nishants analysis validates my gut feeling/ fear that the dates will not move beyond the Dec VB until the next SO period.
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nishants analysis validates my gut feeling/ fear that the dates will not move beyond the Dec VB until the next SO period.
Maybe it's just me, but I think the calculations over here are getting way too noisy.
On another thread, I think if the VB below Mar 2008, then it's totally nuts. Seriously, I mean the last VB says "significant forward movement" and after that also goes in front of the nation's lawyers and says "After all calculations we'll need move it to at least Mar 2008". Either you keep quiet and do your thing, or you talk and then walk your talk. If you say something and do something else, then I'm sorry but qbf has the right words for that.
Thanks for your continued Contributions Teddy
Girish
That's a good point. This VB is most hyped one for whatever reasons. Sometimes I feel like I am watching 'aajTak-sabase Tej'. Channel. Too much analysis on same numbers again and again. :). Let's all take break from calculations for now.Quote:
Originally Posted by tanu_75
BTW - I share some part of blame too
Tanu: Sis! I am glad someone shares my viewpoint!!
I have utmost respect for Teddy and Spec's views. Those 2 are just awesome guys with all their Math work!
But this thread is getting very noisy about reading into each word and over analysing the numbers..
It is just not what it used to be, where you come in, read some good math and log off. I need to surf a few pages to get some decent information out. Just my view
Quote:
Originally Posted by suninphx
I think people started to analyze only in the last couple of days because VB didn't show up as expected. I think before that people took CO's( +Murthy's ) statement for granted. Historically, there would have been huge discussion on the inventory data, we didn't see that either :)
To some extent I guess it is understandable given the hype that CO himself has created and secondly the odd fact that it's been on "Coming Soon" for the past week.Quote:
Originally Posted by RMS_V13
But sometimes I can't follow the new calculations lead nor understand if it makes more than a few basis points impact. All power to the folks going at it, but for me I think that over-analysis fatigue has set in and I just go to Spec's matrix sheet and plug in based on a consensus update every now and then. Spec's sheet is truly awesome and brings great clarity.
Demand data released
here we go... just 300 pending...
http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Empl...utOffDates.pdf
Quote:
Originally Posted by shreyasai2004
Dates would surely have to move significantly forward - Nishant get ready to open the bubbly
is that numbers includes PWMB?
I believe the VB will release with significant date movement in 3 hrs.
I think the reason for releasing the VB a little late is clear... CO wants to clear as many pending applications as possible so that demand data looks empty... this will help him to advance dates significantly...
fella's prepare for a big movement :)
The Dec demand data bodes well for upcoming VB. This is perfect stage for CO to move dates significantly in next few VBs. Good luck to everyone waiting to be current
Since the Demand is zero, I wish CO makes the dates current.. but then I know I am day dreaming.
Seems PWMB's and Aug17th-Sep 30th filers did not get counted in this demand? How come???Quote:
Originally Posted by familyguy
So demand data means preadjudicated (ready to approve) in that case only 75 ROW? WTH!!! May be CP applications counted in this?
This CO and USCIS data is clear as Mud!
Those would not be documentarily qualified as yet. no?Quote:
Originally Posted by polapragada
Demand Data is the numbers which are ready, on the mark get set go to pick Visa numbers ( race is from USCIS to Dos), which is Officially called Pre-adjudicated cases.
PWMB's and Aug17th-Sep 30th are getting ready in the Green room for the next race schedule.
On the other note , are we not selfish and mean ?
you are correct Yesman
So you are saying demand data means Preadjudicated (or) applications validated for documents completeness (Say initial Review)? May be!Quote:
Originally Posted by yesman
75 is not ROW, but the cumulative worldwide (India+China+ROW)Quote:
Originally Posted by polapragada
[QUOTE=Kanmani;13151]Demand Data is the numbers which are ready, on the mark get set go to pick Visa numbers ( race is from USCIS to Dos), which is Officially called Pre-adjudicated cases.
PWMB's and Aug17th-Sep 30th are getting ready in the Green room for the next race schedule.
On the other note , are we not selfish and mean ?[/QUOTE]
Are you asking me??
PWMB's - When become qualfied for visa will receive visa allocation in that month itself and will be approved immediately, sowill never make it to the demand data.Quote:
Originally Posted by polapragada
Aug17th-Sep 30th filers - They are still not qualified for visas, so will not be counted.
NO! it is ROW see the 3rd columnQuote:
Originally Posted by yesman
I believe this demand data generated as of 1st November. As we already know all cases as of 15th July are cleared, and no surprise demand data shows clean.
Quote:
Originally Posted by polapragada