EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

[veni001]

Im not sure when Q first start this forum. But we are so far ahead is users compared to last year, its not even funny. There are 167 users on right now! and we have reached 240 pages already with not even 6 months gone and thats after having all these off-shoot forums. (FY11 had about 320 pages IIRC).

Great job Q and others for keeping this forum relevant, fresh and most importantly useful!

vizcard,

Just to add to the statistics, it took full year to reach 1 million views for FY2011 thread. FY2012 thread reached that mark in just little over 5 months!

[meranumberkab]

Finally, the link is working

http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull..._April2012.pdf

[soggadu]

sorry guys
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull..._April2012.pdf

[mysati]

Finally, the link is working

http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull..._April2012.pdf

No additional footnotes or anything, similar to last month. Looks like CO realizes that people will start predicting if he puts in an additional punctuation mark there...does not want us to decipher the method to the madness

[eb2ODer]

I think the NVC notices are just part of anticipatory planning. In case USCIS does NOT keep up the pace and have enough pre-adjudicated cases by june/july, CO can open floodgates and stake his claim on CP cases to use up the visa numbers.

[nishant2200]

No additional footnotes or anything, similar to last month. Looks like CO realizes that people will start predicting if he puts in an additional punctuation mark there...does not want us to decipher the method to the madness

I was really looking forward to some commentary by CO. He didn't put anything. very disappointing. He could have put some guidance.

[usernameisnotvalid]

The link on visa bulletin is still not live. What is he doing? Giving it second thoughts?

I was really looking forward to some commentary by CO. He didn't put anything. very disappointing. He could have put some guidance.

[nishant2200]

The link on visa bulletin is still not live. What is he doing? Giving it second thoughts?

no man since the voice recording is done and the pdf is done, I am pretty sure it's already gone out to all consulates around the world via cable. I can't comprehend why its not yet on the web page, really unpardonable.

[mbasense]

I think the NVC notices are just part of anticipatory planning. In case USCIS does NOT keep up the pace and have enough pre-adjudicated cases by june/july, CO can open floodgates and stake his claim on CP cases to use up the visa numbers.

I suppose this is in tune with CO's original comment sometime in October last year, where he said it would move ahead in the first 2-3 months of the year and then plan for eventual retrogression toward spring /summer.

Unless something changes drastically in the interim, unfortunately the predictions would now have to be about the amount of retrogression ..i hope I am wrong in this case

[mygctracker]

Is the date stalled? at 01/May/2010?? Is it reliable, DOS is not yet updated..

Also did we get the DD for this month already? sorry if I missed that conversation.

Thanks

[Pundit Arjun]

Is the date stalled? at 01/May/2010?? Is it reliable, DOS is not yet updated..

Also did we get the DD for this month already? sorry if I missed that conversation.

Thanks

mygctracker, Looks like the information about April bulletin is reliable. Folks have got the updates via Phone.

Yes, the DD was out yesterday.

[Desperate8]

Guys -

I got a CPO ordered mail today without decision mail for both me and my wife is this obvious , my PD is oct 2008 . my wife didnot go through vaccinations we were expecting RFE man cant believe.


god is great

[veni001]

Guys -

I got a CPO ordered mail today without decision mail for both me and my wife is this obvious , my PD is oct 2008 . my wife didnot go through vaccinations we were expecting RFE man cant believe.


god is great

Desperate8,
That is really quick. Congratulations!

[iamdeb]

Really disappointing bulletin. Gurus I have been questions regarding my situation.

I have approved I140 with PD May 2011 on my 6th yr H1.Recently I got my H1B extension for 3 more years based on my approved I140.
1.If my switch my employer and the new employer doesn't start GC processing soon, what will happen to my H1b Status? Will I be able to stay on my newly acquired 3 yr extended H1?

[Desperate8]

Cannot believe yet hope my CPO mail is not a mistake
Willie be guys am I greened really. Tears
Are rolling out while typing this
Have been thru struggle for 8 long
Years

[mesan123]

CONGRATULATIONS enjoy the freedom.......

Cannot believe yet hope my CPO mail is not a mistake
Willie be guys am I greened really. Tears
Are rolling out while typing this
Have been thru struggle for 8 long
Years

[sweta.shetty]

Congrats Desperate8, enjoy the new phase of life

[veni001]

Really disappointing bulletin. Gurus I have been questions regarding my situation.

I have approved I140 with PD May 2011 on my 6th yr H1.Recently I got my H1B extension for 3 more years based on my approved I140.
1.If my switch my employer and the new employer doesn't start GC processing soon, what will happen to my H1b Status? Will I be able to stay on my newly acquired 3 yr extended H1?

iamdeb,
Yes, once approved your H1B is valid for that duration.

[Desperate8]

Thank you all-
Here is my history (me and spouse)
PD : Oct 8 2008
RD : Jan 03 2012
ND : Jan 05 2012
FP : Feb 03 2012
EAD : FEB 15 2012
I-485 - Card Production Ordered 03/09/2012 - YES LUD Happened.

