EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Spectator

kd,

I am not sure how EB2-C could become Current ahead of EB2-I.

Compared to India, they do have much lower demand, but it is still in excess of the 7% limit.

So, whilst the initial allocation is in place, the EB2-C Cut Off Date would progress at a faster rate than EB2-I.

However, they would still need Spillover to become Current. Since the Cut Off Dates for IC have to be the same during Spillover season, they would be constrained from moving any faster than EB2-I and could not become Current. As the disparity in the first part of the year increases, EB2-C will receive less and less of the Spillover, since China PDs will be much later than India PDs.

Unless EB2-C demand becomes less than the 7% limit, China and India have to become Current together.

Am I missing something?

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In reference to the item I made in bold: Exactly, I agree that this will happen. But continue the thinking forward. The demand for EB2-C from Jan 08 onwards is dramatically different. 9K PERM approved for EB2&3-C vs 64k PERM approved for EB2&3-I. Now apply the usual 0.7 for EB2, 2.09 multiplier for I-485 count, 0.8 to account for denials, withdrawn, abandoned etc. So even if EB2-I gets all the spillover, the EB2-C dates could move much faster even when getting just 2,800 visa per year. Thereby going current. It may not happen in FY 2012, but can happen in FY 2013 or 2014 or later. But it will happen. Its something to consider, I think.

KD

Thank for your thoughts... Here is my perspective on EB2C.

By your own calculations EB2-C comes to about 9.6K 08 onwards. That's about sufficient to fulfil annual quota for EB2-C. Regardless ... to be honest EB2C is not a big factor anyway. EB2-Korea gets more visas than EB2C!!!

So whatever happens to EB2C is incosequential to EB2I. What really matters going forward is - EB1, EB2ROW and EB5. All those 3 things matter huge for EB2I. Another thing is ... EB3 - believe it or not. Thats because people might stop filing in EB3 altogether. that puts stress on EB2.

So the real solution to this whole thing is changing EB numbers or at least getting some temporary relief (visa recapture) or permanent relief ( counting only primary applicant).

Quote:

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Originally Posted by kd2008

In reference to the item I made in bold: Exactly, I agree that this will happen. But continue the thinking forward. The demand for EB2-C from Jan 08 onwards is dramatically different. 9K PERM approved for EB2&3-C vs 64k PERM approved for EB2&3-I. Now apply the usual 0.7 for EB2, 2.09 multiplier for I-485 count, 0.8 to account for denials, withdrawn, abandoned etc. So even if EB2-I gets all the spillover, the EB2-C dates could move much faster even when getting just 2,800 visa per year. Thereby going current. It may not happen in FY 2012, but can happen in FY 2013 or 2014 or later. But it will happen. Its something to consider, I think.

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Q, thank you for your insight. From what you explained it follows that if only one country is backlogged major way in EB2 then the advocating for any relief sounds hollow. No politician is ever going to buy it. So it makes it increasingly important to get a fix before EB2-C goes current. My 2-cents.

Q, I have a quick question. I noticed South Korea got around 5000 EB2 annually in the past several years. Why didn't they get retrogressed? South Koreans never had to wait for a long time for GC. Most of them get EB2 GC in 1 or 2 years. They exceeded EB2 annual quota every year.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

KD

Thank for your thoughts... Here is my perspective on EB2C.

By your own calculations EB2-C comes to about 9.6K 08 onwards. That's about sufficient to fulfil annual quota for EB2-C. Regardless ... to be honest EB2C is not a big factor anyway. EB2-Korea gets more visas than EB2C!!!

So whatever happens to EB2C is incosequential to EB2I. What really matters going forward is - EB1, EB2ROW and EB5. All those 3 things matter huge for EB2I. Another thing is ... EB3 - believe it or not. Thats because people might stop filing in EB3 altogether. that puts stress on EB2.

So the real solution to this whole thing is changing EB numbers or at least getting some temporary relief (visa recapture) or permanent relief ( counting only primary applicant).

