Domain name changes are a mess. Personally, i am okay with the domain name.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
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Domain name changes are a mess. Personally, i am okay with the domain name.Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Quote:
Originally Posted by pg_at_q
Let me try to answer your question in a couple of ways let me know if I understood correctly.Quote:
Originally Posted by pg_at_q
- Actually on Trackitt people would update their case for RFE and never come back to update that it is resolved. I had done some research on 2004 EB2 data ideally all cases with this PD should have been approved I figured out based on that 15-20% cases people do not update approvals. So in reality these cases are approved but not closed on Trackitt.
- Now coming to old cases in general if we look at the latest inventor cases prior to May 2006 are less than 1000, in reality half of them maybe PD porting, so now hen the dates are moving forward its almost water tight they are in fact approving every case that can possibly be approved.
- Name check and background check is an issue primarily for those who belong to countries of interest. Unfortunately genuinely good people have been held ransom for years; all these countries are part of ROW.
- The trackitt research I did today was pretty high level it assumed a 0 denial rate for 485 it was all cases for Eb2 India current this July V/S all cases current last July. The summary is that the Trackitt representation for those current in Jul 2011 is far less than Jul 2010 so fewer approvals probably 1/3rd might mean the same but because of the general online systems failure we do not see much at all this year.
- In the Trackitt prediction model that I have also in facts and data I have used a starting offset of 2000 which actually accounts for the old cases, these cases go away very slowly so for monthly VB projections we can ignore them.
- As Q has reiterated as well I also believe that realistically only 8K more SOFAD is left, this number is unfortunately not backed by a very sound calculation but it is what SOFAD was projected by calculation minus what has been allocated in approximation.
Nishant I remember you were the first one to say this looks like something is really not functional, even though that release was planned for later the online system has either just crashed or its not showing any updates. Thanks for posting the latest update.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Friends If I may just add to what Q has said, most of the movement should come by in the Aug bulletin itself the September bulletin in all likelihood would just be a finishing touch or intake of fresh demand (This is completely in the hypothetical domain). The real numerical allocation that would count toward approvals will likely happen in Aug.
Just adding to Teddy's excellent summary: we need ~11K to clear all pending I485 cases. If 8K spillovers is still available, the the PDs that will be cleared will be around end of June'07 to 1st week of July'07 time frame. Any more spill over visas (if available) than 8K will clear July - Aug'07 PDs. So, to sum up, as of now we know the following (this probably has been mentioned in many earlier posts, but I am just reiterating the conclusion):
i) EB2-I/C PDs anywhere up to June - Aug'07 will be cleared by the end of this year
ii) Any further visa movement will be dictated by USCIS policy of how they want to build a buffer of applications for approving in future.
Prediction
August Bulletin - May 8, 2007
IMO, a catchy domain would definitely be easier to spread by word of mouth. However, you can simply use that to direct to this existing domain and not touch a thing.Quote:
Originally Posted by ssvp22
+1 on domain name change.
"why?"
Once i lost my bookmark and just struggled to spell domain name correctly (given Google is yet to do spell corrections for this site).
Before suggestions come in, please check if the domain name is available.
;)
BTW, What does the current name mean? It is quite cryptic :)Quote:
Originally Posted by qesehmk
Q, I agree with Pravara, don't change this domain name. Just create a new catchy one and simply use the new name to direct to this existing domain. That is what most people do these days :)Quote:
Originally Posted by pravara
I have been quietly following the forum too. I too agree the domain name is a bit mysterious. I bookmarked this on my work computer which I check regularly but I was travelling for days and wanted to check on my ipad, I had no idea how to find this website, had to use 10 different keywords in Google without success, finally I was successful with the search string "EB2 calculations Teddy, Vani, Spec, Q" :), Sorry if I omitted some key contributors in the search:).
q's immigration blog is good enough - among first sites on google search results, so this page has a high search rank.
Friends there are reports at many places now that the online systems are working atleast for EAD / AP, even Trackitt approvals are picking up now. Just saw a report on IV, User - abhay "My online status got changed after 2 Plus years, Now it says post decision activities and I got email and SMS last night. I think they are fixing the online system.Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
".