1. MS in USA - NO
2. Nature of your company(Consulting/Non-IT/fortune 500) - IT Consulting 150 employees
3. Ever changed employers/jobs on H-1B? - YES 1 time in 2009 after 4 years with the employer
4. How many years in USA and on H-1B? 8 Years
5. How many years with your current H-1B employer? 3 Years close to be
6. Are there any complexities ever in your case? (Like 221g/porting/SOI/more than one Perm/Out of status/any charges/court records etc..) - YES I-140 got denied under premium processing , Opened a MTR and got approval.
7. Have you submitted Late Reg BC and affidavits or just late reg BC? - MY BC had Issued date late but registered date was correct
8. what about flu shots? Yes , but my wife didnot take vaccination as we had our second baby.
9. Over 5 years continues stay in US? Close to 4+
10. Do you have a simple/common name/surname? Yes

Thank you all for your support , still cannot believe the fact that we are greened , want to touch , kiss , hug, stare at the "GREEN CARD" soon.

Wish you all good luck and I believe all of you get your Green card by End of this fiscal year.
I should thank god and my employer for being supportive , not to mention but yes my family without them nothing was possible.

[suninphx]

Thank you all-
Here is my history (me and spouse)
PD : Oct 8 2008
RD : Jan 03 2012
ND : Jan 05 2012
FP : Feb 03 2012
EAD : FEB 15 2012
I-485 - Card Production Ordered 03/09/2012 - YES LUD Happened.

1. MS in USA - NO
2. Nature of your company(Consulting/Non-IT/fortune 500) - IT Consulting 150 employees
3. Ever changed employers/jobs on H-1B? - YES 1 time in 2009 after 4 years with the employer
4. How many years in USA and on H-1B? 8 Years
5. How many years with your current H-1B employer? 3 Years close to be
6. Are there any complexities ever in your case? (Like 221g/porting/SOI/more than one Perm/Out of status/any charges/court records etc..) - YES I-140 got denied under premium processing , Opened a MTR and got approval.
7. Have you submitted Late Reg BC and affidavits or just late reg BC? - MY BC had Issued date late but registered date was correct
8. what about flu shots? Yes , but my wife didnot take vaccination as we had our second baby.
9. Over 5 years continues stay in US? Close to 4+
10. Do you have a simple/common name/surname? Yes

Thank you all for your support , still cannot believe the fact that we are greened , want to touch , kiss , hug, stare at the "GREEN CARD" soon.

Wish you all good luck and I believe all of you get your Green card by End of this fiscal year.
I should thank god and my employer for being supportive , not to mention but yes my family without them nothing was possible.

Congratulations!!

I rembember you getting desperate few days back about whether you will get GC this year and there you go! Enjoy !

This news is even sweeter when I read your details. That should give lot of comfort factor to people working as consultants. Frankly I don't believe much in all this MS, direct employee etc etc being low hanging fruit. IMO at this stage Luck is the greatest factor that decides whether you are low hanging fruit or not.

[reachme_s]

Thank you all-
Here is my history (me and spouse)
PD : Oct 8 2008
RD : Jan 03 2012
ND : Jan 05 2012
FP : Feb 03 2012
EAD : FEB 15 2012
I-485 - Card Production Ordered 03/09/2012 - YES LUD Happened.

1. MS in USA - NO
2. Nature of your company(Consulting/Non-IT/fortune 500) - IT Consulting 150 employees
3. Ever changed employers/jobs on H-1B? - YES 1 time in 2009 after 4 years with the employer
4. How many years in USA and on H-1B? 8 Years
5. How many years with your current H-1B employer? 3 Years close to be
6. Are there any complexities ever in your case? (Like 221g/porting/SOI/more than one Perm/Out of status/any charges/court records etc..) - YES I-140 got denied under premium processing , Opened a MTR and got approval.
7. Have you submitted Late Reg BC and affidavits or just late reg BC? - MY BC had Issued date late but registered date was correct
8. what about flu shots? Yes , but my wife didnot take vaccination as we had our second baby.
9. Over 5 years continues stay in US? Close to 4+
10. Do you have a simple/common name/surname? Yes

Thank you all for your support , still cannot believe the fact that we are greened , want to touch , kiss , hug, stare at the "GREEN CARD" soon.

Wish you all good luck and I believe all of you get your Green card by End of this fiscal year.
I should thank god and my employer for being supportive , not to mention but yes my family without them nothing was possible.

Congratulations Desparate8!! Enjoy the green life!!

[Desperate8]

Interesting , got another CPO email / SMS in about 4 hours from the first one for both me and my wife . Is this common ? The text is exactly the same.

Why did I get 2 identical emails / sms each for both me and my wife (total 4) - any idea , did gurus Nishant / Veni / Teddy / q any one in the forum experience such a thing. Also to note I didnot get any update on Decesion , it was straight CPO mail.

[veni001]

Interesting , got another CPO email / SMS in about 4 hours from the first one for both me and my wife . Is this common ? The text is exactly the same.

Why did I get 2 identical emails / sms each for both me and my wife (total 4) - any idea , did gurus Nishant / Veni / Teddy / q any one in the forum experience such a thing. Also to note I didnot get any update on Decesion , it was straight CPO mail.

Desperate8,
Yes, it is normal. Case status will change between CPO to decision to post decision activity, if you signup for e-mail/SMS, you will receive update for each one of them.

[usernameisnotvalid]

Desperate8 has priority date of Oct-2008. Does it set a new threshold for actual GCs this FY?

[longgcque]

Well .. trackitt even shows a Dec 2008 approval. So am not sure if Oct 2008 is the cut off. I believe till the time dates remain current for a date and a case is approvable(background checks etc) ... approval will keep coming ...

i hope my turn comes :-)

Desperate8 has priority date of Oct-2008. Does it set a new threshold for actual GCs this FY?