WhereismyGC.com Related Discussion & Updates

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

So with Specs newly published posts can you calculate 2019 now?

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Yes. Please send us by email your screenshot from last year.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Yes. Please send us by email your screenshot from last year.

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Can you please give us the email I should send to.

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

Can you please give us the email I should send to.

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The email is : help at whereismygc
Alternatively just send a private message to this profile.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

The email is : help at whereismygc
Alternatively just send a private message to this profile.

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Sent an email. I could not attach files to Private messages.

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Originally Posted by EB22010Dec

Sent an email. I could not attach files to Private messages.

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This is now reported in another thread. Please check.

Today we have also fixed a flaw in one of our settings that was affecting EB3-India users. The setting in our counselor processing data was artificially keeping EB3-I dates back. We have fixed this flaw. You can view the correct forecast now by logging into your account.

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Originally Posted by jimmys

I don't think your EB-3 India predictions are correct. Can you check it?

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Our algorithms predict for all countries all categories and all dates. So it is practically impossible to cater to such requests.

If you think they are wrong, you are welcome to share your prediction on this blog and help others.

All we ask of you is to not disclose our prediction or our data.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Today we have also fixed a flaw in one of our settings that was affecting EB3-India users. The setting in our counselor processing data was artificially keeping EB3-I dates back. We have fixed this flaw. You can view the correct forecast now by logging into your account.

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I pointed out the flaw a few days ago. Instead of looking what's wrong in your EB3-India calculations, you started preaching that I can post my predictions as if I'm trying to hobble up your business. SMH!

Your initial suggestion was too vague. So we said we can't respond to your request.
When you sent a private message with specifics, we acknowledged and promised to fix. We fixed it in a day.
Then we thanked you and offered you a free month.

How else do you expect us to respond? If you describe a problem we can and will act on it.

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Originally Posted by jimmys

I pointed out the flaw a few days ago. Instead of looking what's wrong in your EB3-India calculations, you started preaching that I can post my predictions as if I'm trying to hobble up your business. SMH!

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Your initial suggestion was too vague. So we said we can't respond to your request.
When you sent a private message with specifics, we acknowledged and promised to fix. We fixed it in a day.
Then we thanked you and offered you a free month.

How else do you expect us to respond? If you describe a problem we can and will act on it.

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Oops! I just saw your personal messages.

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Originally Posted by jimmys

Oops! I just saw your personal messages.

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Perhaps good idea to check 3 gates of speech !!
Is it true? Is it kind? Does it improve silence?

Thanks for the suggestion again and you have your FREE month. Check your mailbox.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Most people did not have a problem but some people with EB3-I prediction were affected.
The promotion obviously was a courtesy not a right. However we will be happy to offer another promotion to raise cancer awareness.

For next 1 week.
You donate month or year plan worth money to ANY cancer charity you choose.
Send us a receipt and we will give you equal value in subscription.

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I love it and donated today because the subject came up. How do I send you the receipt? One one hand, I don’t mind it as because of the discussion, I got off my lazy behind and did something good I guess, while on the other hand, I feel that as a business you cannot dictate the terms for offering what in my mind is - a fair business practice.

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Originally Posted by 4WatItsWorth

I love it and donated today because the subject came up. How do I send you the receipt? One one hand, I don’t mind it as because of the discussion, I got off my lazy behind and did something good I guess, while on the other hand, I feel that as a business you cannot dictate the terms for offering what in my mind is - a fair business practice.

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Awesome.

Please post it right here if you are comfortable. Or send us via email sales at whereismygc or help at whereismygc

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Perhaps good idea to check 3 gates of speech !!
Is it true? Is it kind? Does it improve silence?

Thanks for the suggestion again and you have your FREE month. Check your mailbox.

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Took a note. Thank you!

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Originally Posted by jimmys

Took a note. Thank you!

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You are welcome. Please don't hesitate to reach out if you have a problem or a question.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

You are welcome. Please don't hesitate to reach out if you have a problem or a question.

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FY 2019 DoS stats and FY 2020 first quarter CP numbers are already baked in the prediction. Is my understanding correct?

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Originally Posted by jimmys

FY 2019 DoS stats and FY 2020 first quarter CP numbers are already baked in the prediction. Is my understanding correct?

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The CP are fully baked in. The 2019 DoS stats are baked in at a holistic level. But we always keep looking for nuggets we can find. If we do find any nuggets we will tweak the model.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

The CP are fully baked in. The 2019 DoS stats are baked in at a holistic level. But we always keep looking for nuggets we can find. If we do find any nuggets we will tweak the model.

