EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

[mysati]

@KKruna,
I guess we had a telepathy here

[mysati]

Hello Gurus...Please go through the below question and let me what you think.

Beginning in the month of December people would have started applying for 485 whose Priority Dates fall between Nov 1st 2007 to March 14th 2008. Similarly,
Beginning in the month of January people would have started applying for 485 whose Priority Dates fall between March 15th to December 31st 2008.

As we know, we have already started seeing lot of 485 approvals for people who applied in December (ranging from November all the way to March). Say next month (i.e March) we start seeing approvals for people who filed in January. Again the approvals may be random i.e some whose PD is in April 2008 and others whose PD is in December 2008.

Say after couple of months dates retrogress to July 2008. What would happen to those people whose 485s were approved who fell in the August to December time-frame. Does that mean that they are lucky?OR

Does DOS give USCIS an internal Priority Date and will ask them to approve only applicants before that date?

Yes, some people are lucky. I personally know a co-worker of mine (EB2-I) getting approved during the 2007 fiasco. Her PD was May 2006. But if I look back at her case now, it was a low hanging fruit. So maybe...

[ThatIsAll]

Got my Greencard in my hand finally!!

Came to US in 1997 on F1. Applied labor in 2007. Missed 485 filing by Half a day, as my Labor was approved at 1pm on Aug 17,2007I dont know if my GC journey is 14yrs or 4+ years.

Congrats! It's a big partttayy time! I know 14 yrs is tough to stay afloat....see thru 2 recessions, dot com bust then the recent finance meltdown. Glad you could get through those RFEs. The amount of documents we accumulate over the years is crazy. I'm close behind you.. 11yrs of wait :-)

[imdeng]

My opinions on the questions:
- HR3012: No effect on PD. They have no reason to take in to account something that is not the extant law.
- Spillover to EB3: IF there are no enough documentarily qualified EB2 in Sept 2012 then yes - but that is a big IF - very big - and in my opinion it is extremely unlikely. 8 months for Jan filers and 7 months for Feb filers is enough time for USCIS to process enough cases to meet the spillover numbers.

I have a basic question. I think we are all thinking here from the perspective of EB2-I/C in trying to understand why they are issuing NVC notices for PDs in 2011. Assuming USCIS processing takes several months for the recent filers, whether EB2 or any other category, come Aug/Sep 2012 if there are not enough documentarily qualified EB2s on file to issue the visa numbers, wouldn't it automatically spillover to EB3? Even with porting, I am sure that there are enough documentarily qualified EB3s before 2007 who can benefit from the spillover and the visas will definitely not be wasted.

So could there be any other rationale for CO moving the dates (maybe preparing for HR 3012 or anything else that most of us are not privy to)?

[qesehmk]

3M many congratulations. You have a lot of patience and grace. Sometimes a few of us complain at 3-4-5 years wait time. 14 years is a lifetime! Good luck and enjoy post GC journey! On your vendor nonpayment situation - I do not know much. But if it's a few thousand or even 10 thousand dollars or less ... let it go. You will probably be happier if you let that chapter go off your life and open a new chapter where you let you mind become free and fearless. Sorry if I come across as preaching you. That's not the intention.

Got my Greencard in my hand finally!!

Came to US in 1997 on F1. Applied labor in 2007. Missed 485 filing by Half a day, as my Labor was approved at 1pm on Aug 17,2007I dont know if my GC journey is 14yrs or 4+ years.

After responding to my RFE for BC and MC, I got CPO mail in a 4 days and a week later I got my GC. Good luck to you all who are waiting..Thanks to this forum & Gurus(Q,Spec,Veni,Big T, Nishant, Soggadu,Kanmani, Monica12..etc) for Predictions. It kept me busy at work

Let me know if there are any discussion threads/forums like "Fighting your employer/main-vendor in court for non-payments".. (Main Vendor didnt pay employer for 5 months)

[nishant2200]

USCIS processing times updated.

check it out.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do

NSC: I-485 for EB based is still 4 months. I-140 is still 4 months. (and that is after the barrage of new incoming from EB2IC, still holding onto 4 months, good good very good!)

TSC: I-485 for EB based at April 3, 2011. Does not mean they will take as long, but creates problem in inquiring about status and SR as you won't hit the processing time and be waiting and curious to see what's going on, but they will tell you, hey we are at April 2011 right now. I-140 is at June 29, 2011.

So bottomline is that NSC is still confidently declaring 4 months and is not afraid of customer service calls for status. While TSC is taking it cautiously.

[reachme_s]

Does DOS give USCIS an internal Priority Date and will ask them to approve only applicants before that date?

Venkat - When did you get your FP notice?

[tackle]

USCIS processing times updated.

check it out.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do

NSC: I-485 for EB based is still 4 months. I-140 is still 4 months. (and that is after the barrage of new incoming from EB2IC, still holding onto 4 months, good good very good!)

TSC: I-485 for EB based at April 3, 2011. Does not mean they will take as long, but creates problem in inquiring about status and SR as you won't hit the processing time and be waiting and curious to see what's going on, but they will tell you, hey we are at April 2011 right now. I-140 is at June 29, 2011.

So bottomline is that NSC is still confidently declaring 4 months and is not afraid of customer service calls for status. While TSC is taking it cautiously.

So, the processing dates for TSC has moved by 1 month in 4-6 months? That's great. Anyone remember what the previous date for TSC was, and when it was last updated?

