Hey,
Anybody here who only got I485 notices, no EAD/AP or got them later? Did they come on the same day for everybody.
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Hey,
Anybody here who only got I485 notices, no EAD/AP or got them later? Did they come on the same day for everybody.
Thank you very much Spec. As always..very clear and helpful.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spectator
Hi GCLongwait,Quote:
Originally Posted by Gclongwait
Post 485 thread has answer to your query and it has more information which will help you. Thanks
Quick question. I have mailed my 485 packet today 12/30/2011 to USCIS in USPS express mail. I have checked no delivery on week end or holiday, so that it does not get delivered tomorrow 12/31. Also I have written clearly on the packet no week end delivery.
I want it to delivered on 1/3/2012 which is Tuesday as USCIS has holiday on 1/2/2012.
Hope it gets delivered on 1/3/2012. Any one has any experience on Saturday delivery. if we mention it not to deliver some times USPS makes an attempt to delivery. I am worried about that.
It shouldn't be a problem. Although you could have just put it in the mail on Monday 1/2/12 to avoid this situation .. another day wouldn't make a difference.Quote:
Originally Posted by pdmay2008
Some interesting link:
Form I-140 Immigrant Petition for Alien Worker Performance Data by Class and Beneficiary Country of Birth
This quarterly report shows Immigrant Petition for Alien Worker performance data for consular-processed I-140s and does not include any associated dependents. The number of cases approved are displayed by class and beneficiary country of birth.
PDF:
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...-2011-june.pdf
CSV:
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...-2011-june.csv
Data on Individual Applications and Petitions
Data as of September 30, 2011
Published Novemberr 29, 2011
This report provides the total number of receipts and approvals, by quarter,
for all applications and petition form types submitted to USCIS for adjudication.
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...eData_FY11.pdf
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...eData_FY11.csv
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/New%20Str...9q3backlog.pdf
http://www.governmentattic.org/4docs..._2008-2010.pdf
Some interesting chart, look for EB1 and EB2 not including NIV
http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf
Thank you. If its accurate(or near accurate) that's going to help a lot !Quote:
Originally Posted by eb2visa
This is just released today and from DHS website. 100% accurate, unless DHS - Citizenship and Immigration Services Ombudsman shows something wrong :)
http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdfQuote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
Quick glance here are year wise(not sure if it FY or CY) EB2 I140 receipts for all countries (not including NIW):
2007- 60000 +
2008 - 30000
2009 - 17000
2010 - 35000
2011(Q1 & Q2) - 35000
Quote:
Originally Posted by eb2visa
True -- :)
One more :
I-485 Approval and Pending inventory details:
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf
Data as of October 31, 2011
Published December 29, 2011
What am I missing here??Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
Isn't this like "REALLY" great news for Eb2 2009 and early 2010 people?
Spec? Gurus?
Look at the I-485 inventory details from my post.
I-485
Approval- 29,969 Denials- 7,559 Pending -2,411
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf
I-485
Data as of October 31, 2011
Published December 29, 2011
Approval- 29,969 Denials-7,559 Pending-2,411
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf
Of these around 3-3.5k/year are porting cases.Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
Did you looked at the 485 approval details from above link, it is very interesting, they didn't have much pending cases as of Oct 31st. I think thats why this big jump. and if we see the stats, around 30,000 are approved for 2011+oct. Seems to be there could be a big jump next month.
Please look at the 485 links too, it has more exiting details... :)
Kanmani - :)Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
As many of 2008 and 2009 PERM cases were getting approved i subsequent FY with quite delay (in 2009 and 2010)....many 2009 cases are in FY2010 numbers.
I am trying to plot this on Spec's PERM data (with assumption of 2 month lag in PERM approval and I140 filing)...have not got anything concrete yet. May be lets wait for Spec's input.
Thanks for the links.
I can't make sense of the I485 numbers. It says 29,969 approvals for both 2010 & 2011. Is this for all EB1/2/3 for all countries? If yes, it seems to be too low.
I-140 numbers make sense. 30k approvals for 2008 translates to 2500 perms/month. Number of I-140 approvals in 2009 is only 17000, there could be some good movement int he next couple of bulletins. Keeping fingers crossed!
Quote:
Originally Posted by eb2visa
This data is only for USCIS field offices. This does not include case majority of cases handled by service centers (TSC and NSC).
Quote:
Originally Posted by eb2visa
I think the I-485 numbers doesn't include ROW...
This is the old link and it also presents the same numbers for 2010. This has 2009 approval details too.
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-sep.pdf
That's not entirely true. These are receipt data. These 30000 would include some of 2008 plus earlier years data too.Quote:
Originally Posted by dorais
If these includes number from earlier years, it will be Great News, as they might have already take care
You are on the right track. If we take this I140 data and subtract the average processing times (for both perm and I140) for each year, we would get some approximation on perm conversion.
Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
dorais- I am referring to this linkQuote:
Originally Posted by dorais
http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf
On page 7 it talks about receipt data not approvals.
Approval rates are almost 100%
Got it. The numbers are for filing receipts.
Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
As rdsingh pointed out, the 485 data is ONLY field offices and not the service centers where most of the EB cases go.
Quote:
Originally Posted by eb2visa
Quote:
Originally Posted by rdsingh79
vizcard; rdsingh,Quote:
Originally Posted by vizcard
That's correct. In addition field office numbers include all kinds of adjustment applications, not just EB.
Suninphx
As a raw data, we can interpret
2008 is 50% of 2007
2009 is 28% of 2007
2010 is 58% of 2007
We have 2007 data available ,could it be that much record low ? I doubt something is missing .
Lets wait for Spec .
Can you please ealaborate how you arrived at these %?Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
suninphx
very simply derived from your numbers from yesterday's post
2007- 60000 +
2008 - 30000
2009 - 17000
2010 - 35000
Here is how I am calculating. To keep our calculations simple lets assume that receipts of FY 2008, 2009, 2010 cover the PDs of Aug 2007- Dec 2009.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kanmani
So that gives us a total of 82000.
Add 5000 to even out the range so that gives us 92000
With 90% approval rate we get 82800. Lets round figure it to 83000
From Spec' data for period of Aug 2007- Dec 2009 we have total ROW PERM count of 76878 (~ 77000)
Assuming 60% of those are EB2 gives us 46200
So that leaves us approximate EB2IC count of (83000- 46200) = 36800
If we deduct around 9k - 10 K porting case it gives us EB2IC in range of 25-27 K. This number looks more on optimistic side.
Note: Also we have to still deduct cases for double filings (husband / wife both filing), multiple filings etc. But lets not go that far yet.
So thats my take.
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These numbers are not including national interest waiver
2007 has 60,000 cases, are we sure, are we thinking correctly? Are these only belongs to the respective years. I think we may just need to remove more than one submission from the same employee and wife and husband double submission and abandoned ones. Please correct me...
IMO - they do not belong to respective years.Quote:
Originally Posted by eb2visa