This guy must be laughing. First he shows demand virtually at zero and then doesn't move the dates.
Anyway .. this was not far too unexpected ... but lets wait till we see the bulletin.
Originally Posted by mrdeeds
This guy must be laughing. First he shows demand virtually at zero and then doesn't move the dates.
Anyway .. this was not far too unexpected ... but lets wait till we see the bulletin.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
April VB is out - Unfortunately no move to EB2 - India.
it is confirmed. I listened to recorded message on (202) 663-1541
The Department of State also has available a recorded message with visa cut-off dates which can be heard at: (202) 663-1541.
I called the number and could listen to the complete Bulletion....he is correct, dates didnt move ....bulletion still not updated in the page
I called the number too.
IVR says for the month of April....
(I was hoping it maybe the old IVR based on Mar VB)
may be the decision is based on number of filings, and the expectation of demand by end of April
The number just keeps ringing. I didn't hear any recorded message...I called the number too.
IVR says for the month of April....
(I was hoping it maybe the old IVR based on Mar VB)
NSC||PD Apr 18 2008||RD Jan 05 2012||ND Jan 10 2012||FP Feb 15 2012||EAD/AP Mar 01 2012 ||GC Approval Waiting
i think the IVR system is mssed up because of the HUGGGGEEEE volumes of calls that are being lobbed in no doubt... let's wait for the document to see if there is commentary.
Their IVR also seems to be like another loooong wait. You need to be really patient with the number of rings it allows before it plays (or you hung up)
Is it normal for this much time gap between IVR and website?
I heard the recording. Yes, it is for April. Yes, dates did not move for EB2IC, they are at 1 May 10.
I am assuming this completes the inventory build up for this fiscal year. In future, I am assuming dates will move primarily for inventory build up - provided that there is no retrogression. I think we should now move on to sizing the inventory build up and approvals in more detail by following trackitt trends and USCIS inventory even though we do not have mature enough data yet.
I had discussed earlier that because Apr starts a new quarter, it would be interesting to see if Mr. CO changes gears based on the latest info he hears from USCIS. I guess USCIS has convinced him that they can process enough cases to consume the annual quota. If USCIS keeps pace, then we will be staring starkly towards a possible retrogression in Q4 with the July bulletin and hopefully not before that.
Last edited by kd2008; 03-09-2012 at 01:42 PM.
Question for gurus - How does retrogression affect people at different stages? meaning - How does it affect somebody who has received AP/EAD vs somebody waiting for it vs somebody whose date is(was) current but whose file has not been touched by USCIS vs somebody who has CP scheduled vs somebody who has only received notice from NVC.
If there is a thread or resource that explains this, please feel to point me in that direction.
in below in the bolds..
Last edited by nishant2200; 03-09-2012 at 02:27 PM.
I am not a lawyer, and it's always best to consult an immigration attorney.
Thanks Nishant. Appreciate your insight.
Bulletin is updated on wiki:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Priority_date
China date shows 2011, is it accurate?
Transformer - anyone can update Wikipedia - so that in itself means nothing. But many people have listened to the IVR recording, so the unchanged date is official
Anyone can edit the dates on Wikipedia, so its not a reliable source.
the wiki page is just garbage - ppl just fooling around. now both are may 11.
from the link...
The dates for Apr 2012 have been updated in Department of State phone number (202.663.1541) but the visa bulletin is not yet out (as of 3/9/12 at 11:15 AM Pacific Time). EB2 India and China are at May 1st 2010. Some users keep undoing this change.
It shows May 1st, 11 for both I & C. But this is unreliable source - anyone can update it.
I was shocked to see people actually following wiki page to get the dates
Im not sure when Q first start this forum. But we are so far ahead is users compared to last year, its not even funny. There are 167 users on right now! and we have reached 240 pages already with not even 6 months gone and thats after having all these off-shoot forums. (FY11 had about 320 pages IIRC).
Great job Q and others for keeping this forum relevant, fresh and most importantly useful!
convinced DOS just forgot to update the April 2012 linkthey have even put Mar 2012 under archives
they do that anyway.convinced DOS just forgot to update the April 2012 link
Actually... I think its the other way round. They haven't forgotten at all. They just realized that people are hitting their server for the non-existent pdf file for April 2012 (which is typically available on the server before the VB in the HTML/webpage form). So they decided to send us a hint - "You think you are that smart that you can learn about the VB before we actually want you to??? Fine... from now on... start calling this number and if you wait for 15 minutes... we might be nice enough to tell you that your dates have not moved at all. [INSERT EVIL LAUGHTER] "convinced DOS just forgot to update the April 2012 link
At least "I" was hitting the link once every 0.0002 seconds!!!!! Never imagined there will once be a day in my life where I'll create a favorite/bookmark for a page that doesn't already exist on the Internet!
The links that this genius was trying to use:
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull...in_Apr2012.pdf
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull..._April2012.pdf
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