Data for 7/2011 to 6/2012 is now available at
http://www.flcdatacenter.com/OESWizardStart.aspx
they have changed some job codes. for eg, 15-1032 is now 15-1133
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Data for 7/2011 to 6/2012 is now available at
http://www.flcdatacenter.com/OESWizardStart.aspx
they have changed some job codes. for eg, 15-1032 is now 15-1133
gchopeful,Quote:
Originally Posted by gchopeful123
No can of worms opened as far as I am concerned.
As with Leo, I like Ron and he performs a really good service to people on his site for free.
There is nothing wrong with trying to attract clients - that's his business after all.
Everybody says he is an excellent lawyer - I just think number crunching or analysis is not his forte.
pls don't worry about it. people here are nice and helpful. pls don't take any offense. as spec said we all too read Ron's letters. And i have also found them useful. Its just that his predictions is not something that i have been particularly fond of. pls continue to contribute. I am very confident none of these people wanted to discourage you from posting.
p.s. - If you haven't read. ... just read some of the analysis done in FACTS and DATA section primarily by Spec and Veni. Its fabulous. Teddy who runs his own thread on IV also contributes very significantly here. I hope you get to read their perspectives and find them useful.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gchopeful123
damn this has me on edge too. still nothing on trackitt.Quote:
Originally Posted by gcwait2007
This is a really good forum for good information. I hope EB2 Jan 09 would be current atleast by sept 2012. Any chances? Little worried about the EB3 porting to EB2.
This has left me a bit surprised too! I wasn't expecting that many approvals on 7/1 as it was the start of the long weekend. But I was hoping that the floodgates of approval will open from today. Hopefully, we will see approvals coming in later this week; else, I will be a touch worried on any further progress of EB2-I/C PDs.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Maybe their IT system has some problem. So people are just not notified yet.
Someone posted at my work that they r PWMB with Aug 2006 PD and they filed for 485 in June and they have got a finger printing notice for July 20, does this mean they will get greened within This fiscal year numbers
S/he may get lucky. But more than likely not. S/he is going to have to wait upto 6-9 months from the dates of filing 485.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ifaith
If they will be fingerprinted in July, then chances are that they will be greened within this years numbers as there will be still 2+ months after the fingerprint date. I was seeing in trackitt that clean cases have been approved within 3 months but I am totally relying on the posts in trackitt. However, most of the PWMB cases have their PDs after March'07, so they will probably need to wait for next year's quota.
Q,
Do you think even clear cases without any RFEs are taking 6 - 9 months? I know the current USCIS processing dates to be Oct/Dec'10 but we have seen 2011 approvals in trackitt.
Thanks!
The average time to get GC for ROW EB2 is 6 months. The median time is 4 months. So an Indian EB2 once becomes current should take similar time.
9 months may be is overkill. I agree with that. But its still unlikely that unless somebody filed in or before May, that they will get a number from 2011 quota. They will get it pretty soon. But it could come out of 2012 quota rather than 2011.
Quote:
Originally Posted by pch053
Q,
As last time can you get 'ur sources' to give hints for this aug bull movement?
(You can obfuscate the info further if you think its not good to reveal in full ;)
My priority date is Sep 24, 2007 (EB2). Do the experts here think I have any chance of being current in the Sep 2011 visa bulletin. Obviously, I had missed the July 2007 fiasco and waiting since ages to apply for I-485 and EAD/AP. Thanks.
Yes. Very good chance. If you spend some time reading the thread you will understand much more why. If u r short on time, just read the header of the thread.Quote:
Originally Posted by gchopeful123
Great stuff..thanks
Hi Gurus,
We moved over the weekend to a new home and i changed mine and my wife's address and submitted AR-11 yesterday.Unfortunately,My AR-11 was submitted twice and in one of the submission info about my nationality was given wrong and the second submission had all correct information.
Will this cause any delay in my GC process or will this come up during Name check?.We are exepcting to be current in AUg 2011 bulletin( My wife is primay applicant). Please advise
Quote:
Originally Posted by H1GC140
The purpose for AR-11 is just that the agencies are aware of your latest address. Nationality and other information are just other pieces of information that they may be using to uniquely identify your record, it is just like validation questions that maybe posed to you when you call any helpline or call center. Since you submitted twice you should be ok but you can call up just to be sure by providing the confirmation numbers. When you file for your 485 they will surely update this information with the latest one so nothing to worry.Quote:
Originally Posted by sidd21
By my individual calculation 33K is the SOFAD that we could expect by a conservative calculation. Now out of that 25K has already been applied if we take the Jul bulletin into account. So really USCIS should not have any problems approving these cases unless the numbers have run out, the lack of approvals not only for EB2-I but for all other categories is very intriguing. We may not be able to attribute it just to the long weekend if there are no reports of approvals in the next 2 days if the online systems are functional. So for now lets wait and watch. I believe that realistically they may have another 8K (4K in the worst case and 12K in the best case) more to approve the preadjudicated cases. Now if really the numbers have run out then there will be no urgency for the agencies to push the dates sooner or build a buffer for next year. Let’s wait and watch the August bulletin (Movement expected till 01-JUN-2007) and the approval trend both are critical.