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Don't forget EB3! Most of them are backlogged and retrogressed.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by kd2008

Q, thank you for your insight. From what you explained it follows that if only one country is backlogged major way in EB2 then the advocating for any relief sounds hollow. No politician is ever going to buy it. So it makes it increasingly important to get a fix before EB2-C goes current. My 2-cents.

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Spec probably has addressed this very eloquently somewhere else. Basically the answer is that DoS looks across EB & FB for 7%. Since S Korea has very little FB demand they are given upto 7% (of EB+FB) in EB.

Yet another example of how laws are interpreted to meet policy objectives.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

Q, I have a quick question. I noticed South Korea got around 5000 EB2 annually in the past several years. Why didn't they get retrogressed? South Koreans never had to wait for a long time for GC. Most of them get EB2 GC in 1 or 2 years. They exceeded EB2 annual quota every year.

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Yes Q, EB3 is backlogged. so what? If only one category is truly backlogged in terms of multiple countries retrogressed it makes the advocacy push even harder. Moreover, EB3 folks have been traditionally very unenthusiastic about advocacy. It's sad but true. So the whole thing gets doomed. Do you see what I am saying?

You may be right. Frankly I only meant to say that EB2-C being current is not a big factor for EB2I movement which is driven by EB1, EB5, EB2ROW & EB3 (ironically!). Do not know much about advocacy. So I will take others lead in learning about those things :) and restrict myself to predictions.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by kd2008

Yes Q, EB3 is backlogged. so what? If only one category is truly backlogged in terms of multiple countries retrogressed it makes the advocacy push even harder. Moreover, EB3 folks have been traditionally very unenthusiastic about advocacy. It's sad but true. So the whole thing gets doomed. Do you see what I am saying?

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Yeah I agree with you. I will keep following you guys as you have been so reliable.

Q

based on the recent developments (last 5 pages of this thread), would you mind projecting rough SOFAD range for fy 2012, I know you want to see Oct inventory and date movement in next 2 bulletins but i'm just anxious :)

Not many developments really. We continue to see total SOFAD of about 31-37K+5.6K = 36-43K total SOFAD suffient to clear EB2 through Jun (low end)-Aug 2011(w spillover to EB3).

Will update the trackitt based projections and header of this thread at teh end of this month.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bieber

Q

based on the recent developments (last 5 pages of this thread), would you mind projecting rough SOFAD range for fy 2012, I know you want to see Oct inventory and date movement in next 2 bulletins but i'm just anxious :)

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by qblogfan

Q, I have a quick question. I noticed South Korea got around 5000 EB2 annually in the past several years. Why didn't they get retrogressed? South Koreans never had to wait for a long time for GC. Most of them get EB2 GC in 1 or 2 years. They exceeded EB2 annual quota every year.

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qblogfan,

See post #8 here http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?6-FAQs for an explanation.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by gcq

IMO EB3 Mexico stealing numbers from EB3 ROW is not only unfair, it is wrong as per INA.

If visa office is allocating additional number to EB3 Mexico because of its less consumption in EB1/EB2 mexico, these numbers has to come from EB1/EB2 mexico quota ( affecting EB2 IC spillover fest). This direct transfer is blocked by AC21 laws. Each subcategory has a limit in itself ( 7%). The only thing visa office can do is categorize EB3-Mexico as ROW. Everything else is illegal.

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gcq,

I totally agree with you.

Using real visa numbers, it shouldn't be possible for the reasons you have outlined.

CO seems to use virtual numbers, which means the under-use by M-P is given to both EB2-IC and EB3-MP at the expense of EB3-ROW.

I agree it is illegal under the INA.

Similarly, if SK are allowed to use unused FB visas, the FB allocation should be reduced accordingly and added to SK's EB allocation.

Thank you for your directions. It makes sense now.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Spectator

qblogfan,

See post #8 here http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showthread.php?6-FAQs for an explanation.

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I agree. CO is not very fair.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Spectator

gcq,

I totally agree with you.