I have been a mute spectator so far... but please dont change the domain name. It represents a legacy started way back at IV. This blog can be easily searched in google as well.
My first post here - with a suggestion - the domain name eb2predictions.com is available. If we get that and auto forward to the current domain then we have an intuitive domain name and the legacy name continues as well.
Yes trackitt definitely picking up steam now. One guy put approval date as 7/7 but I believe it is also 7/1 since he got the cards also on 7/7, can't get on same day.Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
I know from designing similar e-mail notification alerts system, albeit on a smaller scale as compared to USCIS, it's not easy. A lot of things can go wrong, and mail servers are notorious.
I see people with february 27th 2007 getting approved. Although I am not even in yet, I feel like crying tears of joy, in my lifetime, I see people in same year as me getting green cards.
To imdeng,
But we are discussing lot of things here..not only EB2 predictions...
We may need to make more generalized....
I voted for 'do nothing'
Q, I think eventhough it's team effort, you initiated the site and everybody is participating. As long as, Teddy/Spec/Veni don't mind, domain name should stay same.
I see many new users suggesting the name change and understandable because it took long time for them to know about our site, I'm sure they don't consider this after couple of weeks
3. I-485 Approval Possibility Issues: Job Changes
Due to forward movement in EB2 India and China Visa Bulletin cutoff dates, many EB2 applicants became eligible for approval during July 2011. The immigrant community is abuzz with the excited prospect of finally receiving approvals for applications for adjustment of status (I-485s, or "green cards") filed long ago. The wonderful news of the forward movement of priority dates for July and August 2011 has resulted in some questions and topics for consideration.
The above was posted in the Murthy bulletin that came out today. Not sure if the reference to forward movement in August 2011 is a typo or if they have some inside information pertaining to the Aug 2011 movement.
I been googling regarding EB2 or GC or any immigration related information for that past 2-3 years and never found this site & I don't blame anybody for this. The only sensible site i found so far was http://www.immigration-law.com/Canada.html. Though I use to follow murthy, trackitt etc if I need more information.
But once I found this site, I was really excited to learn more information and also understand how many of these numbers work. I was really impressed myself. I always thought why I haven't found this site earlier. Name of the site is good and unique.
If domain name is bit more SEO friendly, I was hoping many more people like us can be educated and can help to spread these very useful information across.
Just a thought and also I am very new here, may be a month old here & so I might not be very right with my suggestions...
It was difficult to pass on this site to my friends, even though i asked to search it on google, for some reason many of them failed and they call me.
It would be good if we keep this for few months but create a new name and redirect to this site as is ( i mean we should be able to use both the names for couple of months or longer based on cost), But i am not sure how costly it will be.
I definetly agree with beiber that since Q has initiated this, his name should be apt but i suggest that if new new name is created, any way " Q's Immigration Blog" exists on the top of the page.
Received approval notice alert via e-mail today
Approval date seems to be July 5 - note says they mailed us a notice of approval
EB2I - PD 17 Oct 2006
Filed at TSC
Congrats PD1006!Quote:
Originally Posted by PD1006
Bieber, I also voted for the no change option. I believe its entirely upto Q to decide. However if there is a more generic domain and site title then yes it may be changed by Q, the only thing I hope is that no members / people are lost in the process. I believe a lot of people found about this forum by doing a search for "QESEHMK" so if a redirect can be setup it will really help or if the new site is somehow searchable by "QESEHMK". It is very generous of yourself, others and Q to give me any credit. Visiting immigration forums has almost become a part of life now for me since atleast 2 years.Quote:
Originally Posted by bieber
Congrats!!! Looks like we are seeing more number on trackitt too, i see that they are totally 18 approvals and earliest date approved is feb 27 2007. So happy to see 2007 on approval list.Quote:
Originally Posted by PD1006
Why do you say I am not on H1 ?Quote:
Originally Posted by ravi.shah
Let me clarify, I am on H1 right now (extended beyond the 6 yrs for another 3 yrs according to the AC21 rules 106 or something like that). She is on H1 right now and MAY need to change to H4 before her H1 expires. There is absolutely nothing that prevents her from doing this. She can stay on H4 till I become current as I will be on H1 till I become current.
