After watching this for a while, my conclusion is HR3012 got stuck in a war between the Irish and I/C. Chuck Schumer will not let 3012 advance without E-3 visas for Ireland.
With a foot in both a Republican and Democrat state, I receive canned emails from both Dems (Schumer/Gillbrandt) and GOPers (McCain/Kyle). The email from Schumer squarely blames the Republicans for holding up the bill, whereas the response from Senator Kyl and McCain are more generic about the bill having their support and hopefully becoming law at some point. That leads me to believe the impasse has to do with Republicans, who either have other issues with this bill or just don't like the H1B provisions.
A Democratic response to the Republican proposal
http://www.enewspf.com/latest-news/l...the-house.html
So assuming this passes, which is a big if, we will have TWO immigration bills stuck in the Senate held hostage to one Fhuck Grassley and some other unnamed Senators. All I want for Christmas is for ONE of them to pass.
But with the Republicans in control of the House and Lamar Smith backing this, I think it has good chances
Which means that there won't be democratic support for the bill as it stands now and republicans won't support increasing overall numbers. This bill right now seems dead. These lines are ridiculous. "Republicans are only willing to increase legal immigration for immigrants they want by eliminating legal immigration for immigrants they don't want. " What does that mean? They are not targeting any group by eliminating diversity visas. The same argument could have been made for Irish E-3 visas which was for very specific group. This is really hypocrisy from democrats.
To abcx
We keep blaming the Democrats but this Bill is a cynical ploy by the Republicans most likely to placate their donors. There is no Bill introduced on Congressional record as of this moment and it is going to be voted by suspension of rules in the middle of next week with no discussion/debate about impact of this law!! As we all know suspension of rules needs 2/3 majority and a substantial number of Democratic votes to pass and I completely agree with your "big IF"
To rupen86
Irish E-3 is a non-immigrant provision and there are numerous countries with similar provisions. The DV program is a Democratic idea and the Republicans have tried hard over the years to abolish it without much success.
Of course, by holding STEMs hostage to family and diversity visas, Democrats are also "only willing to increase legal immigration for immigrants they want by eliminating legal immigration for immigrants they don't want." After letting in 1.7m DREAMers, the Democrats can't authorize 50k STEM visas without groveling for more of their Hispanic/Latino/Irish brothers who will most likely suck at the government's teat? I hate to sound like a racist but this is absolutely ridiculous. Despite my rants against bodyshoppers, odds are that those guys are probably more skilled than some random guy from BFE.
The Republicans might still force it through the House to make Dems look bad. "Look - BHO legalized 1.7M illegals but he can't legalize 50K highly skilled US educated immigrants for growing the economy..." That could work. But only problem is that if this gets taken up after the election and the Democrats win, nobody has an incentive to do anything...
More info on the topic
This from POLITICO
"STEM VISA BILL TALKS CONTINUE -- Negotiations continue in the House on measures that would make more visas available for those with masters and doctorates in STEM fields from qualifying U.S. universities. One proposal would create 50,000 STEM visas and discontinue the 55,000 “diversity visa” lottery available annually to people coming from countries with low rates of immigration. Another would give half of those diversity visas to the family based immigration system, and one half to STEM graduates.
But election season politics may be getting in the way, with Republicans wanting a bill introduced and voted on sooner than Democrats, according to a source. Rep. Lamar Smith has been at the center of these discussions, which also included Majority Leader Eric Cantor, Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy, and Reps. Luis Gutierrez, Zoe Lofgren, Bob Goodlatte, Howard Berman, and Raul Labrador. A House Judiciary aide confirms Smith is working on a measure that would keep some foreign graduates of U.S. universities with advanced STEM degrees in the U.S., and he hopes to have a draft bill soon."
It also appears like Rep.Zoe Lofgren beat him to the line as she introduced her own Bill on STEM graduates today.I did not have time to go through it carefully but there is some mention about usage of unused visas (? spillover to regular EB categories)
http://www.siliconbeat.com/2012/09/1...ogy-graduates/
Interesting. I think neither bill will go anywhere because of how stupid politicians are. I agree with Zoe's bill on this:
Foreign graduates of for-profit schools may not receive STEM visas.The Republican proposal expressly includes degrees from for-profit schools, including degrees earned by mail or over the internet.
Maybe they can compromise though...it seems even if these things pass in the House, they won't pass in the Senate. I don't know why they aren't making noise about passing HR3012.
The Bill has been scheduled for floor vote on Friday
http://majorityleader.gov/Floor/
Interestingly the Bill does not even have a number yet for the schedule. Obviously the text of the Bill has not been made public yet
It has been scheduled for most likely the last working day before the recess.
I think it can be either Thurs or Fri. Maybe they will compromise with the Democrats in the House (like Lofgren) to come up with a Bill both parties like? And maybe that's why there is no text yet because they are still working on it. If the House can pass it without removing DV, then it really really should pass the Senate because for it to pass without cutting DV would mean both the Republicans and Democrats support it.
A man can dream, right?
To abcx13
I know you are trying to fill us all with hope but I just cannot see conservative Republicans agreeing to an increase in immigration by 50000/55000 visas 6 weeks before a tough election which is what a compromise would mean. Personally the sheer timing of the Bill implies mere posturing than real intent.
I don't know if this article has been linked before but it makes interesting reading about the dynamics of the Bill
http://beverlyhillsimmigrationlaw.bl...-path-for.html
Lofgren's bill creates EB-6, gives it 50K new visas, and let's them spillover to EB-1 (and from there to EB-2 and 3). Per-country caps will still apply to EB-6. There is nothing in the bill saying EB-6 is open only to new graduates, so I assume anyone with a STEM degree from a good university can apply.
This really seems like political posturing by republicans so that it can be claimed that they introduced the bill to give STEM visas. It is a nice talking point. But this bill is not going anywhere. Republicans are not going to accept additional green cards and democrats are not going to eliminate diversity visas. I do not know what possible compromise they can come up with.
It really is curtains this Friday for the House.No doubt the Senators will also skip town on Friday (or even earlier)
http://www.govexec.com/oversight/201...22/?oref=river
I found the first comment in response to that story very funny.We have to wait for the lame duck session for anything meaningful to happen.BTW is the House really going to vote on 27 Bills on Tuesday?
PS-Can someone explain how I became Pandit? I feel very intellectual and someone must think that my drivel is actually thought-provoking!
Some more information from this morning.
http://www.computerworld.com/s/artic...STEM_visa_bill
No comment-fellow forum members are free to draw their own conclusions
I wanted to provide comments regardless. This article makes it clear that the reason two separate bills were introduced was because two parties could not come to agreement. So, this is merely political posturing so that both parties can claim moral high ground of retaining so called "brightest" minds here. If this was not enough, the article says that Grassley is going to have his own bill. So, even if through miracle there was some agreement and bipartisan bill was introduced, it would not make a difference to Grassley and it would meet the same fate like 3012.
The Lamar Smith bill's text has been released. It is very similar to the Lofgren bill, but no spillover. However, it allows people who already have a degree and an approved labor cert. to "port" without a new labor cert.