Using real visa numbers, it shouldn't be possible for the reasons you have outlined.

CO seems to use virtual numbers, which means the under-use by M-P is given to both EB2-IC and EB3-MP at the expense of EB3-ROW.

I agree it is illegal under the INA.

Similarly, if SK are allowed to use unused FB visas, the FB allocation should be reduced accordingly and added to SK's EB allocation.

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Kanmani Thanks.

Bieber, I am sorry, I wasn't careful enough to read your question.

Simply based on what I have heard and read (and without doing any calculations) I would suggest following approach.

This year SOFAD = 40K approx - of which probably 20K is due to backlogged EB1 / EB2ROW ( I could be wildly off here. And that's why wanted to wait till Oct inventory is out).

Next year there are two drastically different scenarios depending on whether USCIS sticks to Kazarian memo's current interpretation OR they change their tune.

Scenario 1 - Interpretation is eased out and normalcy is restored to EB1.

In this case, I would imagine EB1 to resume their usual run rate of 40K per year. Plus they are going to have 20K backlog. So EB1 demand will be approx 60K full year. Which means we should not expect any SOFAD from EB5 or EB1.

That only leaves us with EB2ROW. Depending on whether EB2ROW will have any unprocessed applications at the end of this year and assuming EB2ROW will come in at teh same run rate in 2012 as 2011, we can expect probably 2-8K from EB2ROW. That means total SOFAD will be between 8-14K. It means the dates will move around Dec 2007 at the end of Sep 2012.

Scenarios 2 - Kazarian memo interpretation stays same in 2012
In this case EB1 will come in at 20K demand in 2012 + about 5-10K backlog from 2011. That means total SOFAD for EB2IC = 5-10K FD from EB1 + all 5-8K from EB5 + 2-8K from EB2ROW + 5.6K = 18K - 32K

In this case dates will move to about Q3 of 2008.

p.s. - I am really very hesitant to predict 2012.. but since you asked I have penned it down. Please understand these are really very rough estimates.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Kanmani

HI Q

Bieber is looking for FY 2012 SOFAD if I am understanding right , you have given 2011 calculations .

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Q

thanks for doing that, I understand you want to see more information to draw the conclusions

Kanmani, thanks for pointing out that it's fy 2012 :)

I was going through the Kazarian memo, but it does not refer to EB-1C, i.e MNC managers, right? (http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Outreach/...%20AD10-41.pdf) In EB-1 quota, it seems that Eb-1C has the highest percentage of applicants (from Trackitt).

If I look at Trackitt, EB1 trend appears steady for the past 2 years as far as demand, but wait times sure have gone up. So yes, unless denial percentage goes up (which it could but Trackitt doesn't show it now), I am inclined to agree that Eb1 spillover could be lesser from next year.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

Kanmani Thanks.

Bieber, I am sorry, I wasn't careful enough to read your question.

Simply based on what I have heard and read (and without doing any calculations) I would suggest following approach.

This year SOFAD = 40K approx - of which probably 20K is due to backlogged EB1 / EB2ROW ( I could be wildly off here. And that's why wanted to wait till Oct inventory is out).

Next year there are two drastically different scenarios depending on whether USCIS sticks to Kazarian memo's current interpretation OR they change their tune.

Scenario 1 - Interpretation is eased out and normalcy is restored to EB1.

In this case, I would imagine EB1 to resume their usual run rate of 40K per year. Plus they are going to have 20K backlog. So EB1 demand will be approx 60K full year. Which means we should not expect any SOFAD from EB5 or EB1.

That only leaves us with EB2ROW. Depending on whether EB2ROW will have any unprocessed applications at the end of this year and assuming EB2ROW will come in at teh same run rate in 2012 as 2011, we can expect probably 2-8K from EB2ROW. That means total SOFAD will be between 8-14K. It means the dates will move around Dec 2007 at the end of Sep 2012.