The basic question was when I do file my 485, will she get an EAD along with me. Her status potentially could be H4 at that time.
I agree 100 % with Teddy. It should be left to Q on what should be done, knowing him he would consult with Vini, Teddy, Spec and others who have been the biggest contributors to this forum.Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
The important thing is none of the old members/forum followers should be lost. If a redirect can be arranged, it would be great.
This is indeed the best source of info for people like us. Great job everyone!! BRAVO !!!!
Q,
When you next update the front page, please also change my figures in the jpg as follows:
Avge. -- EB3->2+PWMB -- Net SOFAD -- Low -- High
35.0 ------- 5.0 --------- 30.0 --- 33.0 -- 38.0
I voted Do Nothing.
A redirect from a friendly name would be my second option, but that costs money and reduces the donations to good causes, unless the traffic is much higher.
On Google, the search term "Q Immigration" gives the third result and "Q Immigration Calculations" gives the second result.
Terms such as "Q Forum" or "Q Blog" do not return results on the first page, but as soon as the term "Immigration" is also included, the results become #3 and #1 respectively.
"Q s EB2 predictions" gives first result . "EB2 Predictions "gives the
third result.
You are not alone, friend. I hope we get through soon and lead a normal life.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Guys + 1 even I have exactly the same feeling, the Jul bulletin was the game changer that brought is straight to 2007. Even though I have not filed for 485 I definitely relieved now that the end is very much in sight.Quote:
Originally Posted by ssvp22
I only hope it would go well into 2008
Q,
Can you plan for a tracker like trackitt... I vote for doing nothing name wise...
Teddy & other PWMB's,Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
Finally, the end of the struggle is near soon. I hope you have your medicals done & ready to go. I just got it done (My PD June 07 & hoping to become current soon). It takes 20-30 days just to get immigration doctor's appointment. By the way, I did not have any vaccination records. They did a blood test & found antibodies present. So, I received only tetanus shot, my PPD was positive so the Dr. sent me to chest xray which was clear & marked Latent B TB which is ok. He did not write aything in Part 3 & 4 of the medical form.
Q,
I voted do nothing. I think people who have genuine interest in understanding visa allocation process & predictions will find this website by some way or other. Your forum is the least polluted & highly focused.
Thanks.
Even 485 approval emais/sms are working...:)Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
trackitt says 15 on 07/01 & 7 on 07/05....
Spec yes I did. Thank you.
1) Updated the head to reflect your numbers as well as current collective understanding.
2) Regarding name change.... so far people are favoring doing nothing. So if the trend continues the same, we will act immediately upon "Do Nothing"!! May be we can take down the poll in 2-3 days.
3) Last month I did submit the site to search engines that seems to have helped.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Soggadu, I think as long as trackitt keeps their data open, we can use it. Introducing a tracker would involve programming and customizing the vBulletin software which could be costly to code and then maintain.Quote:
Originally Posted by soggadu
p.s. sorry I didn't mean to say its not useful. Its just that we r running this site already in red.
Spec,
Well said! IMHO that's one factor that should be considered before going the redirect route. As always, you nailed it :)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
The fact is that this forum is quite difficult to find. I reached here only because Teddy's forum in IV mentioned the exact phrase to be googled. If the site starts becoming visible on search results for things like "EB2 Priority Date" or "EB2I PD Current" etc then there is no need to change anything. Even otherwise - I think people who need this info manage to find this site - the additional effort may not be worth the extra eyeballs.
In case anyone ever had a doubt - Q's source was right - no VB on Fri.
I am intrigued by the lack of Demand Data for last two months. Why would USCIS go in data-hide-mode after sharing the same data for so long. Could it be that they are planning something that runs counter to the data - for example - extending PD beyond 07/07 while the data suggests that there are no more visa numbers available for doing that. Wishful thinking??
That is my hunch too! That is the reason I am thinking a 1 year forward and jump back movement is quite possible.
Quote:
Originally Posted by imdeng