[venkat]

On 17th (friday)

Venkat - When did you get your FP notice?

[geterdone]

Do you think someone with PD beyond May 2008 will get GC this FY? How far will it go?

[fedupwithgc]

USCIS processing times updated.

check it out.

https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/processTimesDisplayInit.do

NSC: I-485 for EB based is still 4 months. I-140 is still 4 months. (and that is after the barrage of new incoming from EB2IC, still holding onto 4 months, good good very good!)

TSC: I-485 for EB based at April 3, 2011. Does not mean they will take as long, but creates problem in inquiring about status and SR as you won't hit the processing time and be waiting and curious to see what's going on, but they will tell you, hey we are at April 2011 right now. I-140 is at June 29, 2011.

So bottomline is that NSC is still confidently declaring 4 months and is not afraid of customer service calls for status. While TSC is taking it cautiously.

Dates posted are as of Dec 31 2011 which is still very good and shows Dec filers can expect GC in 4 months.

[sp2008]

Got my Greencard in my hand finally!!

Let me know if there are any discussion threads/forums like "Fighting your employer/main-vendor in court for non-payments".. (Main Vendor didnt pay employer for 5 months)

03May07,
Hello buddy, enjoy your freedom after looooong wait.
I guess you should start a thread about "Fighting your employer/main-vendor in court for non-payments" while you are active here.
It would be useful for our friends for sure one day.

SP

[nishant2200]

Do you think someone with PD beyond May 2008 will get GC this FY? How far will it go?

Jan filers may very well get lucky in next month onwards, unless DOS-USCIS publish an internal memo or directive to block visa demand internally at March 15th 2008 prior i.e. till Dec Visa Bulletin only. (I really doubt that such an internal memo would be given out, unless visas start running out in a monthly allocation target or a quarterly allocation higher level target).

What's stopping a Jan filer file from getting approved, if all background checks are done, FP is done, and file gets assigned to an officer otherwise. Ideally the filing should be such that until all the prior files are assigned out, a Jan file would not be assigned out, but I am not sure how much they can enforce such order in a vast number of filings across two service centers.

ps: I have no problems with any PD person getting GC, be it Jan or Feb filer. Just God, give me mine too

[polapragada]

congrats nishant

[kd2008]

Yay! Congrats Nishant!

From trackitt!

User: nish2200
Nationality: India
Country of Chargeability: India
Applicant Type: primary
Service Center: Nebraska
Category: EB2
Priority Date: 08 Nov 2007
Application Filed: 30 Nov 2011
USCIS Received Date: 01 Dec 2011
USCIS Notice Date: 06 Dec 2011
I-485 Status: approved
I-485 Approval/Denial Date: 21 Feb 2012
Card Production Ordered: 21 Feb 2012
Total Time to Get GC: 83 days

[TorreyPines]

Just God, give me mine too

You asked, I responded. - GOD.

[feedmyback]

Many Many Congratulations Nishant!!!! Looks like it is a good time to pray to GOD!!! God please make me current in April bulletin

You asked, I responded. - GOD.

[kkruna]

Congrats Nishant!!

[gcseeker]

Yay! Congrats Nishant!

From trackitt!

User: nish2200
Nationality: India
Country of Chargeability: India
Applicant Type: primary
Service Center: Nebraska
Category: EB2
Priority Date: 08 Nov 2007
Application Filed: 30 Nov 2011
USCIS Received Date: 01 Dec 2011
USCIS Notice Date: 06 Dec 2011
I-485 Status: approved
I-485 Approval/Denial Date: 21 Feb 2012
Card Production Ordered: 21 Feb 2012
Total Time to Get GC: 83 days

Awesome news...Nishant bhai bahut bahut badhai ho. Enjoy the day my friend .

[zenmaster]

Congratulations Nishant & your family !!!

jalsa karo have party hard

[nishant2200]

thanks gcseeker and friends, I posted in post 485 filing thread this news. we can carry forth the party there

Awesome news...Nishant bhai bahut bahut badhai ho. Enjoy the day my friend .

Congratulations Nishant & your family !!!

jalsa karo have party hard

[nishant2200]

http://www.niwus.com/USCIS_Updates201107.html

Notice, they say they do 140 and 485 sequentially, not in parallel.

This definitely is helping folks like us whose 140 is already approved, and pegging back the ROW behind, I feel. putting here for experts' opinions.

[nishant2200]

Guys, thanks a lot. Greatly appreciate it.

congrats nishant

Yay! Congrats Nishant!

From trackitt!

User: nish2200
Nationality: India
Country of Chargeability: India
Applicant Type: primary
Service Center: Nebraska
Category: EB2
Priority Date: 08 Nov 2007
Application Filed: 30 Nov 2011
USCIS Received Date: 01 Dec 2011
USCIS Notice Date: 06 Dec 2011
I-485 Status: approved
I-485 Approval/Denial Date: 21 Feb 2012
Card Production Ordered: 21 Feb 2012
Total Time to Get GC: 83 days

You asked, I responded. - GOD.

Many Many Congratulations Nishant!!!! Looks like it is a good time to pray to GOD!!! God please make me current in April bulletin

Congrats Nishant!!

[Spectator]

thanks gcseeker and friends, I posted in post 485 filing thread this news. we can carry forth the party there

nishant,

Congratulations, you sly old dog!!

[nishant2200]

nishant,

Congratulations, you sly old dog!!

Thou art Supreme sir!

I accept your wishes with the most gracious heartfelt thanks.