Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
My PD is March 2010 EB2; just got my EAD renewed till Aug 2020. How many more EAD renewals will I need before getting GC? :eek:
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
My PD is March 2010 EB2; just got my EAD renewed till Aug 2020. How many more EAD renewals will I need before getting GC? :eek:
With the hard numbers we have 6000 till July 18. I was expecting July and August clear another 4000. But if we got only under 600 in the last quarter, then we might end up with disappointing performance for 2018 as well. If the dates don’t move for November bulletin then you will be right.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Hi,
I am traveling this weekend for 2 weeks out of country, I will be back on 30th. My date will be current next month. Will that be a problem as my i-94 will be updated and they will not have the latest travel record? Just making sure that I have everything before I travel. replies would be appreciated.
May 2018 EB-3 I FAD was Sep 1,08 and you think service centers have no visibility of those numbers in Sep 1st week of 2018. I agree there isn't enough time to approve but won't they show up in the inventory few months down the line?Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
The lockbox's are routing new cases to NBC for distribution to Field Offices it appears.Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
The USCIS Inventory report is not going to show those cases at all. They'll be approved at the FO if the case is current at time of interview.
The only way they might appear in the Inventory, is if there was retrogression at the time of interview. The FO could not approve the case and has to return the case to TSC, who will then make the final adjudication when the PD is current again. Even then, it's a timing issue, since most would be approved between inventory publications.
How do DOS/USCIS manage Final Action Dates for EB-3 I if they don't have a hold of pending inventory for new filings in NBC and/or FO? Am I missing something here?Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
My PD is October 2009 and I got a 2 year renewal this week. So.. who knows? I wouldn't be surprised to have to renew atleast once more.Quote:
Originally Posted by smuggymba
Just out of curiosity, If EB2- PD Mar 2010 is on EAD, then why they are not moving the date of filling for Eb2-I to 2010 ? If there are porters in EB2 for 2009, then how many are left so that it can move to 2010? Appreciate any reply.
I recently renewed my EAD/AP and got approved but the validity is only for 1 year. My PD is EB2-I March 2010. I have been getting 2 years validity ever since I applied my 485.
Any thoughts on why I have been granted only 1 year?
Because the officer processing your case was having a bad day. He got yelled at by his wife for not doing the dishes :pQuote:
Originally Posted by march1612
Lol!!, I hope he took his anger on me and spared my fellow applicants :)Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
1. Priority date is only advanced when there are green cards available to be given.Quote:
Just out of curiosity, If EB2- PD Mar 2010 is on EAD, then why they are not moving the date of filling for Eb2-I to 2010 ? If there are porters in EB2 for 2009, then how many are left so that it can move to 2010? Appreciate any reply.
2. Sometimes, they advance priority dates to generate demand in advance so as not to waste green cards at the end of the fiscal year.
Since both the cases are not true, they can't legally advance the date. Obama admin tried to use 2 as a reason to advance EB2-I dates few years ago, but USCIS refused to do so as it would be illegal and obama admin had to backdown.
Looking at the USCIS Inventory, there are already 4-5 FY approval's worth of EB2-I cases pending. Under those circumstances, given what the job is, why would CO advance the Filing Date to 2010 for EB2-I?Quote:
Originally Posted by LeoAugust
On the other hand, CO has no visibility of EB3-I demand, similar to the EB2-I situation in FY2012.
CO has complained for years that he has no visibility into upcoming demand from USCIS.
I'd love CO to just say to USCIS (with apologies to Independence Day) UP YOURS!! and move the FAD for EB3-I into 2011/12 for a month or two, then retrogress before any cases can be approved, since USCIS won't use the mechanism of Filing Dates that were introduced.
Only this sort of action has any hope of forcing USCIS to become more transparent. We only have the Inventory because Congress forced it on USCIS as a result of the July 2007 debacle. Now USCIS have made even that useless.
DOS are able to publish, within a month, a breakdown of monthly CP approvals by Country and by Category, as well as a breakdown by Consular Office and Category - all this from posts spread out across the globe. These reports cover not just EB, but all possible methods that lead to an immigrant visa being issued.
Meanwhile, USCIS can't even count EB cases from less locations in the USA on a quarterly basis.
That would be "fun"tastic. However if we should remember OCtober bullet 2015.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
That's why it has to be the FAD - USCIS have no say in that and CO could correctly argue that he's had to do it because he's seeing no demand from previous movements.Quote:
Originally Posted by AceMan
Sure, it would piss off USCIS big time and they'd go screaming to their like minded GOP supporters in Congress, or even the turd in chief. But hey, that would be fun. I suspect Pompeo wouldn't allow it, truth be told.
One can dream.
:rolleyes:Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Well they are busy stealing FEMA money so that they can run those detention camps.
Besides their turd in chief has asked them to only count people from Norway.
No specific reason. Sometime uscis does that just for fun and to harass. You were just unlucky this time.Quote:
Originally Posted by march1612
Last time my wife got 1 year AP; this year back to 2 yr combo. So, just a matter of luck and how pissed off the person approving file is.
https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/gre...s-october-2018
EB3-I dates are honored by USCIS.
Question for the Gurus:
Final/Filing dates for India EB1 are in 2016/2017 now.
Any chance or scenario in coming 1-2 years when they might go back to Jan 2012 ?
And if so, when could that happen ?
You are still lucky with EAD in Hand for many years.
My PD is June 2010, no EAD, still on H1B, with lot of uncertainties at Job and H1b extn/travel.
Ye Gods!!!Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
It's a miracle!!!
This is only the 6th time in 37 months that Filing Dates for EB have been accepted by USCIS.