Scenarios 2 - Kazarian memo interpretation stays same in 2012
In this case EB1 will come in at 20K demand in 2012 + about 5-10K backlog from 2011. That means total SOFAD for EB2IC = 5-10K FD from EB1 + all 5-8K from EB5 + 2-8K from EB2ROW + 5.6K = 18K - 32K

In this case dates will move to about Q3 of 2008.

p.s. - I am really very hesitant to predict 2012.. but since you asked I have penned it down. Please understand these are really very rough estimates.

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

Scenario 1 - Interpretation is eased out and normalcy is restored to EB1.

In this case, I would imagine EB1 to resume their usual run rate of 40K per year. Plus they are going to have 20K backlog. So EB1 demand will be approx 60K full year. Which means we should not expect any SOFAD from EB5 or EB1.

That only leaves us with EB2ROW. Depending on whether EB2ROW will have any unprocessed applications at the end of this year and assuming EB2ROW will come in at teh same run rate in 2012 as 2011, we can expect probably 2-8K from EB2ROW. That means total SOFAD will be between 8-14K. It means the dates will move around Dec 2007 at the end of Sep 2012.

Scenarios 2 - Kazarian memo interpretation stays same in 2012
In this case EB1 will come in at 20K demand in 2012 + about 5-10K backlog from 2011. That means total SOFAD for EB2IC = 5-10K FD from EB1 + all 5-8K from EB5 + 2-8K from EB2ROW + 5.6K = 18K - 32K

In this case dates will move to about Q3 of 2008.

p.s. - I am really very hesitant to predict 2012.. but since you asked I have penned it down. Please understand these are really very rough estimates.

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If Scenario I happens, then EB1 might be retrogressed for countries using more than 2.8K per year like India, right? If we consider the total EB1 demand to be 60K (40K + 20K backlog) and the spillover available from EB5 to be around 5K - 8K we will still have an additional demand of 12K - 15K EB1 visas. Am I correct in my understanding here?

yes you are. Mind you this is truly the WORST case scenario.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by pch053

If Scenario I happens, then EB1 might be retrogressed for countries using more than 2.8K per year like India, right? If we consider the total EB1 demand to be 60K (40K + 20K backlog) and the spillover available from EB5 to be around 5K - 8K we will still have an additional demand of 12K - 15K EB1 visas. Am I correct in my understanding here?

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by pch053

If Scenario I happens, then EB1 might be retrogressed for countries using more than 2.8K per year like India, right? If we consider the total EB1 demand to be 60K (40K + 20K backlog) and the spillover available from EB5 to be around 5K - 8K we will still have an additional demand of 12K - 15K EB1 visas. Am I correct in my understanding here?

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pch053,
Only if the documentarily qualified EB1 demand is more than the available visas for that Quarter/FY!

IMHO, estimated 40k EB1 regular demand will not show-up in the first day/month of FY.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by tanu_75

I was going through the Kazarian memo, but it does not refer to EB-1C, i.e MNC managers, right? (http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Outreach/...%20AD10-41.pdf) In EB-1 quota, it seems that Eb-1C has the highest percentage of applicants (from Trackitt).

If I look at Trackitt, EB1 trend appears steady for the past 2 years as far as demand, but wait times sure have gone up. So yes, unless denial percentage goes up (which it could but Trackitt doesn't show it now), I am inclined to agree that Eb1 spillover could be lesser from next year.

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Most International managers make it to EB1 quota by coming thru' L1A and L1B visas.

It has become almost near to impossible to get L1B visa approval these days. L1B is for specialized knowledge employees. Again in L1A, the organizational hierarchy and reporting structure are questioned. Why a company such as CTS needs 4000 International managers in USA while their total US based operations do not exceed 15K to 20K employees. There is suspicion going on for misuse of L1 by corporates.

All of us may be aware that Infosys is in news for misuse of B1 visas and as a result, DoS is seriously considering abolishing issuing B1 visas to corporate employees. Another point discussed was raising H1B to 100K+ and maximum validity period is 3 years, in the absence of B1 visa issued to corporate employees. Setting limit to L1 visas was also considered. Above topics were discussed in AILA meeting in May 2011 and many Immig attorneys circulated these points.

