for EAD..

Please suggest !!

tatikonda,

As a rule of thumb, based on the past few year trends, it is usually said that a person in EB2IC category can expect to get the physical GC card in 4-5 years. Q, meant the same and not an additional of 4-5 years from today. These are again guesstimates and one may receive GC before 4-5 years too.

[goforgreen]

..

Q,

Are you saying, it takes another 4-5 years to get GC with priority date of Sep 2010 ??
I am unable to comprehend it !! Why 4-5 Years .. we are already seeing some approvals from Mid 2009. I was hoping to get it in FY2013.

Looking at your post I remember a conversation I had with a good friend of mine in 2005, when I asked him when I'll get GC if I file in EB2 (he had filed sometime in 2002), he said kam se kam 4 saal lagalo (minimum four years). I was shocked, dissapointed, angry and I thought my friend does not like me getting GC sooner. At that time EB2IC was current for some time but since there was no PERM, Labour used to take 2-3 years to get approval and once PERM started severe retrogession started and then July 2007 happened and there was a wait of 4 years for post July 2007 folks to even apply for 485 and get EAD. Now unless HR 3012 passes or unless there is any other legislative relief 4-5 years is the timeframe for EB2IC from priority date.

That is the sad story of EB2 I&C, EB3 is even worse.

[goforgreen]

This is not correct. I am considered a state resident already. In fact, I stopped filing the "NR" version of 1040 some years ago.

AFAIK state resident is for paying tax only, to avail in state tuition you have to be citizen/PR and stay in the state for atleast an year prior to admission, atleast this was the case for the states I lived in, I might be wrong.

Generally when you have to pay tax you are considered a resident and cannot escape any taxes since you are an immigrant but when considering major benefits of residency/citizenship like Instate Tuition, Medicare you are considered a legal alien and have to have GC/Citizenship to avail these benefits. I'm not considering smaller benefits like public libraries, etc. Anyway they have every right to make the rules as they they think will work to their advantage.

[openaccount]

Found this on http://www.immigration-law.com/
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...s-2012-feb.pdf

Major receipt volumes in February 2012 include: 117,114 I-765 employment authorizations; 92,371 I-821 temporary protected status; 78,906 I-90 green card renewals/replacements; 58,129 I-130 immediate/all other petitions; 55,926 I-485 applications to adjust status; 40,607 I-131 travel document/advance parole; 20,992 I-129 forms filed.

[vizcard]

..

Q,

Are you saying, it takes another 4-5 years to get GC with priority date of Sep 2010 ??
I am unable to comprehend it !! Why 4-5 Years .. we are already seeing some approvals from Mid 2009. I was hoping to get it in FY2013.

Same is for applying EAD, When do you guesstimate for dates will move until Sep 2010, just to apply for EAD..

Please suggest !!

Not sure where you got your info from about 2009 PDs getting approved. No Feb filers i.e. 2009 PDs have been approved. The last receipt date that was approved (per Trackitt) was somewhere in Jan Wk 3. Also, less than 50% of all applications from Dec+Jan have been greened. You may get EAD in FY2013 but that's a factor of how CO wants to play it. But there's no way you will get greened in FY13 unless HR3012 gets approved. The math just doesn't support it. Most of 2009 will probably not be greened.

[cbordu_111]

Gents,

My first post here, a colleague of mine "October 2008 EB2/India PD " got his I-485 approval today at 1.00 pm. This is 100% confirmed news, I also saw his confirmation status online. Just wanted to let people know here.

Thanks

[bvsamrat]

It takes another 4-5 years to get GC with priority date of Sep 2010 ?? NO?
My take is that it would take 4-5 years from the PD that is maximum 2015 or or by 2014.

Taking into consideration that all the time, quite few % will go under review/RFE etc.

It is quite possible that majority of filed 2009 PDs may get eligible to get GC in FY2013.
Likewise 2010 may stretch to 2013-14, assuming that (post May)2010 PD applications will be in similar numbers as of 2009.

Not sure where you got your info from about 2009 PDs getting approved. No Feb filers i.e. 2009 PDs have been approved. The last receipt date that was approved (per Trackitt) was somewhere in Jan Wk 3. Also, less than 50% of all applications from Dec+Jan have been greened. You may get EAD in FY2013 but that's a factor of how CO wants to play it. But there's no way you will get greened in FY13 unless HR3012 gets approved. The math just doesn't support it. Most of 2009 will probably not be greened.