Great news!Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
Oh Yeah! 10 months jump for EB3-I (Jan to Oct) is phenomenal!Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
For a change this one dream looks kind of reality for EB3. Lets hope they don't do an U-turn like September 2015.
I don't see any iota of evidence why USCIS should do that. They need to generate demand for EB-3 India.Quote:
Originally Posted by AceMan
Quote:
Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU
Looks no inventory in EB3 caused this. Appears it will be crossing end of 2010 by end of FY 19 or at-least in 2020.
It has been so long since we see a decent piece of information from USCIS. So please forgive me if I appear skeptical. Its just the mindset !!!Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmys
How will final action dates of EB2-India and EB3-India get impacted for FY 2019 with USCIS honoring the filing dates?
NOTE from the visa bulletin: Numbers are authorized for issuance only for applicants whose priority date is earlier than the final action date listed.
The final action date for EB3-I is Jan 2009. Since only a maximum of 2800/4 = 700 green cards can be given in a quarter, would it fair to say that the materialized demand for EB3-I before Jan 1 2009 is around 700 so far?
That was always the case, nothing new here.Quote:
Originally Posted by AceMan
Looks fishy to me, where is the final action date then? or do they mean filing date as final action date?
Anyway people!!! be careful with stupid USCIS, I am a victim of Oct 2015.
Breaking news
For Employment-Based Preference Filings:
You must use the Dates for Filing chart in the Department of State Visa Bulletin for October 2018.
https://www.uscis.gov/visabulletininfo
Based on Oct Bulletin, I think DOS and USCIS wanted to run a tight ship. So they might be moving filing dates slowly. Until the inventory is build up. Then ignore the filing dates.
On another note - swordfish also had commented that this site takes a lot of time for some (NEW users') posts to appear.
This is true for NEW users whose first few posts are manually moderated. We do not have enough moderators anymore as most of the old guard is now greened.
If some of you would like to moderate, let me know. This way we can speed up moderation for new users.
Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Thank you for the insight. I had noticed it last time but when my post appeared right away i thought it may have been a glicth last time so i re edited my post.
There's such a dearth of information at the moment and some of what is available is suspect.
I thought I'd look again at the various USCIS reports to see if more information could be extracted.
The assumption is that the USCIS quarterly reports correctly report the number of pending I-485. I've used these ones, since they separate out Service Center (SC) and Field Office (FO) data. Time wise, they are very close to the Inventory Report dates.
Despite having a line for National Benefits Center (NBC), no figures are given.
We then have the USCIS Inventory, which purports to show cases at the Service Centers, although it clearly does not show cases at NBC.
With some simple addition and subtraction, it's possible to identify the number of missing cases and hypothesize that these are at the NBC awaiting distribution to the FO.
Diff. refers to the difference between total number of pending cases reported by USCIS to the number reported in the Inventory Report. We could say that this number equals those at either the FO or NBC.
FO/NBC gives the % of total pending cases that are at either FO or NBC. It's an overall number - it's likely lower for India due to the number of pending cases submitted before March 2017 and correspondingly higher for other countries.
------------- From USCIS _485 Report
------------ SC ------ FO ------ Total -- Inventory ----- Diff. ---- NBC?? -- FO/NBC
Aug-17 -- 144,272 --- 4,275 -- 148,547 ---- 144,223 ---- (4,324) ------ 49 ---- 2.9%
Oct-17 -- 139,768 --- 9,614 -- 149,382 ---- 133,502 --- (15,880) --- 6,266 --- 10.6%
Jan-18 -- 114,734 -- 27,843 -- 142,577 ---- 103,675 --- (38,902) -- 11,059 --- 27.3%
Apr-18 -- 115,084 -- 47,591 -- 162,675 ----- 48,190 -- (114,485) -- 66,894 --- 70.4%
Comparable figures are not available for the July Inventory because USCIS has not published Q3 figures yet.
It may be rubbish. I've tried to lay out the logic behind the calculations, so decide for yourself whether it makes sense or not.
Hi Spec
How did the July 2018 inventory numbers show up beyond Jan 2009 when the priority dates didn't move beyond Jan 2009? Also, if those numbers are to be believed then with downgrading don't you think that EB3 INDIA should even move beyond Oct 2009?
I've created a thread for the discussion of EB2 to EB3 reverse porting.
Please post in this thread, rather than the Calculations and Predictions thread, since I think this will become quite sizable in its own right.
I suggest someone also creates a new thread to discuss the actual experiences and timelines of the process at the appropriate time.
The only clear number we have is EB2 I has about 14000 numbers already with AOS and just waiting for GC. This number is gold for now. In a situation where are the other parameters are static, we can safely say Eb2-I till May 2010 would take 3 years (19,20,21) to clear this.
Now for the hard part for EB3. Last year we got 6600 for EB3-I and for FY 18 also we might be getting a similar number. EB3-I primaries with approved 140's from 2007 to 2018 beginning is 55,000. Ignore 30% duplicates/ported/spouse primary/greened in 2018 f this number should be around under 37,000. Add one dependent average for calculation would give us a rough total demand of 75,000 (just a ball park from calculations) till 2018. This averages to a demand of 7500 per year.
However 2009 and 2010 US recession would have resulted in less filing in any case. Now with no premiums for I140, I would put my neck out and say, that EB3 I has the potential to clear both 2009 and 2010 in FY 2019. I am also including the porters from 2009 and 2010 in this list who did not do the AOS.
So by FY 19 end, EB2-I might have a September 2009 date, EB3 -I with May 2010 date. A conservative take.