Originally Posted by
idliman
Your question is difficult to answer as there are a lot of variables. The number of GCs that are issued this year decides the PD movement for EB2 / EB3 India next year. As you know the historic PD movements this year and next year are once in a generation type pheomena. Once COVID goes away, it might take 5 to 8 years for a year of PD movement in EB2, just like how the 2012 folks were in a standstill till the dates moved in 2021. That gives you an idea of the worst case scenario. Now your PDs are almost 2015. If USCIS issues enough GCs this year and next year, then you will not have any issues with moving to a newer company. Otherwise you might be in a sticky situation and might regret the move. If you are thinking of immigration reform, it is not going to happen unless democrats win more senate seats. Republicans have taken a stance that they will oppose everything that the democrats do. It helps them politically.
I would advise you to stay in the current job till October 2021, file your AOS then after 180 days move to wherever you want. You can make use of AC21 protections afterwards. This means you will not be taking the new job for nearly a year from now (April 2022). There is a chance that your PD may not be current in Oct 2021. However, I believe that USCIS will issue enough GCs for that to happen. Another issue is a new law. If something like Grace amendment happens, then it will stop spillover from FB to EB. Staying in the current job might still be worth a risk.
Things might turn in your favor if you take up the new job also. If the queue before you is cleared out by USCIS (by issuing them GCs), then most likely 2015 will be current in Oct 2022 (when you will be filing AOS after joining new company). It takes nearly one year for getting the PERM done. The worst case situation for your PD will happen only if USCIS wastes enough GCs. Can the dependent only take the new job and the primary stay put till AOS+180 days is done? It is very difficult to decide. Good Luck.
Update: One of my friends decided to sell his home and take up a FT job with 2013/2014 PDs. I told him not to do it. He ended up doing it. He has an advantage that I can predict his PDs being current next year even with worst case scenario. You are in the borderline of PD movements and hence decided by the numerous factors. It should also be noted that my perspective might be a little biased in that I am still going through the 2012 effect (and hence affected by it). I tend to be conservative and others might be a little bolder. Any decision you take, own it and move forward. After all, GC is just a plastic card. It might matter only if you plan to work in jobs that require it.