[kumar19]

Just want to check is it NSC/TSC? Whats the RD?

Gents,

My first post here, a colleague of mine "October 2008 EB2/India PD " got his I-485 approval today at 1.00 pm. This is 100% confirmed news, I also saw his confirmation status online. Just wanted to let people know here.

Thanks

[srimurthy]

Getting EAD for Sep'2010 in 2013 is comforting.
My PD is Sep' 2010. and Tatikonda we are on the other side of the dates that stopped moving, so I am not expecting to get a chance to file till this whole backlog applications are cleared and that would be some time in 2014.
We would be the ones where we file and get the EAD and GC immediately within the 6 months period in 2014 or 15 with little use of EAD for self or for dependents. So brace up and live life.

Not sure where you got your info from about 2009 PDs getting approved. No Feb filers i.e. 2009 PDs have been approved. The last receipt date that was approved (per Trackitt) was somewhere in Jan Wk 3. Also, less than 50% of all applications from Dec+Jan have been greened. You may get EAD in FY2013 but that's a factor of how CO wants to play it. But there's no way you will get greened in FY13 unless HR3012 gets approved. The math just doesn't support it. Most of 2009 will probably not be greened.

[cbordu_111]

Just want to check is it NSC/TSC? Whats the RD?

It's NSC and the RD is 03/01/2012.

[leo4ever]

Thats good news man..
RD is 3/1/2012? Did you mean Mar 1st or Jan 3rd? When did he complete his FP?

It's NSC and the RD is 03/01/2012.

[EB2Jun08]

Hi Guys,

I applied for I-485 during January and received EAD/AP and FP also done, H1B is valid until early Next Year but visa stamp was expired. My attorney told me that if we use AP to enter then we must update HR with EAD/AP details as it is combo card and i need to work only on EAD.I am getting mixed answers on this. Can any of you who used AP to reenter tell me whether they are working on H1 or EAD. thanks in advance.

[redtogreen]

Hi, this is also my first post on this forum too.. and am happy to begin by congratulating this one person whose application has managed to fight all odds and arguments.

[vishnu]

If they are indeed still approving 2008 PDs, despite all the rhetoric we've been hearing from the 'AILA conversations with CO', then surely there are a lot more #s left? Or the numbers they are referring to are only the formal 5800 quota and spill over is still left? I'm not trying to be overly positive or anything, just very confused really.

[cbordu_111]

Thats good news man..
RD is 3/1/2012? Did you mean Mar 1st or Jan 3rd? When did he complete his FP?

Absolutely certain it's Jan 3rd 2012.

[gomesnj]

USCIS My Case Status site

I was trying to check my case status on line on the uscis web site for my I485 application and it turned me down saying
'Your case can not be found at this time in My Case Status. Please check your receipt number and try again. If you need further assistance, please call the National Customer Service Center at 1.800.375.5283. '

When called the customer service center today they said the system is not working fine since two months.....

That explains everything....

[srini001]

Hi,

My PD is 08/16/2010 EB2 India. Any wild guesses on when it will become current..

Thanks!!

[vizcard]

USCIS My Case Status site

I was trying to check my case status on line on the uscis web site for my I485 application and it turned me down saying
'Your case can not be found at this time in My Case Status. Please check your receipt number and try again. If you need further assistance, please call the National Customer Service Center at 1.800.375.5283. '

When called the customer service center today they said the system is not working fine since two months.....

That explains everything....

what is everything?

[soggadu]

guys gals and gurus...

one of my friend is aug 28 2007 PD from TSC with a RD of Nov 14 and still waiting for GC...

what do you guys think about his case/approval time frame?

[redtogreen]

Thanks for the update, did they mention an ETA on fix? Also were they able to trace your applications from a different system when you called?
Will definitely give more respite to know they have your applications safe and it is just the online status that is an issue.

USCIS My Case Status site

I was trying to check my case status on line on the uscis web site for my I485 application and it turned me down saying
'Your case can not be found at this time in My Case Status. Please check your receipt number and try again. If you need further assistance, please call the National Customer Service Center at 1.800.375.5283. '

When called the customer service center today they said the system is not working fine since two months.....

That explains everything....