Yes. You are right.

However, trackitt continue to show 30% or so decline in EB1-C India approvals and almost 50% decline in overall EB1-C.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by tanu_75

I was going through the Kazarian memo, but it does not refer to EB-1C, i.e MNC managers, right? (http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Outreach/...%20AD10-41.pdf) In EB-1 quota, it seems that Eb-1C has the highest percentage of applicants (from Trackitt).

If I look at Trackitt, EB1 trend appears steady for the past 2 years as far as demand, but wait times sure have gone up. So yes, unless denial percentage goes up (which it could but Trackitt doesn't show it now), I am inclined to agree that Eb1 spillover could be lesser from next year.

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by gcwait2007

Most International managers make it to EB1 quota by coming thru' L1A and L1B visas.

It has become almost near to impossible to get L1B visa approval these days. L1B is for specialized knowledge employees. Again in L1A, the organizational hierarchy and reporting structure are questioned. Why a company such as CTS needs 4000 International managers in USA while their total US based operations do not exceed 15K to 20K employees. There is suspicion going on for misuse of L1 by corporates.

All of us may be aware that Infosys is in news for misuse of B1 visas and as a result, DoS is seriously considering abolishing issuing B1 visas to corporate employees. Another point discussed was raising H1B to 100K+ and maximum validity period is 3 years, in the absence of B1 visa issued to corporate employees. Setting limit to L1 visas was also considered. Above topics were discussed in AILA meeting in May 2011 and many Immig attorneys circulated these points.

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Thanks for the info. This might explain why EB1-I shows decline when the business is still strong for them.

Hi All,

I've been a silent spectator of this site for a while now. Thank you for all of your valueble analysis and Calculations. Escepcially, Q, Veni, Beiber, Spectator, pch053 for keeping the latest data together.

Well, I am checking my luck with my PD 06/06/2007 EB2 India in the comming 2 months?

Gurus - Any predictions?

Also, I am one of them who missed the July Fiasco in 2007? So, if my dates gets current sometime in next two months or any time, when can I expect my GC Approval?

Thanks,
-Sravan

Current guess - 6-9 months after you file 485.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by samudrala

Hi All,

I've been a silent spectator of this site for a while now. Thank you for all of your valueble analysis and Calculations. Escepcially, Q, Veni, Beiber, Spectator, pch053 for keeping the latest data together.

Well, I am checking my luck with my PD 06/06/2007 EB2 India in the comming 2 months?

Gurus - Any predictions?

Also, I am one of them who missed the July Fiasco in 2007? So, if my dates gets current sometime in next two months or any time, when can I expect my GC Approval?

Thanks,
-Sravan

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Thank you Q, Any predictions my date gets currents in Aug or Sept. VB?

Thanks,
-Sravan

Nice blog- good to see people not fighting over trivial things.
got a question- Many of you might have come across another site where you can enter your chargeability, country and PD to determine the time to become current and get GC (i can post the link if you want, but i guess everyone knows which site i am talking about). When i entered my PD (Sept 2009) it shows 4 yrs to become current from now. i wanted to know everyone's opinion on this. Sorry if this has already been discussed before. i have not gone through all the 130+ pages.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

Yes. You are right.

However, trackitt continue to show 30% or so decline in EB1-C India approvals and almost 50% decline in overall EB1-C.





Thanks for the info. This might explain why EB1-I shows decline when the business is still strong for them.

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Thanks Q,gcwait.

Q, when you mention 50% decline you are talking about approvals, not filings correct? If so, yes it aligns with my earlier observation about increase in wait times and a pessimistic scenario for next year (assuming most of the filings get approved). If you are talking about filings then it's good news but I didn't notice that.

Sorry. But you need to spend some time reading the thread. Its impossible to answer all individual questions,

Quote:

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Originally Posted by samudrala

Thank you Q, Any predictions my date gets currents in Aug or Sept. VB?