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Thank you!

Somebody asked "What Impact COVID virus (lockdown) will have on date movements".

We are going to predict but will not adjust our current forecast model.

CP issuances are not usually front or back loaded. In other words throughout year the visas are issued in regular manner. COVID situation can halt those issuances temporarily in countries heavily affected. As of now India China Italy certainly can be assumed to be issuing no visas. If the situation persists another 2 months, it will be impossible for DoS to work extra to capture those unused visas and we may see some spillover.

However it is difficult to predict that as of today.

There are also USCIS office closures, ASC closures,and interview cancellations for AOS applications. These issues may persist for 3-4 weeks (or more). I don't think USCIS will put in extra effort to compensate the lost time. But, this is too early to predict the exact impact.

Get 20% off on all forecast plans at WhereismyGC.
Use code SPRING20 Buy today

Expires: Saturday 25th April

Stay Safe. Stay home.

WhereismyGC's Self Service Forecast tool is built to allow users model their own scenarios.

The current immigration pause has created a potential opportunity for backlogged candidates in Employment category in two different ways.

A) Consulates stopped processing EB1/2/3/4 categories. (Pl note EB5 is not affected). - Max visa spillover 1831 per month within EB for current year.
B) Consulates stopped processing all FB categories. - Max visa spillover 16008 per month to EB for next FY.

If you are an AOS candidate, here is how you can model this scenario in WhereismyGC. (please note this will not work for counselor processing cases).

1. Login to www.whereismygc.com
2. Click on iForecast on your Dashboard
3. Under "Enter Available Visas" for 2020 write 162963. (assuming 3 months pause in 2020 and adding technical* allocation of 6463 to annual quota)
4. Under "Enter Available Visas" for 2021 write 175099. (assuming 3 months pause in 2020 and then reducing the 2021 number by the 2020 artificial technical allocation of 6463)
5. Hit Submit

Please note that as Q said earlier this month, the numbers will be there if the pause continues. But allocating those numbers for backlogged candidates lawfully is a policy decision. Nobody can predict how the administration will choose to use the extra visas. Thus treat these predictions as best case scenario.

Good luck to all.

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Update 1 - The 2021 number adjusted by the technical over-allocation done in 2020 in order to simulate the AOS backlog reduction.

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Thanks for the update! Now we're eagerly waiting for a discount code:)

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Originally Posted by jimmys

Thanks for the update! Now we're eagerly waiting for a discount code:)

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Here is a 10% promo code available to the users of this blog - QSBLOG

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Here is a 10% promo code available to the users of this blog - QSBLOG

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Thank you!

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Originally Posted by jimmys

As per whereismygc, the FB spillover is going to be ~35K for the EB category. Given whereismygc's earlier predictions, it's most likely going to be the vicinity of 35K. In that case, EB1/EB2/EB3 each will receive ~9975. In EB2/EB3 India will benefit a lot from it.

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Please understand that it is just an estimate not prediction at this point. We don't know how long the immigration pause goes on nor we know whether the administration will accelerate FB AOS to reduce spillover this year nor we know whether next year they will have something else up their sleeve to prevent EB backlog from benefitting from all these extra visas. So at this time treat these as possibilities rather than prediction.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Please understand that it is just an estimate not prediction at this point. We don't know how long the immigration pause goes on nor we know whether the administration will accelerate FB AOS to reduce spillover this year nor we know whether next year they will have something else up their sleeve to prevent EB backlog from benefitting from all these extra visas. So at this time treat these as possibilities rather than prediction.

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Point taken.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Please understand that it is just an estimate not prediction at this point. We don't know how long the immigration pause goes on nor we know whether the administration will accelerate FB AOS to reduce spillover this year nor we know whether next year they will have something else up their sleeve to prevent EB backlog from benefitting from all these extra visas. So at this time treat these as possibilities rather than prediction.

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This is based on just a 60 day suspension and no extensions of it, right?

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Originally Posted by Zenzone

This is based on just a 60 day suspension and no extensions of it, right?

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Here we laid out our thought process.

https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...ll=1#post64051

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Here we laid out our thought process.

https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...ll=1#post64051

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Just signed up sir

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Originally Posted by Zenzone

Just signed up sir

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Thank you Sir. If you have any problems please raise them here or via email.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Thank you Sir. If you have any problems please raise them here or via email.

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I plugged in your suggested updated numbers for 2020 and 2021 overall EB availability to account for a potential (fingers crossed) FB SO. It gave a better result for sure :) I also assume your model doesn't account for potential Eb2 to Eb3 downgrades if dates move in a non-linear fashion in the near-term. Right?