Thank You!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/usc...00082ca60aRCRD
Uscis website alerts says their efiling system is down, n message was last updated on the 5th. Hopefully this is reason why no online notifications.
---------
Edit: apologies, dont know why I thought today is 9th.
Good link, thanks. That explains the delay in seeing the approvals.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
Nishant thanks for posting something is really intriguing. For this one if you refer to the details they are suggesting that the system maybe down from 9th to 10th which is future dates. Probably these are linked as you suggest and the online notification system may well be down.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
I don't think this could be the reason as it seems like this one is a scheduled downtime on the night of July 9th..
Can someone, who has filed 485, just call and check with them?
TeddyQuote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
Per your calculations you expect the date to move to June 1st in Aug Bulletin and then move into 2008 in Sept Bulletin.
If building up the pipeline is indeed the strategy USCIS is going to adopt this year than dont you think that USCIS would move further than June 07 in Aug Bulletin and then into 2008 in Sept Bulletin.
Regards
Nat
Sorry guys, I put a edit note. I goofed up. Only ray of hope is that somehow these are linked.
I believe that probably 8K numbers are left and the dates would move till Jun in the Aug bulletin. When they want to build the pipeline is entirely upto them for now but definitely it would happen the timing is entirely the agencies discretion. For now the very critical thing is Aug approvals we must see approvals to confirm that numbers are indeed available.Quote:
Originally Posted by natvyas
Nishant don't worry every piece of information is greatly appreciated, like you I also hope that these are related.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
I saw one person in another form called the service center and got the info that his case has been approved (current for july) but his online status is still initial review or something.
Teddy,Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
I assume your 25k calculation include EB2IC - FY2011 7% allocation (5.6k), am i correct?
http://murthyforum.atinfopop.com/4/O...1&m=6161026022Quote:
Originally Posted by SChowdary
technocrat10 writes:
I just called the service center and got an update that my application (including family members) is approved and a request has been sent for card printing. I should expect card withing 2 weeks. Let's hope this is correct (online status does not reflect that).
Btw - has anybody noticed an issue of late status updates online. My AP papers are approved and received yesterday. Online status still shows 'Initial Review'. That's strange.
PD: October 24, 2006
Service Center: TSC
Status: Initial Review
----------------
technocrat10 ko bahot bahot badhai, munh mei ghee sakkar. may he be the fore bearer of lots of such good news pouring in from people.
Veni, Yes you are right SOFAD includes the annual cap of 5.6K.Quote:
Originally Posted by veni001
Nishant thanks for posting this may the start of good news. If there are more cases like that it may indicate that online system is not working consistently or is overwhelmed.Quote:
Originally Posted by nishant2200
USCIS Public Engagement: Invitation to AC21 Stakeholder Engagement : This is certainly a good forum to address some questions on AC21 and Job portability.
We can try consolidating the questions and someone can attend and ask them.
http://content.govdelivery.com/bulle...USDHSCIS-a45d2
TeddyK,
Difference b/n June 1st and July 1st is ~1800, do you think it could be that tight this month?
Best!
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
Leo its only a ball park figure with ~ 6K numbers worth of movement if its 8K then its entirely possible. Good luck to you, I hope you and me get our chance to file for 485 this year. Iam pretty sure that the dates will hit June atleast by September, I feel 8K in total movement is definitely possible. For now we must see mass approvals to see movement in the Aug bulletin.Quote:
Originally Posted by leo07
Just as FYI, my 3rd 140 is only 24 days old, so i still have a long way to go :) I cannot even make it a PP as CIS won't allow that application for Premium processing.
I am sorry but I don't quite understand this. This is my current understanding of the process. DOS advanced the dates significantly in the July bulletin, presumably to gauge the pending demand. It starts getting applications starting July 1st. It then has 10 days or so, to estimate whether it has enough applications to exhaust the available visa numbers, and publish the next bulletin. How do the number of approvals figure into this?Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu
Apologies if this has been answered before. Q said that the rules change for spill over season but I didn't quite get that.
Your understanding is correct, consider the scenario if DOS advanced the date a point further than till which numbers are actually available, in that case USCIS will not be able to close the cases. 11K additional people became current by the Jul bulletin so there should have been a large number of approvals daily if demand and supply match if the supply (Numbers are less) we will see far fewer approvals that does not augur well.Quote:
Originally Posted by victorian
I think Teddy answered it well. Just to add a little bit to that, basically current months' bulletin movement is based on current-2 month's visa allocations. So the movement for July was determined by the results of May rather than June.
Quote:
Originally Posted by victorian
I agree with this. They already know the demand till 08 mar 07, other than PWMB + new dependents which should not be so much as to completely throw them completely off. If they didnt have enough visas they wouldnt have moved it this far.Quote:
Originally Posted by victorian
I dont know much about online status but if it has to be manually updated then i would rather they spend their time in approving GC's rather than bothering with the online status.
More approvals means that they have not yet met the demand (including the spillovers for this year), in other words there are still numbers available to be allocated. In this case the numbers calculated by Venni, Spector, Q and their analysis is close to being true.
If the approvals stop abruptly, it means that they ran out of the numbers or are close to running out. In this case the next VB we wouldn't see much movement.