Thanks,
-Sravan

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Is there any hope with this?
H.R.2161 - Immigration Driving Entrepreneurship in America Act of 2011
or is it like other bills that just die?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by geterdone

Nice blog- good to see people not fighting over trivial things.
got a question- Many of you might have come across another site where you can enter your chargeability, country and PD to determine the time to become current and get GC (i can post the link if you want, but i guess everyone knows which site i am talking about). When i entered my PD (Sept 2009) it shows 4 yrs to become current from now. i wanted to know everyone's opinion on this. Sorry if this has already been discussed before. i have not gone through all the 130+ pages.

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As it is discussed in this thread, i thought of replying what i have read through various posts here. Thumb rule for GC is 4-5 yrs from Labor Date. Again there are several factors involved into this such as spill over numbers eb4,eb5,eb2 row, Family visa spill over and current strict rules for EB1
There might be 3 scenarios for your date
1) If Luck favors, dos/uscis might make dates current ( optimism level -high), you can get your EAD, and GC might take another 2-3 yrs.
2) You get to file 485 by next July/August bulletin and expect GC again another 2-3 yrs ( optimism level -Medium)
3) You get to file 485 by 2013 June/July/August bulletin and expect GC again another 1-2 yrs from then ( optimism level -Low)

I personally think, by end of next year you will definetly have your EAD.
If we do not get enough spill over next 2 years then the other website you are talking might become truth ( probably it might take 3 more years)

Anyone please correct me if i am wrong.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by tanu_75

Thanks Q,gcwait.

Q, when you mention 50% decline you are talking about approvals, not filings correct? If so, yes it aligns with my earlier observation about increase in wait times and a pessimistic scenario for next year (assuming most of the filings get approved). If you are talking about filings then it's good news but I didn't notice that.

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tanu_75,
It's both, Please check i140 data link for receipts.

From what i have read, there are no plans for immigration related bills until after presidential election in end of 2012. Even after that, democrats(if they win) might pick up the cause, but there is no guarantee if any bill will ever get passed. In other words, if you are planning to move back to India 'cause your priority date is in 2010 or 2011, you should factor in 4 years of 0 career growth in US.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by geterdone

Is there any hope with this?
H.R.2161 - Immigration Driving Entrepreneurship in America Act of 2011
or is it like other bills that just die?

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I think you summarized pretty well. There are several uncertainties for predicting 2009 time frame which will be take at least a few years for adjudication. To split up the situation into two parts:
i) When 2009 will be current so that one can file I485: this depends on how USCIS moves the dates forward to take in new applications or create a buffer of applications. Since there hasn't been any precedence of this before, it makes it even harder to guess how USCIS will act on this.
ii) When 2009 PD will be approved: this will depend a lot on spillovers for the coming years; people are predicting that there will be fewer spillovers in coming years (see some of the earlier posts in this thread) but again, nothing is clear yet. One can see the # of PERM applications submitted in the 'FACTS' section and that might give an idea on how many EB2-I applications might be prior to a 2009 date.

So, to sum up, I don't have any new conclusion. There are too many unknowns at this point of time to predict anything as far as 2009. As of now, I will stick to 4 - 5 years thumb rule from PD as the approx time line for getting GC approval.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by veni001

tanu_75,
It's both, Please check i140 data link for receipts.

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I'm probably late to the party, but that's pretty cool data veni. Can you clarify on this though :

(FY 2009 EB1485 approvals = 40,979, translates to 17,075 EB1-i140)
(FY 2010 EB1485 approvals = 41,026, translates to 17,094 EB1-i140)


Are you saying the above is the quota for the year or are you saying these were actual approvals? If these are actual approvals, then why is there diff of 10k between the 17k (from 485) and the 27k that we get from the 140 calculation. Thanks.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by tanu_75

I'm probably late to the party, but that's pretty cool data veni. Can you clarify on this though :

(FY 2009 EB1485 approvals = 40,979, translates to 17,075 EB1-i140)
(FY 2010 EB1485 approvals = 41,026, translates to 17,094 EB1-i140)


Are you saying the above is the quota for the year or are you saying these were actual approvals? If these are actual approvals, then why is there diff of 10k between the 17k (from 485) and the 27k that we get from the 140 calculation. Thanks.