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Originally Posted by Zenzone

I plugged in your suggested updated numbers for 2020 and 2021 overall EB availability to account for a potential (fingers crossed) FB SO. It gave a better result for sure :) I also assume your model doesn't account for potential Eb2 to Eb3 downgrades if dates move in a non-linear fashion in the near-term. Right?

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Yes they will certainly produce good results if the administration / agencies don't pull some funny tricks.

As per EB down/up grades -- we no longer consider that a serious consideration. We had predicted EB3I downgrades 3/4 years back. Since then EB3I has achieved parity with EB2I

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

Yes they will certainly produce good results if the administration / agencies don't pull some funny tricks.

As per EB down/up grades -- we no longer consider that a serious consideration. We had predicted EB3I downgrades 3/4 years back. Since then EB3I has achieved parity with EB2I

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Got it. So the expectation is that they move in more or less similar parity without leap frogging too much ahead of each other.

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Originally Posted by Zenzone

Got it. So the expectation is that they move in more or less similar parity without leap frogging too much ahead of each other.

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Yes for now it certainly looks like that. There could be ebbs and flows e.g. EB3-Nurses from Philippines esp during COVID might upset EB3-I movement. But at this time there is no evidence of that.

We see more and more people signing up. We welcome all. Here are some key things to remember.

1) Please feel free to raise any questions here. This way others too can benefit.

2) If you see any error - please raise it - it only helps us improve it for everybody.

3) While we do publish our own take on EB forecast, please do use the tool to create your own forecast too.

Good luck and god speed to your GC and freedom.

When I entered the revised numbers for Fy2020 and Fy2021 and clicked on submit, I was redirected to the dashboard and didn't see any date estimate. Is this just me?

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Originally Posted by suninphx

When I entered the revised numbers for Fy2020 and Fy2021 and clicked on submit, I was redirected to the dashboard and didn't see any date estimate. Is this just me?

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That is not normal behavior. Lets see if others are experiencing the same.

Normally user stays on the same page. If the subscription is active, user sees the forecast using the inputted numbers. If the subscription is not active, the user sees "Please subscribe to view" message.

Meanwhile can you please try again and send us some screenshots by email. We will try to solve this for you.

You are right I land on this page --> "Please subscribe to view".

Didn't realize iForecast needs a paid subscription as well. My bad.

Thanks for the response.

No worries. Thanks.

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Originally Posted by suninphx

You are right I land on this page --> "Please subscribe to view".

Didn't realize iForecast needs a paid subscription as well. My bad.

Thanks for the response.

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Originally Posted by whereismygc

WhereismyGC's Self Service Forecast tool is built to allow users model their own scenarios.

The current immigration pause has created a potential opportunity for backlogged candidates in Employment category in two different ways.

A) Consulates stopped processing EB1/2/3/4 categories. (Pl note EB5 is not affected). - Max visa spillover 1831 per month within EB for current year.
B) Consulates stopped processing all FB categories. - Max visa spillover 16008 per month to EB for next FY.

If you are an AOS candidate, here is how you can model this scenario in WhereismyGC. (please note this will not work for counselor processing cases).

1. Login to www.whereismygc.com
2. Click on iForecast on your Dashboard
3. Under "Enter Available Visas" for 2020 write 162963. (assuming 3 months pause in 2020 and adding technical* allocation of 6463 to annual quota)
4. Under "Enter Available Visas" for 2021 write 175099. (assuming 3 months pause in 2020 and then reducing the 2021 number by the 2020 artificial technical allocation of 6463)
5. Hit Submit

Please note that as Q said earlier this month, the numbers will be there if the pause continues. But allocating those numbers for backlogged candidates lawfully is a policy decision. Nobody can predict how the administration will choose to use the extra visas. Thus treat these predictions as best case scenario.

Good luck to all.

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Update 1 - The 2021 number adjusted by the technical over-allocation done in 2020 in order to simulate the AOS backlog reduction.

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Can you please point me to a prior post (maybe from Spec?) that explains how the spillover system is setup to work? I don't quite understand why the available 2020 EB visas would increase from the allotted annual number of 140,000 to 156,500. I see 156,500 visas as the default option in the iForecast module.

Also, what is the basis for adding an additional 6,463 "technical" visas to the 2020 allotted annual number? What are these? Again, I ask because I am simply behind the curve on this topic.

My PD is July 7, 2009, and I am just hoping to be able to file I-485 this October.

Cheers!