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tanu_75,
Those i140 numbers are estimated based on approved i485 from each year (2009&2010). Check the 140 to 485 link for ratio used.

As you can see from the data EB1 i140 receipts in 2009 are higher compared to 2010 but 485 approvals are almost the same in both years, which means more than half of FY2010 EB1-485approvals are actually from 2009 filers.

I came across this:
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31333641.html

Most of the stuff in chinese, search for a post by rocketsfan which contains "My dream is to have a green card and then I can visit my parents in every
spring festival" and read that. Very touching.

Let me know if I should not post links to this or other websites like this. Apologize if I did wrong, you can delete my post or ask me to edit and remove :)

Nishant

No worries.... Thanks for posting.

I agree with this person. I too have missed every single Diwali and Every single Ganesh Festival for over a decade now. What he has written certainly resonates with a lot of us!

p.s. reproducing the content from "Rocketsfan" who is a contributor on our forum too. But I will not disclose :)

Quote:

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Written by Rocketsfan from Mittbbs.com

My dream is to have a green card and then I can visit my parents in every
spring festival. This is my 9th year in USA. I only spent one spring
festival with my parents in the past nine years. My major is sensitive and
they checked me every time. I have to take at least 1 month vacation every
time and it caused many troubles. I feel so frustrated about this.

In this spring festival, I watched some news that some Chinese migrant
workers used their whole year's saving to go back home to visit their family
in the country side. Some migrant workers couldn't afford a train ticket and they rided bikes from Guangdong to Hunan to see their family. I was so moved by this news. I am making more money than Chinese migrant workers, but I can't spend spring festival with my family.

I don't want to make more money using green card, but I really want to spend
every spring festival with my parents from 2012. Life is not unlimited and
we need to grasp every opportunity to spend more time with family.

I sincerely wish every Chinese folk here can get GC and have great family
reunions using GC. The love from family and friends is the greatest thing in the world.

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by nishant2200

I came across this:
http://www.mitbbs.com/article_t/EB23/31333641.html

Most of the stuff in chinese, search for a post by rocketsfan which contains "My dream is to have a green card and then I can visit my parents in every
spring festival" and read that. Very touching.

Let me know if I should not post links to this or other websites like this. Apologize if I did wrong, you can delete my post or ask me to edit and remove :)

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Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

Nishant

No worries.... Thanks for posting.

I agree with this person. I too have missed every single Diwali and Every single Ganesh Festival for over a decade now. What he has written certainly resonates with a lot of us!

p.s. reproducing the content from "Rocketsfan" who is a contributor on our forum too. But I will not disclose :)

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I totally agree with an emotionally heavy heart... Waiting to get my EAD/GC so that i can visit my folks and spend some time... recently my collegue asked me what i am going to do once i get GC whether i am going to buy a house or look for a better paid job... my answer was to go to india for 3 months irrespective if i will have a job when i get back or not... Money is not worth what i am missing but immigration status is as it has effect on my family in the long run... anyway... Lets hope for the best...

Thanks Q, Sogaddu.

My parents visitor visa rejected two times. Now they have given hope and I feel even afraid to ask them to try again. At this age, they have to travel two times, once to vfs office, and once to consulate. Using rickshaws, trains, buses, in unknown cities.

My biggest dream is that after getting GC, become Citizen asap in 5 years later, and then sponsor their GC so that they can come see their only son, their only child, his wife and grand-daughter, whom they will not see growing up, their home, at least once in their life. I know they are not going to stay here forever. They never had a car, at least once in life, they can travel in their son's, their own, car.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by qesehmk

I too have missed every single Diwali and Every single Ganesh Festival for over a decade now.

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I too have missed Diwali and more importantly Ganesh Festival for last 9 years now! Really missing it to-date.

- makmohan